Alert archive / Nebraska / Tornado Watches in 2017

Tornado Watch 148

April 19, 201717 counties in Iowa; Atchison County, Holt County, Nodaway County, Missouri; 18 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 19, 2017, 3:23 PM CDT for 17 counties in Iowa; Atchison County, Holt County, Nodaway County, Missouri; 18 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 19, 2017, 3:23 PM CDT (20:23 UTC)
Expired
Apr 19, 2017, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 38 counties

Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Audubon County, IA, Carroll County, IA, Cass County, IA, Crawford County, IA, Fremont County, IA, Greene County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Mills County, IA, Monona County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Page County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Atchison County, MO, Holt County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Burt County, NE, Butler County, NE, Cass County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Gage County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Richardson County, NE, Saline County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Seward County, NE, Washington County, NE

The radar

The Omaha radar (KOAX), 32 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
60%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

17 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 19, 4:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXLancaster, Seward35 min
Apr 19, 5:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXLancaster, Saline, Seward30 min
Apr 19, 5:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXJefferson, Saline25 min
Apr 19, 5:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCass, Lancaster, Otoe36 min
Apr 19, 5:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXGage, Jefferson, Saline25 min
Apr 19, 5:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXGage, Johnson, Lancaster, Otoe, Saline48 min
Apr 19, 5:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXGage, Jefferson31 min
Apr 19, 6:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCass, Lancaster11 min
Apr 19, 6:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXJohnson, Otoe30 min
Apr 19, 7:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCrawford31 min
Apr 19, 7:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison, Shelby32 min
Apr 19, 7:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCarroll53 min
Apr 19, 7:56 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXCalhoun, Carroll, Greene34 min
Apr 19, 8:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAudubon, Carroll, Greene, Guthrie46 min
Apr 19, 8:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXBoone, Greene, Webster46 min
Apr 19, 8:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdair, Cass25 min
Apr 19, 9:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdair, Madison47 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 32 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2017-04-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2017-04-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 194 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1072 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
194 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
314 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

441 
WWUS20 KWNS 192021
SEL8  
SPC WW 192021
IAZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-200300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 148
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
320 PM CDT Wed Apr 19 2017

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Southwest Iowa
  Northwest Missouri
  East central and southeast Nebraska

* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 320 PM
  until 1000 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes likely
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
    inches in diameter likely
  Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Severe storms are expected to develop in the next 1-2
hours across southeast Nebraska, and then storms will spread
eastward into Iowa and extreme northwest Missouri through this
evening.  The storm environment will favor semi-discrete supercells
capable of producing isolated very large hail and a few tornadoes,
as well as isolated damaging gusts.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
east and west of a line from 40 miles north northeast of Omaha NE to
30 miles southeast of Beatrice NE. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 26030.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 19, 2:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Fremont, Harrison, Ida, Mills, Monona and 4 more3 hr
Apr 19, 5:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudubon, Cass, Fremont, Harrison, Mills, Montgomery and 3 more60 min
Apr 19, 6:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Calhoun, Carroll, Cerro Gordo, Crawford, Floyd and 15 more95 min
Apr 19, 3:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCFillmore, Nuckolls, Thayer7 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2017Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2017Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.