Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2017
Tornado Watch 100
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 29, 2017, 4:17 PM CDT for 44 counties in Arkansas; 4 counties in Oklahoma; Bowie County, Cass County, Morris County, Texas. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 29, 2017, 4:17 PM CDT (21:17 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 30, 2017, 12:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 51 counties
Baxter County, AR, Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Conway County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Garland County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Little River County, AR, Logan County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Madison County, AR, Marion County, AR, Miller County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Newton County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pike County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Washington County, AR, White County, AR, Yell County, AR, Adair County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, McCurtain County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Bowie County, TX, Cass County, TX, Morris County, TX
The radar
The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 61 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
16 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 5:48 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Logan, Scott, Yell | 42 min |
| Mar 29, 6:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Johnson, Logan, Pope, Yell | 49 min |
| Mar 29, 6:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Boone, Marion, Newton, Searcy | 48 min |
| Mar 29, 7:06 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Pope | 24 min |
| Mar 29, 7:19 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Boone, Marion | 29 min |
| Mar 29, 7:27 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Pope, Searcy, Van Buren | 33 min |
| Mar 29, 7:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Garland, Perry, Saline | 46 min |
| Mar 29, 8:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Little River, Miller | 63 min |
| Mar 29, 8:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Baxter, Marion, Searcy | 44 min |
| Mar 29, 8:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Baxter, Marion | 24 min |
| Mar 29, 8:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Conway, Faulkner, Perry, Van Buren | 47 min |
| Mar 29, 9:05 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Conway, Faulkner, Van Buren | 40 min |
| Mar 29, 9:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleburne, Faulkner, Van Buren | 36 min |
| Mar 29, 10:20 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Garland, Montgomery | 27 min |
| Mar 29, 10:30 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Garland, Saline | 11 min |
| Mar 29, 10:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Conway, Perry, Pope, Yell | 27 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 9.3 hours before the alert went out and 200 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 563 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 38 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 410 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 439 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.0
The text
As transmitted.
103 WWUS20 KWNS 292115 SEL0 SPC WW 292115 ARZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-300500- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 100 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 420 PM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Western and northern Arkansas Far eastern Oklahoma Far northeast Texas * Effective this Wednesday afternoon from 420 PM until Midnight CDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Increasing convection currently focused across western Arkansas should continue to intensify through the remainder of the afternoon into this evening. Some severe hail will initially be possible, with an early-evening increase of low-level shear supportive of a tornado/damaging wind risk as well. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles north northeast of Harrison AR to 30 miles south southwest of Texarkana AR. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 98...WW 99... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 23035. ...Guyer
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2:51 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin and 5 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 29, 5:50 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashley, Bradley, Chicot, Desha, Drew, Lincoln and 1 more | 115 min |
| Mar 28, 7:58 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Comanche, Cotton and 20 more | 92 min |
| Mar 28, 10:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Carter, Cleveland, Coal, Comanche, Cotton, Creek and 19 more | 7 hr |
| Mar 28, 10:25 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Caddo, Canadian, Carter, Cherokee, Cleveland, Coal and 32 more | 65 min |
| Mar 29, 1:21 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atoka, Carter, Coal, Garvin, Hughes, Johnston and 9 more | 84 min |
| Mar 29, 2:54 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atoka, Bryan, Choctaw, McCurtain, Marshall, Pushmataha | 96 min |
| Mar 29, 6:08 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Craig, Ottawa | 97 min |
| Mar 28, 7:45 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Armstrong, Briscoe, Carson, Castro, Crosby, Deaf Smith and 9 more | 60 min |
| Mar 28, 9:07 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bandera, Bexar, Blanco, Brown, Burnet, Callahan and 37 more | 23 min |
| Mar 28, 9:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Atascosa, Bandera, Bell, Bexar, Blanco, Bosque and 78 more | 8 hr |
| Mar 28, 11:58 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Bastrop, Bell, Bexar, Blanco, Bosque and 29 more | 92 min |
| Mar 29, 8:23 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brazoria, Calhoun, Chambers, Fort Bend, Galveston, Hardin and 12 more | 67 min |
| Mar 29, 1:31 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brazoria, Chambers, Galveston, Hardin, Harris, Jasper and 7 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 29, 2:11 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Angelina, Chambers, Galveston, Hardin, Jasper, Jefferson and 6 more | 7 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2017Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2017Tornado Watches in Texas, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.