Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2017

Tornado Watch 100

March 29, 201744 counties in Arkansas; 4 counties in Oklahoma; Bowie County, Cass County, Morris County, Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 29, 2017, 4:17 PM CDT for 44 counties in Arkansas; 4 counties in Oklahoma; Bowie County, Cass County, Morris County, Texas. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 29, 2017, 4:17 PM CDT (21:17 UTC)
Expired
Mar 30, 2017, 12:00 AM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 51 counties

Baxter County, AR, Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Conway County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Garland County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Little River County, AR, Logan County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Madison County, AR, Marion County, AR, Miller County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Newton County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pike County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Washington County, AR, White County, AR, Yell County, AR, Adair County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, McCurtain County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Bowie County, TX, Cass County, TX, Morris County, TX

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 61 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

16 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 29, 5:48 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKLogan, Scott, Yell42 min
Mar 29, 6:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Logan, Pope, Yell49 min
Mar 29, 6:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBoone, Marion, Newton, Searcy48 min
Mar 29, 7:06 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKPope24 min
Mar 29, 7:19 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKBoone, Marion29 min
Mar 29, 7:27 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedLZKPope, Searcy, Van Buren33 min
Mar 29, 7:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGarland, Perry, Saline46 min
Mar 29, 8:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVLittle River, Miller63 min
Mar 29, 8:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Marion, Searcy44 min
Mar 29, 8:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Marion24 min
Mar 29, 8:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Faulkner, Perry, Van Buren47 min
Mar 29, 9:05 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKConway, Faulkner, Van Buren40 min
Mar 29, 9:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Faulkner, Van Buren36 min
Mar 29, 10:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGarland, Montgomery27 min
Mar 29, 10:30 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKGarland, Saline11 min
Mar 29, 10:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Perry, Pope, Yell27 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 9.3 hours before the alert went out and 200 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2017-03-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2017-03-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 410 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
563 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
410 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
439 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

103 
WWUS20 KWNS 292115
SEL0  
SPC WW 292115
ARZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-300500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 100
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
420 PM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Western and northern Arkansas
  Far eastern Oklahoma
  Far northeast Texas

* Effective this Wednesday afternoon from 420 PM until Midnight
  CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
  Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Increasing convection currently focused across western
Arkansas should continue to intensify through the remainder of the
afternoon into this evening. Some severe hail will initially be
possible, with an early-evening increase of low-level shear
supportive of a tornado/damaging wind risk as well.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
east and west of a line from 15 miles north northeast of Harrison AR
to 30 miles south southwest of Texarkana AR. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 98...WW 99...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 23035.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 29, 2:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin and 5 more2 hr
Mar 29, 5:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Bradley, Chicot, Desha, Drew, Lincoln and 1 more115 min
Mar 28, 7:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlaine, Caddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Comanche, Cotton and 20 more92 min
Mar 28, 10:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCarter, Cleveland, Coal, Comanche, Cotton, Creek and 19 more7 hr
Mar 28, 10:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaddo, Canadian, Carter, Cherokee, Cleveland, Coal and 32 more65 min
Mar 29, 1:21 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Carter, Coal, Garvin, Hughes, Johnston and 9 more84 min
Mar 29, 2:54 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Choctaw, McCurtain, Marshall, Pushmataha96 min
Mar 29, 6:08 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCraig, Ottawa97 min
Mar 28, 7:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Briscoe, Carson, Castro, Crosby, Deaf Smith and 9 more60 min
Mar 28, 9:07 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Bexar, Blanco, Brown, Burnet, Callahan and 37 more23 min
Mar 28, 9:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bell, Bexar, Blanco, Bosque and 78 more8 hr
Mar 28, 11:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bastrop, Bell, Bexar, Blanco, Bosque and 29 more92 min
Mar 29, 8:23 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrazoria, Calhoun, Chambers, Fort Bend, Galveston, Hardin and 12 more67 min
Mar 29, 1:31 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrazoria, Chambers, Galveston, Hardin, Harris, Jasper and 7 more2 hr
Mar 29, 2:11 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAngelina, Chambers, Galveston, Hardin, Jasper, Jefferson and 6 more7 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2017Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2017Tornado Watches in Texas, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.