Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2017
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 71
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 9, 2017, 3:52 PM CST for 7 counties in Arkansas; 13 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 9, 2017, 3:52 PM CST (21:52 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 9, 2017, 11:00 PM CST
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
Counties Benton County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Madison County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Washington County, AR, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Craig County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, Mayes County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK
The radar
The Tulsa radar (KINX), 49 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 10%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 40%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 60%
Warnings issued inside it
14 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 6:28 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Craig, Delaware, Ottawa | 47 min |
| Mar 9, 7:06 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Delaware, Ottawa | 39 min |
| Mar 9, 7:24 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Carroll | 66 min |
| Mar 9, 7:28 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Benton | 47 min |
| Mar 9, 7:35 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Cherokee, Delaware, Mayes | 25 min |
| Mar 9, 8:02 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Benton, Carroll, Madison, Washington | 58 min |
| Mar 9, 8:24 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Adair, Cherokee, McIntosh, Muskogee, Wagoner | 36 min |
| Mar 9, 8:30 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Carroll, Madison | 30 min |
| Mar 9, 8:41 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Madison, Washington | 64 min |
| Mar 9, 8:56 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Cherokee, Muskogee, Sequoyah | 34 min |
| Mar 9, 9:17 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Adair, Cherokee, Sequoyah | 28 min |
| Mar 9, 9:22 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Washington | 41 min |
| Mar 9, 9:42 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Cherokee, Haskell, Muskogee, Sequoyah | 33 min |
| Mar 9, 10:11 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Haskell, LeFlore, Sequoyah | 34 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 129 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1760 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 54 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 249 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 230 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
594
WWUS20 KWNS 092151
SEL1
SPC WW 092151
ARZ000-OKZ000-100500-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 71
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
355 PM CST Thu Mar 9 2017
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northwest Arkansas
Northeast Oklahoma
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 355 PM until
1100 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Isolated to scattered storms should develop across far
southeast Kansas into northeast Oklahoma and spread east-southeast
this evening with a primary risk of large hail.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles either side of a line from 45 miles north of Tulsa OK
to 35 miles east southeast of Fayetteville AR. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 70...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28030.
...GramsSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 1:04 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Carroll | 86 min |
| Mar 9, 4:45 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clay, Greene, Randolph | 90 min |
| Mar 9, 5:36 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Cleburne, Conway and 20 more | 84 min |
| Mar 9, 10:02 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Anderson, Bourbon, Coffey, Crawford, Linn and 1 more | 88 min |
| Mar 9, 11:10 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bourbon, Cherokee, Crawford, Linn | 10 hr |
| Mar 9, 5:02 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Mississippi, New Madrid and 4 more | 5 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2017Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.