Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 71

March 9, 20177 counties in Arkansas; 13 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 9, 2017, 3:52 PM CST for 7 counties in Arkansas; 13 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 9, 2017, 3:52 PM CST (21:52 UTC)
Expired
Mar 9, 2017, 11:00 PM CST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Benton County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Madison County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Washington County, AR, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Craig County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, Mayes County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 49 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

14 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 9, 6:28 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Delaware, Ottawa47 min
Mar 9, 7:06 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSADelaware, Ottawa39 min
Mar 9, 7:24 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACarroll66 min
Mar 9, 7:28 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSABenton47 min
Mar 9, 7:35 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACherokee, Delaware, Mayes25 min
Mar 9, 8:02 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSABenton, Carroll, Madison, Washington58 min
Mar 9, 8:24 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAAdair, Cherokee, McIntosh, Muskogee, Wagoner36 min
Mar 9, 8:30 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACarroll, Madison30 min
Mar 9, 8:41 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMadison, Washington64 min
Mar 9, 8:56 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACherokee, Muskogee, Sequoyah34 min
Mar 9, 9:17 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAAdair, Cherokee, Sequoyah28 min
Mar 9, 9:22 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Franklin, Madison, Washington41 min
Mar 9, 9:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACherokee, Haskell, Muskogee, Sequoyah33 min
Mar 9, 10:11 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAHaskell, LeFlore, Sequoyah34 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 129 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2017-03-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2017-03-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 249 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1760 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
54 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
249 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
230 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

594 
WWUS20 KWNS 092151
SEL1  
SPC WW 092151
ARZ000-OKZ000-100500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 71
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
355 PM CST Thu Mar 9 2017

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Northwest Arkansas
  Northeast Oklahoma

* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 355 PM until
  1100 PM CST.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
    inches in diameter possible
  Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Isolated to scattered storms should develop across far
southeast Kansas into northeast Oklahoma and spread east-southeast
this evening with a primary risk of large hail.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles either side of a line from 45 miles north of Tulsa OK
to 35 miles east southeast of Fayetteville AR. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 70...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28030.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 9, 1:04 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Carroll86 min
Mar 9, 4:45 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Greene, Randolph90 min
Mar 9, 5:36 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Cleburne, Conway and 20 more84 min
Mar 9, 10:02 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Coffey, Crawford, Linn and 1 more88 min
Mar 9, 11:10 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBourbon, Cherokee, Crawford, Linn10 hr
Mar 9, 5:02 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Mississippi, New Madrid and 4 more5 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2017Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.