Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 72

March 9, 20175 counties in Illinois; 13 counties in Kentucky; 10 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 9, 2017, 5:02 PM CST for 5 counties in Illinois; 13 counties in Kentucky; 10 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 9, 2017, 5:02 PM CST (23:02 UTC)
Expired
Mar 9, 2017, 9:42 PM CST
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 28 counties

Alexander County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Massac County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Union County, IL, Ballard County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Christian County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carter County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Scott County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Wayne County, MO

The radar

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 128 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 9, 5:08 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCarter, Ripley, Wayne67 min
Mar 9, 5:48 PM CSTTornado WarningPAHCarter27 min
Mar 9, 6:04 PM CSTTornado WarningPAHButler, Wayne26 min
Mar 9, 6:11 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHButler, Carter, Ripley, Wayne49 min
Mar 9, 6:26 PM CSTTornado WarningPAHButler, Wayne49 min
Mar 9, 6:39 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningPAHButler, Carter, Ripley, Wayne4 hr
Mar 9, 6:41 PM CSTTornado WarningPAHButler, Ripley36 min
Mar 9, 6:59 PM CSTTornado WarningPAHStoddard46 min
Mar 9, 7:13 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHMississippi, New Madrid, Scott, Stoddard47 min
Mar 9, 7:23 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHGraves, Marshall22 min
Mar 9, 7:24 PM CSTTornado WarningPAHButler, New Madrid, Stoddard36 min
Mar 9, 7:27 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCarlisle, Graves, Hickman20 min
Mar 9, 7:44 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCalloway, Marshall, Trigg31 min
Mar 9, 7:54 PM CSTTornado WarningPAHNew Madrid, Stoddard35 min
Mar 9, 8:05 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHFulton55 min
Mar 9, 8:07 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCaldwell, Christian, Trigg23 min
Mar 9, 8:21 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHFulton, Hickman41 min
Mar 9, 8:34 PM CSTTornado WarningPAHFulton, Hickman24 min
Mar 9, 8:45 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHTrigg19 min
Mar 9, 9:08 PM CSTTornado WarningPAHCalloway22 min
Mar 9, 9:14 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCalloway31 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KBYH), launched 12:00Z, 11.0 hours before the alert went out and 251 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2017-03-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2017-03-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 89 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1482 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
89 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
148 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 9, 4:45 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander90 min
Mar 9, 10:02 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Bates, Benton, Camden, Cedar, Dade and 9 more88 min
Mar 9, 11:10 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarry, Barton, Bates, Benton, Camden, Cedar and 30 more10 hr
Mar 9, 1:04 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Barton, Cedar, Christian, Dade, Greene and 7 more86 min
Mar 9, 5:36 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Christian, Douglas, Greene, Howell, Jasper and 10 more84 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kentucky, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2017Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.