Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 425

July 20, 201710 counties in Montana; 21 counties in North Dakota; 5 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 20, 2017, 2:50 PM MDT for 10 counties in Montana; 21 counties in North Dakota; 5 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 20, 2017, 2:50 PM MDT (20:50 UTC)
Expired
Jul 20, 2017, 9:44 PM MDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 36 counties

Carter County, MT, Custer County, MT, Dawson County, MT, Fallon County, MT, Powder River County, MT, Prairie County, MT, Richland County, MT, Roosevelt County, MT, Sheridan County, MT, Wibaux County, MT, Adams County, ND, Billings County, ND, Bowman County, ND, Burke County, ND, Divide County, ND, Dunn County, ND, Golden Valley County, ND, Grant County, ND, Hettinger County, ND, McKenzie County, ND, McLean County, ND, Mercer County, ND, Morton County, ND, Mountrail County, ND, Oliver County, ND, Renville County, ND, Sioux County, ND, Slope County, ND, Stark County, ND, Ward County, ND, Williams County, ND, Butte County, SD, Harding County, SD, Meade County, SD, Perkins County, SD, Ziebach County, SD

The radar

The Glasgow radar (KGGW), 232 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

11 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 20, 3:19 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISDunn, McKenzie, McLean, Mountrail56 min
Jul 20, 3:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBillings, Golden Valley, Slope, Stark63 min
Jul 20, 4:05 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBillings, Dunn, Stark55 min
Jul 20, 4:17 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISDunn, McLean, Mercer58 min
Jul 20, 4:33 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISAdams, Bowman, Hettinger, Slope57 min
Jul 20, 5:01 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISGrant, Morton, Stark59 min
Jul 20, 5:01 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRHarding74 min
Jul 20, 5:13 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMcLean, Mercer, Morton, Oliver, Stark33 min
Jul 20, 5:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISAdams, Bowman, Grant, Hettinger, Slope, Stark61 min
Jul 20, 5:48 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRButte, Harding, Perkins72 min
Jul 20, 6:17 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISAdams, Grant, Hettinger, Morton, Sioux, Stark58 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Glasgow Intl Airport, MT (KGGW), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 231 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Glasgow Intl Airport, MT at 12:00Z on 2017-07-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Glasgow Intl Airport, MT at 12:00Z on 2017-07-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -18 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2932 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-18 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
89 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 20, 2:32 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter, Custer, Daniels, Dawson, Fallon, McCone and 6 more58 min
Jul 20, 4:45 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter, Dawson, Fallon, Richland, Sheridan, Wibaux90 min
Jul 19, 6:06 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBon Homme, Charles Mix, Clay, Douglas, Gregory, Hutchinson and 4 more84 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Dakota, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Montana, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2017Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.