Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 404

July 7, 201714 counties in Indiana; 33 counties in Kentucky; 15 counties in Ohio

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 7, 2017, 4:24 PM EDT for 14 counties in Indiana; 33 counties in Kentucky; 15 counties in Ohio. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 7, 2017, 4:24 PM EDT (20:24 UTC)
Expired
Jul 7, 2017, 11:00 PM EDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 62 counties

Clark County, IN, Dearborn County, IN, Fayette County, IN, Floyd County, IN, Franklin County, IN, Harrison County, IN, Jefferson County, IN, Ohio County, IN, Ripley County, IN, Scott County, IN, Switzerland County, IN, Union County, IN, Washington County, IN, Wayne County, IN, Anderson County, KY, Bath County, KY, Boone County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Bracken County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Campbell County, KY, Carroll County, KY, Clark County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Fleming County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Gallatin County, KY, Grant County, KY, Harrison County, KY, Henry County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Kenton County, KY, Lewis County, KY, Mason County, KY, Montgomery County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Owen County, KY, Pendleton County, KY, Robertson County, KY, Rowan County, KY, Scott County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Trimble County, KY, Woodford County, KY, Adams County, OH, Brown County, OH, Butler County, OH, Clermont County, OH, Clinton County, OH, Fayette County, OH, Greene County, OH, Hamilton County, OH, Highland County, OH, Montgomery County, OH, Pike County, OH, Preble County, OH, Ross County, OH, Scioto County, OH, Warren County, OH

The radar

The Cincinnati radar (KILN), 111 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

19 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 7, 4:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNUnion, Wayne45 min
Jul 7, 5:18 PM EDTTornado WarningILNButler, Montgomery, Preble27 min
Jul 7, 5:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNFranklin, Union32 min
Jul 7, 5:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNButler, Montgomery, Preble, Warren52 min
Jul 7, 5:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNButler, Hamilton, Warren38 min
Jul 7, 6:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNButler, Hamilton43 min
Jul 7, 6:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNBrown, Clermont, Clinton, Hamilton, Highland, Warren46 min
Jul 7, 6:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNCampbell, Kenton40 min
Jul 7, 6:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNAdams, Brown, Highland, Pike, Ross, Scioto40 min
Jul 7, 6:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKJefferson, Scott33 min
Jul 7, 7:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNAdams, Pike, Ross, Scioto34 min
Jul 7, 7:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark, Jefferson, Scott47 min
Jul 7, 7:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNLewis33 min
Jul 7, 7:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark, Floyd, Scott, Washington41 min
Jul 7, 8:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark, Floyd30 min
Jul 7, 8:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKOrange, Washington39 min
Jul 7, 9:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark, Crawford, Floyd, Harrison, Orange, Washington24 min
Jul 7, 9:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKFloyd, Harrison29 min
Jul 7, 10:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKCrawford, Harrison, Perry23 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 113 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2017-07-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 678 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2017-07-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 171 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
678 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-46 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
863 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
171 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
169 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.4
Supercell composite
3.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 7, 8:51 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Allen, Blackford, Boone, Carroll, Cass and 25 more114 min
Jul 7, 9:46 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Allen, Blackford, Cass, DeKalb, Delaware and 20 more7 hr
Jul 7, 11:22 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Allen, Blackford, Cass, DeKalb, Delaware and 17 more53 min
Jul 7, 1:19 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Boone, Carroll, Clay, Clinton, Daviess and 23 more56 min
Jul 7, 1:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBartholomew, Benton, Boone, Brown, Carroll, Clay and 32 more7 hr
Jul 7, 3:54 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartholomew, Brown, Clark, Dearborn, Decatur, Fayette and 19 more96 min
Jul 7, 6:34 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Floyd, Jackson, Jefferson, Jennings, Lawrence and 6 more86 min
Jul 7, 1:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBoyd, Carter, Greenup, Lawrence8 hr
Jul 7, 8:02 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBelmont, Carroll, Columbiana, Coshocton, Geauga, Guernsey and 11 more2 hr
Jul 7, 1:07 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAthens, Belmont, Gallia, Guernsey, Jackson, Lawrence and 11 more53 min
Jul 7, 3:35 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAthens, Belmont, Gallia, Meigs, Monroe, Morgan and 3 more85 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kentucky, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Ohio, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Indiana, 2017Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.