Alert archive / Virginia / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2017
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 39
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Feb 25, 2017, 1:30 PM EST for 4 states. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 25, 2017, 1:30 PM EST (18:30 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 25, 2017, 7:00 PM EST
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 115 counties
Kent County, DE, New Castle County, DE, Sussex County, DE, Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Caroline County, MD, Carroll County, MD, Cecil County, MD, Charles County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Dorchester County, MD, Frederick County, MD, Harford County, MD, Howard County, MD, Kent County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Saint Mary's County, MD, Somerset County, MD, Talbot County, MD, Washington County, MD, Wicomico County, MD, Worcester County, MD, Adams County, PA, Berks County, PA, Chester County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA, York County, PA, Accomack County, VA, Albemarle County, VA, Amelia County, VA, Appomattox County, VA, Arlington County, VA, Brunswick County, VA, Buckingham County, VA, Campbell County, VA, Caroline County, VA, Charles City County, VA, Charlotte County, VA, Chesterfield County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Charlottesville, VA, City of Colonial Heights, VA, City of Danville, VA, City of Emporia, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Franklin, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Hampton, VA, City of Hopewell, VA, City of Manassas, VA, City of Manassas Park, VA, City of Newport News, VA, City of Petersburg, VA, City of Poquoson, VA, City of Richmond, VA, City of Williamsburg, VA, Clarke County, VA, Culpeper County, VA, Cumberland County, VA, Dinwiddie County, VA, Essex County, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Fauquier County, VA, Fluvanna County, VA, Gloucester County, VA, Goochland County, VA, Greene County, VA, Greensville County, VA, Halifax County, VA, Hanover County, VA, Henrico County, VA, Isle of Wight County, VA, James City County, VA, King and Queen County, VA, King George County, VA, King William County, VA, Lancaster County, VA, Loudoun County, VA, Louisa County, VA, Lunenburg County, VA, Madison County, VA, Mathews County, VA, Mecklenburg County, VA, Middlesex County, VA, Nelson County, VA, New Kent County, VA, Northampton County, VA, Northumberland County, VA, Nottoway County, VA, Orange County, VA, Pittsylvania County, VA, Powhatan County, VA, Prince Edward County, VA, Prince George County, VA, Prince William County, VA, Rappahannock County, VA, Richmond County, VA, Southampton County, VA, Spotsylvania County, VA, Stafford County, VA, Surry County, VA, Sussex County, VA, Westmoreland County, VA, York County, VA
The radar
The Sterling radar (KLWX), 36 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 10%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
49 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 1:33 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Albemarle, Culpeper, Greene, Madison, Orange, Spotsylvania | 42 min |
| Feb 25, 1:48 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Amelia, Chesterfield, Goochland, Nottoway, Powhatan, Prince Edward | 42 min |
| Feb 25, 2:02 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Culpeper, Fauquier, Orange, Prince William, Spotsylvania, Stafford | 43 min |
| Feb 25, 2:05 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Lancaster, York | 40 min |
| Feb 25, 2:07 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Carroll, Frederick | 38 min |
| Feb 25, 2:12 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Frederick, Montgomery | 10 min |
| Feb 25, 2:18 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Lunenburg, Nottoway, Prince Edward | 42 min |
| Feb 25, 2:20 PM EST | Tornado Warning | CTP | Lancaster, York | 25 min |
| Feb 25, 2:27 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Charles | 48 min |
| Feb 25, 2:28 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Amelia, Chesterfield, Goochland, Hanover, Henrico, Powhatan and 1 more | 47 min |
| Feb 25, 2:32 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Lebanon, Schuylkill | 88 min |
| Feb 25, 2:35 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Charles, Prince George's | 40 min |
| Feb 25, 2:37 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Adams, York | 68 min |
| Feb 25, 2:39 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Baltimore, Carroll | 29 min |
| Feb 25, 2:43 PM EST | Tornado Warning | CTP | Lancaster, Lebanon | 47 min |
| Feb 25, 2:47 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Berks | 43 min |
| Feb 25, 2:50 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Caroline, Essex, Hanover | 40 min |
| Feb 25, 2:51 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Amelia, Chesterfield, Dinwiddie, Nottoway | 39 min |
| Feb 25, 2:52 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Calvert, Charles, Prince George's, Saint Mary's | 38 min |
| Feb 25, 3:03 PM EST | Tornado Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Calvert, Charles, Prince George's | 27 min |
| Feb 25, 3:08 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Lancaster | 67 min |
| Feb 25, 3:13 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Essex, Hanover, Henrico, King and Queen, King William, Richmond and 1 more | 47 min |
| Feb 25, 3:16 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Amelia, Chesterfield, Dinwiddie, Prince George, City of Colonial Heights, City of Hopewell | 44 min |
| Feb 25, 3:18 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Caroline, Queen Anne's, Talbot | 57 min |
| Feb 25, 3:19 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Berks, Carbon, Lehigh, Northampton | 41 min |
| Feb 25, 3:24 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Baltimore, Harford | 24 min |
| Feb 25, 3:26 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Cecil | 64 min |
| Feb 25, 3:27 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Caroline, Essex, Richmond, Westmoreland | 33 min |
| Feb 25, 3:29 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Calvert, Prince George's | 35 min |
| Feb 25, 3:39 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Calvert, Charles, Prince George's, Saint Mary's | 26 min |
| Feb 25, 3:42 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Charles City, Chesterfield, Henrico, New Kent, Prince George, City of Colonial Heights and 1 more | 48 min |
| Feb 25, 3:43 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Brunswick, Mecklenburg | 36 min |
| Feb 25, 3:53 PM EST | Tornado Warning | AKQ | Charles City, Chesterfield, Henrico, New Kent, City of Hopewell | 19 min |
| Feb 25, 3:57 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Richmond, Westmoreland | 18 min |
| Feb 25, 4:00 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Saint Mary's | 45 min |
| Feb 25, 4:04 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Kent, New Castle | 41 min |
| Feb 25, 4:08 PM EST | Tornado Warning | AKQ | Westmoreland | 22 min |
| Feb 25, 4:11 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Kent | 49 min |
| Feb 25, 4:14 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Charles City, Gloucester, James City, King and Queen, King William, Middlesex and 1 more | 46 min |
| Feb 25, 4:15 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Dorchester | 13 min |
| Feb 25, 4:17 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Berks, Bucks, Chester, Delaware, Lehigh, Monroe and 3 more | 43 min |
| Feb 25, 4:39 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Dorchester, Wicomico | 51 min |
| Feb 25, 4:40 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Kent, New Castle | 50 min |
| Feb 25, 4:42 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Gloucester, King and Queen, Lancaster, Mathews, Middlesex | 38 min |
| Feb 25, 4:50 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Kent, Sussex | 55 min |
| Feb 25, 5:17 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Bucks, Montgomery, Philadelphia | 43 min |
| Feb 25, 5:23 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Accomack, Northampton | 67 min |
| Feb 25, 5:45 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Isle of Wight, York, City of Hampton, City of Newport News, City of Poquoson | 30 min |
| Feb 25, 6:11 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Northampton | 37 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 6.5 hours before the alert went out and 29 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 235 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -194 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 676 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 46 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 164 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 143 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
732 WWUS20 KWNS 251827 SEL9 SPC WW 251827 DCZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-VAZ000-WVZ000-CWZ000-260100- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 39 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 130 PM EST Sat Feb 25 2017 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of District Of Columbia Delaware Maryland Southern New Jersey Southeast Pennsylvania Central and Eastern Virginia Eastern Panhandle of West Virginia Coastal Waters * Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 130 PM until 800 PM EST. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are intensifying along a cold front over central VA. These storms will track across the watch area this afternoon, posing a threat of locally damaging winds and hail. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles northwest of Wilmington DE to 10 miles south of South Hill VA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Hart
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 12:16 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | New Castle | 89 min |
| Feb 25, 12:24 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Kent, Sussex | 2 hr |
| Feb 25, 4:26 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Kent, New Castle, Sussex | 94 min |
| Feb 24, 8:49 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Beaver, Crawford, Lawrence, Mercer, Washington | 116 min |
| Feb 25, 2:46 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bucks, Carbon, Lackawanna, Lehigh, Luzerne, Monroe and 3 more | 5 hr |
| Feb 25, 4:44 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Berks, Bucks, Carbon, Lehigh, Monroe, Montgomery and 3 more | 91 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Virginia, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Maryland, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2017Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.