Alert archive / New York / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 40

February 25, 20176 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Feb 25, 2017, 2:46 PM EST for 6 states. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 25, 2017, 2:46 PM EST (19:46 UTC)
Expired
Feb 25, 2017, 7:19 PM EST
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 44 counties

Northwest Hills Planning Region, CT, Berkshire County, MA, Bergen County, NJ, Essex County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Union County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Albany County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Delaware County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Orange County, NY, Otsego County, NY, Putnam County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Rockland County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Sullivan County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY, Bucks County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Lackawanna County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Pike County, PA, Wayne County, PA, Bennington County, VT

The radar

The Albany radar (KENX), 36 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

26 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 25, 3:06 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMLackawanna, Luzerne, Wayne24 min
Feb 25, 3:13 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYFulton, Herkimer, Montgomery62 min
Feb 25, 3:15 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMLackawanna, Wayne30 min
Feb 25, 3:19 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBerks, Carbon, Lehigh, Northampton41 min
Feb 25, 3:22 PM ESTFlash Flood WarningBGMLackawanna, Luzerne3 hr
Feb 25, 3:45 PM ESTFlash Flood WarningBGMOtsego6 hr
Feb 25, 3:45 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMLackawanna, Luzerne, Wayne60 min
Feb 25, 3:46 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYFulton, Hamilton, Montgomery, Saratoga59 min
Feb 25, 4:01 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMDelaware29 min
Feb 25, 4:01 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMDelaware, Sullivan44 min
Feb 25, 4:04 PM ESTTornado WarningBGMDelaware, Sullivan21 min
Feb 25, 4:05 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHICarbon, Lehigh, Monroe40 min
Feb 25, 4:13 PM ESTFlash Flood WarningBGMLackawanna, Susquehanna, Wayne3 hr
Feb 25, 4:17 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIHunterdon, Morris, Warren43 min
Feb 25, 4:19 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMSullivan56 min
Feb 25, 4:29 PM ESTFlash Flood WarningBGMDelaware3 hr
Feb 25, 4:35 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMDelaware, Sullivan55 min
Feb 25, 4:54 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIHunterdon, Morris, Somerset, Sussex, Warren51 min
Feb 25, 4:58 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMSullivan47 min
Feb 25, 5:02 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXPassaic43 min
Feb 25, 5:17 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cumberland, Gloucester, Mercer and 5 more43 min
Feb 25, 5:33 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYUlster48 min
Feb 25, 5:37 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXPassaic38 min
Feb 25, 5:54 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYDutchess45 min
Feb 25, 6:08 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYNorthwest Hills Planning Region67 min
Feb 25, 6:10 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXBergen50 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 57 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2017-02-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2017-02-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 263 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-449 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
881 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
263 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
358 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 25, 6:24 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC66 min
Feb 25, 4:44 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBerkshire91 min
Feb 25, 12:16 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBurlington, Camden, Essex, Gloucester, Hunterdon, Mercer and 7 more89 min
Feb 25, 1:30 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAtlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland, Gloucester and 1 more6 hr
Feb 25, 4:26 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCamden, Cape May, Cumberland, Gloucester, Salem94 min
Feb 24, 8:49 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaver, Crawford, Lawrence, Mercer, Washington116 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New York, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Jersey, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2017Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.