Alert archive / New Mexico / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 198

May 8, 201715 counties in New Mexico

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 8, 2017, 4:06 PM MDT for 15 counties in New Mexico. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 8, 2017, 4:06 PM MDT (22:06 UTC)
Expired
May 8, 2017, 11:00 PM MDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Chaves County, NM, Colfax County, NM, Curry County, NM, De Baca County, NM, Eddy County, NM, Guadalupe County, NM, Harding County, NM, Lincoln County, NM, Mora County, NM, Quay County, NM, Roosevelt County, NM, San Miguel County, NM, Santa Fe County, NM, Torrance County, NM, Union County, NM

The radar

The Cannon AFB radar (KFDX), 107 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
50%

Warnings issued inside it

24 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 8, 4:16 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQDe Baca29 min
May 8, 4:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQDe Baca, Guadalupe, Quay47 min
May 8, 4:51 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQGuadalupe39 min
May 8, 5:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQHarding46 min
May 8, 5:23 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQSan Miguel23 min
May 8, 5:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQDe Baca, Guadalupe, Quay48 min
May 8, 5:31 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQGuadalupe, San Miguel29 min
May 8, 5:33 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQHarding, Mora, San Miguel27 min
May 8, 5:50 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQChaves40 min
May 8, 5:56 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQHarding49 min
May 8, 5:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQHarding, Mora, San Miguel25 min
May 8, 6:01 PM MDTTornado WarningABQQuay14 min
May 8, 6:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQQuay46 min
May 8, 6:16 PM MDTTornado WarningABQQuay29 min
May 8, 6:19 PM MDTTornado WarningABQHarding26 min
May 8, 6:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFEddy32 min
May 8, 6:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQChaves31 min
May 8, 6:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQQuay46 min
May 8, 7:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQDe Baca, Guadalupe47 min
May 8, 7:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQQuay45 min
May 8, 8:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQDe Baca, Guadalupe, Quay46 min
May 8, 8:23 PM MDTTornado WarningABQGuadalupe, Quay21 min
May 8, 10:01 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQGuadalupe, San Miguel44 min
May 8, 10:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQGuadalupe, San Miguel45 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM (KABQ), launched 12:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 176 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM at 12:00Z on 2017-05-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM at 12:00Z on 2017-05-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -199 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2546 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-199 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-187 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 8, 2:47 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChaves, Colfax, Curry, De Baca, Guadalupe, Harding and 7 more118 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Mexico, 2017Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.