Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 154

April 21, 201720 counties in Arkansas; 17 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Apr 21, 2017, 10:04 AM CDT for 20 counties in Arkansas; 17 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 21, 2017, 10:04 AM CDT (15:04 UTC)
Expired
Apr 21, 2017, 3:00 PM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 37 counties

Clark County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Garland County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Little River County, AR, Logan County, AR, Madison County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pike County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Scott County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Washington County, AR, Yell County, AR, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Creek County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, McCurtain County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
40%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

11 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 21, 10:08 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOkfuskee, Okmulgee67 min
Apr 21, 11:00 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMcIntosh, Muskogee, Okfuskee, Okmulgee, Pittsburg45 min
Apr 21, 11:18 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACherokee, Mayes, Muskogee, Okmulgee, Rogers, Tulsa and 1 more42 min
Apr 21, 11:39 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACherokee, Haskell, Latimer, McIntosh, Muskogee, Pittsburg and 1 more51 min
Apr 21, 11:51 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACherokee, Delaware, Mayes, Muskogee, Wagoner39 min
Apr 21, 11:53 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSACreek, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner3 hr
Apr 21, 12:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAHaskell, Latimer, LeFlore, Pushmataha35 min
Apr 21, 12:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Sebastian, Washington44 min
Apr 21, 12:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAFranklin, Sebastian52 min
Apr 21, 1:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLogan, Scott, Yell51 min
Apr 21, 2:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Tulsa41 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 3.1 hours before the alert went out and 228 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2017-04-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2017-04-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -171 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
637 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
55 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-171 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-150 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 21, 9:45 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Franklin, Garland, Howard, Johnson, Logan and 12 more2 hr
Apr 21, 1:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Cleburne, Conway, Crawford, Crittenden, Cross and 28 more93 min
Apr 21, 3:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller, Pike and 2 more2 hr
Apr 21, 3:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Johnson and 8 more66 min
Apr 21, 4:40 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCHempstead, Howard, Little River, Logan, Miller, Montgomery and 6 more8 hr
Apr 20, 9:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBeckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Carter, Cleveland and 20 more7 hr
Apr 20, 11:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Carter, Cleveland and 19 more60 min
Apr 21, 3:44 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Carter, Cleveland and 26 more2 hr
Apr 21, 4:20 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlfalfa, Atoka, Beaver, Beckham, Blaine, Bryan and 42 more8 hr
Apr 21, 7:54 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Carter and 27 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2017Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.