Alert archive / Illinois / Mesoscale Discussions in 2017

Mesoscale Discussion 563

April 26, 20176 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 26, 2017, 3:53 PM CDT for 6 states. It was in force for 97 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 26, 2017, 3:53 PM CDT (20:53 UTC)
Expired
Apr 26, 2017, 5:30 PM CDT
In force
97 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 46 counties

Clay County, AR, Alexander County, IL, Clark County, IL, Clay County, IL, Coles County, IL, Crawford County, IL, Cumberland County, IL, Edwards County, IL, Effingham County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Hamilton County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Jasper County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Lawrence County, IL, Massac County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Richland County, IL, Saline County, IL, Wabash County, IL, Wayne County, IL, White County, IL, Clay County, IN, Gibson County, IN, Knox County, IN, Posey County, IN, Sullivan County, IN, Vigo County, IN, Ballard County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Livingston County, KY, McCracken County, KY, Union County, KY, Butler County, MO, Dunklin County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Scott County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Lake County, TN, Obion County, TN

The radar

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 59 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 271 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2017-04-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2017-04-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 138 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1165 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
138 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
114 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

364 
ACUS11 KWNS 262054
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262053 
INZ000-KYZ000-ILZ000-TNZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-262230-

Mesoscale Discussion 0563
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0353 PM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

Areas affected...Southern IL...Southwest IN...Western KY...Southeast
MO...Extreme Northeast AR/Northwest TN

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 163...

Valid 262053Z - 262230Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 163
continues.

SUMMARY...An intense thunderstorm cluster will continue to produce
potentially damaging winds across southeast IL, perhaps extending
into western IN. Another cluster may intensify across southeast MO
into western KY.

DISCUSSION...At 2045Z, an intense bowing segment was moving quickly
northeastward across southeast IL. Temperatures have warmed into the
80s F ahead of this feature, and a combination of moderate
instability, sufficient effective shear, and steep low-level lapse
rates will continue to support a threat of damaging wind with this
system. Another weaker line segment was approaching the MO Bootheel
from northeast AR. Some intensification of this line is possible as
it moves across far southeast MO in the next 1-2 hours, with a
primary threat of damaging wind. 

With time, at least some severe threat will spread eastward out of
WW 163, into portions of Indiana, western KY, and northwest TN.
Downstream watch issuance is considered possible at this time,
though it will depend on short-term convective trends in the next
1-2 hours.

..Dean/Hart.. 04/26/2017

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...IND...PAH...ILX...MEG...LSX...

LAT...LON   36999033 37208931 37748871 38838894 39218879 39628814
            39618701 38288754 37368800 36648877 36008951 35988999
            36019027 36589061 36999033

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 25, 10:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Boone, Carroll, Madison, Washington54 min
Apr 25, 11:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian and 1 more7 hr
Apr 26, 1:42 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Johnson and 10 more2 hr
Apr 26, 5:37 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCConway, Crawford, Franklin, Garland, Howard, Johnson and 14 more113 min
Apr 26, 6:00 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBaxter, Boone, Carroll, Conway, Crawford, Franklin and 23 more7 hr
Apr 26, 7:29 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Boone, Carroll, Conway, Crawford, Franklin and 23 more2 hr
Apr 26, 9:39 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Baxter, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Clay and 47 more36 min
Apr 26, 10:08 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCArkansas, Baxter, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Clay and 51 more7 hr
Apr 26, 1:05 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Columbia, Dallas, Grant, Hempstead, Hot Spring and 9 more85 min
Apr 26, 4:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Cleveland and 19 more67 min
Apr 26, 4:44 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Cleveland and 11 more5 hr
Apr 26, 5:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCClay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Lee and 4 more6 hr
Apr 26, 6:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMississippi95 min
Apr 26, 12:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Clay, Clinton, Edwards, Franklin, Hamilton and 16 more94 min
Apr 26, 12:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlexander, Bond, Clark, Clay, Clinton, Crawford and 19 more6 hr
Apr 26, 4:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Allen, Blackford, Boone, Carroll, Cass and 43 more4 hr
Apr 25, 7:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMcDonald91 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Illinois, 2017Mesoscale Discussions in Kentucky, 2017Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2017Every mesoscale discussion in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.