Flash Flood Warning 6, NWS Shreveport, LA

850 
WGUS74 KSHV 032250
FFSSHV

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
550 PM CDT WED MAY 3 2017

TXC005-073-347-401-405-419-040045-
/O.CON.KSHV.FF.W.0006.000000T0000Z-170504T0045Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Rusk TX-Nacogdoches TX-Shelby TX-Angelina TX-San Augustine TX-
Cherokee TX-
550 PM CDT WED MAY 3 2017

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHERN RUSK...NACOGDOCHES...WESTERN SHELBY...ANGELINA...SAN
AUGUSTINE AND SOUTHERN CHEROKEE COUNTIES...

At 548 PM CDT, Doppler radar continues to indicate thunderstorms 
producing heavy rain across the warned area. Radar is estimating 
between two and four inches of rain in places.  Water has been 
reported over Pearl Street and Blount Street in Nacogdoches. Flash 
flooding is expected to begin shortly.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Lufkin, Nacogdoches, Rusk, Diboll, Hudson, Huntington, San Augustine,
Alto, Timpson, Garrison, Wells, Morrill, Melrose, Martinsville, Bland
Lake, Neuville, Trawick, Woden, Pollok and Sacul.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3115 9485 3123 9486 3126 9490 3128 9488
      3132 9490 3134 9496 3138 9495 3144 9501
      3147 9510 3152 9510 3159 9517 3158 9520
      3177 9534 3188 9499 3191 9464 3196 9435
      3154 9400 3142 9405 3123 9405 3110 9447

$$

Palmer

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
412 PM CDT Wed May 3 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Stg to svr storms movg east across the area. Warm front convection
has just skirted southern tier of cwa, with most of it south of
area. However, broken line of storms associated with stg cold
front movg across ne TX. With TOR watch until 5 pm, and timing of
convection leaving cwa later this eve, have split wx grids into 3
hour intervals. Will be shortly expanding LWA area, beginning at
6 pm, to include areas north of I-30, and extend in time thru Thu
aftn.
Dry conditions thru remainder of fcst beginning late tonight as
stg upper ridging over western conus. Unseasonally cold temps next
couple days with temps becmg more seasonal towards extended
period./07/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 114 PM CDT Wed May 3 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Updated to include issuance of Svr Tstm watch to ne TX, a portion
of sw AR, and extreme nw La until 7 pm, and to remove most of LA
portions of Tor Watch, this stretches across southern tier of cwa,
until 5 pm. Squall line movg east across FTW metro area warranting
issuance of Svr Watch. Widespread cloud cover stabilization
warranted the cancellation of portion of Tor Watch./07/

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1235 PM CDT Wed May 3 2017/

AVIATION...
MVFR-IFR CIGS continued to plagued the TAF sites early this aftn,
and will likely persist through the majority of the TAF period as
SHRA/TSRA activity becomes more widespread by late aftn. At this time,
a warm front has aided in the development of a complex of scattered
-SHRA/-TSRA across central LA, and another complex of storms near
 an old outflow boundary were noted near ktxk and keld just north
 of kshv. However, isolated -SHRA/-TSRA have developed near kshv,
 ktyr and kggg due to a bit of daytime destabilization. Computer
 models hint at a more prominent line of storms developing along a
 strong cold front, later this afternoon through early-mid
 evening, that will affect all TAF sites. Have tried to
 incorporate the best timing of when the storm activity will
 affect the TAF sites with this forecast. By mid-late evening, the
 majority of the precipitation will be exiting the region and
 perhaps lingering -SHRA will be left in its wake. Thereafter,
 rather breezy northwest wind speeds will ensue tomorrow morning
 which could near kshv and keld near an outflow boundary. Lake
 Wind Advisory wind speed criteria for most TAF sites /15-20 mph/.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  50  71  52  75 /  40  10   0   0
MLU  54  67  50  73 /  70  10   0   0
DEQ  48  69  47  74 /  20  10   0   0
TXK  49  69  50  73 /  30  10   0   0
ELD  50  67  48  73 /  60  10   0   0
TYR  49  71  49  75 /  20  10   0   0
GGG  49  70  50  75 /  20  10   0   0
LFK  52  73  50  77 /  30  10   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...Lake Wind Advisory until 7 AM CDT Thursday for ARZ070>073.

LA...Lake Wind Advisory until 7 AM CDT Thursday for LAZ001>006-
     010>014-017>022.

OK...None.
TX...Lake Wind Advisory until 7 AM CDT Thursday for TXZ096-097-
     108>112-124>126-136>138-150-151-153-166-167.

&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
106 PM CDT Wed May 3 2017

ARZ060-061-070>072-LAZ001-002-TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-
149>151-041815-
Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-Columbia-Caddo-Bossier-
Red River-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-Morris-Cass-Wood-Upshur-
Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-Panola-
106 PM CDT Wed May 3 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southwest
Arkansas, northwest Louisiana and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms across the area will begin to
intensify later this afternoon as a line of strong to severe
storms will move into the area from the northwest ahead of a
strong cold front. strong to possible damaging wind gusts will be
the primary threat with the approaching squall line. Isolated
large hail is also possible. Total rainfall amounts of one to
three inches are expected, resulting in possible isolated areas of
localized flooding.

Winds will become northwesterly and increase in speed to 15 to 20
mph with gusts near 25 mph late this afternoon and tonight
following the passage of the cold front.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday...

The severe weather threat will end early Thursday morning. Gusty
northwesterly winds will likely persist through much of Thursday.
However, no hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be required this afternoon and early evening.

ARZ073-LAZ003>006-010>014-018>022-041815-
Union-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-Red River-Bienville-
Jackson-Ouachita-Natchitoches-Winn-Grant-Caldwell-La Salle-
106 PM CDT Wed May 3 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Arkansas, north central Louisiana and northwest Louisiana.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms across the area will begin to
intensify later this afternoon into the early evening, as a line
of strong to severe storms will move into the area from the
northwest ahead of a strong cold front. strong to possible
damaging wind gusts will be the primary threat with the
approaching squall line. Isolated large hail is also possible.
Total rainfall amounts of one to three inches are expected,
resulting in possible isolated areas of localized flooding.

Winds will become northwesterly and increase in speed to 15 to 20
mph with gusts near 25 mph tonight following the passage of the
cold front.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday...

The severe weather threat will end early Thursday morning. Gusty
northwesterly winds will likely persist through much of Thursday.
However, no hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be required this afternoon and evening.

ARZ050-051-059-OKZ077-041815-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-McCurtain-
106 PM CDT Wed May 3 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southwest
Arkansas and southeast Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

There is an Slight Risk of severe weather across the area this
afternoon and into the evening across the area.

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms across the area
will continue through most of the afternoon as a strong cold front
approaches the area by early this evening. Strong wind gusts will
be the primary threat with the approaching squall line. Isolated
hail is also possible. Total rainfall amounts of one to two
inches are expected, resulting in ponding of water on roads and in
low lying areas where heavy rain occurs.

Winds will become northwesterly and increase in speed to 15 to 20
mph with gusts near 25 mph late this afternoon and tonight
following the passage of the cold front.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday...

The severe weather threat will end early Thursday morning. Gusty
northwesterly winds will likely persist through much of Thursday.
However, no hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation could possibly be required this afternoon and
early evening.

LAZ017-TXZ152-153-165>167-041815-
Sabine-Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
106 PM CDT Wed May 3 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northwest
Louisiana and east Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will begin to rapidly
increase in coverage and intensify this afternoon with daytime
heating. Stronger storms may be capable of producing large hail,
damaging wind gusts, and possible tornadoes.

In addition, a line of strong to severe storms will move into the
area from the northwest ahead of a strong cold front early this
evening. Strong to possible damaging wind gusts will be the
primary threat with the approaching squall line. Total rainfall
amounts of one to three inches are expected, resulting in possible
isolated areas of localized flooding.

Winds will become northwesterly and increase in speed to 15 to 20
mph with gusts near 25 mph and tonight following the passage of
the cold front.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday...

Gusty northwesterly winds will likely persist through much of
Thursday. However, no hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be required this afternoon and
early evening.

07

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
410 PM CDT WED MAY 3 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0410 PM     HAIL             HENDERSON               32.16N 94.80W
05/03/2017  E2.00 INCH       RUSK               TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

ALS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
430 PM CDT WED MAY 3 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0344 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 W BULLARD             32.14N 95.34W
05/03/2017                   SMITH              TX   PUBLIC

            TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN NEAR BULLARD OFF
            OF FM 2137 AND FM 344.

&&

LFM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
431 PM CDT WED MAY 3 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0354 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SE BULLARD            32.12N 95.30W
05/03/2017                   CHEROKEE           TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE DOWN ON FM 2493 AT 69.

&&

LFM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
433 PM CDT WED MAY 3 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0351 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 NW BULLARD            32.17N 95.36W
05/03/2017                   SMITH              TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE DOWN BLOCKING THE ROAD CR 177.

&&

LFM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
434 PM CDT WED MAY 3 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0433 PM     TSTM WND DMG     8 NW GARY CITY          32.10N 94.47W
05/03/2017                   PANOLA             TX   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN ACROSS WESTERN
            PANOLA COUNTY.

&&

ALS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
440 PM CDT WED MAY 3 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0439 PM     HAIL             LUFKIN                  31.33N 94.73W
05/03/2017  E0.75 INCH       ANGELINA           TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MINOR STREET FLOODING.

&&

ALS