Severe Thunderstorm Warning 242, NWS Springfield, MO

731 
WWUS53 KSGF 280019
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
719 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

MOC077-280029-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0242.000000T0000Z-170528T0030Z/
Greene MO-
719 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN GREENE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 200 AM CDT for southwestern
Missouri.

LAT...LON 3661 9407 3691 9406 3701 9336 3712 9298
      3710 9268 3681 9277 3661 9338
TIME...MOT...LOC 0019Z 293DEG 48KT 3708 9240 3678 9267 3660 9326 

$$

MOC009-043-067-109-209-213-225-280030-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0242.000000T0000Z-170528T0030Z/
Webster MO-Douglas MO-Christian MO-Taney MO-Stone MO-Barry MO-
Lawrence MO-
719 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN WEBSTER...WESTERN DOUGLAS...CHRISTIAN...NORTHWESTERN
TANEY...STONE...BARRY AND SOUTHEASTERN LAWRENCE COUNTIES...

At 719 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Norwood to 11 miles south of Ava to near
Hollister, moving southeast at 55 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Nixa...                           Ozark...
Branson...                        Table Rock Lake...
Lake Taneycomo...                 Roaring River State Park...
Monett...                         Aurora...
Cassville...                      Silver Dollar City...
Kimberling City...                Forsyth...
Merriam Woods...                  Sparta...
Crane...                          Shell Knob...
Purdy...                          Reeds Spring...
Highlandville...                  Rockaway Beach...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 200 AM CDT for southwestern
Missouri.

LAT...LON 3661 9407 3691 9406 3701 9336 3712 9298
      3710 9268 3681 9277 3661 9338
TIME...MOT...LOC 0019Z 293DEG 48KT 3708 9240 3678 9267 3660 9326 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Burchfield

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
350 PM CDT Sat May 27 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 252 PM CDT Sat May 27 2017

Convection has been ongoing across the area for a couple of hours
now. Surface boundary extends from southern Illinois across
southern Missouri to a surface low over north-central Oklahoma.
The environment is extremely unstable with SBCAPE from our 18z
sounding over 5000 J/kg and 0-6km shear at around 50 kts.  This
initial round is starting to become more linear with outflow
pushing the boundary southward.

The second round looks to be developing both in southeast Kansas
and northeast Oklahoma per SPC discussions. Will need to monitor
this closely as models...such as the HRRR...are tending to keep
the convection tied to the surface boundary. If this were to
materialize...would need to monitor for training of cells and
locally heavy rainfall along this east-west boundary.

Surface front will begin to push through the area during the
morning hours on Sunday. Rain should be out of all but south-
central Missouri by Sunday afternoon.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday Night through Saturday)
Issued at 252 PM CDT Sat May 27 2017

The upper level system then remains across the northern Great
Lakes region through Tuesday before an upper level ridge over the
western states begins to push it eastward. This will keep us in
northwest flow for the first half of the forecast period. Monday
and Tuesday should be dry but conditions will become unsettled
from Wednesday on.

By Thursday...an upper level trough begins to move out of the
desert southwest which will once again increase our rain chances.
Temperatures during the period will be at or slightly above
seasonal normals with highs in the 70s and 80s and lows in the 50s
and 60s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday afternoon)
Issued at 1215 PM CDT Sat May 27 2017

Convection has been on the increase the last two hours as the cap
continues to erode across the area. These storms will increase in
coverage and intensity through the afternoon. Expect MVFR
conditions in the vicinity of storms...with the possibility of
strong winds and large hail as well.

Surface front should clear the terminals during the overnight
hours. Once the front clears...winds will veer around to the
northwest and ceilings will drop to MVFR to occasional IFR through
the remainder of the forecast period.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Flash Flood Watch through Sunday morning for MOZ055>058-066>071-
     077>083-088>098-101>106.

KS...Flash Flood Watch through Sunday morning for KSZ073-097-101.

&&

SHORT TERM...Gaede
LONG TERM...Gaede
AVIATION...Gaede

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
424 PM CDT Sat May 27 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-282130-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
424 PM CDT Sat May 27 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Elevated Tornado risk.
  Significant Hail risk.
  Significant Thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated Flooding risk.
  Significant Lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

  Strong to severe storms will continue to impact the Ozarks
  late this afternoon into tonight as very strong instability
  and wind shear remain in place ahead of a surface boundary.

  The potential exists for supercell thunderstorms as storms
  initially begin to develop. If these supercells do form, hail
  up to the size of baseballs, damaging winds, and tornadoes
  will all be possible.

  The storms will eventually become more linear in nature as the
  cold pool develops and will become capable of producing
  widespread damaging wind gusts. Gusts over 75 mph will be
  possible. Tornadoes will also be possible with any portions of
  the line which bow towards the east. This has the potential to
  produce power outages.

  Along with the risk for severe thunderstorms, frequent
  lightning and locally heavy rainfall can be expected. Localized
  flooding of low water crossings will be possible where the
  heavier rainfall occurs. A Flash Flood Watch is in effect
  through 7 AM Sunday. Localized rainfall amounts of up to 4
  inches will be possible if training storms develop.

  Those with outdoor plans tonight are urged to pay close
  attention to the weather and have a plan in place to move to a
  sturdy shelter when severe weather threatens.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

  A few lingering strong to severe storms will impact portions of
  south central Missouri Sunday morning before the system moves
  completely through the region. Large hail and damaging winds
  will be the primary concern.

  The next chance of storms comes towards the end of next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation may be needed in the next three hours for
  the entire area.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Gaede

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
626 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0624 PM     HAIL             REPUBLIC                37.12N 93.48W
05/27/2017  E0.88 INCH       GREENE             MO   PUBLIC

            NICKLE SIZE HAIL AT TT AND N.

&&

TEO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
628 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0624 PM     HAIL             3 E FLEMINGTON          37.80N 93.45W
05/27/2017  M1.25 INCH       POLK               MO   CO-OP OBSERVER

            HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL.

&&

TEO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
629 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0624 PM     HAIL             4 S ASH GROVE           37.26N 93.59W
05/27/2017  E1.00 INCH       GREENE             MO   CO-OP OBSERVER

            1.00 INCH HAIL.

&&

TEO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
634 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0629 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 S REPUBLIC            37.11N 93.48W
05/27/2017                   GREENE             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER IS 1 MILES S OF REPUBLIC, MO (GREENE
            COUNTY) [37.109/-93.481] -- MEASURED 69 MPH
            WIND. 3-4 INCH BRANCHES BROKEN. POWER IS OUT
            IN SOUTHWEST REPUBLIC.

&&

TEO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
636 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0631 PM     FLASH FLOOD      LA RUSSELL              37.14N 94.06W
05/27/2017                   JASPER             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            LOCALIZED ROADWAY FLOODING IN LA RUSSEL
            AREA.

&&

TEO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
640 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 PM     HAIL             2 NNE BATTLEFIELD       37.14N 93.36W
05/27/2017  E0.75 INCH       GREENE             MO   PUBLIC

            PENNY SIZE HAIL.

&&

TEO