Severe Thunderstorm Warning 237, NWS Springfield, MO

419 
WWUS53 KSGF 272350
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
650 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

MOC029-131-272359-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0237.000000T0000Z-170528T0000Z/
Miller MO-Camden MO-
650 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN MILLER AND
SOUTHEASTERN CAMDEN COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 700 PM CDT for central and
southwestern Missouri.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 200 AM CDT for
central and southwestern Missouri.

LAT...LON 3765 9223 3765 9250 3779 9249 3782 9229
TIME...MOT...LOC 2349Z 269DEG 34KT 3769 9238 

$$

MOC105-169-280000-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0237.000000T0000Z-170528T0000Z/
Laclede MO-Pulaski MO-
650 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN LACLEDE AND SOUTHWESTERN PULASKI COUNTIES...

At 649 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 11 miles south of
Richland, or 12 miles west of Fort Leonard Wood, moving east at 40
mph.

HAZARD...Quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Damage to vehicles is expected. 

Locations impacted include...
Western Fort Leonard Wood...      Laquey...

This includes Interstate 44 between mile markers 141 and 152.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 700 PM CDT for central and
southwestern Missouri.

LAT...LON 3765 9223 3765 9250 3779 9249 3782 9229
TIME...MOT...LOC 2349Z 269DEG 34KT 3769 9238 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

Boxell

454 
WWUS53 KSGF 272359
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
659 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

MOC105-169-280009-
/O.EXP.KSGF.SV.W.0237.000000T0000Z-170528T0000Z/
Laclede MO-Pulaski MO-
659 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN LACLEDE AND
SOUTHWESTERN PULASKI COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 700 PM CDT...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore the warning will be allowed to expire.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 700 PM CDT for central and
southwestern Missouri.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 200 AM CDT for
central and southwestern Missouri.

LAT...LON 3765 9223 3765 9250 3779 9249 3782 9229
TIME...MOT...LOC 2359Z 250DEG 30KT 3772 9229 

$$

Boxell

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
350 PM CDT Sat May 27 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 252 PM CDT Sat May 27 2017

Convection has been ongoing across the area for a couple of hours
now. Surface boundary extends from southern Illinois across
southern Missouri to a surface low over north-central Oklahoma.
The environment is extremely unstable with SBCAPE from our 18z
sounding over 5000 J/kg and 0-6km shear at around 50 kts.  This
initial round is starting to become more linear with outflow
pushing the boundary southward.

The second round looks to be developing both in southeast Kansas
and northeast Oklahoma per SPC discussions. Will need to monitor
this closely as models...such as the HRRR...are tending to keep
the convection tied to the surface boundary. If this were to
materialize...would need to monitor for training of cells and
locally heavy rainfall along this east-west boundary.

Surface front will begin to push through the area during the
morning hours on Sunday. Rain should be out of all but south-
central Missouri by Sunday afternoon.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday Night through Saturday)
Issued at 252 PM CDT Sat May 27 2017

The upper level system then remains across the northern Great
Lakes region through Tuesday before an upper level ridge over the
western states begins to push it eastward. This will keep us in
northwest flow for the first half of the forecast period. Monday
and Tuesday should be dry but conditions will become unsettled
from Wednesday on.

By Thursday...an upper level trough begins to move out of the
desert southwest which will once again increase our rain chances.
Temperatures during the period will be at or slightly above
seasonal normals with highs in the 70s and 80s and lows in the 50s
and 60s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday afternoon)
Issued at 1215 PM CDT Sat May 27 2017

Convection has been on the increase the last two hours as the cap
continues to erode across the area. These storms will increase in
coverage and intensity through the afternoon. Expect MVFR
conditions in the vicinity of storms...with the possibility of
strong winds and large hail as well.

Surface front should clear the terminals during the overnight
hours. Once the front clears...winds will veer around to the
northwest and ceilings will drop to MVFR to occasional IFR through
the remainder of the forecast period.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Flash Flood Watch through Sunday morning for MOZ055>058-066>071-
     077>083-088>098-101>106.

KS...Flash Flood Watch through Sunday morning for KSZ073-097-101.

&&

SHORT TERM...Gaede
LONG TERM...Gaede
AVIATION...Gaede

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
424 PM CDT Sat May 27 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-282130-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
424 PM CDT Sat May 27 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Elevated Tornado risk.
  Significant Hail risk.
  Significant Thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated Flooding risk.
  Significant Lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

  Strong to severe storms will continue to impact the Ozarks
  late this afternoon into tonight as very strong instability
  and wind shear remain in place ahead of a surface boundary.

  The potential exists for supercell thunderstorms as storms
  initially begin to develop. If these supercells do form, hail
  up to the size of baseballs, damaging winds, and tornadoes
  will all be possible.

  The storms will eventually become more linear in nature as the
  cold pool develops and will become capable of producing
  widespread damaging wind gusts. Gusts over 75 mph will be
  possible. Tornadoes will also be possible with any portions of
  the line which bow towards the east. This has the potential to
  produce power outages.

  Along with the risk for severe thunderstorms, frequent
  lightning and locally heavy rainfall can be expected. Localized
  flooding of low water crossings will be possible where the
  heavier rainfall occurs. A Flash Flood Watch is in effect
  through 7 AM Sunday. Localized rainfall amounts of up to 4
  inches will be possible if training storms develop.

  Those with outdoor plans tonight are urged to pay close
  attention to the weather and have a plan in place to move to a
  sturdy shelter when severe weather threatens.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

  A few lingering strong to severe storms will impact portions of
  south central Missouri Sunday morning before the system moves
  completely through the region. Large hail and damaging winds
  will be the primary concern.

  The next chance of storms comes towards the end of next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation may be needed in the next three hours for
  the entire area.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Gaede

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
546 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0545 PM     HAIL             1 N CAMDENTON           38.02N 92.74W
05/27/2017  M1.00 INCH       CAMDEN             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            1.00 INCH HAIL OBSERVED BY TRAINED SPOTTER.

&&

TEO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
600 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0545 PM     HAIL             1 WNW WEBB CITY         37.15N 94.50W
05/27/2017  E1.00 INCH       JASPER             MO   ASOS

            ATC REPORTED 1.00 INCH HAIL.

&&

TEO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
607 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0601 PM     HAIL             ROLLA                   37.95N 91.77W
05/27/2017  E0.75 INCH       PHELPS             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DIME SIZE HAIL.

&&

TEO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
608 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0601 PM     HAIL             ASH GROVE               37.32N 93.58W
05/27/2017  E0.75 INCH       GREENE             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ASH GROVE HAS DIME SIZE HAIL.

&&

TEO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
613 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0612 PM     HAIL             HALLTOWN                37.19N 93.63W
05/27/2017  E1.00 INCH       LAWRENCE           MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL IN HALLTOWN.

&&

TEO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
615 PM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0613 PM     HAIL             ROACH                   37.99N 92.84W
05/27/2017  E1.00 INCH       CAMDEN             MO   PUBLIC

            1.00 INCH HAIL NEAR ROACH.

&&

TEO