Severe Thunderstorm Warning 207, NWS Springfield, MO

033 
WWUS53 KSGF 270721
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
221 AM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

MOC213-270731-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0207.000000T0000Z-170527T0745Z/
Taney MO-
221 AM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN TANEY COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 700 AM CDT for
southwestern Missouri.

LAT...LON 3667 9269 3675 9230 3650 9230 3650 9273
      3656 9273
TIME...MOT...LOC 0721Z 265DEG 33KT 3654 9262 

$$

MOC153-270745-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0207.000000T0000Z-170527T0745Z/
Ozark MO-
221 AM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 245 AM CDT
FOR WESTERN OZARK COUNTY...

At 221 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Price Place, or
11 miles north of Bull Shoals, moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Bull Shoals Lake...               Gainesville...
Theodosia...                      Pontiac...
Sundown...                        Hardenville...
Willhoit...                       Isabella...
Zanoni...                         

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If on or near Bull Shoals Lake, get away from the water and move 
indoors or inside a vehicle. Remember, lightning can strike out to 
15 miles from the parent thunderstorm. If you can hear thunder, you 
are close enough to be struck by lightning. Move to safe shelter 
now!  Do not be caught on the water in a thunderstorm.

&&

LAT...LON 3667 9269 3675 9230 3650 9230 3650 9273
      3656 9273
TIME...MOT...LOC 0721Z 265DEG 33KT 3654 9262 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Schaumann

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1137 PM CDT Fri May 26 2017

...06z Aviation Forecast Update...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday Night)
Issued at 207 PM CDT Fri May 26 2017

At early afternoon...a surface front extended from northwest
Missouri across southeast Kansas into a low over northeast
Oklahoma then into the southern Texas Panhandle. Ahead of this
front a very warm and moist air mass was in place. Surface
dewpoints had already climbed to around 70 degrees across eastern
Oklahoma into northwest Arkansas. Low-level water vapor imagery
was indicating that an elevated mixed layer...EML...had made it
into all but the south central Missouri area. In the upper
atmosphere...the main upper level system was located over Manitoba
with another system rotating around the base currently over the
northern Rockies.

The northern end of the front will continue moving eastward
overnight while the southern end lifts slowly northward. Any
convection that may form overnight would be near the MO-AR border
near the periphery of the EML.

This front will then lift northward as a warm front on during
the day Saturday as a surface low develops and moves east along
the front. The air mass in the vicinity of the front will be very
unstable with CAPEs near 4000 J/kg but the atmosphere will also be
initially capped. Once storms do begin to form on Saturday
afternoon...they are expected to quickly become severe.

Storms will initially form as discrete multicell or supercell
storms with large hail being the primary threat. These will
eventually evolve into more linear storms with damaging winds
becoming the primary threat. Given the environment...tornadoes
cannot be ruled out. However...these storms will be more likely as
storms develop near or cross surface boundaries.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 207 PM CDT Fri May 26 2017

As the upper level system moves southeast out of Manitoba into the
Great Lakes region...the front will push eastward with the rain
ending by late Sunday afternoon. Monday actually looks good with
highs temperatures approaching the 80 degree mark. This should
continue into Tuesday.

Mid to late week looks unsettled as the region remains in
northwest flow with surface boundary meandering through the
region. Temperatures should be near to slightly above normal with
highs in the 70s to lower 80s and lows in the upper 50s to the
60s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Saturday night)
Issued at 1104 PM CDT Fri May 26 2017

The main concern for pilots flying in and out over the next 24
hours will be scattered strong convection developing overnight
through about 09z across far southern Missouri. MVFR to VFR
ceilings and visibilities will be bouncing around tonight and
tomorrow. Winds will be light and variable tonight become
southerly and gusty again tomorrow. Pilots need to be mindful of
widespread severe convection developing across the region late
Saturday afternoon and evening mainly between 23z to 04z Saturday.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Gaede
LONG TERM...Gaede
AVIATION...Griffin

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1226 AM CDT Sat May 27 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-280530-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
1226 AM CDT Sat May 27 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited Tornado risk.
  Elevated Hail risk.
  Elevated Thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Limited Flooding risk.
  Significant Lightning risk.
  Limited Excessive heat risk.

DISCUSSION...

  Widely scattered severe thunderstorms will be possible across
  extreme southern Missouri overnight. The primary threat will be
  large hail up to the size of ping pongs and damaging wind gust
  up to 60 mph possible overnight through early Saturday morning.
  There is a very limited chance for an isolated tornado as well.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

  Overall...the best chance for strong to severe storms will
  occur from Saturday afternoon into Saturday night as the cap
  weakens and very strong instability develops ahead of a cold
  front which will move through Saturday night.

  The main risks will be large hail up to the size of baseballs
  and damaging wind in excess of 70 mph. The possibility exists
  for a tornado or two as well.

  With the risk of severe thunderstorms...frequent lightning and
  heavy rainfall will be possible. Localized flooding of low
  water crossings may be possible where the heavier rainfall
  occurs.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation may be needed in the next three hours for
  extreme southern Missouri near the Missouri and Arkansas
  border.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Griffin

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1250 AM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1230 AM     HAIL             3 NW GOLDEN             36.56N 93.69W
05/27/2017  E0.88 INCH       BARRY              MO   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
110 AM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0109 AM     HAIL             1 N BLUE EYE            36.51N 93.40W
05/27/2017  E1.75 INCH       STONE              MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL IN BLUE EYE.

&&

MG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
123 AM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0123 AM     HAIL             RIDGEDALE               36.50N 93.22W
05/27/2017  E1.50 INCH       TANEY              MO   PUBLIC

            PING PONG HAIL AT GAS STATION ON STATE LINE
            AND HIGHWAY 65.

&&

MG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
127 AM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0115 AM     HAIL             3 NW RIDGEDALE          36.54N 93.25W
05/27/2017  E0.88 INCH       TANEY              MO   PUBLIC

            NICKEL SIZE HAIL AT BIG CEDAR LODGE.

&&

MG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
137 AM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1255 AM     HAIL             3 SSW LAMPE             36.52N 93.46W
05/27/2017  E1.75 INCH       STONE              MO   PUBLIC

            GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL REPORTED AT DOGWOOD
            CANYON.

&&

MG

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
150 AM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

MOZ094-095-103-270715-
Lawrence MO-Christian MO-Stone MO-
150 AM CDT SAT MAY 27 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN CHRISTIAN...
NORTHWESTERN STONE AND SOUTHEASTERN LAWRENCE COUNTIES UNTIL 215 AM
CDT...

At 150 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Aurora, moving east at 15 mph.

Nickel size hail will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Aurora...                         Marionville...
Billings...                       Verona...

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 700 AM CDT for
southwestern Missouri.

LAT...LON 3693 9379 3700 9379 3710 9353 3700 9352
      3692 9352
TIME...MOT...LOC 0650Z 252DEG 15KT 3696 9371

Schaumann