Severe Thunderstorm Warning 46, NWS Charleston, WV

908 
WWUS51 KRLX 202150
SVSRLX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
550 PM EDT SAT MAY 20 2017

VAC027-WVC047-059-109-202200-
/O.CON.KRLX.SV.W.0046.000000T0000Z-170520T2200Z/
Buchanan VA-McDowell WV-Mingo WV-Wyoming WV-
550 PM EDT SAT MAY 20 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EDT
FOR NORTH CENTRAL BUCHANAN...NORTHWESTERN MCDOWELL...SOUTHEASTERN
MINGO AND WEST CENTRAL WYOMING COUNTIES...

At 549 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Gilbert Creek,
or 17 miles west of Welch, moving north at 15 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Hanover, R.d. Bailey Lake, Hinch, Gilbert Creek, Gilbert, Iaeger,
Panther, Hampden and Meador.

# 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

Please report Severe Weather to the National Weather Service by
calling toll free, 800 401 9535, when you can do so safely.

You may also report severe weather by posting your report to the
Charleston West Virginia National Weather Service Facebook Page, or
by using the Twitter Hashtag, NWSRLX.

&&

LAT...LON 3749 8204 3754 8197 3753 8201 3755 8204
      3753 8205 3760 8210 3765 8200 3764 8199
      3766 8199 3767 8196 3768 8191 3766 8190
      3768 8187 3766 8185 3767 8183 3766 8182
      3767 8177 3742 8175 3739 8191
TIME...MOT...LOC 2149Z 164DEG 14KT 3752 8189 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

17

856 
WWUS51 KRLX 202158
SVSRLX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
558 PM EDT SAT MAY 20 2017

VAC027-WVC047-059-109-202208-
/O.EXP.KRLX.SV.W.0046.000000T0000Z-170520T2200Z/
Buchanan VA-McDowell WV-Mingo WV-Wyoming WV-
558 PM EDT SAT MAY 20 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL BUCHANAN...
NORTHWESTERN MCDOWELL...SOUTHEASTERN MINGO AND WEST CENTRAL WYOMING
COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 600 PM EDT...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore the warning will be allowed to expire.  However small hail,
gusty winds and heavy rain are still possible with this thunderstorm.

LAT...LON 3749 8204 3754 8197 3753 8201 3755 8204
      3753 8205 3760 8210 3765 8200 3764 8199
      3766 8199 3767 8196 3768 8191 3766 8190
      3768 8187 3766 8185 3767 8183 3766 8182
      3767 8177 3742 8175 3739 8191
TIME...MOT...LOC 2158Z 164DEG 14KT 3755 8190 

$$

17

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Charleston WV
316 PM EDT Sat May 20 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
A frontal boundary over the area will drift slowly the north
late this afternoon and evening, triggering showers and
thunderstorms. A stronger cold front crosses from the west
Sunday and Sunday night. High pressure moves in for Monday and
Monday night.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 305 PM Saturday...

Frontal boundary will lift northward this afternoon and evening.
With a moist airmass in place with afternoon heating will fire
convection just about anywhere over the area. With weak flow
aloft these storms will be slow movers. Any one of these storms
could product upwards of an inch or two. With the saturated
ground across the Southern Coalfields, went ahead an issued FFA
for that area.

Cold front to our west will continue to move eastward overnight
and should be on our doorstep by 12z Sunday. Increased pops as
front approaches. Generally went with a blend of guid for temps
through out.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 305 PM Saturday...
Cold front pushes through Sunday night and exits early Monday
morning. Pwats increase with limited sfc CAPE and deep layered
shear. Therefore, expect an environment conducive to flash
flooding and not severe for Sunday. WPC has most of WV under a
Slight risk for excessive rainfall Sunday. A flash flood watch
may be required.

Behind the front, expect a period of cooler and drier air early
Monday into Tuesday.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 305 PM Saturday...

The chances for rain return by midweek with the next frontal
system. Temperatures will return to a more seasonable level
during this period.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 154 PM Saturday...

VFR conditions will prevail through the early afternoon hours.
Heating along with frontal boundary lifting northward through
the region will fire Showers/TSTMs just about any where over the
area this afternoon and into this evening.  MVFR/IFR cigs and
vsbys in and near those storms. Quickest development will be
along the WV/VA mountains from EKN-BKW line. SHRA/TSTMs should
die down after sunset. Some fog may develop in those areas where
it rained after midnight. Cold front to our west will continue
to move eastward during the day on Sunday and some convection
with this front could be over the area by midday Sunday.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Timing and placement of showers/TSTMs this
afternoon may vary. Also, development and placement of fog may
vary overnight.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT
CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO
AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

UTC 1HRLY       15   16   17   18   19   20   21   22   23   00   01   02
EDT 1HRLY       11   12   13   14   15   16   17   18   19   20   21   22
CRW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    M
HTS CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    M
BKW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    L
EKN CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    M
PKB CONSISTENCY  L    L    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    M
CKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    M

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

UTC 1HRLY       18   19   20   21   22   23   00   01   02   03   04   05
EDT 1HRLY       14   15   16   17   18   19   20   21   22   23   00   01
CRW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    M
HTS CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    M
BKW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    M    M    M    L
EKN CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    M    L
PKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    M
CKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    M

AFTER 18Z SUNDAY...
Isolated IFR possible in fog Sunday and Monday nights, and in
showers and thunderstorms Sunday into Monday.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...Flash Flood Watch until 10 PM EDT this evening for WVZ005-013-
     024>026-033-034-515-516.
OH...None.
KY...Flash Flood Watch until 10 PM EDT this evening for KYZ105.
VA...Flash Flood Watch until 10 PM EDT this evening for VAZ003-004.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JS/JW
NEAR TERM...JS
SHORT TERM...JS/JW
LONG TERM...JS/JW
AVIATION...JS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Charleston WV
327 PM EDT Sat May 20 2017

WVZ006>011-014>020-027>032-039-040-517>526-211930-
Cabell-Mason-Jackson WV-Wood-Pleasants-Tyler-Putnam-Kanawha-Roane-
Wirt-Calhoun-Ritchie-Doddridge-Clay-Braxton-Gilmer-Lewis-Harrison-
Taylor-Upshur-Barbour-Northwest Fayette-Southeast Fayette-
Northwest Nicholas-Southeast Nicholas-Northwest Webster-
Southeast Webster-Northwest Pocahontas-Southeast Pocahontas-
Northwest Randolph-Southeast Randolph-
327 PM EDT Sat May 20 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central West
Virginia, northeast West Virginia, northern West Virginia,
southeast West Virginia, southern West Virginia and western West
Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Numerous showers and storms could produce very heavy rainfall on
Sunday. The area is under a Slight Risk for Excessive Rainfall.
Flash flood watch may be required.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

KYZ101>103-OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-211930-
Greenup-Carter-Boyd-Perry-Morgan-Athens-Washington-Jackson OH-Vinton-
Meigs-Gallia-Lawrence OH-
327 PM EDT Sat May 20 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northeast
Kentucky and southeast Ohio.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

A cold front will bring copious rainfall to the area on Sunday. The
area is under a marginal risk for excessive rainfall on Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

KYZ105-VAZ003-004-WVZ005-013-024>026-033-034-515-516-211930-
Lawrence KY-Dickenson-Buchanan-Wayne-Lincoln-Mingo-Logan-Boone-
McDowell-Wyoming-Northwest Raleigh-Southeast Raleigh-
327 PM EDT Sat May 20 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northeast
Kentucky, southwest Virginia, and portions of southeast West
Virginia, southern West Virginia and western West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Numerous showers and storms could produce very heavy rainfall on
Sunday. The area is under a Slight Risk for Excessive Rainfall.
Flash flood watch may be required.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
432 PM EDT SAT MAY 20 2017

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ087-WVZ005-202115-
Boyd-Greenup-Carter-Lawrence-Lawrence-Wayne-
432 PM EDT SAT MAY 20 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT BOYD...NORTH CENTRAL LAWRENCE...
SOUTHEASTERN GREENUP...SOUTHEASTERN CARTER...SOUTHWESTERN LAWRENCE
AND NORTHWESTERN WAYNE COUNTIES...

At 432 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Rush, or 8
miles south of Cannonsburg, moving north at 20 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and nickel size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Ashland, Ironton, Coal Grove, Cannonsburg, Kenova, Catlettsburg,
Ceredo, Princess, Coalton, Denton, Naples, Rush, Durbin, Flatwoods,
South Point, Russell, Raceland, Worthington, Burlington and Wurtland.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 Interstate 64 in Kentucky between mile markers 177 and 191.
 Interstate 64 in West Virginia between mile markers 1 and 3.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

LAT...LON 3858 8280 3858 8279 3849 8247 3815 8268
      3822 8290
TIME...MOT...LOC 2032Z 199DEG 15KT 3827 8276

17

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
446 PM EDT SAT MAY 20 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0435 PM     FLASH FLOOD      DUNMORE                 38.35N  79.88W
05/20/2017                   POCAHONTAS         WV   911 CALL CENTER

            MINOR FLOODING ALONG ROUTE 28 IN DUNMORE

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1700424

SL

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
500 PM EDT SAT MAY 20 2017

OHZ087-WVZ005-006-202130-
Lawrence-Wayne-Cabell-
500 PM EDT SAT MAY 20 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN LAWRENCE...CABELL
AND NORTHEASTERN WAYNE COUNTIES...

At 500 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Beech Fork
State Park, moving north at 15 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Huntington, Chesapeake, Proctorville, Beech Fork State Park,
Barboursville, Ceredo, Ona, Burlington, Athalia, Lavalette, Scottown,
Salt Rock, Pea Ridge and Green Bottom.

This includes Interstate 64 in West Virginia between mile markers 4
and 24.

LAT...LON 3827 8224 3832 8255 3859 8251 3853 8213
TIME...MOT...LOC 2100Z 193DEG 15KT 3835 8236

17

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
511 PM EDT SAT MAY 20 2017

VAZ004-WVZ024-033-034-515-202145-
Buchanan-Wyoming-Northwest Raleigh-McDowell-Mingo-
511 PM EDT SAT MAY 20 2017

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN
BUCHANAN...MCDOWELL...SOUTHEASTERN MINGO...SOUTH CENTRAL RALEIGH AND
WYOMING COUNTIES...

At 511 PM EDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located
along a line extending from 8 miles northwest of War to Northfork.
Movement was north at 15 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and dime size hail are possible with these
storms.

Locations impacted include...
Welch, Pineville, Mullens, Sophia, Gary, Northfork, Hanover, R.d.
Bailey Lake, Gilbert Creek, Twin Falls State Park, Gilbert, Davy,
Bradshaw, Iaeger, Keystone, Kimball, Rhodell, Jolo, Coalwood and
Avondale.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may
cause localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

LAT...LON 3752 8199 3754 8197 3754 8199 3758 8201
      3772 8126 3741 8132 3739 8133 3728 8189
TIME...MOT...LOC 2111Z 175DEG 13KT 3737 8181 3744 8142

17

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
513 PM EDT SAT MAY 20 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0440 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 W RUSH                38.33N  82.80W
05/20/2017                   CARTER             KY   911 CALL CENTER

            CARTER COUNTY 911 REPORTS FLOODING ALONG STATE HIGHWAY
            1654 IN THE RUSH AREA.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1700425

SL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
515 PM EDT SAT MAY 20 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0445 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 SW COALTON            38.37N  82.79W
05/20/2017                   BOYD               KY   911 CALL CENTER

            FLOODING REPORTED ALONG OLD ROUTE 60 ALONG THE BOYD AND
            CARTER COUNTY LINES

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1700426

SL