Alert archive / Colorado / Flash Flood Watches in 2017
Flash Flood Watch 8, NWS Pueblo, CO
NWS Pueblo, CO issued this flash flood watch at Jul 30, 2017, 3:01 AM MDT for 18 counties in Colorado. It took effect at Jul 30, 2017, 12:00 PM MDT. It was in force for 15 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 30, 2017, 3:01 AM MDT (09:01 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jul 30, 2017, 12:00 PM MDT
- Expired
- Jul 31, 2017, 2:43 AM MDT
- In force
- 15 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Pueblo, CO
Counties Alamosa County, CO, Baca County, CO, Bent County, CO, Chaffee County, CO, Costilla County, CO, Crowley County, CO, Custer County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Fremont County, CO, Huerfano County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Lake County, CO, Las Animas County, CO, Otero County, CO, Prowers County, CO, Pueblo County, CO, Saguache County, CO, Teller County, CO
The radar
The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 51 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Denver, CO (KDEN), launched 00:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 226 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2202 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 16 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -13 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 41 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
457 WGUS65 KPUB 300901 FFAPUB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Flood Watch National Weather Service Pueblo CO 301 AM MDT Sun Jul 30 2017 ...Flash flood threat diminishing this morning but will increase again this afternoon and evening... .Monsoon moisture combined with an upper level disturbance over the area will result in another round of showers and thunderstorms across southern Colorado. With the ground already saturated from several rounds of rainfall over recent days, flash flooding will once again become a threat this afternoon and evening across the central and southeast mountains and all of the southeast plains. Burn scars in the mountains will continue to be very vulnerable to flash flooding. The threat for flash flooding on the plains will continue into the overnight hours, particularly south of highway 50. COZ060>063-072>089-093>099-301715- /O.EXP.KPUB.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-170730T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KPUB.FF.A.0008.170730T1800Z-170731T0900Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Eastern Sawatch Mountains above 11000 Ft- Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Ft- Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Ft- Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County above 9000Ft- Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Ft- Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains above 11000 Ft- Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Ft- Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Ft- Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500Ft- Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Ft- Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Ft- Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000Ft- Wet Mountains above 10000 Ft- Teller County/Rampart Range above 7500fT/Pike's Peak Between 7500 And 11000 Ft-Pikes Peak above 11000 Ft- Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County- Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below 7500 Ft- Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below 7400 Ft-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet- Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Ft- Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Ft- Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County- Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County- Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County- Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County- Including the cities of Bonanza, Alpine, Granite, St Elmo, Salida, Buena Vista, La Veta Pass, Poncha Pass, Blanca Peak, Cuchara, Stonewall, Weston, Spanish Peaks, Coaldale, Cotopaxi, Hillside, Howard, Swissvale, Texas Creek, Silver Cliff, Westcliffe, Rye, Woodland Park, Pikes Peak, Canon City, Penrose, Black Forest, Colorado Springs, Peterson AFB, Pueblo, Walsenburg, Trinidad, Ordway, Olney Springs, La Junta, Rocky Ford, Branson, Kim, Eads, Sheridan Lake, Las Animas, Lamar, Springfield, and Walsh 301 AM MDT Sun Jul 30 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON MDT TODAY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL EXPIRE AT 3 AM MDT EARLY THIS MORNING... The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a * Flash Flood Watch for portions of central Colorado, east central Colorado, and southeast Colorado, including the following areas, in central Colorado, Eastern Sawatch Range, Fremont County, Mosquito Range, Teller County and the Rampart Range, and Upper Arkansas River Valley. In east central Colorado, El Paso County. In southeast Colorado, Baca County, Bent County, Crowley County, Eastern Kiowa County, Eastern Las Animas County, Huerfano County, Northern Sangre De Cristo Mountains, Otero County, Prowers County, Pueblo County, Southern Sangre De Cristo Mountains, Western Kiowa County, Western Las Animas County, Wet Mountain Valley, and Wet Mountains. * From noon MDT today through late tonight * Monsoon moisture and an upper level disturbance will result in another round of thunderstorms capable of producing heavy rain over and near the mountains. Thunderstorms will spread eastward and persist into the overnight hours across the southeast plains, particularly to the south of highway 50. * Mud, ash and debris flows will be possible in and near burn scars should heavy rainfall impact these areas again today. Quick runoff from heavy rains could result in flooded roadways, creeks and drainages with low water crossings particularly vulnerable to flash flooding. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. $$ COZ058-059-301015- /O.EXP.KPUB.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-170730T0900Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Ft- Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Ft- Including the cities of Climax and Leadville 301 AM MDT Sun Jul 30 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL EXPIRE AT 3 AM MDT EARLY THIS MORNING... The Flash Flood Watch for a portion of central Colorado will expire at 3 AM MDT early this morning. The threat for flash flooding has ended early this morning and the primary focus for heavy rainfall today will be south of the area. Therefore the flash flood watch for most of Lake county has been allowed to expire. $$
5 follow-up statements
542 WGUS65 KPUB 301246 FFAPUB Flood Watch National Weather Service Pueblo CO 646 AM MDT Sun Jul 30 2017 ...Flash flood threat will increase again this afternoon and evening... .Monsoon moisture combined with an upper level disturbance over the area will result in another round of showers and thunderstorms across southern Colorado. With the ground already saturated from several rounds of rainfall over recent days, flash flooding will once again become a threat this afternoon and evening across the central and southeast mountains and all of the southeast plains. Burn scars in the mountains will continue to be very vulnerable to flash flooding. The threat for flash flooding on the plains will continue into the overnight hours, particularly south of highway 50. COZ060>063-072>089-093>099-302100- /O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0008.170730T1800Z-170731T0900Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Eastern Sawatch Mountains above 11000 Ft- Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Ft- Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Ft- Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County above 9000Ft- Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Ft- Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains above 11000 Ft- Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Ft- Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Ft- Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500Ft- Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Ft- Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Ft- Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000Ft- Wet Mountains above 10000 Ft- Teller County/Rampart Range above 7500fT/Pike's Peak Between 7500 And 11000 Ft-Pikes Peak above 11000 Ft- Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County- Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below 7500 Ft- Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below 7400 Ft-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet- Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Ft- Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Ft- Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County- Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County- Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County- Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County- Including the cities of Bonanza, Alpine, Granite, St Elmo, Salida, Buena Vista, La Veta Pass, Poncha Pass, Blanca Peak, Cuchara, Stonewall, Weston, Spanish Peaks, Coaldale, Cotopaxi, Hillside, Howard, Swissvale, Texas Creek, Silver Cliff, Westcliffe, Rye, Woodland Park, Pikes Peak, Canon City, Penrose, Black Forest, Colorado Springs, Peterson AFB, Pueblo, Walsenburg, Trinidad, Ordway, Olney Springs, La Junta, Rocky Ford, Branson, Kim, Eads, Sheridan Lake, Las Animas, Lamar, Springfield, and Walsh 646 AM MDT Sun Jul 30 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MDT TODAY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... The Flash Flood Watch continues for * Portions of central Colorado, east central Colorado, and southeast Colorado, including the following areas, in central Colorado, Eastern Sawatch Range, Fremont County, Mosquito Range, Teller County and the Rampart Range, and Upper Arkansas River Valley. In east central Colorado, El Paso County. In southeast Colorado, Baca County, Bent County, Crowley County, Eastern Kiowa County, Eastern Las Animas County, Huerfano County, Northern Sangre De Cristo Mountains, Otero County, Prowers County, Pueblo County, Southern Sangre De Cristo Mountains, Western Kiowa County, Western Las Animas County, Wet Mountain Valley, and Wet Mountains. * From noon MDT today through late tonight * Monsoon moisture and an upper level disturbance will result in another round of thunderstorms capable of producing heavy rain over and near the mountains. Thunderstorms will spread eastward and persist into the overnight hours across the southeast plains, particularly to the south of highway 50. * Mud, ash and debris flows will be possible in and near burn scars should heavy rainfall impact these areas again today. Quick runoff from heavy rains elsewhere could result in flooded roadways, creeks and drainages with low water crossings particularly vulnerable to flash flooding. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. $$
372 WGUS65 KPUB 301713 FFAPUB Flood Watch National Weather Service Pueblo CO 1113 AM MDT Sun Jul 30 2017 ...Flash flood risk will increase again this afternoon and evening... .Monsoon moisture combined with an upper level disturbance over the area will result in another round of showers and thunderstorms across southern Colorado. With the ground already saturated from several rounds of rainfall over recent days, flash flooding will once again become a high risk this afternoon and evening across the central and southeast mountains and all of the southeast plains. Burn scars in the mountains will continue to be very vulnerable to flash flooding. The risk for flash flooding on the plains will continue into the overnight hours, particularly south of highway 50. COZ060>063-072>089-093>099-310115- /O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0008.170730T1800Z-170731T0900Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Eastern Sawatch Mountains above 11000 Ft- Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Ft- Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Ft- Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County above 9000Ft- Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Ft- Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains above 11000 Ft- Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Ft- Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Ft- Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500Ft- Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Ft- Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Ft- Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000Ft- Wet Mountains above 10000 Ft- Teller County/Rampart Range above 7500fT/Pike's Peak Between 7500 And 11000 Ft-Pikes Peak above 11000 Ft- Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County- Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below 7500 Ft- Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below 7400 Ft-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet- Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Ft- Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Ft- Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County- Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County- Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County- Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County- Including the cities of Bonanza, Alpine, Granite, St Elmo, Salida, Buena Vista, La Veta Pass, Poncha Pass, Blanca Peak, Cuchara, Stonewall, Weston, Spanish Peaks, Coaldale, Cotopaxi, Hillside, Howard, Swissvale, Texas Creek, Silver Cliff, Westcliffe, Rye, Woodland Park, Pikes Peak, Canon City, Penrose, Black Forest, Colorado Springs, Peterson AFB, Pueblo, Walsenburg, Trinidad, Ordway, Olney Springs, La Junta, Rocky Ford, Branson, Kim, Eads, Sheridan Lake, Las Animas, Lamar, Springfield, and Walsh 1113 AM MDT Sun Jul 30 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... The Flash Flood Watch continues for * Portions of central Colorado, east central Colorado, and southeast Colorado, including the following areas, in central Colorado, Eastern Sawatch Range, Fremont County, Mosquito Range, Teller County and the Rampart Range, and Upper Arkansas River Valley. In east central Colorado, El Paso County. In southeast Colorado, Baca County, Bent County, Crowley County, Eastern Kiowa County, Eastern Las Animas County, Huerfano County, Northern Sangre De Cristo Mountains, Otero County, Prowers County, Pueblo County, Southern Sangre De Cristo Mountains, Western Kiowa County, Western Las Animas County, Wet Mountain Valley, and Wet Mountains. * Through late tonight * Monsoon moisture and an upper level disturbance will result in another round of thunderstorms capable of producing heavy rain over and near the mountains. Thunderstorms will spread eastward and persist into the overnight hours across the southeast plains, particularly to the south of highway 50. * Mud, ash and debris flows will be possible across and near burn scars if heavy rainfall impacts these areas again today. Quick runoff from heavy rains elsewhere could result in flooded roadways, creeks and drainages. Be especially cautious at low water crossings. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. $$
892 WGUS65 KPUB 302109 FFAPUB Flood Watch National Weather Service Pueblo CO 309 PM MDT Sun Jul 30 2017 ...Flash flood risk will increase again this afternoon and evening... .Monsoon moisture combined with a weather disturbance will result in another round of showers and thunderstorms across southern Colorado. With the ground already saturated from several rounds of rainfall over recent days, flash flooding will once again become a risk late afternoon and evening across the central and southeast mountains and all of the southeast plains. Burn scars in the mountains will continue to be very vulnerable to flash flooding. The risk for flash flooding on the plains may continue into the overnight hours, particularly south of highway 50. COZ060>063-072>089-093>099-310515- /O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0008.000000T0000Z-170731T0900Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Eastern Sawatch Mountains above 11000 Ft- Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Ft- Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Ft- Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County above 9000Ft- Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Ft- Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains above 11000 Ft- Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Ft- Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Ft- Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500Ft- Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Ft- Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Ft- Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000Ft- Wet Mountains above 10000 Ft- Teller County/Rampart Range above 7500fT/Pike's Peak Between 7500 And 11000 Ft-Pikes Peak above 11000 Ft- Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County- Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below 7500 Ft- Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below 7400 Ft-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet- Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Ft- Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Ft- Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County- Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County- Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County- Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County- Including the cities of Bonanza, Alpine, Granite, St Elmo, Salida, Buena Vista, La Veta Pass, Poncha Pass, Blanca Peak, Cuchara, Stonewall, Weston, Spanish Peaks, Coaldale, Cotopaxi, Hillside, Howard, Swissvale, Texas Creek, Silver Cliff, Westcliffe, Rye, Woodland Park, Pikes Peak, Canon City, Penrose, Black Forest, Colorado Springs, Peterson AFB, Pueblo, Walsenburg, Trinidad, Ordway, Olney Springs, La Junta, Rocky Ford, Branson, Kim, Eads, Sheridan Lake, Las Animas, Lamar, Springfield, and Walsh 309 PM MDT Sun Jul 30 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... The Flash Flood Watch continues for * Portions of central Colorado, east central Colorado, and southeast Colorado, including the following areas, in central Colorado, Eastern Sawatch Range, Fremont County, Mosquito Range, Teller County and the Rampart Range, and Upper Arkansas River Valley. In east central Colorado, El Paso County. In southeast Colorado, Baca County, Bent County, Crowley County, Eastern Kiowa County, Eastern Las Animas County, Huerfano County, Northern Sangre De Cristo Mountains, Otero County, Prowers County, Pueblo County, Southern Sangre De Cristo Mountains, Western Kiowa County, Western Las Animas County, Wet Mountain Valley, and Wet Mountains. * Through late tonight * Monsoon moisture and an upper level disturbance will result in another round of thunderstorms capable of producing heavy rain across and near the mountains. Thunderstorms will spread eastward and may persist into the overnight hours across the southeast plains, particularly to the south of highway 50. * Mud, ash and debris flows will be possible across and near burn scars if heavy rainfall impacts these areas again. Quick runoff from heavy rains elsewhere could result in flooded roadways, creeks and drainages. Be especially cautious at low water crossings. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. $$
639 WGUS65 KPUB 310209 FFAPUB Flood Watch National Weather Service Pueblo CO 809 PM MDT Sun Jul 30 2017 ...Flash flood risk continues for the far eastern plains... .Heavy rain will still be a threat over the far eastern plains into the early morning hours. COZ060>063-072>088-310315- /O.CAN.KPUB.FF.A.0008.000000T0000Z-170731T0900Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Eastern Sawatch Mountains above 11000 Ft- Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Ft- Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Ft- Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County above 9000Ft- Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Ft- Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains above 11000 Ft- Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Ft- Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Ft- Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500Ft- Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Ft- Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Ft- Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000Ft- Wet Mountains above 10000 Ft- Teller County/Rampart Range above 7500fT/Pike's Peak Between 7500 And 11000 Ft-Pikes Peak above 11000 Ft- Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County- Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below 7500 Ft- Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below 7400 Ft-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet- Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Ft- Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Ft- Including the cities of Bonanza, Alpine, Granite, St Elmo, Salida, Buena Vista, La Veta Pass, Poncha Pass, Blanca Peak, Cuchara, Stonewall, Weston, Spanish Peaks, Coaldale, Cotopaxi, Hillside, Howard, Swissvale, Texas Creek, Silver Cliff, Westcliffe, Rye, Woodland Park, Pikes Peak, Canon City, Penrose, Black Forest, Colorado Springs, Peterson AFB, Pueblo, Walsenburg, and Trinidad 809 PM MDT Sun Jul 30 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... The Flash Flood Watch for portions of central Colorado, east central Colorado, and southeast Colorado has been cancelled. The threat of heavy rain for this region has decreased. It is still possible isolated showers and thunderstorms could affect the region this evening. $$ COZ089-093>099-310900- /O.CON.KPUB.FF.A.0008.000000T0000Z-170731T0900Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County- Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County- Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County- Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County- Including the cities of Ordway, Olney Springs, La Junta, Rocky Ford, Branson, Kim, Eads, Sheridan Lake, Las Animas, Lamar, Springfield, and Walsh 809 PM MDT Sun Jul 30 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM MDT MONDAY... The Flash Flood Watch continues for * A portion of southeast Colorado, including the following areas, Baca County, Bent County, Crowley County, Eastern Kiowa County, Eastern Las Animas County, Otero County, Prowers County, and Western Kiowa County. * Until 3 AM MDT Monday * Monsoon moisture will allow thunderstorms to produce heavy rain into the early morning hours over far southeastern Colorado. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. $$ Hodanish
647 WGUS65 KPUB 310843 FFAPUB Flood Watch National Weather Service Pueblo CO 243 AM MDT Mon Jul 31 2017 ...Heavy rain is no longer expected across southern Colorado tonight... .The threat for heavy rainfall and flash flooding has ended across southern Colorado tonight. COZ089-093>099-310945- /O.CAN.KPUB.FF.A.0008.000000T0000Z-170731T0900Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County- Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County- Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County- Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County- Including the cities of Ordway, Olney Springs, La Junta, Rocky Ford, Branson, Kim, Eads, Sheridan Lake, Las Animas, Lamar, Springfield, and Walsh 243 AM MDT Mon Jul 31 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... The Flash Flood Watch for a portion of southeast Colorado has been cancelled. Isolated thunderstorms will continue across the far eastern plains into early Monday morning, however the threat for flash flooding has ended. Therefore the flash flood watch has been cancelled. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Jul 29, 11:49 PM MDT, 3 hours 12 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 29, 11:49 PM MDT, 3 hours 12 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pueblo CO 1149 PM MDT Sat Jul 29 2017 .SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday) Issued at 323 PM MDT Sat Jul 29 2017 ...Flash Flood risk continues through late tonight... Flash Flood Watch continues till 3 am. TWP analysis indicates precipitable water values around 150 percent of normal across much of the area. Water vapor satellite imagery show deeper monsoon moisture across western and northern Colorado, with some drying at mid and upper levels. But that only allows more sun and surface heating to work on low level moisture, which generated showers and storms by early afternoon. Been watching a swirl in the visible cloud imagery across southwest Colorado which has remained quasi- stationary, providing some lift for storm development. Tonight, models are hinting at surface low somewhere across Raton Ridge and/or southeast Colorado with boundary setting up. Where low/boundary sets up will determine where the focus for MCS development and heavy rain potential occurs. MCS varies from Kiowa County to Baca County. With that uncertainty, best to broad brush the Flash Flood Watch, as has already been done. As surface winds take on a more easterly component later this afternoon and evening, shear values will increase some and a couple marginally severe storms will be possible across the plains through this evening, with CAPE values above 1000 j/kg. Turning to the west, again, water vapor satellite imagery shows some drier air aloft which could cut down on coverage of showers and storms. But low level moisture is in place, so showers and storms with still occur. Burn scars will be susceptible to flash flooding through this evening, as well as areas with saturated ground. Sunday, monsoon moisture still in place in lower levels, but boundary may be farther south in New Mexico and Panhandle area. If that occurs, focus for heavy rain would be south of CWA. Still, showers and storms will initiate across the higher terrain first, then migrate into the plains. Risk for flash flooding still present, especially across urban areas, burn scars, and areas that get heavy rain today and tonight. At this time the risk for severe storms is still present, with CAPE values above 1000 j/kg across parts of the plains and I-25 corridor. .LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Saturday) Issued at 323 PM MDT Sat Jul 29 2017 Sunday night-Monday night...Upper high across the southern Rockies progged to build north and west into the Desert Southwest and Great Basin, with mid level flow becoming more northerly across Colorado through the day Monday. Latest models support a minor upper level jet core lifting out across the Rockies Sunday night and Monday, with the NAM and the GFS a tad faster with the its associated front moving across the eastern Colorado than the EC. The NAM and GFS solutions keep the plains too stable for convection on late Sunday night and through the day Monday, whereas the EC indicates better chances across the plains through early Monday morning, with cool upslope flow expected Monday afternoon and evening. At any rate, monsoonal moisture circulating back into south central Colorado will keep numerous storms in the forecast for areas over and near the higher terrain Sunday night, with another round of storms expected Monday afternoon and evening. Storms will be moving a tad faster than the past few days, however, with the more northerly steering flow aloft, could see storms training across the higher terrain, with the flash flooding threat remaining high for area burn scars and areas with already saturated soils from previous heavy rains. Models keep the upper high Desert SW and Great Basin through the end of the next week, with more north to northwest flow aloft expected across the region, as a broad upper trough carves out across the central CONUS. This will lead to a slow warming and drying trend, especially across the eastern plains, as drier air slowly works into the region within the northerly flow aloft. However, the increased flow aloft will lead to better chances of strong to severe storms across the area, especially on Thursday, with models suggesting a another cold front moving across the eastern plains. Time will tell. && .AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night) Issued at 1149 PM MDT Sat Jul 29 2017 As the monsoon continues, the KALS, KCOS and KPUB will have the potential of experiencing periods of showers and thunderstorms, the most intense of which will be capable of producing MVFR to IFR conditions at times during the next 24 hours. && .PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Flash Flood Watch until 3 AM MDT Sunday for COZ058>063-072>089- 093>099. &&
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 29, 12:18 PM MDT, 14 hours 43 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Pueblo CO 1218 PM MDT Sat Jul 29 2017 COZ058>089-093>099-301830- Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Ft- Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Ft- Eastern Sawatch Mountains above 11000 Ft- Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Ft- Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Ft- Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County above 9000Ft- Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Ft- Saguache County East of Continental Divide below 10000 Ft- La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Ft- Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below 10000 Ft- Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Ft- Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Ft- Alamosa Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Ft- Southern San Luis Valley- Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Ft- Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains above 11000 Ft- Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Ft- Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Ft- Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500Ft- Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Ft- Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Ft- Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000Ft- Wet Mountains above 10000 Ft- Teller County/Rampart Range above 7500fT/Pike's Peak Between 7500 And 11000 Ft-Pikes Peak above 11000 Ft- Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County- Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below 7500 Ft- Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below 7400 Ft-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet- Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Ft- Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Ft- Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County- Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County- Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County- Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County- 1218 PM MDT Sat Jul 29 2017 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east central...south central and southeast Colorado. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will develop across the mountains this afternoon then spread eastward across the southeast plains late this afternoon through this evening. A few storms across the southeast plains could become severe producing hail around 1 inch in diameter or larger, and wind gust over 60 mph. Thunderstorms will congeal into a large cluster across the southeast plains this evening which will move slowly eastward into KS during the overnight hours. The primary thunderstorm risk across much of southern CO through tonight will be heavy rainfall and flash flooding, particularly where ground conditions are already saturated by recent heavy rains. Burn scars will also be susceptible to flash flooding through this evening, and heavy rainfall in steep terrain could cause rock slides and rapid flooding of streams and creeks. Cloud to ground lightning will also be a risk with thunderstorms through tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday Scattered to numerous afternoon into evening showers and thunderstorms are anticipated into Monday. The primary thunderstorm threats during this time-frame will be heavy rainfall capable of producing localized flash flooding, hazardous lightning, hail generally under the size of dimes and wind gusts around 50 mph at times. Then, generally isolated to scattered shower and thunderstorms, favoring higher terrain locations, should be noted from Tuesday into Friday. The more intense storms during this time frame will be capable of producing heavy rain and localized flash flooding, hazardous lightning, small hail and gusty winds. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will be likely this afternoon through tonight across much of south central and southeast Colorado. 13/13
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jul 29, 9:50 PM MDT, 5 hours 11 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
950 PM MDT SAT JUL 29 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0949 PM HEAVY RAIN 7 NW SAN ISABEL 38.06N 105.14W
07/29/2017 M1.06 INCH CUSTER CO TRAINED SPOTTER
STORM TOTAL TODAY.
&&Local storm report, Jul 29, 10:37 PM MDT, 4 hours 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1037 PM MDT SAT JUL 29 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1035 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 SW PETERSON AFB 38.79N 104.73W
07/29/2017 M0.60 INCH EL PASO CO TRAINED SPOTTER
30-MIN TOTAL, AND STILL COMING DOWN.
&&The office that day
Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 6:16 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | PUB | Pueblo | 119 min |
| Jul 29, 6:22 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | Bent | 23 min |
| Jul 29, 6:33 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | PUB | Fremont, Pueblo | 3 hr |
| Jul 29, 6:39 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | PUB | Custer, Pueblo | 3 hr |
| Jul 29, 7:11 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | Baca | 49 min |
| Jul 29, 7:25 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | Bent | 35 min |
| Jul 29, 7:35 PM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | PUB | El Paso, Pueblo | 3 hr |
| Jul 29, 7:55 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | PUB | Custer, Fremont | 3 hr |
| Jul 29, 8:12 PM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | PUB | Baca | 2 hr |
| Jul 29, 10:11 PM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | PUB | Bent, Crowley, Kiowa, Otero | 3 hr |
| Jul 29, 10:50 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | PUB | Las Animas | 115 min |
| Jul 30, 2:56 PM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | PUB | Huerfano, Las Animas | 2 hr |
| Jul 30, 3:27 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | Crowley | 48 min |
| Jul 30, 3:34 PM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | PUB | Pueblo | 116 min |
| Jul 30, 3:55 PM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | PUB | Pueblo | 2 hr |
| Jul 30, 4:11 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | El Paso | 34 min |
| Jul 30, 4:15 PM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | PUB | El Paso, Fremont, Pueblo, Teller | 2 hr |
| Jul 30, 4:31 PM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | PUB | El Paso | 119 min |
| Jul 30, 4:54 PM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | PUB | Custer, Fremont | 3 hr |
| Jul 30, 5:05 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | 25 min | |
| Jul 30, 5:19 PM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | PUB | Las Animas | 116 min |
Nearby
Flash Flood Watches in Colorado, 2017Every flash flood watch in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.