Alert archive / Wisconsin / Special Weather Statements in 2017

Special Weather Statement, NWS Milwaukee, WI

July 20, 2017Sauk County, Wisconsin

NWS Milwaukee, WI issued this special weather statement at Jul 20, 2017, 1:50 AM CDT for Sauk County, Wisconsin. It was in force for 55 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 20, 2017, 1:50 AM CDT (06:50 UTC)
Expired
Jul 20, 2017, 2:45 AM CDT
In force
55 min
Issued by
NWS Milwaukee, WI

County Sauk County, WI

The radar

The Milwaukee radar (KMKX), 118 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 00:00Z, 6.8 hours before the alert went out and 188 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2017-07-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1032 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2017-07-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 6 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1032 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-76 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1506 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
6 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
102 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Milwaukee, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 19, 3:14 PM CDT, 10 hours 36 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 19, 3:14 PM CDT, 10 hours 36 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
314 PM CDT Wed Jul 19 2017

.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Thursday

MCS roaring through MN this afternoon with a path taking it
towards southern WI riding along a boundary that stretches just
south of the area or at least running through southwest or
southern WI. Huge dewpoint gradient exists at this time with upper
50s in Sheboygan to lower and mid 70s just south and west of
Madison. MCS will pack a punch most likely with damaging winds and
heavy rainfall possible...to pin point an exact track is still
iffy but it looks like the area will be impacted by this
convective system. Another less likely issue will be behind the
system...possible that strong low level jet perpendicular to the
boundary may help to produce some training cells that could drop
heavy rainfall of a narrow area. Much to watch tonight!

Thursday should see a period of dry conditions with some clouds
lingering...small chance that a few afternoon/evening showers or
thunderstorms could develop. Warm and humid conditions continue.

.LONG TERM...Friday through Tuesday

Friday begins a second punch of possible heavy rainfall with
showers and thunderstorms possible through the day. the set-up is
ripe for heavy rainfall with solid dynamics and High PWATS. would
be possible for some to see 2 to 3 inches of rain on Friday.
Slight risk for severe storms on that day...but with many areas
very wet at this time flooding concerns are the main threat
especially for those hit so hard last week. Temps hanging in the
lower 80s for highs.

Over the weekend the chances for showers and thunderstorms are
lesser on Sunday than Saturday. Warmer temps on Sat with mid 80s
and just a bot cooler on Sunday with temps barely hitting 80.
After the weekend mainly dry and pleasant late July conditions
look to continue to start next week with highs in the mid to upper
70s and dewpoints in the 50s.

&&

.AVIATION(18Z TAFS)...
Multiple concerns for the TAF period...stratocu lifting across
much of Southern WI is the first concern...no so much at MKE or
UES...but elsewhere an issue for a few more hours at least. The
second concern is the huge thunderstorm complex nearing the MN/IA
border from SD...it should continue to move south and east towards
the region overnight into the area. Timing will be an issue and
it may be earlier than forecast...but it should be expected and
will have the possible impact of strong gusty winds at times and
low visibility and ceilings when it impacts the region. Finally
the last concern will be wind shear overnight...significant low
level jet will be present and linger through the early morning
hours of Thursday. Outside of this light to modest winds and
mainly VFR conditions.

&&

.MARINE...
Clouds have lifted from this morning with mainly clear
skies...light winds from the northeast or east will continue.
waves should be very modest at best with the only real concern
the possible shot of thunderstorms from the system moving across
MN at this time. After that threat passes by early morning...light
winds and modest wave action will continue through the day
Thursday.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...None.
LM...None.
&&

Tonight/Thursday and Aviation/Marine...ABS
Thursday Night through Wednesday...ABS
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 20, 1:00 AM CDT, 50 minutes before
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In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 19, 10:53 PM CDT, 2 hours 57 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 20, 12:21 AM CDT, 1 hour 29 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 20, 12:26 AM CDT, 1 hour 24 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 20, 12:31 AM CDT, 1 hour 19 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 20, 12:40 AM CDT, 1 hour 10 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 20, 1:50 AM CDT, 0 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Milwaukee, WI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 19, 7:01 PM CDTTornado WarningMKXIowa, Sauk29 min
Jul 19, 7:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXDane, Green, Rock80 min
Jul 19, 7:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXColumbia, Sauk81 min
Jul 19, 7:34 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMKXGreen Lake, Marquette26 min
Jul 19, 7:48 PM CDTTornado WarningMKXDane, Green, Rock42 min
Jul 19, 7:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXJefferson, Rock, Walworth67 min
Jul 19, 8:28 PM CDTSpecial Marine WarningMKX2 hr
Jul 19, 8:29 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMKXDodge, Fond du Lac, Green Lake, Washington31 min
Jul 19, 8:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXKenosha, Racine, Walworth26 min
Jul 19, 8:40 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMKXMilwaukee, Waukesha2 hr
Jul 19, 9:02 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMKXKenosha58 min
Jul 19, 9:16 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMKXColumbia, Dane, Dodge44 min
Jul 19, 9:32 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMKXDane118 min
Jul 19, 10:03 PM CDTSpecial Marine WarningMKX87 min
Jul 19, 10:09 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMKXDodge, Jefferson, Kenosha, Milwaukee, Ozaukee, Racine and 5 more81 min
Jul 19, 10:28 PM CDTHigh Wind WarningMKXDane, Dodge, Green, Jefferson, Kenosha, Milwaukee and 6 more2 hr
Jul 19, 10:35 PM CDTSpecial Marine WarningMKX85 min
Jul 20, 12:26 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMKXColumbia, Sauk94 min
Jul 20, 12:33 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMKXSauk6 hr
Jul 20, 1:20 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMKXDane3 hr
Jul 20, 2:26 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMKXDane, Iowa, Sauk3 hr
Jul 20, 3:12 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMKXGreen, Lafayette3 hr
Jul 20, 3:42 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMKXIowa78 min
Jul 20, 5:07 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMKXGreen, Lafayette38 min
Jul 20, 6:08 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMKXKenosha, Walworth52 min
Jul 20, 7:03 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningMKXSauk7 days
Jul 20, 7:03 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningMKXSauk4 days
Jul 20, 7:03 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningMKXSauk9 days
Jul 20, 9:54 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningMKXRock3 days
Jul 20, 10:04 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningMKXLafayette34 hr
Jul 20, 10:04 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningMKXGreen13 days
Jul 20, 10:04 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningMKXLafayette4 days
Jul 20, 10:08 AM CDTRiver Flood WatchMKXGreen, Rock4 days
Jul 20, 1:30 PM CDTFlash Flood WatchMKXColumbia, Dane, Dodge, Green, Iowa, Jefferson and 9 more41 hr
Jul 20, 5:41 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningMKXGreen, Rock8 days

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Wisconsin, 2017Every special weather statement in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.