Severe Thunderstorm Warning 242, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

260 
WWUS54 KMAF 170144
SVSMAF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
844 PM CDT WED AUG 16 2017

TXC173-227-317-329-170215-
/O.CON.KMAF.SV.W.0242.000000T0000Z-170817T0215Z/
Glasscock TX-Midland TX-Howard TX-Martin TX-
844 PM CDT WED AUG 16 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN GLASSCOCK...NORTHEASTERN MIDLAND...SOUTHWESTERN
HOWARD AND SOUTHEASTERN MARTIN COUNTIES...

At 843 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 4 miles southwest 
of Stanton, and is moving southwest at 10 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Spraberry and Lomax. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3212 10153 3208 10150 3186 10155 3191 10186
      3212 10178
TIME...MOT...LOC 0143Z 020DEG 3KT 3208 10172 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

67

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
610 PM CDT Wed Aug 16 2017

.DISCUSSION...

See 00z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

Thunderstorms are expected this evening around the MAF and FST
areas. Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected for the next 24
hours. Winds will shift toward the south this evening and
overnight and will mostly be light.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 247 PM CDT Wed Aug 16 2017/

DISCUSSION...

Today is shaping up to be another very warm day across Southeast
New Mexico and West Texas, as temperatures have already reached
into the upper 80s and lower 90s this afternoon with a few hours
of heating left to go. Scattered storms have already begun to
develop across the Davis Mountains and Stockton Plateau, with
additional thunderstorms possible this afternoon into tonight,
mainly across the favored higher terrain of the Davis
Mountains/Marfa Plateau as well as eastern portions of the area
where dewpoints in the upper 60s to around 70 degrees are
prevalent. A trailing cold front associated with yesterday's
shortwave may act as a focus for convection to the north of the
area, with the potential for additional development across the
northern Permian Basin/Western Low Rolling Plains due to outflow
boundary interactions. However, a diffuse dryline looks to be the
primary focus for convection across the central Permian Basin
southward to the Big Bend Area, as echoed by high-resolution
guidance. While shear is lacking, ample instability is expected to
result in a few strong to possibly severe storms, with damaging
downburst winds the primary threat. Also, given precipitable water
values around 1.25", heavy rainfall leading to localized
flooding/flash flooding is a concern. Storms that develop are
expected to continue into this evening before gradually
diminishing overnight.

Thursday onward, the pattern will be dominated by a broad upper
ridge currently located across the Gulf Coast, which will slowly
build westward across the region. Increasing southeasterly flow
around the periphery of the ridge will result in a westward
expansion of PoPs Thursday, however, as heights gradually rise
over the area, storm chances Friday into early next week will
generally be confined to the higher terrain and immediately
adjacent plains. Despite the rising heights, 850mb temperatures
will remain fairly steady in the 24-27C range the next several
days, which will yield highs each afternoon in the 90s for most
locations, and 80s across higher terrain, pretty close to normal
for this time of year.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     74  95  74  95 /  20  20  20  10
Carlsbad                       68  97  71  94 /   0  10  10  10
Dryden                         76  96  76  97 /  20  20  10  10
Fort Stockton                  73  95  72  94 /  10  20  10  20
Guadalupe Pass                 69  89  66  87 /   0  10  10  20
Hobbs                          68  92  69  91 /   0  20  20  10
Marfa                          63  87  61  86 /  10  30  30  30
Midland Intl Airport           74  95  74  95 /  10  20  20  10
Odessa                         74  95  73  94 /  10  20  20  10
Wink                           73  98  74  96 /   0  10  10  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

99/99/

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
107 PM CDT Wed Aug 16 2017

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-171815-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos-
Loving-Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-
Davis/Apache Mountains Area-Pecos-Presidio Valley-Marfa Plateau-
Big Bend Area-Terrell-Guadalupe Mountains-
107 PM CDT Wed Aug 16 2017 /1207 PM MDT Wed Aug 16 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop late
this afternoon, continuing into the evening, from the eastern
Permian Basin to the Presidio Valley eastward. Strong storms
with locally heavy rain, hail and gusty winds will be possible
mostly over the eastern Permian Basin. The main threat will
the potential for damaging winds and areas of dense blowing dust
near thunderstorms in this area.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
http://weather.gov/midland

05

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
700 PM CDT WED AUG 16 2017

TXZ047-170045-
Borden TX-
700 PM CDT WED AUG 16 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL BORDEN COUNTY UNTIL
745 PM CDT...

At 700 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Gail, moving east at 10 mph.

Half inch hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of east central Borden
County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3268 10147 3279 10142 3289 10119 3260 10118
TIME...MOT...LOC 0000Z 267DEG 7KT 3273 10136

67

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
713 PM CDT WED AUG 16 2017

TXZ048-053-170100-
Mitchell TX-Scurry TX-
713 PM CDT WED AUG 16 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN MITCHELL AND
SOUTHEASTERN SCURRY COUNTIES UNTIL 800 PM CDT...

At 713 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Hermleigh, or 9 miles east of Snyder, moving southeast at 15 mph.

Half inch hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Snyder, Inadale, Hermleigh, Us-84 Near The Nolan-
Fisher County Line, Midway and Us-180 Near The Fisher-
Scurry County Line.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3250 10075 3269 10090 3281 10081 3278 10066
      3251 10066
TIME...MOT...LOC 0013Z 317DEG 14KT 3271 10075

67

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
719 PM CDT WED AUG 16 2017

TXZ052-063-170100-
Glasscock TX-Howard TX-
719 PM CDT WED AUG 16 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN GLASSCOCK AND
SOUTHWESTERN HOWARD COUNTIES UNTIL 800 PM CDT...

At 719 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Elbow, or near Big Spring, moving southeast at 15 mph.

Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Big Spring, Forsan, Lees, South Haven, Elbow, Big Spring Country Club
and Big Spring McMahon-Wrinkle Airpark.

This includes Interstate 20 between mile markers 180 and 181.

LAT...LON 3209 10126 3198 10127 3185 10151 3218 10163
      3227 10143 3209 10123
TIME...MOT...LOC 0019Z 333DEG 11KT 3215 10150

80

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
738 PM CDT WED AUG 16 2017

TXZ048-170130-
Scurry TX-
738 PM CDT WED AUG 16 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL SCURRY COUNTY UNTIL
830 PM CDT...

At 738 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Snyder, moving southeast at 10 mph.

Dime size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Snyder, Dunn and Winston Field.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3269 10102 3273 10087 3254 10078 3258 10100
TIME...MOT...LOC 0038Z 309DEG 6KT 3265 10095

67

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
748 PM CDT WED AUG 16 2017

TXZ047-170145-
Borden TX-
748 PM CDT WED AUG 16 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN BORDEN COUNTY UNTIL
845 PM CDT...

At 748 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles south of Gail. This storm was nearly stationary.

Half inch hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of southeastern Borden
County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3266 10156 3273 10149 3268 10120 3255 10125
      3253 10140
TIME...MOT...LOC 0048Z 300DEG 4KT 3266 10147

67

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
806 PM CDT WED AUG 16 2017

TXZ051-052-063-170200-
Martin TX-Glasscock TX-Howard TX-
806 PM CDT WED AUG 16 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN GLASSCOCK...SOUTHWESTERN
HOWARD AND SOUTHEASTERN MARTIN COUNTIES UNTIL 900 PM CDT...

At 806 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Lomax, or 9 miles east of Stanton, moving west at 10 mph.

Half inch hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Stanton, Lomax and Lees.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3195 10174 3207 10178 3208 10178 3209 10179
      3213 10180 3218 10157 3208 10130 3202 10128
TIME...MOT...LOC 0106Z 084DEG 10KT 3212 10163

67