Severe Thunderstorm Warning 103, NWS Lubbock, TX

434 
WWUS54 KLUB 162306
SVSLUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
606 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

TXC075-162315-
/O.CON.KLUB.SV.W.0103.000000T0000Z-170516T2315Z/
Childress TX-
606 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN CHILDRESS COUNTY...

At 605 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Kirkland, or 14
miles east of Childress, moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Ping pong ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Kirkland.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for the Panhandle
of and northwestern Texas.

LAT...LON 3431 10003 3439 10013 3460 10000 3431 10000
TIME...MOT...LOC 2305Z 218DEG 33KT 3442 9999 

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

01

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
345 PM CDT Tue May 16 2017

Discussion...
As of 3:30 PM, thunderstorms have begun to develop over Floyd
county along a sharp dryline that has set up north to south along
the escarpment between the South Plains and Rolling Plains. Storm
coverage and intensity will increase through the evening hours
across the northern half of the Rolling Plains. There is a tornado
watch across the area of concern through 10pm tonight. Along with
the tornado threat, locations within the watch can expect giant
hail in excess of 3 inches in diameter and strong wind gusts
exceeding 70mph.

Later on this evening as the dryline begins to retreat west, it
will converge and combine with an advancing cold front as the
powerful and compact upper level low ejects out of eastern New
Mexico across the Texas Panhandle overnight and into the Central
Plains by Wednesday morning. The second wave of convection will
be more widespread and persist through the overnight hours and
should be east of our CWA by sunrise. The primary threat with the
squall line later tonight will be severe wind gusts and large
hail.

Wednesday will provide a break between this evenings upper level
low and another that arrives on our doorstep late Thursday.
The southern Rolling Plains could see some thunderstorms Thursday
afternoon as along the western extent of the Gulf moisture return
receives some lift from an enhanced southern jet, while the rest
of our CWA should remain dry.

A Pacific cold front will push south and east across our CWA
Friday morning with scattered non-severe thunderstorms and
showers. This mornings guidance has pushed POPs on Friday farther
east than previous forecasts as moisture return continues its
anemic trend. We'll dry out for the weekend as the upper level
trough begins to flatten and lift north on Saturday. Temps behind
the Pacific Cold front on Friday, and especially Saturday, will
be below normal before rebounding on Sunday to near 80 and to
seasonal norms by Monday.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening for TXZ021-022-027-028-
033-034.

&&

55

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1113 AM CDT Tue May 16 2017

TXZ021>044-171615-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-
Floyd-Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-
Yoakum-Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
1113 AM CDT Tue May 16 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains...Rolling
Plains and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
A sharp dryline moving east across the Caprock this morning
will stall in the western Rolling Plains by early afternoon,
coinciding with the arrival of a mid-level impulse. Isolated to
scattered thunderstorms will develop as early as mid-afternoon,
particularly in the far southeast Panhandle and northern Rolling
Plains. The environment will favor discrete supercells, the
strongest of which could produce giant hail exceeding three inches
in diameter, a few tornadoes, and destructive downburst winds. By
late evening, a severe squall line is likely to develop in the
southern Rolling Plains and spread eastward through the night.
Farther west, a wind advisory is in effect from 3 PM until 9 PM
for much of the western South Plains as sustained southwest winds
increase to 25 to 35 mph later today. High based thunderstorms
west of the dryline this evening could also produce dry
microbursts with wind gusts to 65 mph.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday
There is potential for additional severe thunderstorms on Thursday
and Friday pending the evolution of a dryline and cold front
tonight. This threat appears to favor areas east of the Caprock
Escarpment.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon and evening,
mainly off the Caprock.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
548 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0547 PM     HAIL             KIRKLAND                34.39N 100.07W
05/16/2017  E0.75 INCH       CHILDRESS          TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            PEA TO PENNY-SIZED HAIL CURRENTLY FALLING

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1700202

MCONDER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
553 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0550 PM     HAIL             3 S KIRKLAND            34.35N 100.07W
05/16/2017  E0.88 INCH       CHILDRESS          TX   STORM CHASER

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1700203

MCONDER