Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2017

River Flood Warning 27, NWS Jackson, MS

April 4, 2017Simpson County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this river flood warning at Apr 4, 2017, 10:12 AM CDT for Simpson County, Mississippi. It took effect at Apr 4, 2017, 1:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 46 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 4, 2017, 10:12 AM CDT (15:12 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 4, 2017, 1:00 PM CDT
Expired
Apr 6, 2017, 10:54 AM CDT
In force
46 hr
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Simpson County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 37 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Strong River at D'lo (DLAM6). The gauge peaked at 27.68 ft at Apr 5, 2017, 12:00 PM CDT.

actionminormoderate10203004/0404/0504/0604/07
Action stage
24 ft
Minor stage
25 ft
Moderate stage
30 ft
Major stage
33 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02487500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

391 
WGUS44 KJAN 041512
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1012 AM CDT Tue Apr 4 2017


...The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a Flood Warning
for the following rivers in Mississippi... 

  Strong River At D'lo affecting Simpson County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC127-050900-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0027.170404T1800Z-170405T0900Z/
/DLAM6.1.ER.170404T1800Z.170404T1800Z.170404T1800Z.NO/
1012 AM CDT Tue Apr 4 2017

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a 

* Flood Warning for The Strong River At D'lo
* Until late tonight.
* At  9:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 24.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage this 
  afternoon.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 25.2 feet
  on Mar 29 2014.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Water begins backing up into Sellers Creek 
  in Mendenhall.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Strong River 
D'lo           25  24.6 Tue 10 AM  21.3  13.1   8.7  25.0 01 PM 04/04


&&


LAT...LON 3192 9009 3200 8997 3205 8988 3205 8973
      3189 8989 3182 9005             



$$
6 follow-up statements
785 
WGUS84 KJAN 050211
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
911 PM CDT Tue Apr 4 2017


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Pearl River Near Rockport affecting Copiah and Simpson Counties 
  Pearl River Near Monticello affecting Lawrence County 
  Pearl River Near Columbia affecting Marion County 
  Strong River At D'lo affecting Simpson County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC029-127-060811-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ROCM6.1.ER.000000T0000Z.170406T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
911 PM CDT Tue Apr 4 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Rockport
* until further notice.
* At 7:00 PM Tuesday the estimated stage was 29.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 31.0 feet by 
  Thursday morning. 
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Water begins to back up into higher 
  agricultural and pasture lands, mainly on the Simpson County side 
  of the river.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Middle Pearl River 
Rockport       25  29.7 Tue 07 PM  30.3  31.0  30.8  31.0 07 AM 04/06


&&


LAT...LON 3168 9019 3178 9019 3193 9025 3198 9012
      3182 9005 3169 9005             



$$

MSC077-060810-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MTCM6.2.ER.170405T0418Z.170408T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
911 PM CDT Tue Apr 4 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Monticello
* until further notice.
* At  8:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 21.8 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tonight and 
  will continue to rise to near 26.0 feet by Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet...Water covers Old Highway 27 about 7 miles 
  north of Monticello near Saint James Missionary Baptist Church.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Water begins to flood lower portions of 
  Cooper's Ferry Park in Monticello.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet...Water appears in low areas in the extreme 
  eastern portion of the city of Monticello.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Water inundates some lowland and 
  agricultural land near the river.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Middle Pearl River 
Monticello     22  21.8 Tue 08 PM  22.5  23.9  25.1  26.0 07 AM 04/08


&&


LAT...LON 3140 9008 3155 9017 3168 9019 3169 9005
      3155 9002 3140 8992             



$$

MSC091-060810-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0016.170407T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLMM6.1.ER.170407T1800Z.170411T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
911 PM CDT Tue Apr 4 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Columbia
* from Friday afternoon until further notice.
* At 8:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 13.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early Friday 
  afternoon and will continue to rise to near 19.5 feet by Monday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Low areas along the river are inundated.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Low areas near the river begin to flood. 
  Water covers Old Highway 35 on the west side of the river.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Camp Lane Road south of columbia on the east
  side of the river begins to flood.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Lower Pearl River 
Columbia       17  13.2 Tue 08 PM  13.9  15.5  16.7  19.5 07 PM 04/10


&&


LAT...LON 3100 8979 3121 8992 3140 9008 3140 8992
      3124 8981 3100 8969             



$$

MSC127-060340-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-170406T0340Z/
/DLAM6.1.ER.170404T1648Z.170405T0145Z.170405T1240Z.NO/
911 PM CDT Tue Apr 4 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Strong River At D'lo
* until Wednesday evening.
* At 8:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is cresting now. The river will fall below 
  flood stage by tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet...Water begins to inundate farmland along the 
  river. Farmers should take necessary action to protect live stock 
  and remove farm equipment.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Strong River 
D'lo           25  26.0 Tue 09 PM  25.2  15.7  10.9     Cresting         


&&


LAT...LON 3192 9009 3200 8997 3205 8988 3205 8973
      3189 8989 3182 9005             



$$
133 
WGUS84 KJAN 051255
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
755 AM CDT Wed Apr 5 2017


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in ...

  Strong River At D'lo affecting Simpson County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 


Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC127-061855-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-170407T1200Z/
/DLAM6.1.ER.170404T1648Z.170406T0000Z.170406T2100Z.NO/
755 AM CDT Wed Apr 5 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Friday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Strong River At D'lo
* until Friday morning.
* At  6:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 27.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 28.0 feet by this
  evening. 
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...Tent camping area of the Dlo Water Park is 
  completely inundated.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet...Water floods entrance to lower tent camping 
  area at the Dlo Water Park.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Strong River 
D'lo           25  27.3 Wed 07 AM  27.0  15.4   9.5  28.0 07 PM 04/05


&&


LAT...LON 3192 9009 3200 8997 3205 8988 3205 8973
      3189 8989 3182 9005             



$$
300 
WGUS84 KJAN 051451
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
951 AM CDT Wed Apr 5 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in ...

  Strong River At D'lo affecting Simpson County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites.


Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC127-062051-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-170407T0730Z/
/DLAM6.1.ER.170404T1648Z.170406T0000Z.170406T1630Z.NO/
951 AM CDT Wed Apr 5 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Strong River At D'lo
* until late Thursday night.
* At  8:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 27.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 28.0 feet by this
  evening. 
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...Tent camping area of the Dlo Water Park is 
  completely inundated.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet...Water floods entrance to lower tent camping 
  area at the Dlo Water Park.



&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Strong River 
D'lo           25  27.5 Wed 09 AM  26.5  15.6   9.6  28.0 07 PM 04/05


&&


LAT...LON 3192 9009 3200 8997 3205 8988 3205 8973
      3189 8989 3182 9005             



$$
035 
WGUS84 KJAN 051519
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1019 AM CDT Wed Apr 5 2017




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...


  Pearl River Near Rockport affecting Copiah and Simpson Counties 
  Pearl River Near Monticello affecting Lawrence County 
  Pearl River Near Columbia affecting Marion County 
  Strong River At D'lo affecting Simpson County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC029-127-062119-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ROCM6.1.ER.000000T0000Z.170407T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1019 AM CDT Wed Apr 5 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Rockport
* until further notice.
* At  7:50 AM Wednesday the stage was 28.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 31.0 feet by 
  early Friday morning.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Water begins to back up into higher 
  agricultural and pasture lands, mainly on the Simpson County side 
  of the river.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Middle Pearl River 
Rockport       25  28.5 Wed 08 AM  30.2  31.0  30.3  31.0 01 AM 04/07


&&


LAT...LON 3168 9019 3178 9019 3193 9025 3198 9012
      3182 9005 3169 9005             



$$

MSC077-062118-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MTCM6.2.ER.170405T0452Z.170408T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1019 AM CDT Wed Apr 5 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Monticello
* until further notice.
* At  9:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 22.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 25.0 feet by 
  Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Water begins to flood lower portions of 
  Cooper's Ferry Park in Monticello.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet...Water appears in low areas in the extreme 
  eastern portion of the city of Monticello.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Middle Pearl River 
Monticello     22  22.4 Wed 09 AM  23.4  24.3  24.9  25.0 07 PM 04/08


&&


LAT...LON 3140 9008 3155 9017 3168 9019 3169 9005
      3155 9002 3140 8992             



$$

MSC091-062118-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0016.170410T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLMM6.1.ER.170410T0600Z.170411T1700Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1019 AM CDT Wed Apr 5 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Columbia
* from late Sunday night until further notice.
* At  9:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 13.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early Monday 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 17.5 feet by early 
  Tuesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Low areas near the river begin to flood. 
  Water covers Old Highway 35 on the west side of the river.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Camp Lane Road south of columbia on the east
  side of the river begins to flood.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Lower Pearl River 
Columbia       17  13.7 Wed 09 AM  14.5  15.3  15.9  17.5 12 PM 04/11


&&


LAT...LON 3100 8979 3121 8992 3140 9008 3140 8992
      3124 8981 3100 8969             



$$

MSC127-062118-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-170407T0730Z/
/DLAM6.1.ER.170404T1648Z.170406T0000Z.170406T1630Z.NO/
1019 AM CDT Wed Apr 5 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Strong River At D'lo
* until late Thursday night.
* At  9:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 27.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 28.0 feet by this
  evening. 


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Strong River 
D'lo           25  27.6 Wed 10 AM  26.5  15.6   9.6  28.0 07 PM 04/05


&&


LAT...LON 3192 9009 3200 8997 3205 8988 3205 8973
      3189 8989 3182 9005             



$$
410 
WGUS84 KJAN 060130
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
830 PM CDT Wed Apr 5 2017


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Pearl River Near Rockport affecting Copiah and Simpson Counties 
  Pearl River Near Monticello affecting Lawrence County 
  Pearl River Near Columbia affecting Marion County 
  Strong River At D'lo affecting Simpson County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC029-127-070730-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ROCM6.1.ER.000000T0000Z.170407T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
830 PM CDT Wed Apr 5 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Rockport
* until further notice.
* At 4:35 PM Wednesday the stage was 29.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 31.0 feet by 
  Friday morning.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Water begins to back up into higher 
  agricultural and pasture lands, mainly on the Simpson County side 
  of the river.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Middle Pearl River 
Rockport       25  29.1 Wed 05 PM  29.8  31.0  30.4  31.0 07 AM 04/07


&&


LAT...LON 3168 9019 3178 9019 3193 9025 3198 9012
      3182 9005 3169 9005             



$$

MSC077-070730-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MTCM6.2.ER.170405T0452Z.170409T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
830 PM CDT Wed Apr 5 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Monticello
* until further notice.
* At 8:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 22.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 25.0 feet by 
  Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Water begins to flood lower portions of 
  Cooper's Ferry Park in Monticello.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet...Water appears in low areas in the extreme 
  eastern portion of the city of Monticello.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Middle Pearl River 
Monticello     22  22.9 Wed 08 PM  23.4  24.1  24.8  25.0 07 PM 04/08


&&


LAT...LON 3140 9008 3155 9017 3168 9019 3169 9005
      3155 9002 3140 8992             



$$

MSC091-070730-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0016.170410T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLMM6.1.ER.170410T1200Z.170411T1700Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
830 PM CDT Wed Apr 5 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Columbia
* from Monday morning until further notice.
* At 8:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Monday morning 
  and will continue to rise to near 17.5 feet by early Tuesday 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Low areas along the river are inundated.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Low areas near the river begin to flood. 
  Water covers Old Highway 35 on the west side of the river.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Camp Lane Road south of columbia on the east
  side of the river begins to flood.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Lower Pearl River 
Columbia       17  14.0 Wed 08 PM  14.5  15.1  15.8  17.5 12 PM 04/11


&&


LAT...LON 3100 8979 3121 8992 3140 9008 3140 8992
      3124 8981 3100 8969             



$$

MSC127-070600-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-170407T0600Z/
/DLAM6.1.ER.170404T1648Z.170405T1815Z.170406T1500Z.NO/
830 PM CDT Wed Apr 5 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Strong River At D'lo
* until late Thursday night.
* At 7:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 27.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling and will fall below 
  flood stage by late tomorrow morning.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Strong River 
D'lo           25  27.3 Wed 08 PM  25.6  19.7  10.5     M M          


&&


LAT...LON 3192 9009 3200 8997 3205 8988 3205 8973
      3189 8989 3182 9005             



$$
678 
WGUS84 KJAN 061554
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1054 AM CDT Thu Apr 6 2017


...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers 
in Mississippi...
 
  Strong River At D'lo affecting Simpson County




PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites.


Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC127-061624-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-170407T0600Z/
/DLAM6.1.ER.170404T1648Z.170405T1815Z.170406T1140Z.NO/
1054 AM CDT Thu Apr 6 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Strong River At D'lo.
* At  9:45 AM Thursday the stage was 24.1 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at  6:40 AM Thursday.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 18.8 feet by tomorrow
  morning.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Strong River 
D'lo           25  24.1 Thu 10 AM  18.8  12.9  10.4     Below food stage          


&&


LAT...LON 3192 9009 3200 8997 3205 8988 3205 8973
      3189 8989 3182 9005             



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 4, 9:59 AM CDT, 13 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 4, 9:59 AM CDT, 13 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
959 AM CDT Tue Apr 4 2017

.UPDATE...
Updated for morning discussion.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Latest satellite imagery showed a midlevel shortwave moving over
New Mexico late this morning. An associated surface low was noted
over Northwest Texas with a warm front. Surface high pressure was
providing quiet conditions across the ArkLaMiss region with late
morning readings in the upper 60s to lower 70s. Made slight
adjustments to afternoon highs./17/

Prior discussion below:

Today and Tonight: Mid level zonal flow beginning to be replaced by
southwesterly flow as next storm system pulls out of the Rockies
into the western High Plains. The system will move through the
Plains and into the mid MS valley by tonight when it will begin to
impact our area. Meanwhile at the surface, low level southerly flow
will remain weak today as dewpoints mix out into the 50s.

As the mid level system draws nearer tonight, the warm advection
response will begin pulling the coastal baroclinic zone back north.
Upper 60s dewpoints along with high theta-e air in the lower levels
will surge north behind the boundary over southwest sections after
midnight. MLCAPEs of 2000-3000 J/kg will surge northward over
eastern portions, but the majority of this will be slightly
elevated. However, some of this looks to become surface based after
05/09Z over the far southeast sections. Large hail looks to be the
primary severe weather threat given these CAPEs, vertical totals
around 30 and the 50+ knots of deep layer shear in place across the
region. However, over southeast sections late tonight where
developing convection will be rooted at the surface, damaging wind
gusts and a few tornadoes will be possible as LCLs will be low, 0-1
km shear values around 30 knots and 0-1 km SRH around 200 m2/s2.
/26/

Wednesday through Monday:

Some of the Tonight/Wednesday morning thunderstorm activity will
likely carry over into the first part of the day tomorrow. A
deepening low pressure system will be moving from the Plains to
the Midwest on Wednesday, keeping a very unstable warm sector over
portions of the ArkLaMiss before a cold front sweeps through.
MLCAPE values of 2000 to 2500 J/kg and approximately 50 kts of
deep layer shear across the Pine Belt region warrant an Enhanced
severe weather threat continuing into the day for the far eastern
portions of our forecast area. Damaging wind gusts and large hail
will be the primary hazards, but the onset of daytime heating and
increasing low level moisture will keep a chance for tornadoes
with the stronger storms. Currently the expectation is for the
morning activity to tap into the best moisture and instability,
but depending on the speed of the cold front, a few thunderstorms
cannot be ruled out developing farther north and west in our area
between mid morning and early afternoon. Enough low level
moisture and instability (a more modest 1000-1500 J/kg of MLCAPE)
should exist ahead of the cold front for more isolated severe
thunderstorms to possibly develop through around noontime. This
activity would also be more highly sheared as the upper level
trough swings overhead.

All said, the severe weather threat should end across the area by
Wednesday afternoon. Cooler temperatures will be felt in the wake
of the cold front through into the weekend. Highs in the mid to
upper 60s/low 70s and lows generally in the 40s are expected
through Saturday. The coldest night is likely to be Friday
night/Saturday morning as a 1020 mb surface moves into the region,
bringing light winds and clear skies. Locations east of I-55 and
north of I-20 have the greatest chances to reach frost
temperatures early Saturday morning. Then a warming trend with
gradually increasing rain chances will round out the forecast
heading into early next week. Northeast Louisiana, southeast
Arkansas, and northwestern portions of Mississippi will have the
best chance to see rain Monday as subtropical moisture is drawn
northeastward from the Western Gulf of Mexico around an upper
ridge. /NF/

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF discussion:
VFR conditions will prevail for the majority of the period.
MVFR/IFR ceilings will move into the area after 05/06Z and linger
through the end of the period. VCTS will begin impacting GTR, MEI
and HBG after 05/06Z as well./26/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       83  64  77  47 /   1  35  26   5
Meridian      84  62  79  47 /   1  47  51   8
Vicksburg     83  64  74  47 /   1  24  13   3
Hattiesburg   84  65  82  49 /   1  48  49   4
Natchez       82  64  74  48 /   1  23  16   2
Greenville    81  62  70  47 /   1  22  11   5
Greenwood     83  62  73  45 /   1  24  22   9

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.

&&

17
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 4, 9:03 AM CDT, 1 hour 9 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
903 AM CDT Tue Apr 4 2017

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>029-034>036-
040>042-047-059-060-051415-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Bolivar-
Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Washington-
Humphreys-Holmes-Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-Warren-Jefferson-Adams-
903 AM CDT Tue Apr 4 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central
Mississippi, northwest Mississippi, southwest Mississippi, and
west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Monday.

MSZ030>033-037-038-043-044-048-049-053-054-061-051415-
Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Attala-Winston-Madison MS-Leake-
Hinds-Rankin-Claiborne-Copiah-Franklin MS-
903 AM CDT Tue Apr 4 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, northeast Mississippi, and
southwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Today through Tonight

Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible mainly after 3 am
tonight. Up to quarter size hail and damaging wind gusts will be
possible with these storms.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Isolated severe thunderstorms will remain possible Wednesday
morning. Up to quarter size hail and damaging wind gusts will
continue to be possible with these storms.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through Wednesday night.

MSZ039-045-046-050>052-055>058-062>066-072>074-051415-
Noxubee-Neshoba-Kemper-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-Simpson-Smith-
Jasper-Clarke-Lincoln-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-
Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
903 AM CDT Tue Apr 4 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, south central Mississippi,
and southeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Today through Tonight

Severe thunderstorms will be possible mainly after 3 am tonight.
Quarter to golf ball size hail and damaging wind gusts will be
the primary severe weather threats. However, a tornado cannot be
ruled out.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Isolated severe thunderstorms will remain possible Wednesday
morning. Quarter to golf ball size hail and damaging wind gusts
will continue to be the primary severe weather threats. However, a
tornado cannot be ruled out.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through Wednesday night.

21

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms are expected.
Moderate...Severe storms expected with significant
 severe weather possible.
Enhanced...Severe storms expected.
Slight...Severe storms possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe storms possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 3, 8:59 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANNeshoba6 days
Apr 3, 8:59 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANAttala37 hr
Apr 4, 9:04 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANLauderdale, Newton26 hr
Apr 4, 9:08 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANClarke4 days
Apr 4, 9:58 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANLeake5 days
Apr 4, 9:58 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANLeake5 days
Apr 4, 9:58 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANMadison, Rankin71 hr
Apr 4, 10:10 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANJones4 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2017Every river flood warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.