Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2017

River Flood Warning 22, NWS Jackson, MS

April 4, 2017Clarke County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this river flood warning at Apr 4, 2017, 9:08 AM CDT for Clarke County, Mississippi. It took effect at Apr 6, 2017, 1:45 AM CDT. It was in force for 57 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 4, 2017, 9:08 AM CDT (14:08 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 6, 2017, 1:45 AM CDT
Expired
Apr 8, 2017, 10:20 AM CDT
In force
57 hr
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Clarke County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 126 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Chickasawhay River at Shubuta (SHBM6).

Action stage
29 ft
Minor stage
30 ft
Moderate stage
37 ft
Major stage
47 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02477350, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

080 
WGUS44 KJAN 041408
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
908 AM CDT Tue Apr 4 2017


...The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a Flood Warning
for the following rivers in Mississippi... 

  Chickasawhay River At Shubuta affecting Clarke County


...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the 
following rivers in Mississippi...

  Chickasawhay River At Enterprise affecting Clarke County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 


Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC023-052008-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-170407T0022Z/
/ENSM6.2.ER.170404T0240Z.170405T1200Z.170406T0922Z.NO/
908 AM CDT Tue Apr 4 2017

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Chickasawhay River At Enterprise.
* until Thursday evening.
* At  8:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 27.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 33.5 feet by 
  tomorrow morning. 
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 34.7 feet
  on Mar 13 2016.
* Impact...At 34.0 feet...Flood water crosses North Street near 
  Confederate Cemetary in the town of Enterprise amd Front Street.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet...Flood water crosses River Road, County Road 
  320 near River Walk Gardens.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Enterprise     25  27.6 Tue 08 AM  33.5  23.6  14.0  33.5 07 AM 04/05


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$

MSC023-052007-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0022.170406T0645Z-170408T1520Z/
/SHBM6.1.ER.170406T0645Z.170406T1800Z.170407T0920Z.NO/
908 AM CDT Tue Apr 4 2017

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a 

* Flood Warning for The Chickasawhay River At Shubuta
  from late Wednesday night to Saturday morning.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 32.9 feet
  on Mar 10 2011.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Minor flooding over the right bank of the 
  river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Shubuta        30     M M          28.2  30.7  29.6  31.0 01 PM 04/06


&&


LAT...LON 3184 8874 3193 8875 3200 8878 3205 8868
      3193 8866 3184 8869             



$$
6 follow-up statements
915 
WGUS44 KJAN 041706 CCA
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
908 AM CDT Tue Apr 4 2017


...The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a Flood Warning
for the following rivers in Mississippi... 

  Chickasawhay River At Shubuta affecting Clarke County


...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the 
following rivers in Mississippi...

  Chickasawhay River At Enterprise affecting Clarke County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 


Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC023-052008-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-170407T0022Z/
/ENSM6.2.ER.170404T0240Z.170405T1200Z.170406T0922Z.NO/
908 AM CDT Tue Apr 4 2017

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Chickasawhay River At Enterprise.
* until Thursday evening.
* At  8:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 27.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 33.5 feet by 
  tomorrow morning. 
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 34.7 feet
  on Mar 13 2016.
* Impact...At 34.0 feet...Flood water crosses North Street near 
  Confederate Cemetary in the town of Enterprise amd Front Street.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet...Flood water crosses River Road, County Road 
  320 near River Walk Gardens.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Enterprise     25  27.6 Tue 08 AM  33.5  23.6  14.0  33.5 07 AM 04/05


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$

MSC023-052007-
/O.COR.KJAN.FL.W.0022.170406T0645Z-170408T1520Z/
/SHBM6.1.ER.170406T0645Z.170406T1800Z.170407T0920Z.NO/
908 AM CDT Tue Apr 4 2017

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a 

* Flood Warning for The Chickasawhay River At Shubuta
  from late Wednesday night to Saturday morning. 
* At 700 AM the latest river stage was estimated at 22.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river will go above flood at 1 AM CDT Thursday and 
 will crest at 31 feet in the early afternoon hours. 
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Minor flooding over the right bank of the 
  river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Shubuta        30     M M          28.2  30.7  29.6  31.0 01 PM 04/06


&&


LAT...LON 3184 8874 3193 8875 3200 8878 3205 8868
      3193 8866 3184 8869             



$$
868 
WGUS84 KJAN 050128
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
828 PM CDT Tue Apr 4 2017


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Chickasawhay River At Enterprise affecting Clarke County 
  Chickasawhay River At Shubuta affecting Clarke County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.


The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC023-060728-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-170407T0900Z/
/ENSM6.2.ER.170404T0240Z.170405T1800Z.170406T1800Z.NO/
828 PM CDT Tue Apr 4 2017

...Flood Warning extended until late Thursday night...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chickasawhay River At Enterprise
* until late Thursday night.
* At 8:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 30.1 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 33.5 feet by 
  early tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 34.0 feet...Flood water crosses North Street near 
  Confederate Cemetary in the town of Enterprise amd Front Street.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet...Flood water crosses River Road, County Road 
  320 near River Walk Gardens.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Water begins to cover several streets and 
  roads.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Enterprise     25  30.1 Tue 08 PM  32.4  27.9  16.2  33.5 01 PM 04/05


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$

MSC023-060728-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0022.170406T0645Z-170408T1440Z/
/SHBM6.1.ER.170406T0645Z.170406T1800Z.170407T0840Z.NO/
828 PM CDT Tue Apr 4 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chickasawhay River At Shubuta
* from late Wednesday night to Saturday morning.
* At 7:00 PM Tuesday the stage was estimated 26.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Minor flooding over the right bank of the 
  river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Shubuta        30  26.3 Tue 07 PM  28.0  30.7  29.5  31.0 01 PM 04/06


&&


LAT...LON 3184 8874 3193 8875 3200 8878 3205 8868
      3193 8866 3184 8869             



$$
473 
WGUS84 KJAN 051358
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
858 AM CDT Wed Apr 5 2017


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in ...

  Chickasawhay River At Enterprise affecting Clarke County 
  Chickasawhay River At Shubuta affecting Clarke County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC023-061958-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-170407T1845Z/
/ENSM6.2.ER.170404T0240Z.170405T1800Z.170407T0345Z.NO/
858 AM CDT Wed Apr 5 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Friday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chickasawhay River At Enterprise
* until Friday afternoon.
* At  8:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 32.9 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 33.5 feet by this
  afternoon. 
* Impact...At 34.0 feet...Flood water crosses North Street near 
  Confederate Cemetary in the town of Enterprise amd Front Street.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet...Flood water crosses River Road, County Road 
  320 near River Walk Gardens.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Enterprise     25  32.9 Wed 08 AM  29.6  22.4  15.5  33.5 01 PM 04/05


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$

MSC023-061958-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0022.170406T1330Z-170408T1851Z/
/SHBM6.1.ER.170406T1330Z.170407T0000Z.170407T1251Z.NO/
858 AM CDT Wed Apr 5 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chickasawhay River At Shubuta
* from Thursday morning to Saturday afternoon.
* At 7:00 AM Wednesday the estimated river stage was 27.7 feet. 
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Forecast....The river will continue to rise to near 29.0 feet
this evening and expect to crest at 31.0 feet by Thursday evening. 
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Minor flooding over the right bank of the 
  river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Shubuta        30     M M          29.8  30.1  27.0  31.0 07 PM 04/06


&&


LAT...LON 3184 8874 3193 8875 3200 8878 3205 8868
      3193 8866 3184 8869             



$$
440 
WGUS84 KJAN 060158
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
858 PM CDT Wed Apr 5 2017


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Chickasawhay River At Enterprise affecting Clarke County 
  Chickasawhay River At Shubuta affecting Clarke County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 


The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC023-070758-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-170407T1836Z/
/ENSM6.2.ER.170404T0240Z.170405T1745Z.170407T0336Z.NO/
858 PM CDT Wed Apr 5 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chickasawhay River At Enterprise
* until Friday afternoon.
* At 8:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 32.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling and will fall below 
  flood stage by late tomorrow evening.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Enterprise     25  32.5 Wed 08 PM  30.1  21.7  15.1     M M          


&&


LAT...LON 3200 8878 3208 8883 3216 8890 3220 8879
      3211 8873 3205 8868             



$$

MSC023-070758-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0022.170406T1251Z-170408T2145Z/
/SHBM6.1.ER.170406T1251Z.170407T0000Z.170407T1545Z.NO/
858 PM CDT Wed Apr 5 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chickasawhay River At Shubuta
* from Thursday morning to Saturday afternoon.
* At 3:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tomorrow 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 31.0 feet by tomorrow 
  evening. 
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Minor flooding over the right bank of the 
  river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Shubuta        30  21.0 Wed 03 PM  29.9  30.5  27.6  31.0 07 PM 04/06


&&


LAT...LON 3184 8874 3193 8875 3200 8878 3205 8868
      3193 8866 3184 8869             



$$
789 
WGUS84 KJAN 061432
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
932 AM CDT Thu Apr 6 2017





...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in ..

  Chickasawhay River At Shubuta affecting Clarke County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites.


Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC023-072032-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-170408T2145Z/
/SHBM6.1.ER.170406T1736Z.170407T0000Z.170407T1545Z.NO/
932 AM CDT Thu Apr 6 2017


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chickasawhay River At Shubuta
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At  7:00 AM Thursday the stage was 29.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by this afternoon 
  and will continue to rise to near 31.0 feet by just after midnight 
  tonight. The river will fall below flood stage by late tomorrow 
  morning.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Minor flooding over the right bank of the 
  river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Shubuta        30  22.9 Thu 07 AM  30.5  27.9  23.2  31.0 01 AM 04/07


&&


LAT...LON 3184 8874 3193 8875 3200 8878 3205 8868
      3193 8866 3184 8869             



$$
050 
WGUS84 KJAN 070235
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
935 PM CDT Thu Apr 6 2017


...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers 
in Mississippi...
 
  Chickasawhay River At Shubuta affecting Clarke County


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 


The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC023-070305-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-170408T2145Z/
/SHBM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
935 PM CDT Thu Apr 6 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Chickasawhay River At Shubuta.
* At  5:30 PM Thursday the stage was 24.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 26.1 feet 
  Saturday morning.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Chickasawhay River 
Shubuta        30  24.2 Thu 05 PM  25.2  26.1  25.1               


&&


LAT...LON 3184 8874 3193 8875 3200 8878 3205 8868
      3193 8866 3184 8869             



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 4, 6:38 AM CDT, 2 hours 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 4, 6:38 AM CDT, 2 hours 30 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
638 AM CDT Tue Apr 4 2017

.UPDATE...
Updated for 12Z aviation discussion.

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF discussion:
VFR conditions will prevail for the majority of the period.
MVFR/IFR ceilings will move into the area after 05/06Z and linger
through the end of the period. VCTS will begin impacting GTR, MEI
and HBG after 05/06Z as well./26/

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Today and Tonight: Mid level zonal flow beginning to be replaced by
southwesterly flow as next storm system pulls out of the Rockies
into the western High Plains. The system will move through the
Plains and into the mid MS valley by tonight when it will begin to
impact our area. Meanwhile at the surface, low level southerly flow
will remain weak today as dewpoints mix out into the 50s.

As the mid level system draws nearer tonight, the warm advection
response will begin pulling the coastal baroclinic zone back north.
Upper 60s dewpoints along with high theta-e air in the lower levels
will surge north behind the boundary over southwest sections after
midnight. MLCAPEs of 2000-3000 J/kg will surge northward over
eastern portions, but the majority of this will be slightly
elevated. However, some of this looks to become surface based after
05/09Z over the far southeast sections. Large hail looks to be the
primary severe weather threat given these CAPEs, vertical totals
around 30 and the 50+ knots of deep layer shear in place across the
region. However, over southeast sections late tonight where
developing convection will be rooted at the surface, damaging wind
gusts and a few tornadoes will be possible as LCLs will be low, 0-1
km shear values around 30 knots and 0-1 km SRH around 200 m2/s2.
/26/

Wednesday through Monday:

Some of the Tonight/Wednesday morning thunderstorm activity will
likely carry over into the first part of the day tomorrow. A
deepening low pressure system will be moving from the Plains to
the Midwest on Wednesday, keeping a very unstable warm sector over
portions of the ArkLaMiss before a cold front sweeps through.
MLCAPE values of 2000 to 2500 J/kg and approximately 50 kts of
deep layer shear across the Pine Belt region warrant an Enhanced
severe weather threat continuing into the day for the far eastern
portions of our forecast area. Damaging wind gusts and large hail
will be the primary hazards, but the onset of daytime heating and
increasing low level moisture will keep a chance for tornadoes
with the stronger storms. Currently the expectation is for the
morning activity to tap into the best moisture and instability,
but depending on the speed of the cold front, a few thunderstorms
cannot be ruled out developing farther north and west in our area
between mid morning and early afternoon. Enough low level
moisture and instability (a more modest 1000-1500 J/kg of MLCAPE)
should exist ahead of the cold front for more isolated severe
thunderstorms to possibly develop through around noontime. This
activity would also be more highly sheared as the upper level
trough swings overhead.

All said, the severe weather threat should end across the area by
Wednesday afternoon. Cooler temperatures will be felt in the wake
of the cold front through into the weekend. Highs in the mid to
upper 60s/low 70s and lows generally in the 40s are expected
through Saturday. The coldest night is likely to be Friday
night/Saturday morning as a 1020 mb surface moves into the region,
bringing light winds and clear skies. Locations east of I-55 and
north of I-20 have the greatest chances to reach frost
temperatures early Saturday morning. Then a warming trend with
gradually increasing rain chances will round out the forecast
heading into early next week. Northeast Louisiana, southeast
Arkansas, and northwestern portions of Mississippi will have the
best chance to see rain Monday as subtropical moisture is drawn
northeastward from the Western Gulf of Mexico around an upper
ridge. /NF/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       85  64  77  47 /   1  35  26   5
Meridian      85  62  79  47 /   1  47  51   8
Vicksburg     85  64  74  47 /   1  24  13   3
Hattiesburg   85  65  82  49 /   1  48  49   4
Natchez       84  64  74  48 /   1  23  16   2
Greenville    82  62  70  47 /   1  22  11   5
Greenwood     83  62  73  45 /   1  24  22   9

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.

&&

NF/26
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 4, 9:03 AM CDT, 5 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
903 AM CDT Tue Apr 4 2017

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>029-034>036-
040>042-047-059-060-051415-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Bolivar-
Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Washington-
Humphreys-Holmes-Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-Warren-Jefferson-Adams-
903 AM CDT Tue Apr 4 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central
Mississippi, northwest Mississippi, southwest Mississippi, and
west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Monday.

MSZ030>033-037-038-043-044-048-049-053-054-061-051415-
Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Attala-Winston-Madison MS-Leake-
Hinds-Rankin-Claiborne-Copiah-Franklin MS-
903 AM CDT Tue Apr 4 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, northeast Mississippi, and
southwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Today through Tonight

Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible mainly after 3 am
tonight. Up to quarter size hail and damaging wind gusts will be
possible with these storms.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Isolated severe thunderstorms will remain possible Wednesday
morning. Up to quarter size hail and damaging wind gusts will
continue to be possible with these storms.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through Wednesday night.

MSZ039-045-046-050>052-055>058-062>066-072>074-051415-
Noxubee-Neshoba-Kemper-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-Simpson-Smith-
Jasper-Clarke-Lincoln-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-
Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
903 AM CDT Tue Apr 4 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, south central Mississippi,
and southeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Today through Tonight

Severe thunderstorms will be possible mainly after 3 am tonight.
Quarter to golf ball size hail and damaging wind gusts will be
the primary severe weather threats. However, a tornado cannot be
ruled out.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Isolated severe thunderstorms will remain possible Wednesday
morning. Quarter to golf ball size hail and damaging wind gusts
will continue to be the primary severe weather threats. However, a
tornado cannot be ruled out.

(www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/image1.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through Wednesday night.

21

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms are expected.
Moderate...Severe storms expected with significant
 severe weather possible.
Enhanced...Severe storms expected.
Slight...Severe storms possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe storms possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 3, 8:59 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANNeshoba6 days
Apr 3, 8:59 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANAttala37 hr
Apr 4, 9:04 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANLauderdale, Newton26 hr
Apr 4, 9:58 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANLeake5 days
Apr 4, 9:58 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANLeake5 days
Apr 4, 9:58 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANMadison, Rankin71 hr
Apr 4, 10:10 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANJones4 days
Apr 4, 10:12 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANSimpson49 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2017Every river flood warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.