Alert archive / Indiana / River Flood Warnings in 2017
River Flood Warning 88, NWS Northern Indiana
NWS Northern Indiana issued this river flood warning at Jul 7, 2017, 12:17 PM EDT for 5 counties in Indiana. It took effect at Jul 7, 2017, 1:49 PM EDT. It was in force for 4 days.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 7, 2017, 12:17 PM EDT (16:17 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jul 7, 2017, 1:49 PM EDT
- Expired
- Jul 11, 2017, 5:25 AM EDT
- In force
- 4 days
- Issued by
- NWS Northern Indiana
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Moderate
Counties Cass County, IN, Kosciusko County, IN, Miami County, IN, Wabash County, IN, Whitley County, IN
The radar
The Northern Indiana radar (KIWX), 62 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Eel River (IN) at North Manchester (NMCI3).
- Action stage
- 9 ft
- Minor stage
- 11 ft
- Moderate stage
- 14 ft
- Major stage
- 16 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 03328000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
782
WGUS43 KIWX 071618
FLWIWX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
1217 PM EDT Fri Jul 7 2017
...The National Weather Service in Northern Indiana has issued a
Flood Warning for the following rivers...
Eel River at North Manchester affecting Cass...Kosciusko...Miami...
Wabash and Whitley Counties
.Runoff from heavy rainfall will result in significant rises on the Eel
River at North Manchester. Moderate flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Never drive vehicles through flooded areas. The water may be too deep
to allow safe passage. Never allow children to play in or near flood
waters. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or local media for further
statements and updated forecasts.
Detailed river forecasts and more information can be found on the
internet at www.weather.gov/iwx under Rivers and Lakes.
All times are in Eastern Time. This statement will be updated in
about 24 hours or sooner if necessary.
&&
INC017-085-103-169-183-081617-
/O.NEW.KIWX.FL.W.0088.170707T1749Z-170711T0925Z/
/NMCI3.2.ER.170707T1749Z.170708T0600Z.170710T0925Z.NR/
1217 PM EDT Fri Jul 7 2017
The National Weather Service in Northern Indiana has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Eel River at North Manchester
* until late Monday night.
* At 11 AM Friday the stage was 4.8 feet and rising.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Friday afternoon
and crest near 13.8 feet around 2 AM Saturday July 8 and fall
below flood stage around 5 AM Monday July 10.
* At 14.0 feet...South Mill Street Lumber Company begins to move
lumber to higher ground.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.5 feet which occurred
on Jun 16 2015.
&&
LAT...LON 4076 8635 4097 8592 4102 8577 4099 8577
4087 8599 4072 8631
$$6 follow-up statements
339
WGUS83 KIWX 080030
FLSIWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
830 PM EDT Fri Jul 7 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers...
Tippecanoe River near Ora affecting Fulton...Kosciusko...
Marshall...Pulaski and Starke Counties
Wabash River at Wabash affecting Cass...Miami and Wabash Counties
Eel River at North Manchester affecting Cass...Kosciusko...
Miami...Wabash and Whitley Counties
.Recent and persistent heavy rainfall has led to rises on area rivers.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Never drive vehicles through flooded areas. The water may be too deep
to allow safe passage. Never allow children to play in or near flood
waters. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or local media for further
statements and updated forecasts.
Detailed river forecasts and more information can be found on the
internet at www.weather.gov/iwx under Rivers and Lakes.
All times are in Eastern Time. This statement will be updated in
about 24 hours or sooner if necessary.
&&
INC017-085-103-169-183-090030-
/O.CON.KIWX.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-170711T0925Z/
/NMCI3.2.ER.170707T1848Z.170708T0600Z.170710T0925Z.NR/
830 PM EDT Fri Jul 7 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Eel River at North Manchester
* until late Monday night.
* At 7 PM Friday the stage was 12.3 feet and rising.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to a crest near 13.8 feet around 2
AM Saturday July 8 and fall below flood stage around 5 AM Monday
July 10.
* At 14.0 feet...South Mill Street Lumber Company begins to move
lumber to higher ground.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.5 feet which occurred
on Jun 16 2015.
&&
LAT...LON 4076 8635 4097 8592 4102 8577 4099 8577
4087 8599 4072 8631
$$
INC049-085-099-131-149-090029-
/O.CON.KIWX.FL.W.0089.170709T0200Z-170711T0000Z/
/ORAI3.1.ER.170709T0200Z.170709T1200Z.170710T0000Z.NO/
830 PM EDT Fri Jul 7 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tippecanoe River near Ora
* from Saturday evening to Monday evening.
* At 7 PM Friday the stage was 8.1 feet and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Saturday night
and crest near 12.3 feet around 8 AM Sunday July 9 and fall below
flood stage around 8 PM Sunday July 9.
* At 12.5 feet...Flooding begins to affect residences near the river.
&&
LAT...LON 4109 8658 4116 8660 4117 8656 4117 8653
4115 8657 4108 8655
$$
INC017-103-169-082353-
/O.CON.KIWX.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-170708T2353Z/
/WABI3.1.ER.170707T2312Z.170707T2330Z.170707T2353Z.NO/
830 PM EDT Fri Jul 7 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Wabash River at Wabash
* until Saturday evening.
* At 7 PM Friday the stage was 14.2 feet and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to a crest around 14.5 feet this evening.
&&
LAT...LON 4070 8618 4078 8619 4086 8570 4081 8568
4078 8582
$$127
WGUS83 KIWX 080122
FLSIWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
922 PM EDT Fri Jul 7 2017
...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following rivers...
Wabash River at Wabash affecting Cass...Miami and Wabash Counties
Eel River at North Manchester affecting Cass...Kosciusko...Miami...
Wabash and Whitley Counties
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers...
Tippecanoe River near Ora affecting Fulton...Kosciusko...
Marshall...Pulaski and Starke Counties
.Recent and persistent rainfall led to rises on area rivers.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Never drive vehicles through flooded areas. The water may be too deep
to allow safe passage. Never allow children to play in or near flood
waters. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or local media for further
statements and updated forecasts.
Detailed river forecasts and more information can be found on the
internet at www.weather.gov/iwx under Rivers and Lakes.
All times are in Eastern Time. This statement will be updated in
about 24 hours or sooner if necessary.
&&
INC017-085-103-169-183-090122-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-170711T0200Z/
/NMCI3.2.ER.170707T1848Z.170708T1200Z.170710T0200Z.NR/
922 PM EDT Fri Jul 7 2017
The Flood Warning has been extended for
The Eel River at North Manchester
* until Monday evening.
* At 8 PM Friday the stage was 12.7 feet and rising.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to a crest near 13.5 feet around 8
AM Saturday July 8 and fall below flood stage around 10 PM Sunday
July 9.
* At 13.5 feet...Significant flood problems in southwest Whitley and
northeast Wabash Counties along the Eel River. Mobile home park in
North Manchester begins to flood.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.5 feet which occurred
on Jun 16 2015.
&&
LAT...LON 4076 8635 4097 8592 4102 8577 4099 8577
4087 8599 4072 8631
$$
INC049-085-099-131-149-090122-
/O.CON.KIWX.FL.W.0089.170709T0200Z-170711T0000Z/
/ORAI3.1.ER.170709T0200Z.170709T1200Z.170710T0000Z.NO/
922 PM EDT Fri Jul 7 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tippecanoe River near Ora
* from Saturday evening to Monday evening.
* At 8 PM Friday the stage was 8.1 feet and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Saturday night
and crest near 12.3 feet around 8 AM Sunday July 9 and fall below
flood stage around 8 PM Sunday July 9.
* At 12.5 feet...Flooding begins to affect residences near the river.
&&
LAT...LON 4109 8658 4116 8660 4117 8656 4117 8653
4115 8657 4108 8655
$$
INC017-103-169-090121-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-170709T0900Z/
/WABI3.1.ER.170707T2312Z.170708T0600Z.170708T0900Z.NO/
922 PM EDT Fri Jul 7 2017
The Flood Warning has been extended for
The Wabash River at Wabash
* until late Saturday night.
* At 8 PM Friday the stage was 14.5 feet and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to a crest near 15.0 feet around 2
AM Saturday July 8 and fall below flood stage around 5 AM
Saturday July 8.
* At 14.0 feet...Lowland flooding begins in rural Wabash County.
&&
LAT...LON 4070 8618 4078 8619 4086 8570 4081 8568
4078 8582
$$697
WGUS83 KIWX 080723
FLSIWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
323 AM EDT Sat Jul 8 2017
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers...
Wabash River at Wabash affecting Cass...Miami and Wabash Counties
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers...
Tippecanoe River near Ora affecting Fulton...Kosciusko...
Marshall...Pulaski and Starke Counties
Eel River at North Manchester affecting Cass...Kosciusko...
Miami...Wabash and Whitley Counties
.Heavy rainfall Friday was causing flooding on the Eel River and is
expected to lead to flooding on the Tippecano River. Flooding along
the Wabash River has ended.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Never drive vehicles through flooded areas. The water may be too deep
to allow safe passage. Never allow children to play in or near flood
waters. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or local media for further
statements and updated forecasts.
Detailed river forecasts and more information can be found on the
internet at www.weather.gov/iwx under Rivers and Lakes.
All times are in Eastern Time. This statement will be updated in
about 24 hours or sooner if necessary.
&&
INC017-085-103-169-183-090723-
/O.CON.KIWX.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-170711T0200Z/
/NMCI3.2.ER.170707T1848Z.170708T1200Z.170710T0200Z.NR/
323 AM EDT Sat Jul 8 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Eel River at North Manchester
* until Monday evening.
* At 2 AM Saturday the stage was 13.4 feet and rising.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to a crest near 13.5 feet around 8
AM Saturday July 8 and fall below flood stage around 10 PM Sunday
July 9.
* At 13.5 feet...Significant flood problems in southwest Whitley and
northeast Wabash Counties along the Eel River. Mobile home park in
North Manchester begins to flood.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.5 feet which occurred
on Jun 16 2015.
&&
LAT...LON 4076 8635 4097 8592 4102 8577 4099 8577
4087 8599 4072 8631
$$
INC049-085-099-131-149-090723-
/O.CON.KIWX.FL.W.0089.170709T0200Z-170711T0000Z/
/ORAI3.1.ER.170709T0200Z.170709T1200Z.170710T0000Z.NO/
323 AM EDT Sat Jul 8 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tippecanoe River near Ora
* from this evening to Monday evening.
* At 2 AM Saturday the stage was 8.2 feet and steady.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Saturday night and
crest near 12.3 feet around 8 AM Sunday July 9 and fall below
flood stage around 8 PM Sunday July 9.
* At 12.5 feet...Flooding begins to affect residences near the river.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.1 feet which occurred
on Jun 29 2015.
&&
LAT...LON 4109 8658 4116 8660 4117 8656 4117 8653
4115 8657 4108 8655
$$
INC017-103-169-080753-
/O.CAN.KIWX.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-170709T0900Z/
/WABI3.1.ER.170707T2312Z.170708T0200Z.170708T0527Z.NO/
323 AM EDT Sat Jul 8 2017
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Wabash River at Wabash
* At 2 AM Saturday the stage was 13.4 feet
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage very early Saturday morning.
* Forecast...The river will fall to near 13.0 feet around 8 AM
Saturday July 8.
&&
LAT...LON 4070 8618 4078 8619 4086 8570 4081 8568
4078 8582
$$089
WGUS83 KIWX 081039
FLSIWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
639 AM EDT Sat Jul 8 2017
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers...
Tippecanoe River near Ora affecting Fulton...Kosciusko...Marshall...
Pulaski and Starke Counties
...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following rivers...
Eel River at North Manchester affecting Cass...Kosciusko...Miami...
Wabash and Whitley Counties
.Heavy rainfall on Friday will continue to result in flooding along the Eel River.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Never drive vehicles through flooded areas. The water may be too deep
to allow safe passage. Never allow children to play in or near flood
waters. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or local media for further
statements and updated forecasts.
Detailed river forecasts and more information can be found on the
internet at www.weather.gov/iwx under Rivers and Lakes.
All times are in Eastern Time. This statement will be updated in
about 24 hours or sooner if necessary.
&&
INC017-085-103-169-183-091039-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-170710T2230Z/
/NMCI3.2.ER.170707T1848Z.170708T1200Z.170709T2230Z.NR/
639 AM EDT Sat Jul 8 2017
The Flood Warning has been extended for
The Eel River at North Manchester
* until Monday evening.
* At 5 AM Saturday the stage was 13.4 feet and rising.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to a crest near 13.5 feet around 8
AM Saturday July 8 and fall below flood stage around 6 PM Sunday
July 9.
* At 13.5 feet...Significant flood problems in southwest Whitley and
northeast Wabash Counties along the Eel River. Mobile home park in
North Manchester begins to flood.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.5 feet which occurred
on Jun 16 2015.
&&
LAT...LON 4076 8635 4097 8592 4102 8577 4099 8577
4087 8599 4072 8631
$$
INC049-085-099-131-149-081109-
/O.CAN.KIWX.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-170711T0000Z/
/ORAI3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
639 AM EDT Sat Jul 8 2017
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Tippecanoe River near Ora
* At 5 AM Saturday the stage was 8.3 feet
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
&&
LAT...LON 4109 8658 4116 8660 4117 8656 4117 8653
4115 8657 4108 8655
$$093
WGUS83 KIWX 090157
FLSIWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
957 PM EDT Sat Jul 8 2017
...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following rivers...
Eel River at North Manchester affecting Cass...Kosciusko...Miami...
Wabash and Whitley Counties
Kankakee River at Davis affecting La Porte...Starke and St. Joseph
Counties
.Recent prolonged and heavy rainfall has led to rises on area rivers
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Never drive vehicles through flooded areas. The water may be too deep
to allow safe passage. Never allow children to play in or near flood
waters. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or local media for further
statements and updated forecasts.
Detailed river forecasts and more information can be found on the
internet at www.weather.gov/iwx under Rivers and Lakes.
All times are in Eastern Time. This statement will be updated in
about 24 hours or sooner if necessary.
&&
INC017-085-103-169-183-100157-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-170710T0229Z/
/NMCI3.2.ER.170707T1848Z.170708T1400Z.170709T0229Z.NO/
957 PM EDT Sat Jul 8 2017
The Flood Warning has been extended for
The Eel River at North Manchester
* until Sunday evening.
* At 9 PM Saturday the stage was 9.3 feet and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will fall below the 9.0 foot flood stage
around 11 PM Saturday July 8.
* At 9.0 feet...The river is at flood stage...minor agricultural
flooding occurs.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.1 feet which occurred
on Apr 12 2013.
&&
LAT...LON 4076 8635 4097 8592 4102 8577 4099 8577
4087 8599 4072 8631
$$
INC091-141-149-100156-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-170710T1200Z/
/DAVI3.1.ER.170708T1730Z.170708T2200Z.170709T1200Z.NO/
857 PM CDT Sat Jul 8 2017
The Flood Warning has been extended for
The Kankakee River at Davis
* until Monday morning.
* At 8 PM Saturday the stage was 10.0 feet and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will remain around flood stage through 1 AM
Sunday July 9, then fall below flood stage.
* At 10.0 feet...Flooding of low lying agricultural areas begins.
&&
LAT...LON 4145 8667 4144 8661 4130 8673 4131 8679
4143 8670
$$317
WGUS83 KIWX 090643
FLSIWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
243 AM EDT Sun Jul 9 2017
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers...
Eel River at North Manchester affecting Cass...Kosciusko...Miami...
Wabash and Whitley Counties
.Flooding has ended along the Eel River at North Manchester.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Never drive vehicles through flooded areas. The water may be too deep
to allow safe passage. Never allow children to play in or near flood
waters. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or local media for further
statements and updated forecasts.
Detailed river forecasts and more information can be found on the
internet at www.weather.gov/iwx under Rivers and Lakes.
All times are in Eastern Time. This statement will be updated in
about 24 hours or sooner if necessary.
&&
INC017-085-103-169-183-090713-
/O.CAN.KIWX.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-170710T0229Z/
/NMCI3.2.ER.170707T1848Z.170708T1400Z.170709T0218Z.NO/
243 AM EDT Sun Jul 9 2017
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Eel River at North Manchester
* At 1 AM Sunday the stage was 8.0 feet
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage last night.
* Forecast...The river will fall to near 7.2 feet around 8 AM Sunday
July 9.
&&
LAT...LON 4076 8635 4097 8592 4102 8577 4099 8577
4087 8599 4072 8631
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Northern Indiana wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jul 7, 11:38 AM EDT, 39 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 7, 11:38 AM EDT, 39 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
1138 AM EDT Fri Jul 7 2017
.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 343 AM EDT Fri Jul 7 2017
Showers and storms are expected today as a front crosses the region.
A few of these storms may be severe in the afternoon with damaging
winds and large hail the main threats. The best chances for severe
weather will be along and south of highway 24. Dry weather then
expected overnight through early Sunday with cooler and less humid
conditions. The chance for storms returns Sunday night through the
middle of next week.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 1106 AM EDT Fri Jul 7 2017
Updated grids earlier this morning to capture upscale growth of
convection across northern Indiana, and this convective cluster
has taken preferred path along pre-existing outflow boundary from
overnight convection across northeast Indiana/and northwest Ohio.
PWATS of 1.6+ inches, a weakness of upwind propagation vectors
this morning, and renewed development atop outflow boundary has
been conducive for heavy rainfall of 1 to 3 inches with localized
3+ inches where better training has occurred. Localized areas
along this preferred axis from Laporte county to Jay county may
experience rain amounts upward of 4 inches by later this
afternoon. Have gone ahead and issued short term Flash Flood watch
through early evening. Severe threat will also persist through
late afternoon with strong low level moisture convergence
immediately preceding frontal boundary. Ample instability south of
aggregate outflow boundary should allow for additional
development this afternoon across south/southwest portions of the
area through mid afternoon. Severe threat should diminish after
20Z.
&&
.SHORT TERM...(Today)
Issued at 343 AM EDT Fri Jul 7 2017
Convective trends for today remain the top concern of this forecast
package. Broad height falls enveloping the Great Lakes and surface
cold front slowly sagging south. Disparate clusters of convection
(severe at times) continuing to fire ahead of this front, driven
mainly by outflow/MCV from earlier storms. Front is not well-defined
across WI given this activity but better NW flow and cool/dry air
advection still appear across MN and northern WI. Seen some uptick
in lightning activity over the last hour or so with more favorably-
oriented line approaching GRR but still expect this activity to
slowly wane as it approaches IN/OH around sunrise. Moisture
convergence/LLJ is just not quite to the level necessary to sustain
early morning convection with increasingly diffuse convergence to
the E/SE across our area. Last few runs of HRRR (as well as most hi-
res CAMs) support this idea with convection decaying over our CWA
later this morning.
Main question is what impact this will have on our convective
chances later today, to which there is still not a clear-cut answer.
General trend in 00Z guidance is for a slightly later cold frontal
passage, potentially allowing better instability to build in our
CWA. There is certainly merit to this idea given surface front is
still well upstream and the real prominent shortwave is still in
Manitoba at press time. Parameters for at least scattered severe
weather are all there. Surface dewpoints are already near 70F and
may even climb a degree or two higher as moisture pools ahead of
front. Perhaps most disturbing is midlevel lapse rates hovering
around 7 C/km. This could yield SBCAPE of 2000+ J/kg by later today.
Wind/shear profiles are not exceptional but good enough for some
organized clusters. 0-6 km bulk shear values are around 25-30 kts
but similar values in the 0-3 km layer with 35-40kt winds at 700mb.
This morning convection is the wild card though. Hi-res depletes
this activity awfully quick given vigor of current updrafts and some
concern that composite outflow and cloud cover could disrupt/cap
instability later today. However, still think the effect of this
convection will be limited for at least our SE half given the
aformentioned factors this morning and the underlying ingredients
support a higher risk for severe weather in those SE areas this
afternoon, as reflected in the latest SWODY1. Damaging winds and
large hail will be the main threats with best guess on timing
currently 17-22Z. Expect a quick end to precip around 00Z with
strong push of cool/dry air for tonight.
&&
.LONG TERM...(Tonight through Thursday)
Issued at 343 AM EDT Fri Jul 7 2017
Tonight into the weekend still looking very pleasant with cool N/NW
flow (at least on Saturday), dry air advection, and general
subsidence on upwind side of departing trough. 850mb temps drop into
the single digits on Sat, yielding highs in the mid to upper 70s
under mostly sunny conditions. Surface dewpoints will crash to
around 50F and will feel spectacular by July standards (and recent
conditions). Overnight lows similarly refreshing, in the mid to
upper 50s. Flow does begin to back a bit on Sunday with some late
day low-level theta-e advection. Typically overzealous GFS kicks out
fairly widespread QPF but suspect any showers will be very isolated.
Forcing is highly questionable with a subtle, convectively-enhanced
shortwave possibly diving into our region Sunday night. Some modest
WAA but system-relative isentropic ascent and moisture advection are
weak with lack of any pronounced LLJ. Enough moisture/instability to
warrant a slight chance PoP late in the day but expect limited
coverage and no severe threat.
Mid/upper level flow becomes more zonal heading into the first half
of next week, allowing warm/humid conditions to sweep back into the
Ohio Valley with periodic showers and storms likely. Largely
diurnally driven on Monday but better chances appear Tue/Wed as
Hudson Bay low briefly dips S/SE and tightens thermal gradient
across southern Great Lakes. Still many details to work out with
regard to exact timing and placement of best precip chances so stuck
close to concensus initialization with blanket low chance PoPs
through much of the period.
&&
.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Saturday Morning)
Issued at 650 AM EDT Fri Jul 7 2017
Scattered thunderstorms along outflow boundary were movg se across
nrn IN attm. Expect this activity to grdly intensify with diurnal
heating and sink s-se with apchg cdfnt, so best potential for
storms this aftn at FWA. Given expected very unstable conditions
by aftn and modest deep layer shear, a svr storm with damaging
winds and large hail is psbl but threat too low attm to include
that detail in the taf attm. Otrws, with fropa sw winds will shift
to nw this aftn with vfr conditions prevailing in its wake through
tonight.
&&
.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...Flash Flood Watch until 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ this evening for
INZ003>005-008-009-012>018-022>027-032>034.
MI...NONE.
OH...Flash Flood Watch until 8 PM EDT this evening for OHZ015-016-024-
025.
LM...NONE.
&&
UPDATE...Marsili
SYNOPSIS...AGD
SHORT TERM...AGD
LONG TERM...AGD
AVIATION...JT
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www.youtube.com/NWSNorthernIndianaHazardous weather outlook, Jul 7, 10:54 AM EDT, 1 hour 23 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Northern Indiana 1054 AM EDT Fri Jul 7 2017 INZ004>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ078>081-OHZ001-002-004-005- 015-016-024-025-081500- St. Joseph IN-Elkhart-Lagrange-Steuben-Noble-De Kalb-Starke-Pulaski- Marshall-Fulton IN-Kosciusko-Whitley-Allen IN-White-Cass IN-Miami- Wabash-Huntington-Wells-Adams-Grant-Blackford-Jay-Cass MI- St. Joseph MI-Branch-Hillsdale-Williams-Fulton OH-Defiance-Henry- Paulding-Putnam-Van Wert-Allen OH- 1054 AM EDT Fri Jul 7 2017 /954 AM CDT Fri Jul 7 2017/ This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southwest Michigan...northern Indiana and northwest Ohio. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Thunderstorms are likely into this evening. Some of these storms may be severe with damaging winds and large hail. Torrential rainfall is also possible and will bring the chance for flash flooding. Please see the latest watches, warnings and advisories for the most current information. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday There are chances for thunderstorms through much of next week. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed into this evening. && Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates...or check our web site at weather.gov/iwx INZ003-MIZ077-081500- La Porte-Berrien- 1054 AM EDT Fri Jul 7 2017 /954 AM CDT Fri Jul 7 2017/ This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southwest Michigan and northern Indiana. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Thunderstorms are possible today. Small hail, gusty winds and heavy rainfall are all possible. Hazardous swimming conditions are possible along Lake Michigan beaches late today and into tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday There are chances for thunderstorms through much of next week. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed. && Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates...or check our web site at weather.gov/iwx LMZ043-046-081500- New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI-Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI- 1054 AM EDT Fri Jul 7 2017 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of The Nearshore Waters of Southeastern Lake Michigan. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Conditions hazardous to small craft may be possible late today and into tonight. Thunderstorms are possible again later today with large hail and wind gusts over 40 knots. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday There are chances for thunderstorms through much of next week. && Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates...or check our web site at weather.gov/iwx
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jul 7, 11:30 AM EDT, 47 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1130 AM EDT FRI JUL 7 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1129 AM HAIL LA PORTE 41.61N 86.72W
07/07/2017 M0.50 INCH LA PORTE IN PUBLIC
FROM SOCIAL MEDIA.
&&
GHLocal storm report, Jul 7, 11:32 AM EDT, 45 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1132 AM EDT FRI JUL 7 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1132 AM TSTM WND GST 2 SW DECATUR 40.82N 84.95W
07/07/2017 E60 MPH ADAMS IN TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
GHLocal storm report, Jul 7, 12:00 PM EDT, 17 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1200 PM EDT FRI JUL 7 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1158 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 E CLAYPOOL 41.13N 85.86W
07/07/2017 M3.66 INCH KOSCIUSKO IN COCORAHS
RAINFALL IN JUST OVER 2 HOURS.
&&
SKIPLocal storm report, Jul 7, 12:10 PM EDT, 7 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1210 PM EDT FRI JUL 7 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1209 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 SSW LINKVILLE 41.39N 86.31W
07/07/2017 MARSHALL IN EMERGENCY MNGR
TREES DOWN ACROSS THE ROAD AND A TREE ONTO
POWERLINES.
&&
GHSpecial weather statement, Jul 7, 12:11 PM EDT, 6 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
1211 PM EDT FRI JUL 7 2017
INZ017-018-024>026-032-071700-
Wabash-Whitley-Huntington-Allen-Wells-Grant-
1211 PM EDT FRI JUL 7 2017
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN ALLEN...WABASH...
NORTHEASTERN GRANT...SOUTHWESTERN WHITLEY...HUNTINGTON AND WELLS
COUNTIES...
At 1211 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Andrews, or
near Huntington, moving southeast at 55 mph.
Winds in excess of 40 mph and dime size hail are possible with this
storm.
Locations impacted include...
Huntington, Wabash, Bluffton, Ossian, South Whitley, Andrews, Markle,
La Fontaine, Van Buren, Aboite, Roanoke, Warren, Lancaster,
Zanesville, Lagro, Uniondale, Mount Etna, Mcnatts, Yoder and Landess.
This includes the following highways...
Interstate 469 near mile marker 0, between mile markers 2 and 3, and
between mile markers 7 and 8.
Interstate 69 in Indiana between mile markers 265 and 298.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
LAT...LON 4049 8545 4081 8591 4112 8559 4089 8507
4079 8507 4057 8535 4057 8545
TIME...MOT...LOC 1611Z 298DEG 46KT 4092 8558
LEWISLocal storm report, Jul 7, 12:16 PM EDT, 1 minute before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1216 PM EDT FRI JUL 7 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1130 AM TSTM WND DMG 1 SSE DECATUR 40.82N 84.92W
07/07/2017 ADAMS IN PUBLIC
TREE UPROOTED NEAR BELLMONT IN DECATUR.
&&
GHThe office that day
Everything else NWS Northern Indiana issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 7, 3:18 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | IWX | 57 min | |
| Jul 7, 3:27 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | IWX | LaPorte | 48 min |
| Jul 7, 3:59 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Elkhart | 46 min |
| Jul 7, 4:18 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | IWX | Saint Joseph | 27 min |
| Jul 7, 4:22 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Elkhart, Saint Joseph | 23 min |
| Jul 7, 4:46 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Elkhart, Kosciusko, LaGrange, Noble, Saint Joseph, Steuben | 44 min |
| Jul 7, 7:40 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | IWX | Saint Joseph | 50 min |
| Jul 7, 7:49 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | IWX | 26 min | |
| Jul 7, 8:11 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | IWX | Elkhart | 34 min |
| Jul 7, 8:13 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | IWX | LaPorte, Starke | 47 min |
| Jul 7, 8:18 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | IWX | Saint Joseph | 27 min |
| Jul 7, 8:25 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Elkhart, Kosciusko, LaPorte, Marshall, Saint Joseph | 65 min |
| Jul 7, 8:40 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | IWX | LaPorte, Saint Joseph | 4 hr |
| Jul 7, 8:40 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | LaPorte, Starke | 35 min |
| Jul 7, 8:56 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | IWX | Saint Joseph | 34 min |
| Jul 7, 9:11 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Kosciusko, Noble, Whitley | 49 min |
| Jul 7, 9:24 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Elkhart, LaGrange | 36 min |
| Jul 7, 9:47 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | IWX | LaPorte, Marshall, Saint Joseph, Starke | 3 hr |
| Jul 7, 9:49 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Huntington, Kosciusko, Wabash, Whitley | 26 min |
| Jul 7, 9:57 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | IWX | DeKalb, LaGrange, Steuben | 33 min |
| Jul 7, 10:12 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | IWX | 33 min | |
| Jul 7, 10:16 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | LaPorte, Saint Joseph | 44 min |
| Jul 7, 10:22 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | IWX | Huntington | 38 min |
| Jul 7, 10:29 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Huntington, Kosciusko, Wabash, Whitley | 46 min |
| Jul 7, 10:53 AM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | IWX | Adams, Allen, Blackford, Cass, DeKalb, Elkhart and 12 more | 6 hr |
| Jul 7, 11:04 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | IWX | Adams, Allen, Fulton, Grant, Huntington, Kosciusko and 8 more | 6 hr |
| Jul 7, 11:06 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Fulton, Marshall, Saint Joseph, Starke | 39 min |
| Jul 7, 11:15 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Adams, Blackford, Jay, Wells | 45 min |
| Jul 7, 11:27 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Kosciusko, Marshall, Noble, Whitley | 33 min |
| Jul 7, 12:11 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | IWX | Huntington, Wabash, Wells | 49 min |
| Jul 7, 1:10 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | IWX | Starke | 35 min |
| Jul 7, 1:22 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | IWX | Pulaski, Starke | 38 min |
| Jul 7, 1:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Grant, Miami | 46 min |
| Jul 7, 1:54 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | IWX | Blackford, Cass, Fulton, Grant, Jay, LaPorte and 5 more | 3 hr |
| Jul 7, 2:15 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Pulaski, White | 30 min |
| Jul 7, 3:47 PM EDT | River Flood Warning | IWX | Fulton, Kosciusko, Marshall, Pulaski, Starke | 3 days |
| Jul 7, 3:54 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | IWX | White | 36 min |
| Jul 7, 5:01 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | IWX | Fulton, Huntington, Kosciusko, LaPorte, Marshall, Miami and 5 more | 12 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Indiana, 2017Every river flood warning in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.