Severe Thunderstorm Warning 110, NWS Indianapolis, IN

988 
WWUS53 KIND 071901
SVSIND

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
301 PM EDT FRI JUL 7 2017

INC015-067-071930-
/O.CON.KIND.SV.W.0110.000000T0000Z-170707T1930Z/
Carroll IN-Howard IN-
301 PM EDT FRI JUL 7 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN CARROLL AND NORTHWESTERN HOWARD COUNTIES...

At 301 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 9 miles south of
Logansport, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Ping pong ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Kokomo and Burlington. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4056 8613 4048 8614 4048 8616 4049 8650
      4069 8642 4069 8637 4056 8637
TIME...MOT...LOC 1901Z 269DEG 29KT 4062 8643 

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

AW/JH

103 
WWUS53 KIND 071912
SVSIND

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
312 PM EDT FRI JUL 7 2017

INC015-067-071922-
/O.CAN.KIND.SV.W.0110.000000T0000Z-170707T1930Z/
Carroll IN-Howard IN-
312 PM EDT FRI JUL 7 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN CARROLL AND
NORTHWESTERN HOWARD COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore the warning has been cancelled.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 900 PM EDT for
central and north central Indiana.

Remember, a Severe Thunderstorm Warning still remains in effect for
Central Howard County

LAT...LON 4056 8613 4048 8614 4048 8616 4049 8650
      4069 8642 4069 8637 4056 8637
TIME...MOT...LOC 1911Z 269DEG 29KT 4062 8631 

$$

AW/JH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
245 PM EDT Fri Jul 7 2017

.UPDATE...The SYNOPSIS...NEAR TERM and SHORT TERM sections have been
updated below.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 245 PM EDT Fri Jul 7 2017

A cold front will drop southeast of central Indiana tonight which
will put a brief end to the unsettled weather. More storms are
possible Sunday afternoon through late next week as a front camps
out nearby and upper waves move through the Great Lakes and Ohio
Valley in northwest flow aloft.

High pressure will result in not as warm temperatures on Saturday.
However, temperatures will return to near normal by Sunday and
remain that way through next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /Late this Afternoon and Tonight/...
Issued at 245 PM EDT Fri Jul 7 2017

Main focus through the evening will be on severe possibility along
with how long to hold on to pops.

Latest surface analysis was showing a cold front from near Chicago
to extreme southeastern Iowa. In addition, there were outflow
boundaries over north central Indiana and also from around Rushville
to Kokomo in addition to a pre-frontal trough. Finally, the water
vapor loop was showing an upper trough diving southeast across the
upper Midwest.

These lifting mechanisms were interacting with a warm, moist and
moderately unstable atmosphere and sparking several strong to severe
thunderstorms just north of our northern border over the Chicago and
Northern Indiana County Warning Areas per the KLOT-88D, KIWX-88D and
KIN-88D loops. There is an Enhanced Risk for severe storms over much
of central Indiana and a Severe Thunderstorm Watch through 01z over
all but our extreme southwestern counties. The High Resolution Rapid
Refresh continues to suggest the storms will finally make decent
progress southeast across our forecast area after 20z. The front
should move into south central Indiana toward 00z tonight and south
of the area after 03z. This should bring an end to the thunderstorms
from northwest to southeast behind the cold front, and by 02-03z
across our far southern counties, per the High Resolution Rapid
Refresh.

Damaging winds and large hail have been and should continue to be
the main severe threats with mediocre and uni-direction shear.

Should see partial clearing and a cooler and drier airmass behind
the front. With post-frontal dew points in the lower 60s, blend lows
in the 60s look ok.

&&

.SHORT TERM /Saturday through Monday/...
Issued at 245 PM EDT Fri Jul 7 2017

Main focus will be on timing and coverage of thunderstorms late
weekend and early next week.

Models in good agreement that high pressure will result in dry
weather through at least Sunday morning. However, an upper wave in
northwest flow aloft and lingering low level moisture suggest there
could still be some afternoon cu per the cu development progs.
Northwest winds behind the cold front will result in not as warm
temperatures Saturday with highs in the upper 70s northeast to
middle 80s southwest per superblend.

By Sunday afternoon the high will move into the Appalachians. This
will result in southwest low level inflow of increasing moisture and
instability over the Ohio Valley. Also, models were hinting at a
weak upper wave moving across the area in the northwest flow aloft.
Thus, the blend continues to advertise low pops Sunday afternoon. As
such, confidence is not great that we will see thunderstorms Sunday
afternoon, but low pops look reasonable. The southwest low level
winds and partly sunny skies should also allow for temperatures to
return to near normal with highs in the lower 80s northeast to the
upper 80s southwest.

Models hint that more upper waves will drop southeast over the area
in the northwest flow aloft Sunday night and Monday. In addition,
the humid southwest moderately unstable inflow increases a bit and
thus regional blend pops increase a bit, which seems reasonable.

&&

.LONG TERM /Monday Night Through Friday/...
Issued at 211 PM EDT Fri Jul 7 2017

Models are close enough that the model blend initialization
was accepted for most items.

The forecast area will remain on the edge of an upper high through
the long term period. A surface front will remain in the vicinity
through much of the period as well. As upper energy moves around the
edge of the high and interacts with the surface front and a warm and
humid atmosphere, thunderstorms should develop from time to time.

There is low confidence in the timing and location of the storms
that far out in the forecast given the variability in upper waves
and potential location of the surface front. Will keep PoPs in
chance category or lower through the period.

&&

.AVIATION /Discussion for the 071800Z TAF Cycle/...

Issued at 157 PM EDT Fri Jul 7 2017

VFR conditions currently will potentially give way to temporarily
deteriorating conditions as TAF sites are possibly impacted by
convection ahead of an advancing cold front. Difficult aviation
forecast for 1800Z TAF Cycle as confidence not high in how current
and near future convection with evolve. Currently, the highest
confidence that showers and thunderstorms will affect any of the
TAF sites exists at LAF and potentially IND. Due to higher
confidence in these locations...a two hour TEMPO group has been
added to account for this possibility. MVFR ceilings and IFR
visibilities are expected under these convective showers and
storms...potentially worse under stronger thunderstorms. With a
Severe Thunderstorm Watch being issued across all TAF sites until
08/0100Z...damaging wind gusts and large hail should also be a
consideration. VCTS has been continued at HUF and BMG with the
possibility that they are impacted from 1900Z to 080100Z.

Expect current SW to WSW winds at 10 to 12 kts...gusting to 20
kts to continue to veer to the W then WNW to NW throughout the
rest of the evening and overnight as a frontal boundary will push
through the area from the northwest.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...MK
NEAR TERM...MK
SHORT TERM...MK
LONG TERM....50
AVIATION...MRD

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
939 AM EDT Fri Jul 7 2017

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-081345-
Carroll-Warren-Tippecanoe-Clinton-Howard-Fountain-Montgomery-Boone-
Tipton-Hamilton-Madison-Delaware-Randolph-Vermillion-Parke-Putnam-
Hendricks-Marion-Hancock-Henry-Vigo-Clay-Owen-Morgan-Johnson-Shelby-
Rush-Sullivan-Greene-Monroe-Brown-Bartholomew-Decatur-Knox-Daviess-
Martin-Lawrence-Jackson-Jennings-
Including the cities of Lafayette, Frankfort, Kokomo,
Crawfordsville, Anderson, Muncie, Indianapolis, Terre Haute,
Shelbyville, Bloomington, Columbus, Vincennes, Bedford, and Seymour
939 AM EDT Fri Jul 7 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for central Indiana.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Outlook: Severe thunderstorms are possible across central Indiana
this afternoon and evening.

Hazards: Damaging winds, large hail, isolated tornadoes, heavy rain,
localized flooding.

Timing: Best chances for severe will be between 1200 PM through 900
PM.

Discussion: A cold front will approach from the upper midwest this
afternoon and evening. Thunderstorms, possibly severe, are expected
to develop along and ahead of the front.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Outlook: There is a slight chance for Thunderstorms on Sunday
afternoon and evening. More thunderstorms will be possible from
Monday through Thursday. It is too soon to determine if the storms
will be severe. Lightning is a threat with any thunderstorm.

Discussion: Daily chances for storms returns Sunday onward
as a warm and humid air mass will be in place across Central Indiana
and several upper level weather disturbances arrive from the
northwest.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon and evening.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and climate
information can be found at http://weather.gov/ind

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
1152 AM EDT FRI JUL 7 2017

INZ041-042-071630-
Randolph IN-Delaware IN-
1152 AM EDT FRI JUL 7 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN RANDOLPH AND NORTHERN
DELAWARE COUNTIES UNTIL 1230 PM EDT...

At 1150 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Celina to Redkey. Movement was east at 45
mph.

Half inch hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Winchester, Albany, Union City, Eaton, Ridgeville and Saratoga.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 500 PM EDT for
east central Indiana.

LAT...LON 4038 8558 4038 8522 4031 8522 4031 8480
      4012 8481
TIME...MOT...LOC 1550Z 278DEG 40KT 4058 8461 4032 8516

AW/CS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
151 PM EDT FRI JUL 7 2017

INZ031-071830-
Howard IN-
151 PM EDT FRI JUL 7 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN HOWARD COUNTY UNTIL
230 PM EDT...

At 151 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Bunker Hill, or 7 miles southeast of Grissom Afb, moving east at 25
mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Converse.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 900 PM EDT for
central Indiana.

LAT...LON 4046 8586 4056 8618 4057 8602 4057 8587
TIME...MOT...LOC 1751Z 282DEG 23KT 4058 8604

AW/50

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
238 PM EDT FRI JUL 7 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     HAIL             4 W ROSSVILLE           40.42N 86.67W
07/07/2017  E1.25 INCH       CLINTON            IN   PUBLIC

            IN EDNA MILLS.

&&

MRD