Alert archive / Ohio / Flash Flood Warnings in 2017

Flash Flood Warning 62, NWS Wilmington, OH

July 10, 2017Fairfield County, Licking County, Ohio

NWS Wilmington, OH issued this flash flood warning at Jul 10, 2017, 4:34 PM EDT for Fairfield County, Licking County, Ohio. It was in force for 3 hr. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jul 10, 2017, 4:34 PM EDT (20:34 UTC)
Expired: Jul 10, 2017, 7:30 PM EDT
In force: 3 hr
Issued by: NWS Wilmington, OH
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: None

Counties Fairfield County, OH, Licking County, OH

The radar

The Cincinnati radar (KILN), 131 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jul 10, 5:10 PM EDT	HEAVY RAIN 1	3 Sse Slate Run Metro P, OH	FELL IN PAST 20 MINUTES
Jul 10, 7:15 PM EDT	FLASH FLOOD	2 Nw Lancaster, OH	HIGH WATER ON NORTH COLUMBUS STREET.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 129 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 235 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -85 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 985 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 294 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 291 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

069 
WGUS51 KILN 102034
FFWILN
OHC045-089-102330-
/O.NEW.KILN.FF.W.0062.170710T2034Z-170710T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
434 PM EDT MON JUL 10 2017

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Northern Fairfield County in central Ohio...
  Southern Licking County in central Ohio...

* Until 730 PM EDT.

* At 433 PM EDT, radar indicated that thunderstorms had produced
  heavy rain across the warned area. Up to one inch of rain has 
  already fallen. Heavy rain continues to fall with another inch 
  possible. Runoff from this excessive rainfall will cause flash 
  flooding to occur.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Newark, Lancaster, Reynoldsburg, Pickerington, Heath, Granville,
  Pataskala, Canal Winchester, Baltimore, Buckeye Lake, Hebron,
  Bremen, Millersport, Pleasantville, Hanover, Harbor Hills,
  Granville South, Marne, Fairfield Beach and Beechwood Trails.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Move to higher ground now. Act quickly to protect your life.

To report flash flooding, go to our website at weather.gov/iln and
submit your report via social media, when you can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 3995 8220 3995 8223 3991 8223 3993 8246
      3984 8247 3983 8240 3975 8240 3974 8237
      3971 8237 3972 8283 3998 8277 4010 8276
      4015 8219

$$

Novak

1 follow-up statement

766 
WGUS71 KILN 102238
FFSILN

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
638 PM EDT MON JUL 10 2017

OHC045-089-102248-
/O.CAN.KILN.FF.W.0062.000000T0000Z-170710T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Fairfield OH-Licking OH-
638 PM EDT MON JUL 10 2017

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR NORTHERN FAIRFIELD AND SOUTHERN
LICKING COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

Flood waters have receded and are no longer expected to pose a threat
to life or property. Please continue to heed any road closures.

Please report previous flash flooding to the National Weather Service
by going to our website at weather.gov/iln and submitting your report
via social media.

LAT...LON 3995 8220 3995 8223 3991 8223 3993 8246
      3984 8247 3983 8240 3975 8240 3974 8237
      3971 8237 3972 8283 3998 8277 4010 8276
      4015 8219

$$

JDR

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wilmington, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 10, 2:09 PM EDT, 2 hours 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 10, 2:09 PM EDT, 2 hours 25 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
209 PM EDT Mon Jul 10 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Disturbances traveling along a slow moving front will provide
the focus for thunderstorms today through Tuesday. Hot
temperatures are expected Wednesday when the front is forecast
to lift north of the area. The likelihood for thunderstorms will
return Thursday as the front sags south toward the Ohio River.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
MCV moving into northwest Ohio will continue east. Already
starting to see new convection develop out ahead of this
feature. These storms will push through central Ohio this
afternoon. Additional activity diving southeast across western
Indiana should weaken as it approaches the forecast area. While
there is still potential for strong to severe storms and locally
heavy rain, that threat seems to be lower than earlier
anticipated. Minor adjustment to highs were made based on
trends.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/...
With the frontal boundary remaining in Ohio, the threat for
thunderstorms will persist tonight through Tuesday. Timing and
location of mesoscale elements is uncertain, but it appears
that a round of thunderstorms triggered by a short wave rippling
along the front will affect mainly northern locations tonight.
Following a diurnal lull Tuesday morning, additional
thunderstorms may develop Tuesday afternoon as the front sags
farther south to Central Ohio.

Expect temperatures to stay near normal, with highs in the mid
and upper 80s.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A surface front is expected to lift north Wednesday with pops
decreasing from south to north. In the warm sector, Wednesday looks
to be the warmest day of the week with highs from the upper 80s
north to the lower 90s south.

Surface wave to track through the Great Lakes with associated cold
front dropping south into the Ohio Valley Thursday night/early
Friday. This front will increase chances for thunderstorms and
therefore have continued high chance pops Thursday. On the warm side
of the system, expect high mainly in the mid and upper 80s Thursday.

In the wake of the front surface high pressure to build southeast
into the region later Friday into Saturday. Expect dry conditions
with cooler temperatures. Highs Friday and Saturday are forecast in
the lower and middle 80s.

In the northwest flow the model solutions are showing a secondary
front which drops southeast through the Ohio Valley. Considerable
timing differences exist regarding this feature. Due to uncertainty
and lack of moisture will limit any mention of precipitation to
slight chance pops Saturday night into early Sunday. Highs on Sunday
look to continue close to normal, ranging from the lower 80s north
and mid 80s south. Surface high pressure to provide dry weather and
cooler temperatures with highs on Monday ranging from near 80 north
to the lower 80s south.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Developing thunderstorms may impact the Columbus TAFs early in
the period. Otherwise, the probability of any terminals being
impacted by showers and thunderstorms through the rest of the
daytime period is low. So VFR will prevail although south
southwest winds will remain gusty until around 00Z.

Appears that additional showers and thunderstorms will form
north of the region and sag south overnight. Due to timing
uncertainties, have used a broad range of VCSH/VCTS to indicate
the period of greatest potential. South winds will be persistent
through the night.

There is some potential for MVFR ceilings to develop and impact
locations from KDAY to KCMH/KLCK late in the TAF period.

OUTLOOK...Thunderstorms possible Tuesday and evening and then
again Thursday and Friday.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Coniglio
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...Coniglio
LONG TERM...AR
AVIATION...

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 10, 5:28 AM EDT, 11 hours 6 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
528 AM EDT Mon Jul 10 2017

INZ050-058-059-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-060>065-073-074-110930-
Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize-Darke-Shelby-Logan-
Union OH-Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark-Madison-Franklin OH-Licking-
Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH-Pickaway-Fairfield-Ross-Hocking-
528 AM EDT Mon Jul 10 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for East Central Indiana, Central
Ohio, Southwest Ohio and West Central Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Several rounds of thunderstorms are expected to move across the
region today. Some of these storms could produce damaging straight
line winds and large hail. Heavy rainfall may also occur which could
lead to localized flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Hot and humid conditions are expected Wednesday and Thursday which
may result in heat indices rising into the mid to upper 90s both
days.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

INZ066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ070>072-077>082-088-110930-
Franklin IN-Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-
Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-
Butler-Warren-Clinton-Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-Highland-Adams-Pike-
Scioto-
528 AM EDT Mon Jul 10 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Southeast Indiana, Northeast
Kentucky, Northern Kentucky and Southwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Thunderstorms developing today will result in heavy downpours that
may cause localized flooding. In addition, some thunderstorms may
produce isolated damaging wind gusts and large hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Hot and humid conditions are expected Wednesday and Thursday which
may result in heat indices rising into the mid to upper 90s both
days.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 10, 4:09 PM EDT, 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
409 PM EDT MON JUL 10 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0405 PM     FLOOD            DUBLIN                  40.12N 83.13W
07/10/2017                   FRANKLIN           OH   PUBLIC

            UNCONFIRMED REPORT OF TUNNELS ON STATE ROUTE 161 CLOSED
            DUE TO 12-18 INCHES OF STANDING WATER.

&&

JGIBSON

Local storm report, Jul 10, 4:11 PM EDT, 23 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
411 PM EDT MON JUL 10 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0407 PM     HAIL             GROVE CITY              39.87N 83.07W
07/10/2017  M0.88 INCH       FRANKLIN           OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JGIBSON

Local storm report, Jul 10, 4:24 PM EDT, 10 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
424 PM EDT MON JUL 10 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0410 PM     TSTM WND GST     KTZR BOLTON FIELD       39.90N 83.14W
07/10/2017  M46 MPH          FRANKLIN           OH   AWOS

&&

JGIBSON

Local storm report, Jul 10, 4:26 PM EDT, 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
426 PM EDT MON JUL 10 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0416 PM     HEAVY RAIN       5 NNW DOWNTOWN COLUMBUS 40.03N 83.03W
07/10/2017  M2.02 INCH       FRANKLIN           OH   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

JGIBSON

Local storm report, Jul 10, 4:30 PM EDT, 4 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
430 PM EDT MON JUL 10 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0429 PM     HAIL             LANCASTER               39.72N 82.60W
07/10/2017  M1.50 INCH       FAIRFIELD          OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

Local storm report, Jul 10, 4:33 PM EDT, 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
433 PM EDT MON JUL 10 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0416 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 S GAHANNA             39.97N 82.88W
07/10/2017                   FRANKLIN           OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            REPORTS OF ROAD CLOSURES ALONG HAMILTON ROAD.

&&

JGIBSON

The office that day

Everything else NWS Wilmington, OH issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 10, 6:15 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Hardin	45 min
Jul 10, 7:25 AM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ILN	Hardin	95 min
Jul 10, 10:38 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Clinton	37 min
Jul 10, 11:51 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Hardin	24 min
Jul 10, 12:14 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Hardin	16 min
Jul 10, 12:28 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Hardin	32 min
Jul 10, 12:37 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Logan	38 min
Jul 10, 12:45 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Delaware	45 min
Jul 10, 1:19 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Licking	41 min
Jul 10, 2:01 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Champaign, Delaware, Union	44 min
Jul 10, 2:25 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILN	Delaware, Union	35 min
Jul 10, 2:30 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Franklin	45 min
Jul 10, 2:38 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILN	Champaign, Delaware, Franklin, Madison, Union	52 min
Jul 10, 2:59 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILN	Delaware, Licking	46 min
Jul 10, 3:05 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Madison	25 min
Jul 10, 3:12 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILN	Delaware, Fairfield, Franklin, Licking	48 min
Jul 10, 3:18 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ILN	Delaware, Fairfield, Franklin, Licking, Madison, Union	3 hr
Jul 10, 3:22 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Union	38 min
Jul 10, 3:26 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Licking	49 min
Jul 10, 3:28 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Pickaway	32 min
Jul 10, 3:47 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILN	Fairfield, Franklin, Licking	43 min
Jul 10, 3:52 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Madison	38 min
Jul 10, 3:54 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILN	Franklin, Madison, Pickaway	36 min
Jul 10, 3:57 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Franklin	33 min
Jul 10, 3:57 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILN	Fairfield, Franklin, Hocking, Pickaway	33 min
Jul 10, 4:00 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ILN	Fairfield, Licking	3 hr
Jul 10, 4:12 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	ILN	Franklin	3 hr
Jul 10, 4:29 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILN	Fairfield, Hocking	31 min
Jul 10, 4:29 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILN	Fairfield, Franklin, Licking, Pickaway	46 min
Jul 10, 4:39 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Franklin	36 min
Jul 10, 4:58 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILN	Hocking	32 min
Jul 10, 5:00 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Fairfield	15 min
Jul 10, 5:11 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	ILN	Fairfield, Franklin, Hocking, Pickaway	3 hr
Jul 10, 5:14 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Fairfield, Hocking, Pickaway	46 min
Jul 10, 5:36 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Hocking	24 min
Jul 10, 5:41 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Franklin	49 min
Jul 10, 5:45 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILN	Hocking	15 min
Jul 10, 5:50 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	ILN	Fairfield, Hocking	3 hr
Jul 10, 5:56 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Hocking	64 min
Jul 10, 6:09 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILN	Hocking	22 min
Jul 10, 6:28 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Franklin	32 min
Jul 10, 7:56 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	ILN	Mercer	49 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Ohio, 2017 Every flash flood warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.