Flash Flood Warning 54, NWS Wilmington, OH

782 
WGUS71 KILN 232357
FFSILN

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
757 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

KYC023-OHC001-015-025-131-145-240006-
/O.CAN.KILN.FF.W.0054.000000T0000Z-170624T0015Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Bracken KY-Clermont OH-Brown OH-Adams OH-Pike OH-Scioto OH-
757 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR NORTHERN BRACKEN...SOUTHEASTERN
CLERMONT...CENTRAL BROWN...NORTHERN ADAMS...PIKE AND NORTHWESTERN
SCIOTO COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

Although the threat for flash flooding has ended, high water remains 
across the region due to the recent heavy rainfall. A flood advisory 
will remain in effect for this evening.

Please report previous flash flooding to the National Weather Service
by going to our website at weather.gov/iln and submitting your report
via social media.

LAT...LON 3888 8423 3902 8366 3917 8279 3895 8281
      3870 8422

$$

Hickman

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
350 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will drop southeast across the area this evening
and will interact with the moisture from the remnants of
Tropical Storm Cindy. This will produce periods of heavy rain
this afternoon into tonight. Behind the system, temperatures
will drop below normal for the weekend and into early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...
Showers and thunderstorms continue across the central parts of
the CWA this afternoon with a surface cold front currently
located near Fort Wayne, IN. Tropical Depression Cindy was
centered over western Kentucky and is forecasted to eject
northeast this evening. Latest runs of the ARW, NMM have the
center of Cindy tracking just south of Lewis county KY. The
latest 18z KILN forecast sounding also showed a PWAT of 2.22".
Even though this does not break the daily record it is near the
max value.

Showers and thunderstorms will likely continue and slowly sag
southwards this afternoon. This is in part to the extremely high
moisture and the approaching RRQ from the upper level trough
axis. Due to the mentioned above have continued the Flash Flood
Watch as is for the entire area. It should also be noted that
across our southwestern zones rain has yet to occur allowing the
atmosphere to destabilize. ML Cape values of 1000 J/kg with
effective shear of ~40kts will allow for some storms to become
severe. Damaging winds and isolated tornadoes will be the
primary threat.

Finally the upper level trough axis will push directly
overhead. As this occurs a surface cold front will move through
the area around 10pm. The surface cold front will then clear the
area early Saturday morning. Right behind the cold front winds
will pickup briefly as strong CAA moves in.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
During the day Saturday surface high pressure over the midwest
will slowly nudge into the area with PWATs plummeting from 2.22"
to less than 0.80" by Saturday evening. During the day Saturday
some high res models are indicating some pop up showers possible
but looking at forecast soundings shows that there will likely
not be enough moisture for this. Overall have kept precipitation
out of the forecast for Saturday. High temperatures Saturday
will be in the mid to upper 70s with dewpoints falling off into
the upper 50s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Mean mid level trof over the Great Lakes with surface high pressure
nosing into the Ohio Valley this weekend. A few showers or
thunderstorms will be possible across the north during the afternoon
Sunday. Cool temperatures look to be 5 to 10 degrees below normal
with highs on Sunday from the lower 70s north to the upper 70s far
south.

Mean trof becomes more amplified over the area, so a contd threat of
showers or thunderstorms will be continued Monday. Cool temperatures
to continue with Mondays highs expected to be in the lower 70s.

Warm front to develop over the Great Lakes with southerly flow
increasing. Temperatures will continue to moderate with highs
Thursday in the lower and middle 80s.

The ECMWF and Canadian solns bringing a progressive system through
the Great Lakes Thursday, while the GFS holds off pcpn.  With an
increase in moisture have allowed for a slight chance of a
thunderstorm but confidence is not high in this chance.

Models solns sharpen up mid level trof over the eastern Great Lakes
which may lead to a few showers or thunderstorms over the
northeastern counties. Rather cool readings to continue Tuesday
with highs generally in the mid 70s.

Surface high pressure slide east with southerly low level developing
on its back side at midweek. Expect dry conditions with a warming
trend. Temperatures will be closer to normal with highs on Wednesday
in the lower 80s.

Westerly flow aloft with surface wave tracking through the northern
Great Lakes. This will allow an associated surface front to drop
south into the southern Great Lakes and stall out. Have limited
pops to chance category with the highest pops northwest Thursday. On
the warm side of this system, expect temperatures to reach highs  in
the lower and middle 80s Thursday.

Another progressive wave and associated frontal boundary expected to
approach from the west increasing thunderstorm chances Friday into
Friday night. Model solution strength and timing differences exist
regarding this system. Due to this spread, uncertainty
increases.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A band of showers with some embedded thunder are currently
located along a KDAY to KCMH line. A secondary batch of showers
have formed just to the south with coverage expected to continue
into the afternoon. This secondary batch has had a little more
instability to work with and therefore some gusty winds will be
possible. A surface cold front was also currently located in
northwestern Indiana. Tropical Depression Cindy will also
continue to push northeast and bring a second batch of rain
which should be mainly south of the TAF sites.

During the day today most of the TAF sites will be MVFR with
restrictions to VLIFR in heavier cells. Later this evening the
front will slowly sag southeast pushing the rain southeast with
it.

Overnight tonight skies will slowly clear from the northwest as
the cold front pushes through. Guidance is hinting at some
lower visbilities Saturday morning as skies clear, but with
dropping dewpoints have decided to leave this mention out.
Saturday afternoon weak CAA overhead and ~20kt low level jet
will allow for some wind gusts in the TAFs. The GFS and NAM
forecast soundings are indicating around 20kts possible via
momentum transfer.

OUTLOOK...Intermittent MVFR ceilings possible Saturday through
Tuesday.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...Flash Flood Watch until 2 AM EDT Saturday for OHZ042>046-
     051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088.
KY...Flash Flood Watch until 2 AM EDT Saturday for KYZ089>100.
IN...Flash Flood Watch until 2 AM EDT Saturday for INZ050-058-059-
     066-073>075-080.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Haines
NEAR TERM...Haines
SHORT TERM...Haines
LONG TERM...AR
AVIATION...Haines

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
354 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>095-OHZ042>046-051>056-060>062-
070-071-077-242000-
Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-
Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant-Darke-
Shelby-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark-Madison-
Franklin OH-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Butler-Warren-Hamilton-
354 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SATURDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for East Central Indiana,
Southeast Indiana, Northern Kentucky, Central Ohio, Southwest Ohio
and West Central Ohio.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

Additionally, storms this afternoon ahead of the cold front have the
potential to become strong with gusty winds being the main threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters should activate and report significant weather conditions.

KYZ096>100-OHZ063>065-072>074-078>082-088-242000-
Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Fayette OH-Pickaway-
Fairfield-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Clermont-Brown-Highland-Adams-Pike-
Scioto-
354 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SATURDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Northeast Kentucky, Northern
Kentucky, Central Ohio and Southwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

In addition to the flood threat, there is a chance of severe
thunderstorms this afternoon. The main threat will be strong
straight line winds, but an isolated tornado can not be rule out.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters should activate and report significant weather conditions.

OHZ026-034-035-242000-
Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize-
354 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for West Central Ohio.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Periods of heavy rain today could lead to localized flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters should activate and report significant weather conditions.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
444 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0440 PM     FLASH FLOOD      SW SABINA               39.49N 83.64W
06/23/2017                   CLINTON            OH   PUBLIC

            HIGH WATER REPORTED IN SEVREAL LOCATIONS ALONG US 22 IN
            SABINA. TIME ESTIMATED.

&&

KC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
446 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0309 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 ESE CARBON HILL       39.49N 82.22W
06/23/2017                   HOCKING            OH   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE DOWN ON CARBON HILL RD.

&&

HAINES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
447 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0438 PM     FLASH FLOOD      6 WSW GREENFIELD        39.33N 83.49W
06/23/2017                   HIGHLAND           OH   AMATEUR RADIO

            TWO TO THREE INCHES OF WATER REPORTED IN SEVERAL PLACES
            OVER BOTH LANES OF CENTERFIELD RD. TIME ESTIMATED.

&&

KC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
450 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0257 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 W ROCKBRIDGE          39.58N 82.55W
06/23/2017                   HOCKING            OH   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE DOWN ON OPOSSUM HOLLOW ROAD.

&&

HAINES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
509 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0507 PM     HEAVY RAIN       3 W CHEVIOT             39.16N 84.67W
06/23/2017  M3.77 INCH       HAMILTON           OH   COCORAHS

            RAINFALL AMOUNT MEASURED IN THE LAST 10 HOURS.

&&

HICKMAN

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
520 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

KYZ097>099-232145-
Robertson KY-Mason KY-Bracken KY-
520 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WESTERN MASON...ROBERTSON AND
BRACKEN COUNTIES UNTIL 545 PM EDT...

At 520 PM EDT, radar indicated a strong thunderstorm near
Brooksville, moving east at 35 mph.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
Winds to 40 mph...
Very heavy rainfall...

Locations impacted include...
Maysville, Washington, Brooksville, Mount Olivet, Germantown, Sardis,
Murphysville, Alhambra, Stonewall, Powersville, Johnsville, Chatham,
Tuckahoe, Hittville, Minerva, Abigail, Neave, Woolcutt and Milford.

To report hazardous weather conditions, go to our website at
weather.gov/iln and submit your report via social media, when you can
do so safely.

LAT...LON 3858 8421 3859 8420 3861 8421 3865 8421
      3877 8414 3874 8386 3862 8379 3849 8392
      3849 8393 3846 8397
TIME...MOT...LOC 2120Z 282DEG 32KT 3867 8413

Hatzos