Flash Flood Warning 51, NWS Wilmington, OH

063 
WGUS71 KILN 232015
FFSILN

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
415 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

KYC015-037-117-OHC025-061-165-232230-
/O.CON.KILN.FF.W.0051.000000T0000Z-170623T2230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Kenton KY-Campbell KY-Boone KY-Hamilton OH-Clermont OH-Warren OH-
415 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR NORTHERN KENTON...NORTHERN CAMPBELL...
NORTHERN BOONE...CENTRAL HAMILTON...NORTHERN CLERMONT AND
SOUTHEASTERN WARREN COUNTIES REMAINS IN EFFECT Until 630 PM EDT...

At 414 PM EDT, radar and automated rain gauges indicated that heavy 
rain had fallen across the warned area. Gauges indicated in excess 
of 3 inches of rain has already fallen in Hamilton County, with 
another 1 to 2 inches possible across the entire warned area. Runoff 
from this excessive rainfall will cause flash flooding to occur. 
Urban areas will be particularly susceptible to flash flooding. 

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Cincinnati, Covington, Florence, Norwood, Erlanger, Fort Thomas,
Newport, Blue Ash, Loveland, Reading, Montgomery, North College Hill,
Madeira, Edgewood, Elsmere, Wyoming, Cheviot, Fort Mitchell, Villa
Hills and Highland Heights.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Move to higher ground now. Act quickly to protect your life. 

To report flash flooding, go to our website at weather.gov/iln and
submit your report via social media, when you can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 3917 8482 3925 8433 3930 8400 3908 8402
      3895 8482

$$

Binau

921 
WGUS71 KILN 232207
FFSILN

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
607 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

KYC015-037-117-OHC025-061-165-232217-
/O.CAN.KILN.FF.W.0051.000000T0000Z-170623T2230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Kenton KY-Campbell KY-Boone KY-Hamilton OH-Clermont OH-Warren OH-
607 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR NORTHERN KENTON...NORTHERN CAMPBELL...
NORTHERN BOONE...CENTRAL HAMILTON...NORTHERN CLERMONT AND
SOUTHEASTERN WARREN COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The heavy rain has ended and flash flooding is no longer expected to 
pose a threat. However, a Flood Warning remains in effect due to 
numerous road closures and many low lying areas being inundated with 
water. 

Please report previous flash flooding to the National Weather Service
by going to our website at weather.gov/iln and submitting your report
via social media.

LAT...LON 3917 8482 3925 8433 3930 8400 3908 8402
      3895 8482

$$

Binau

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
155 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will drop southeast across the area today and will
interact with the moisture from the remnants of Tropical Storm
Cindy. This will produce periods of heavy rain today into
tonight. Behind the system, temperatures will drop below normal
for the weekend and into early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
Latest radar imagery continues to show showers and thunderstorms
filling in across our northwestern counties. Latest surface
analysis revealed a cold front pushing southeast across central
Illinois with Tropical Depression Cindy located over Arkansas.
At 23.12z the 250 mb analysis showed a jet streak located over
Wisconsin with a sub-tropical ridge located over Florida.
Streamlines clearly indicated upper level diffluence as wind
barbs showed splitting flow over northern Indiana. The best
upper level divergence (from a RRQ) was also located over
northern Indiana. Not surprisingly some totals above 4.00" have
been reported across the area. This upper level diffluence and
divergence will slowly sag southeast today along with the
surface cold front. At 500 mb the shortwave axis extended from
Arkansas north and east towards Indiana. The PWAT on the latest
KILN sounding was 1.93".

Latest high res guidance continues to show band of showers and
thunderstorms slowly washing over the area and sagging
southwards. Given the above have made only minor cosmetic
changes to forecast given current radar trends. Will also keep
flood watch as is with widespread rainfall totals of one to
three inches still in the forecast. Some isolated totals up to
four inches will be possible.

Prev Discussion->
A complex scenario is setting up across the region today. Deep
tropical moisture has been lifting into the region ahead of what
remains of Cindy. Band of showers associated with that moisture
has is now lifting across the nrn counties.

As the center of Cindy lifts north today, the models develop a
band of heavy rain across the region. Models have been
struggling with their placement of the band. The last few runs
of the RAP and HRRR have trended towards a more southern
placement, bringing the heavy rain swath into the Cinci Tri-
State around 12Z. Previous models were showing this a little
farther to the north.

So expect this first heavy rain band to affect se IN into srn
OH this morning. Then as the cdfnt drops south today, showers
and thunderstorms will drop down from nrn OH/IN and will combine
into a large swath. 1.5 to 2 inches of rain will be possible in
the srn areas, with locally higher amounts possible. Will keep
the flash flood watch up as is.

In addition to the flood threat today, there will be a chance of
severe weather se of I-71. A 40-50 kt jet which is forecast to
move across TN into srn KY this afternoon, creates favorable
low-level shear. Storms will be capable of producing strong
winds along with a tornado.

Highs today will range from the mid 70s in the Whitewater Valley
to the lower 80s in the lower Scioto Valley and ne KY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/...
Showers and thunderstorms will still be ongoing this evening
with heavy rain still affecting the southeast. The precipitation
will push east of the region during the first half of the night.
Temperatures will drop down to the lower to mid 60s. An isolated
location in the nw might reach the upper 50s.

On Saturday, a S/W will swing across nrn OH in the fast
westerly H5 flow. Showers try to develop across nrn Ohio on
Saturday. For now left them north of the region, but this might
have to be adjusted in later forecasts. Highs will range from
the mid 70s in the nw to lower 80s in the se on Saturday.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Surface high will nose in from the sw Saturday night. The clouds
should scattered out as a result. Lows will drop down into the
mid and upper 50s.

Another S/W pivots through the Great Lakes on Sunday. Once again
this may lead to few showers but left the region dry at this
point. Temperatures will be cool Sunday, with highs in the
mid/upper 70s.

With another s/w and the mean mid level trof across the Great Lakes
can not rule out an afternoon shower mainly across the north Monday.
Will limit these pops to slight chance. Temperatures look to be
about 10 degrees below normal with highs on Monday in the lower and
middle 70s.

Models solns sharpen up mid level trof over the eastern Great Lakes
which may lead to a few showers or thunderstorms over the
northeastern counties. Rather cool readings to continue Tuesday
with highs generally in the mid 70s.

Surface high pressure slide east with southerly low level developing
on its back side at midweek. Expect dry conditions with a warming
trend. Temperatures will be closer to normal with highs on Wednesday
in the lower 80s.

Warm front to develop over the Great Lakes with southerly flow
increasing. Temperatures will continue to moderate with highs
Thursday in the lower and middle 80s.

The ECMWF and Canadian solns bringing a progressive system through
the Great Lakes Thursday, while the GFS holds off pcpn.  With an
increase in moisture have allowed for a slight chance of a
thunderstorm but confidence is not high in this chance.

&&

.AVIATION /17Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A band of showers with some embedded thunder are currently
located along a KDAY to KCMH line. A secondary batch of showers
have formed just to the south with coverage expected to continue
into the afternoon. This secondary batch has had a little more
instability to work with and therefore some gusty winds will be
possible. A surface cold front was also currently located in
northwestern Indiana. Tropical Depression Cindy will also
continue to push northeast and bring a second batch of rain
which should be mainly south of the TAF sites.

During the day today most of the TAF sites will be MVFR with
restrictions to VLIFR in heavier cells. Later this evening the
front will slowly sag southeast pushing the rain southeast with
it.

Overnight tonight skies will slowly clear from the northwest as
the cold front pushes through. Guidance is hinting at some
lower visbilities Saturday morning as skies clear, but with
dropping dewpoints have decided to leave this mention out.
Saturday afternoon weak CAA overhead and ~20kt low level jet
will allow for some wind gusts in the TAFs. The GFS and NAM
forecast soundings are indicating around 20kts possible via
momentum transfer.

OUTLOOK...Intermittent MVFR ceilings possible Saturday through
Tuesday.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for OHZ042>046-051>056-
     060>065-070>074-077>082-088.
KY...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for KYZ089>100.
IN...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for INZ050-058-059-066-
     073>075-080.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Haines/Sites
NEAR TERM...Haines/Sites
SHORT TERM...Sites
LONG TERM...AR
AVIATION...Haines

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
639 AM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089-OHZ042>046-051>056-060>062-070-
071-077-241045-
Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-
Switzerland-Carroll-Darke-Shelby-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Miami-
Champaign-Clark-Madison-Franklin OH-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-
Butler-Warren-Hamilton-
639 AM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for East Central Indiana,
Southeast Indiana, Northern Kentucky, Central Ohio, Southwest Ohio
and West Central Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

Additionally, storms this afternoon ahead of the cold front have the
potential to become strong with gusty winds being the main threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

KYZ090>100-OHZ063>065-072>074-078>082-088-241045-
Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-
Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Fayette OH-Pickaway-Fairfield-Clinton-Ross-
Hocking-Clermont-Brown-Highland-Adams-Pike-Scioto-
639 AM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Northeast Kentucky, Northern
Kentucky, Central Ohio and Southwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

In addition to the flood threat, there is a chance of severe
thunderstorms this afternoon. The main threat will be strong
straight line winds, but an isolated tornado can not be rule out.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

OHZ026-034-035-241045-
Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize-
639 AM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for West Central Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Periods of heavy rain today could lead to localized flooding.
Additionally, storms this afternoon ahead of the cold front have the
potential to become strong with gusty winds being the main threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
132 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0123 PM     TSTM WND GST     KILN WILMINGTON APT     39.43N 83.79W
06/23/2017  M48.00 MPH       CLINTON            OH   ASOS

&&

HATZOS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
159 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 PM     FLASH FLOOD      5 N ENGLEWOOD           39.94N 84.29W
06/23/2017                   MIAMI              OH   PUBLIC

            HIGH WATER ACROSS BOTH LANES OF FREDERICK-GARLAND ROAD
            NEAR STATE ROUTE 48.

&&

JGIBSON

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
208 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

OHZ055-056-064-065-074-231845-
Licking OH-Fairfield OH-Franklin OH-Hocking OH-Pickaway OH-
208 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN FRANKLIN...
FAIRFIELD...HOCKING...EASTERN PICKAWAY AND SOUTHERN LICKING COUNTIES
UNTIL 245 PM EDT...

At 208 PM EDT, radar indicated a strong thunderstorm over Canal
Winchester, moving northeast at 55 mph.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
Winds to 45 mph...
Very heavy rainfall...

Locations impacted include...
Columbus, Newark, Lancaster, Reynoldsburg, Gahanna, Pickerington,
Circleville, Heath, Logan, Granville, Pataskala, Canal Winchester,
Nelsonville, Groveport, Baltimore, Buckeye Lake, Hebron, Bremen,
Millersport and Pleasantville.

This includes I-70 in Ohio between mile markers 109 and 140.

To report hazardous weather conditions, go to our website at
weather.gov/iln and submit your report via social media, when you can
do so safely.

LAT...LON 3947 8217 3947 8228 3939 8229 3956 8299
      4006 8282 4017 8232 3991 8225 3993 8246
      3984 8247 3983 8240 3975 8240 3974 8237
      3960 8238 3959 8226 3956 8226 3955 8216
TIME...MOT...LOC 1808Z 240DEG 47KT 3982 8280

Hatzos

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
211 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0207 PM     TSTM WND GST     KLCK RICKENBACKER APT   39.81N 82.93W
06/23/2017  M46.00 MPH       FRANKLIN           OH   AWOS

&&

HATZOS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
219 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0200 PM     HEAVY RAIN       3 NE BEAVERCREEK        39.76N 84.02W
06/23/2017  M2.20 INCH       GREENE             OH   COCORAHS

            RAINFALL SINCE 7 AM.

&&

JGIBSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
335 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0323 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 SW LEESBURG           39.32N 83.59W
06/23/2017                   HIGHLAND           OH   PUBLIC

            FLOWING WATER REPORTED OVER SEVERAL LOCATIONS ALONG 72 N
            BETWEEN SAMANTHA AND HIGHLAND. ROAD IMPASSABLE.

&&

KC