Alert archive / Kansas / Special Weather Statements in 2017

Special Weather Statement, NWS Wichita, KS

June 15, 2017Neosho County, Kansas

NWS Wichita, KS issued this special weather statement at Jun 15, 2017, 1:23 AM CDT for Neosho County, Kansas. It was in force for 22 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 15, 2017, 1:23 AM CDT (06:23 UTC)
Expired: Jun 15, 2017, 1:45 AM CDT
In force: 22 min
Issued by: NWS Wichita, KS

County Neosho County, KS

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 145 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KFOE), launched 00:00Z, 6.4 hours before the alert went out and 147 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 3093 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -6 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1467 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 54 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 97 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.4
Supercell composite: 5.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wichita, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jun 14, 11:40 PM CDT, 1 hour 43 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 14, 11:40 PM CDT, 1 hour 43 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1140 PM CDT Wed Jun 14 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday night)
Issued at 249 PM CDT Wed Jun 14 2017

Clusters of strong-severe storms should develop this
afternoon/evening near a remnant outflow boundary near/south of the
I-70 corridor, from northeast Kansas into central Missouri, in an
uncapped, strongly unstable airmass. Other, more isolated storms
or perhaps small clusters are expected to develop along a weakened
cold front in the Flint Hills and south-central Kansas, perhaps
aided by a weak 700 mb thermal trough moving eastward over Kansas.
Relatively higher probabilities for storms in the forecast area
will exist in far southeast Kansas through tonight, given some
southward propagation/development of any clusters in western
Missouri and far eastern Kansas.

The front is progged to lift northward into northern Kansas by
midday Thursday, with a possible triple point in northwest Kansas.
Rich, Gulf moisture will characterize the warm sector with extreme
diurnal instability (MLCAPES 3500-5500 j/kg), and west-northwest
flow aloft providing very favorable directional shear for organized
severe storms. The models have shown a fairly consistent signal for
moisture convergence on the nose of a 35-40 knot 850 mb jet, along
with 700 mb warm air advection in the vicinity of the front/triple
point during the afternoon/evening hours with weakening convective
inhibition. A few supercell-type storms may initiate near the
referenced triple point/front early to mid afternoon. The initial
storms would be capable of isolated large to potentially very
large hail occurrences, with a likely transition into a severe
MCS cluster, with a southeastward propagation along the 700 mb
baroclinic zone in the northwest flow aloft. Large downdraft CAPE
will favor cold pool development and potential acceleration of
this MCS cluster during the pm/eve hours, with the main threat
becoming damaging winds- with a few reports of high-end wind
damage plausible. Consensus of short range guidance would place
highest storm chances from central and south-central Kansas into
the Flint Hills, although an adjustment in the exact path is
certainly possible in later model runs given the mesoscale
characteristics. Peak heat indices of 100-104 degrees are
indicated during the afternoon across much of the area.

Not much change is expected in the pattern Friday into the daytime
hours Saturday, with above normal temperatures and peak heat indices
of 100-104. A more substantial cold front is still progged to move
southward through Kansas Saturday night resulting in a chance of
thunderstorms, with higher probabilities slated in the east.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Wednesday)
Issued at 249 PM CDT Wed Jun 14 2017

Cooler/drier air is progged to infiltrate the region behind the
front Sunday into Monday. For Tuesday-Wednesday, mean upper level
troughing is progged to continue across the Great Lakes/Ohio
Valley, with an upper high over the southwestern states. Weak-
moderate west-northwesterly flow aloft will be in place across
the central Plains, with warming temperatures and returning Gulf
moisture. Chances for storms could return by mid week, along with
temperatures warming slightly above normal.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday night)
Issued at 1138 PM CDT Wed Jun 14 2017

A few storms will continue to linger for locations along and
southeast of the Kansas turnpike tonight. The storms should
gradually diminish before sunrise then redevelop again by mid
afternoon over central/south central Kansas. The coverage of
thunderstorms looks to increase for Thursday afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    71  97  70  96 /  20  40  50  10
Hutchinson      68  97  69  96 /  10  50  40  10
Newton          70  96  69  94 /  20  40  50  10
ElDorado        71  94  69  92 /  30  30  60  10
Winfield-KWLD   72  96  71  95 /  30  20  50  10
Russell         65  96  66  96 /   0  50  20  20
Great Bend      65  97  67  97 /   0  50  10  10
Salina          68  97  69  97 /  10  40  40  20
McPherson       68  96  68  96 /  10  50  40  10
Coffeyville     72  93  71  92 /  40  20  50  10
Chanute         71  93  71  91 /  40  20  50  20
Iola            70  93  71  91 /  40  20  40  20
Parsons-KPPF    72  93  71  92 /  40  20  50  20

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...JMC
LONG TERM...JMC
AVIATION...CDJ

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 14, 6:34 PM CDT, 6 hours 49 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
634 PM CDT Wed Jun 14 2017

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-152345-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
634 PM CDT Wed Jun 14 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

A few strong to severe storms will be possible into the late
evening hours, along and southeast of the Kansas Turnpike. The main
threats from any storms that develop, will be hail up to quarter
size and damaging winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

A few severe storms are expected to develop over north central
Kansas Thursday afternoon, with the storms possibly merging into a
southeastward-moving severe storm cluster during the late afternoon
and evening hours. The initial storms will be capable of isolated
occurrences of large to very large hail, with a transition to
damaging winds as the storms merge into a cluster or two.

Storm chances will remain in the forecast for Friday night through
Saturday night with at least some strong storms possible.

Heat index values of 100 to 104 degrees are expected for Thursday
through Saturday area wide, during the afternoon hours.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 14, 10:27 PM CDT, 2 hours 56 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1027 PM CDT WED JUN 14 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1026 PM     HAIL             DERBY                   37.55N 97.26W
06/14/2017  M1.25 INCH       SEDGWICK           KS   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC REPORT VIA TWITTER OF HALF DOLLAR SIZED HAIL.

&&

VJP

Local storm report, Jun 14, 10:30 PM CDT, 2 hours 53 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1030 PM CDT WED JUN 14 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1030 PM     HAIL             ROSE HILL               37.57N 97.13W
06/14/2017  E1.00 INCH       BUTLER             KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

VJP

Local storm report, Jun 14, 10:44 PM CDT, 2 hours 39 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1044 PM CDT WED JUN 14 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1040 PM     HAIL             OAKLAWN                 37.61N 97.30W
06/14/2017  E1.00 INCH       SEDGWICK           KS   AMATEUR RADIO

            QUARTER SIZED HAIL AT 47TH STREET SOUTH AND CLIFTON.
            THERE IS ALSO MINOR STREET FLOODING.

1040 PM     FLOOD            OAKLAWN                 37.61N 97.30W
06/14/2017                   SEDGWICK           KS   AMATEUR RADIO

            MINOR STREET FLOODING REPORTED WITH 0.75 INCHES OF RAIN
            IN THIRTY MINUTES.

&&

VJP

Local storm report, Jun 14, 10:55 PM CDT, 2 hours 28 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1055 PM CDT WED JUN 14 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0950 PM     HEAVY RAIN       DOUGLASS                37.52N 97.01W
06/14/2017  M2.00 INCH       BUTLER             KS   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC REPORT VIA TWITTER AND KAKE OF 2 INCHES OF RAIN IN
            A FEW HOURS. TIME IS BASED ON REPORT.

&&

VJP

Local storm report, Jun 14, 10:58 PM CDT, 2 hours 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1058 PM CDT WED JUN 14 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1057 PM     HEAVY RAIN       ROSE HILL               37.57N 97.13W
06/14/2017  M1.57 INCH       BUTLER             KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTS 1.57 INCHES OF RAIN IN A FEW
            HOURS.

&&

VJP

Special weather statement, Jun 15, 1:23 AM CDT, 0 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
123 AM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

KSZ072-096-150645-
Neosho KS-Allen KS-
123 AM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a

* Significant Weather Advisory for...
  Northern Neosho County in southeastern Kansas...
  Southeastern Allen County in southeastern Kansas...

* Until 145 AM CDT

* At 120 AM CDT...National Weather Service meteorologists were
  tracking a strong thunderstorm 6 miles northwest of Erie...moving
  northeast at 40 mph.

Hail up to the size of nickels and winds up to 50 mph are possible
with this storm.

* Locations impacted include...
  Chanute, Erie, Savonburg, Elsmore and Stark.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be prepared to take shelter in the event the storms intensify and
become severe...or a warning is issued by the National Weather
Service.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3782 9509 3761 9509 3750 9538 3766 9549
      3788 9508 3782 9508
TIME...MOT...LOC 0621Z 240DEG 48KT 3763 9535

ES

The office that day

Everything else NWS Wichita, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 14, 7:39 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	ICT	Butler	66 min
Jun 14, 8:00 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	ICT	Butler	60 min
Jun 14, 8:43 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	ICT	Butler	62 min
Jun 14, 9:09 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	ICT	Cowley	66 min
Jun 14, 9:38 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Butler, Sedgwick	67 min
Jun 14, 10:23 PM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	ICT	Butler, Sedgwick	6 hr
Jun 14, 10:35 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Butler, Sedgwick	55 min
Jun 14, 11:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Sedgwick	36 min
Jun 14, 11:33 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	ICT	Butler, Sedgwick	6 hr
Jun 15, 1:37 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Allen, Neosho	53 min
Jun 15, 2:19 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Allen	39 min
Jun 15, 2:31 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	ICT	Russell	59 min
Jun 15, 3:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Ellsworth, Lincoln, Russell	61 min
Jun 15, 3:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Barton, Russell	57 min
Jun 15, 4:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Ellsworth, Lincoln, McPherson, Marion, Rice, Saline	75 min
Jun 15, 4:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Barton, Russell	64 min
Jun 15, 4:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Barton	62 min
Jun 15, 5:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	McPherson, Marion, Saline	52 min
Jun 15, 5:34 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Barton, Ellsworth, Rice	56 min
Jun 15, 5:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Chase, Marion	67 min
Jun 15, 6:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Harvey, McPherson, Reno, Rice	73 min
Jun 15, 6:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	McPherson, Marion	46 min
Jun 15, 6:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Butler, Chase, Marion	55 min
Jun 15, 6:39 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Butler, Harvey, Kingman, Reno, Sedgwick	81 min
Jun 15, 6:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Butler, Chase, Greenwood, Marion	73 min
Jun 15, 6:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Chase, Marion	52 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Kansas, 2017 Every special weather statement in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.