Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 326, NWS Goodland, KS

October 2, 20175 counties in Kansas

NWS Goodland, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Oct 2, 2017, 8:32 PM CDT for 5 counties in Kansas. It was in force for 58 min. 5 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Oct 2, 2017, 8:32 PM CDT (01:32 UTC)
Expired: Oct 2, 2017, 9:30 PM CDT
In force: 58 min
Issued by: NWS Goodland, KS
Area: Storm-based polygon
Tornado: Possible
Hail: 1.75 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Decatur County, KS, Gove County, KS, Graham County, KS, Logan County, KS, Sheridan County, KS

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 115 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Oct 2, 8:34 PM CDT	HAIL 1.5	5 Ese Park, KS
Oct 2, 8:45 PM CDT	TSTM WND DMG	Quinter, KS	LARGE TREE UPROOTED AND NUMEROUS 4 TO 6 INCH TREE BRANCHES DOWN ACROSS TOWN.
Oct 2, 9:40 PM CDT	TSTM WND DMG	Quinter, KS	ADDITIONAL DAMAGE REPORT RECIEVED FOR THIS REGION. DOORS REMOVED FROM A BUILDING, AS WELL AS WINDOWS BEING SUCKED OUT OF THE BUILDING. THERE WAS ALSO A 2 FOOT DIAMETER LIVING TREE THAT WAS SNAPPED IN HALF. TIME IS BASED ON PREVIOUS REPORT.
Oct 2, 9:40 PM CDT	TSTM WND DMG	Quinter, KS	SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE REPORTED IN QUINTER. BUILDINGS DESTROYED AND A SEMI TRAILER OVERTURNED.
Oct 2, 9:40 PM CDT	TSTM WND DMG	Quinter, KS	SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE REPORTED ON THE EAST SIDE OF QUINTER. A QUONSET BUILDING WAS DESTROYED AND THE ROOF WAS PEELED BACK FROM THE CITY SHOP BUILDING AT FIFTH AND LONG ST. A SEMI TRAILER WAS OVERTURNED AND BLOWN INTO THE ROAD AT OLD 40 AND LONG.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 2 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 2 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Oct 2, 5:25 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 00:00Z, 1.5 hours before the alert went out and 156 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2098 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -53 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1361 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 71 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 234 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 1.0
Supercell composite: 10.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

954 
WUUS53 KGLD 030132
SVRGLD
KSC039-063-065-109-179-030230-
/O.NEW.KGLD.SV.W.0326.171003T0132Z-171003T0230Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Goodland KS
832 PM CDT MON OCT 2 2017

The National Weather Service in Goodland has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Southeastern Logan County in west central Kansas...
  Sheridan County in northwestern Kansas...
  South central Decatur County in northwestern Kansas...
  Gove County in west central Kansas...
  Southwestern Graham County in northwestern Kansas...

* Until 930 PM CDT

* At 832 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 4 miles northwest
  of Lenora, or 16 miles southwest of Norton, moving northeast at 60
  mph.

  HAZARD...Golf ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts. 

  SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

  IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
           damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect 
           wind damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

* Locations impacted include...
  Hoxie, Quinter, Grainfield, Grinnell, Gove, Morland and Park. 

This includes Interstate 70 in Kansas between mile markers 77 and
111.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for northwestern
and west central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3913 10003 3913 10015 3905 10015 3870 10061
      3870 10113 3913 10078 3913 10072 3921 10072
      3967 10035 3931 9980
TIME...MOT...LOC 0132Z 218DEG 51KT 3964 10008 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

EV

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Goodland, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Oct 2, 4:04 PM CDT, 4 hours 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 2, 4:04 PM CDT, 4 hours 28 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
304 PM MDT Mon Oct 2 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This afternoon through tonight)
Issued at 303 PM MDT Mon Oct 2 2017

Amplified pattern remains in place with large scale upper trough
over the western US, and southwest flow over the Central High
Plains. A stalled front is just east of our CWA, with stratus
extending west over much of our CWA. There has been a trend in
stratus beginning to break up, particularly in our southwest.

This afternoon-Tonight: There is a sharp cutoff along the frontal
zone in our east where supercell development is possible this
afternoon/evening. Deep strong shear has already developed as strong
sw flow overrides low level veering along frontal zone (mesoanalysis
shows bulk effective shear around 50kt). Short range guidance still
supports this front lifting northwest, and this could allow more
favorable air mass/instability to build into our CWA. There has been
very little movement so far, and if the front remains further south
this could limit severe threat further south and east.

Better forcing increases as a shortwave troughs the base of the
upper trough and interacts with elevated frontal zone over the rest
of our CWA. Elevated instability isn't as high, but high shear will
be in place as evening moves on. High resolution guidance continues
to indicate several clusters or linear segments forming and this may
support more of a wind threat late this evening (assuming winds are
able to penetrate stable low levels at that point).

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Monday)
Issued at 303 PM MDT Mon Oct 2 2017

Tuesday-Friday night: Large scale upper low will be slow to break
down, with individual closed centers breaking off across the
northern plains. Deep moisture builds with the southwest flow ahead
of the trough and with a stalled frontal zone in place we will see
increasing precip chances. Temps are particularly trick as period of
cloud cover and precip could hold highs down, while between
shortwaves we should see increasing WAA and highs closer to upper
70s/near 80F.

Sunday-Monday: Stronger upper troughs from Canada begin to drop
towards the plains during these periods. Precip chances are less
certain due to dry air mass ahead of these troughs, however we may
see the coldest air mass of the season so far reach our CWA by
Monday-Monday night and increasing frost potential.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 1152 AM MDT Mon Oct 2 2017

Low stratus is lingering along a front southeast of both KGLD and
KMCK. As this front lifts northwest MVFR conditions will begin to
build over both terminals, with IFR possible late tonight (low
confidence on this). Current obs/model trend is to slow down the
timing, and I adjusted TAFs to reflect this. Showers/thunderstorms
are also expected to develop along this front, with coverage
increasing this evening at both terminals. Best overall chance for
lower cigs and thunderstorms will be at KMCK this evening.
Another cold front moves through the region tonight with winds
shifting to the northwest, and then conditions improving by 12Z.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...DR
LONG TERM...DR
AVIATION...DR

Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 2, 12:20 PM CDT, 8 hours 12 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Goodland KS
1120 AM MDT Mon Oct 2 2017

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-031730-
Yuma County-Kit Carson County-Cheyenne County-Cheyenne-Rawlins-
Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas-Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-
Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock-Red Willow-
1120 AM MDT Mon Oct 2 2017 /1220 PM CDT Mon Oct 2 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska...
northwest Kansas and east central Colorado.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop east of
Highway 83 this afternoon, with coverage increasing across the entire
region this evening. Severe weather will be possible across the
region. The best chance for severe weather will be east of Highway
83 this afternoon and early evening, where hail greater than 2
inches, damaging winds in excess of 60 mph, and a few tornadoes will
be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed after 1 PM MDT (2 PM CDT) through
this evening.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Oct 2, 8:08 PM CDT, 24 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
708 PM MDT MON OCT 02 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0651 PM     HAIL             6 S GOVE                38.88N 100.51W
10/02/2017  M1.00 INCH       GOVE               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ALSO REPORTED ESTIMATED 50 MPH WINDS.

&&

TLYNCH

Local storm report, Oct 2, 8:15 PM CDT, 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
715 PM MDT MON OCT 02 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0710 PM     HAIL             3 W GOVE                38.96N 100.55W
10/02/2017  M1.00 INCH       GOVE               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER REPORTS THAT POWER IS OUT AT THE MOMENT.

&&

TLYNCH

Local storm report, Oct 2, 8:23 PM CDT, 9 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
723 PM MDT MON OCT 02 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0721 PM     HAIL             3 W GOVE                38.96N 100.55W
10/02/2017  E1.75 INCH       GOVE               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MBULLER

Local storm report, Oct 2, 8:24 PM CDT, 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
724 PM MDT MON OCT 02 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0718 PM     HAIL             1 SE GRAINFIELD         39.11N 100.46W
10/02/2017  M1.75 INCH       GOVE               KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

TLYNCH

Local storm report, Oct 2, 8:27 PM CDT, 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
727 PM MDT MON OCT 02 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 PM     HAIL             3 ESE YUMA              40.11N 102.67W
10/02/2017  M0.88 INCH       YUMA               CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

TLYNCH

Local storm report, Oct 2, 8:31 PM CDT, 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
731 PM MDT MON OCT 02 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0634 PM     HAIL             STRATTON NE             40.15N 101.23W
10/02/2017  M1.00 INCH       HITCHCOCK          NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

TLYNCH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Goodland, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 2, 7:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Gove, Logan, Sheridan, Thomas, Wallace, Wichita	38 min
Oct 2, 7:16 PM CDT	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	GLD	Gove, Logan	29 min
Oct 2, 7:40 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	GLD	Gove, Sheridan	35 min
Oct 2, 7:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Decatur, Gove, Graham, Logan, Sheridan, Thomas	38 min
Oct 2, 8:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Cheyenne, Rawlins	47 min
Oct 2, 8:02 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	GLD	Gove, Logan, Sheridan, Thomas	3 hr
Oct 2, 8:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Rawlins	26 min
Oct 2, 8:34 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	GLD	Gove, Sheridan	6 hr
Oct 2, 8:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Graham, Norton	49 min
Oct 2, 9:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Gove, Graham, Logan, Sheridan	45 min
Oct 2, 9:49 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	GLD	Graham	6 hr
Oct 2, 10:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Decatur, Norton, Sheridan	43 min
Oct 2, 10:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Graham	32 min
Oct 2, 10:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Gove, Graham, Sheridan	30 min
Oct 2, 10:56 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	GLD	Sheridan	34 min
Oct 2, 10:59 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	GLD	Graham	31 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2017 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.