Flash Flood Warning 48, NWS Goodland, KS

097 
WGUS73 KGLD 030309
FFSGLD

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
1009 PM CDT MON OCT 2 2017

KSC063-179-030430-
/O.CON.KGLD.FF.W.0048.000000T0000Z-171003T0430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Sheridan KS-Gove KS-
1009 PM CDT MON OCT 2 2017

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHERN SHERIDAN AND CENTRAL GOVE COUNTIES...

At 1007 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain across the warned 
area.  Flash flooding is already occurring. At 955 PM CDT, emergency 
management reported water is flowing over Kansas Highway 23 between 
mile marker 155 and 156. The highway is closed at this location.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Quinter, Grainfield, Gove and Park. 

This includes Interstate 70 in Kansas between mile markers 87 and
112.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

Please report flooding to your local law enforcement agency when you
can do so safely.

A Flash Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring.
If you are in the warned area move to higher ground immediately.
Residents living along streams and creeks should take immediate
precautions to protect life and property.

&&

LAT...LON 3871 10064 3924 10061 3925 10017 3924 10016
      3913 10016 3885 10015

$$

Buller

890 
WGUS53 KGLD 030425
FFWGLD
KSC063-179-030730-
/O.EXT.KGLD.FF.W.0048.000000T0000Z-171003T0730Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Goodland KS
1125 PM CDT MON OCT 2 2017

The National Weather Service in Goodland has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Southern Sheridan County in northwestern Kansas...
  Central Gove County in west central Kansas...

* Until 230 AM CDT

* At 1120 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain will soon be moving across the warned area. Flash 
  flooding is already occurring due to the earlier rainfall. 

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Quinter, Grainfield, Gove and Park. 

Additional rainfall amounts of one to two inches are possible in the 
warned area. Due to the earlier heavy rainfall, this will continue 
the current flash flooding or make it worse. Highway 23 between 
Grainfield and Gove has already been closed.  

This includes Interstate 70 in Kansas between mile markers 87 and
112.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

Please report flooding to your local law enforcement agency when you
can do so safely.

A Flash Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring.
If you are in the warned area move to higher ground immediately.
Residents living along streams and creeks should take immediate
precautions to protect life and property.

&&

LAT...LON 3871 10064 3924 10061 3925 10017 3924 10016
      3913 10016 3885 10015

$$

Buller

088 
WGUS73 KGLD 030723
FFSGLD

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
223 AM CDT TUE OCT 3 2017

KSC063-179-030732-
/O.EXP.KGLD.FF.W.0048.000000T0000Z-171003T0730Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Sheridan KS-Gove KS-
223 AM CDT TUE OCT 3 2017

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR SOUTHERN SHERIDAN AND CENTRAL GOVE
COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 230 AM CDT...

Flood waters have receded. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a
threat. Please continue to heed any remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 3871 10064 3924 10061 3925 10017 3924 10016
      3913 10016 3885 10015

$$

024

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
304 PM MDT Mon Oct 2 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This afternoon through tonight)
Issued at 303 PM MDT Mon Oct 2 2017

Amplified pattern remains in place with large scale upper trough
over the western US, and southwest flow over the Central High
Plains. A stalled front is just east of our CWA, with stratus
extending west over much of our CWA. There has been a trend in
stratus beginning to break up, particularly in our southwest.

This afternoon-Tonight: There is a sharp cutoff along the frontal
zone in our east where supercell development is possible this
afternoon/evening. Deep strong shear has already developed as strong
sw flow overrides low level veering along frontal zone (mesoanalysis
shows bulk effective shear around 50kt). Short range guidance still
supports this front lifting northwest, and this could allow more
favorable air mass/instability to build into our CWA. There has been
very little movement so far, and if the front remains further south
this could limit severe threat further south and east.

Better forcing increases as a shortwave troughs the base of the
upper trough and interacts with elevated frontal zone over the rest
of our CWA. Elevated instability isn't as high, but high shear will
be in place as evening moves on. High resolution guidance continues
to indicate several clusters or linear segments forming and this may
support more of a wind threat late this evening (assuming winds are
able to penetrate stable low levels at that point).

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Monday)
Issued at 303 PM MDT Mon Oct 2 2017

Tuesday-Friday night: Large scale upper low will be slow to break
down, with individual closed centers breaking off across the
northern plains. Deep moisture builds with the southwest flow ahead
of the trough and with a stalled frontal zone in place we will see
increasing precip chances. Temps are particularly trick as period of
cloud cover and precip could hold highs down, while between
shortwaves we should see increasing WAA and highs closer to upper
70s/near 80F.

Sunday-Monday: Stronger upper troughs from Canada begin to drop
towards the plains during these periods. Precip chances are less
certain due to dry air mass ahead of these troughs, however we may
see the coldest air mass of the season so far reach our CWA by
Monday-Monday night and increasing frost potential.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 1152 AM MDT Mon Oct 2 2017

Low stratus is lingering along a front southeast of both KGLD and
KMCK. As this front lifts northwest MVFR conditions will begin to
build over both terminals, with IFR possible late tonight (low
confidence on this). Current obs/model trend is to slow down the
timing, and I adjusted TAFs to reflect this. Showers/thunderstorms
are also expected to develop along this front, with coverage
increasing this evening at both terminals. Best overall chance for
lower cigs and thunderstorms will be at KMCK this evening.
Another cold front moves through the region tonight with winds
shifting to the northwest, and then conditions improving by 12Z.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...DR
LONG TERM...DR
AVIATION...DR

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Goodland KS
1120 AM MDT Mon Oct 2 2017

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-031730-
Yuma County-Kit Carson County-Cheyenne County-Cheyenne-Rawlins-
Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas-Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-
Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock-Red Willow-
1120 AM MDT Mon Oct 2 2017 /1220 PM CDT Mon Oct 2 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska...
northwest Kansas and east central Colorado.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop east of
Highway 83 this afternoon, with coverage increasing across the entire
region this evening. Severe weather will be possible across the
region. The best chance for severe weather will be east of Highway
83 this afternoon and early evening, where hail greater than 2
inches, damaging winds in excess of 60 mph, and a few tornadoes will
be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed after 1 PM MDT (2 PM CDT) through
this evening.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
708 PM MDT MON OCT 02 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0651 PM     HAIL             6 S GOVE                38.88N 100.51W
10/02/2017  M1.00 INCH       GOVE               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ALSO REPORTED ESTIMATED 50 MPH WINDS.

&&

TLYNCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
715 PM MDT MON OCT 02 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0710 PM     HAIL             3 W GOVE                38.96N 100.55W
10/02/2017  M1.00 INCH       GOVE               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER REPORTS THAT POWER IS OUT AT THE MOMENT.

&&

TLYNCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
723 PM MDT MON OCT 02 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0721 PM     HAIL             3 W GOVE                38.96N 100.55W
10/02/2017  E1.75 INCH       GOVE               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MBULLER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
724 PM MDT MON OCT 02 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0718 PM     HAIL             1 SE GRAINFIELD         39.11N 100.46W
10/02/2017  M1.75 INCH       GOVE               KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

TLYNCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
727 PM MDT MON OCT 02 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 PM     HAIL             3 ESE YUMA              40.11N 102.67W
10/02/2017  M0.88 INCH       YUMA               CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

TLYNCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
731 PM MDT MON OCT 02 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0634 PM     HAIL             STRATTON NE             40.15N 101.23W
10/02/2017  M1.00 INCH       HITCHCOCK          NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

TLYNCH