Alert archive / Texas / Special Weather Statements in 2017

Special Weather Statement, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

January 15, 2017Kimble County, Texas

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued this special weather statement at Jan 15, 2017, 6:43 PM CST for Kimble County, Texas. It was in force for 32 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jan 15, 2017, 6:43 PM CST (00:43 UTC)
Expired: Jan 15, 2017, 7:15 PM CST
In force: 32 min
Issued by: NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

County Kimble County, TX

The radar

The Laughlin AFB radar (KDFX), 124 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jan 15, 3:05 PM CST, 3 hours 38 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 15, 3:05 PM CST, 3 hours 38 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
305 PM CST Sun Jan 15 2017

.SHORT TERM (Tonight through Monday Night)...
Strong to severe convection is about to enter the western boundary of
our forecast area, northwest of Del Rio. This convection is being
generated by a strong shortwave trough, unstable Gulf air, and a
slowly northward moving warm front. High resolution mesoscale models
have been consistent in depicting a thin MCS with embedded supercell
structures. The Texas Tech and NSSL WRFs have verified best so far
with timing and linear mode, with recent HRRR runs showing a more
broken line of supercells. Overall, prior forecasts are on track and
we expect the line to sweep across the area, generally along and
north of U.S. 90. The line should weaken with time, and reach the
I-35 corridor around 05-06Z. While one or two brief tornadoes are
possible, the main severe threats will be large hail and damaging
winds. Rainfall will average 1/2 to 1 inch, although some locations
in the Edwards Plateau, Hill Country, and Metro Austin could receive
up to 2-3 inches by daybreak Monday. Showers and thunderstorms will
linger on the coastal plains Monday, but rainfall amounts should be
1/4 inch or less.

&&

.LONG TERM (Tuesday through Sunday)...
Highly amplified and progressive flow will continue across the CONUS
through the next 7-10 days. This will bring a progression of fairly
sharp shortwave troughs through a general longwave trough over the
Plains. The net result for our area will be a cold front bringing
colder conditions Wednesday and Thursday, then back to above normal
temperatures Friday through Sunday before another cold front. PoPs
will be in the forecast through Friday, although rainfall should be
light. Just beyond this forecast period is another strong front and
the potential for strong convection, then a colder, drier period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              61  71  51  57  49 /  80  40  30  60  50
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  62  71  52  58  49 /  80  40  30  60  50
New Braunfels Muni Airport     62  72  54  58  51 /  70  40  40  60  50
Burnet Muni Airport            55  69  46  55  46 /  90  10  20  50  50
Del Rio Intl Airport           50  72  51  60  50 /  60   0  -   40  30
Georgetown Muni Airport        58  69  48  56  47 /  90  30  30  50  50
Hondo Muni Airport             60  75  55  60  51 /  70  10  20  60  50
San Marcos Muni Airport        62  72  53  59  50 /  70  40  40  60  50
La Grange - Fayette Regional   66  72  57  61  53 /  70  60  50  50  50
San Antonio Intl Airport       62  74  55  60  52 /  70  20  30  60  50
Stinson Muni Airport           62  74  57  61  53 /  70  20  30  50  50

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

Mesoscale/Aviation...24
Synoptic/Grids...26
Public Service/Data Collection...Williams

Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 15, 4:58 AM CST, 13 hours 45 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
458 AM CST SUN JAN 15 2017

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-161100-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
458 AM CST SUN JAN 15 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH-CENTRAL TEXAS..

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL BE ALONG
AND WEST OF I-35. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...ISOLATED TORNADOES...AND
LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY AND MAY CAUSE SOME FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER AND EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 15, 6:04 PM CST, 39 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Jan 15, 6:12 PM CST, 31 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Jan 15, 6:21 PM CST, 22 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Jan 15, 6:30 PM CST, 13 minutes before

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Local storm report, Jan 15, 6:37 PM CST, 6 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Jan 15, 6:43 PM CST, 0 minutes before

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The office that day

Everything else NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jan 15, 6:12 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Edwards	48 min
Jan 15, 6:21 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Kinney	39 min
Jan 15, 6:24 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Edwards, Real	66 min
Jan 15, 6:30 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Edwards	60 min
Jan 15, 6:42 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Edwards, Kerr, Real	48 min
Jan 15, 6:48 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Kinney	42 min
Jan 15, 7:00 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Kinney	28 min
Jan 15, 7:08 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Bandera	67 min
Jan 15, 7:13 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Kinney	47 min
Jan 15, 7:17 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Edwards	43 min
Jan 15, 7:33 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Kerr	42 min
Jan 15, 7:46 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Kinney	29 min
Jan 15, 7:48 PM CST	Tornado Warning	EWX	Kerr	27 min
Jan 15, 7:59 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Kinney, Uvalde	46 min
Jan 15, 8:14 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Bandera, Kendall, Kerr	46 min
Jan 15, 8:16 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Kerr, Real, Uvalde	44 min
Jan 15, 8:19 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Kendall	41 min
Jan 15, 8:36 PM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Bandera, Kerr, Real	3 hr
Jan 15, 8:56 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Bandera, Gillespie, Kendall, Kerr, Medina, Uvalde	49 min
Jan 15, 8:59 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Kendall	46 min
Jan 15, 9:11 PM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Kinney, Uvalde	3 hr
Jan 15, 9:27 PM CST	Tornado Warning	EWX	Kendall	33 min
Jan 15, 9:43 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Bandera, Medina, Uvalde	62 min
Jan 15, 9:44 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Blanco, Comal, Kendall	46 min
Jan 15, 9:52 PM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Bandera, Kendall, Kerr	3 hr
Jan 15, 10:22 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Hays	38 min
Jan 15, 10:25 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Bexar	50 min
Jan 15, 11:07 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Hays, Travis	53 min
Jan 15, 11:16 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Bexar, Comal	29 min
Jan 15, 11:21 PM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Bexar	3 hr
Jan 15, 11:30 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Bexar	45 min
Jan 15, 11:45 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Bexar, Comal	30 min
Jan 16, 12:07 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Williamson	38 min
Jan 16, 12:32 AM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Comal, Hays	3 hr
Jan 16, 1:04 AM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Bexar, Guadalupe	3 hr

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Texas, 2017 Every special weather statement in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.