Alert archive / New York / River Flood Warnings in 2017

River Flood Warning 31, NWS Buffalo, NY

November 6, 2017Erie County, Niagara County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this river flood warning at Nov 6, 2017, 5:33 AM EST for Erie County, Niagara County, New York. It took effect at Nov 7, 2017, 6:15 PM EST. It was in force for 40 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 6, 2017, 5:33 AM EST (10:33 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 7, 2017, 6:15 PM EST
Expired
Nov 9, 2017, 10:18 AM EST
In force
40 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Erie County, NY, Niagara County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 15 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Tonawanda Creek at Rapids (RAPN6). The gauge peaked at 12.38 ft at Nov 9, 2017, 12:00 AM EST.

actionminormoderate5101511/0611/0711/0811/0911/10
Action stage
10 ft
Minor stage
12 ft
Moderate stage
14 ft
Major stage
16 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 04218000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

802 
WGUS41 KBUF 061033
FLWBUF
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
533 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

...The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Flood Warning
for The following rivers in New York...

  Genesee River At Rochester
  Tonawanda Creek At Rapids

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The 
water may be deeper than it appears.  Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

NYC055-061633-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FL.W.0030.171106T1648Z-171107T0100Z/
/RHRN6.1.ER.171106T1648Z.171106T1800Z.171106T1900Z.NO/
533 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a 

* Flood warning for 
  the Genesee River At Rochester
* From this morning to this evening.
* At 5 AM Monday the stage was 13.3 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  this morning and crest near 15.1 feet early this afternoon.
* IMPACT...At 15.0 feet...Flood stage, minor flood, some residential 
  flooding begins in southern suburbs in Henrietta and Chili.

&&

LAT...LON 4306 7776 4327 7763 4324 7757 4315 7758 
      4306 7764                      

$$

NYC029-063-061633-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FL.W.0031.171107T2315Z-171108T1800Z/
/RAPN6.1.ER.171107T2315Z.171108T0600Z.171108T1200Z.NO/
533 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a 

* Flood warning for 
  the Tonawanda Creek At Rapids
* from Tuesday evening to Wednesday afternoon.
* At 5 AM Monday the stage was 7.8 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage Tuesday 
  evening and crest near 12.2 feet early Wednesday morning.
* IMPACT...At 12.0 feet...Flood stage, lowland flooding of farm areas 
  along Tonawanda Creek between Rapids and the Tonawanda Indian 
  Reservation. Flooding may impact Fletcher, Burdick, Kirby, and 
  Tonawanda Creek Roads.

&&

LAT...LON 4305 7863 4299 7889 4306 7889 4315 7863 
      4315 7847 4302 7846            

$$

Apffel
19 follow-up statements
503 
WGUS81 KBUF 061103
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
603 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for The following rivers in New 
York...

  Cattaraugus Creek At Gowanda
  Tonawanda Creek At Attica

...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New 
York...

  Genesee River At Avon
  Buffalo Creek Near Gardenville
  Cayuga Creek Near Lancaster
  Ellicott Creek Near Williamsville
  Genesee River At Rochester
  Oatka Creek At Garbutt
  Cazenovia Creek Near Ebenezer
  Tonawanda Creek At Batavia
  Tonawanda Creek At Rapids

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The 
water may be deeper than it appears.  Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

NYC029-061703-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-171107T0400Z/
/EBZN6.2.ER.171106T0443Z.171106T1016Z.171106T2200Z.UU/
603 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Cazenovia Creek Near Ebenezer
* until this evening.
* At 5 AM Monday the stage was 12.3 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Moderate Flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...the creek is near crest now and is expected to drop 
  below flood stage late this afternoon.
* IMPACT...At 12.0 feet...Moderate flood, localized flooding possible 
  in vicinity of Southgate Plaza in West Seneca; considerable 
  flooding in the Cazenovia Park area of South Buffalo and West 
  Seneca.

&&

LAT...LON 4279 7876 4282 7884 4289 7884 4281 7858 
      4273 7857 4275 7870            

$$

NYC051-055-061703-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-171107T0251Z/
/AVON6.1.ER.171106T0454Z.171106T1200Z.171106T2051Z.NO/
603 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

...Flood warning extended until this evening...

The flood warning continues for
  The Genesee River at Avon
* until this evening.
* At 5 AM Monday the stage was 34.0 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...the river is near crest now and is expected to drop below
  flood stage late this afternoon. 
* IMPACT...At 33.0 feet...Flood stage, river overflows at many areas 
  from Geneseo to Scottsville, but mainly in agricultural lands with 
  little damage.

&&

LAT...LON 4290 7787 4306 7776 4306 7764 4292 7772 
      4279 7780 4278 7789            

$$

NYC055-061703-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0030.171106T1648Z-171107T0100Z/
/RHRN6.1.ER.171106T1648Z.171106T1800Z.171106T1900Z.NO/
603 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Genesee River At Rochester
* from this morning to this evening.
* At 5 AM Monday the stage was 13.3 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  this morning and crest near 15.1 feet this afternoon.
* IMPACT...At 15.0 feet...Flood stage, minor flood, some residential 
  flooding begins in southern suburbs in Henrietta and Chili. 

&&

LAT...LON 4306 7776 4327 7763 4324 7757 4315 7758 
      4306 7764                      

$$

NYC037-055-061703-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0029.171106T1500Z-171107T0600Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.171106T1500Z.171106T1800Z.171107T0000Z.UU/
603 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Oatka Creek At Garbutt
* from this morning to late tonight.
* At 5 AM Monday the stage was 5.8 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the creek is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  this morning and crest near 6.1 feet this afternoon.
* IMPACT...At 6.0 feet...Flood stage, general flooding of agricultural
  land begins, some basement flooding in Scottsville and Garbutt.

&&

LAT...LON 4304 7771 4299 7771 4299 7794 4297 7798 
      4297 7802 4302 7798            

$$

NYC029-121-061702-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-171106T1702Z/
/GDVN6.1.ER.171106T0449Z.171106T0945Z.171106T1102Z.NO/
603 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Buffalo Creek Near Gardenville
* until this afternoon.
* At 5 AM Monday the stage was 7.7 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...the creek is near crest now and is expected to drop 
  below flood stage this morning.
* IMPACT...At 8.0 feet...Moderate flood, flooding is likely along low 
  lying areas near the Buffalo Creek, especially near Collins Avenue,
  Elma Town Park, and in some sections of Elma Village north of the 
  Bowen Road bridge.

&&

LAT...LON 4288 7889 4288 7857 4278 7856 4278 7861 
      4282 7867 4282 7887            

$$

NYC029-121-061703-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-171106T1746Z/
/LCSN6.1.ER.171106T0403Z.171106T0815Z.171106T1146Z.UU/
603 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Cayuga Creek near Lancaster
* until this afternoon.
* At 5 AM Monday the stage was 8.6 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...the creek will continue to fall...and is expected to 
  drop below flood stage this morning.
* IMPACT...At 8.0 feet...Flood stage, minor flooding in low lying areas
  of Lancaster and Alden.

&&

LAT...LON 4287 7869 4287 7879 4290 7879 4293 7864 
      4292 7848 4281 7846            

$$

NYC029-037-061703-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0025.171107T0000Z-171107T1348Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.171107T0000Z.171107T0600Z.171107T0748Z.NO/
603 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Ellicott Creek Near Williamsville
* from this evening to Tuesday morning.
* At 5 AM Monday the stage was 5.2 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage this 
  evening and crest near 8.3 feet late tonight.
* IMPACT...At 8.0 feet...Flood stage, some flooding begins along Aero 
  Drive from Holtz to Transit Roads in Cheektowaga. Also some 
  flooding along the flood control project area in Amherst such as 
  the bike path and golf course. Minor flooding in Ellicott Creek 
  Park. Little or no overall damage.

&&

LAT...LON 4293 7875 4301 7889 4304 7889 4304 7875 
      4295 7865 4293 7865            

$$

NYC037-121-061133-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-171106T1553Z/
/ATTN6.1.ER.171106T0335Z.171106T0731Z.171106T1013Z.UU/
603 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

The flood warning is cancelled for
  The Tonawanda Creek At Attica.
* At 6 AM Monday the stage was 7.7 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river fell below flood stage early this morning and 
  will continue to fall to around 4.5 feet by Tuesday morning.

&&

LAT...LON 4270 7837 4282 7833 4293 7832 4293 7817 
      4282 7822 4270 7827            

$$

NYC029-037-063-121-061703-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0026.171106T1630Z-171107T1048Z/
/BTVN6.1.ER.171106T1630Z.171106T1800Z.171107T0448Z.NO/
603 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Tonawanda Creek At Batavia
* from this morning to late tonight.
* At 5 AM Monday the stage was 6.8 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  this morning and crest near 9.5 feet this afternoon.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Moderate flood, flooding along West Main 
  Street and South Main Street in Batavia and along the creek from 
  Batavia to East Pembroke, extending to the Tonawanda Indian 
  Reservation. Flooding will mainly impact roads, with some 
  residential and commercial flooding possible.

&&

LAT...LON 4299 7831 4305 7863 4315 7864 4315 7810 
      4293 7817 4293 7832            

$$

NYC029-063-061703-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0031.171107T2315Z-171108T1800Z/
/RAPN6.1.ER.171107T2315Z.171108T0600Z.171108T1200Z.NO/
603 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Tonawanda Creek At Rapids
* from Tuesday evening to Wednesday afternoon.
* At 5 AM Monday the stage was 7.8 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage Tuesday 
  evening and crest near 12.2 feet late Tuesday night.
* IMPACT...At 12.0 feet...Flood stage, lowland flooding of farm areas 
  along Tonawanda Creek between Rapids and the Tonawanda Indian 
  Reservation. Flooding may impact Fletcher, Burdick, Kirby, and 
  Tonawanda Creek Roads.

&&

LAT...LON 4305 7863 4299 7889 4306 7889 4315 7863 
      4315 7847 4302 7846            

$$

NYC009-013-029-121-061133-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-171106T1811Z/
/GOWN6.1.ER.171106T0434Z.171106T0530Z.171106T0647Z.NO/
603 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

The flood warning is cancelled for
  The Cattaraugus Creek At Gowanda.
* At 5 AM Monday the stage was 9.4 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river fell below flood stage early this morning and 
  will continue to fall to around 4.4 feet by Tuesday morning.

&&

LAT...LON 4262 7910 4251 7885 4259 7838 4247 7836 
      4238 7890 4254 7921            

$$

Apffel
091 
WGUS81 KBUF 061352
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
852 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in New 
York...

  Cayuga Creek Near Lancaster

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in New 
York...

  Genesee River At Avon
  Genesee River At Rochester
  Oatka Creek At Garbutt
  Cazenovia Creek Near Ebenezer
  Buffalo Creek Near Gardenville
  Tonawanda Creek At Batavia
  Ellicott Creek Near Williamsville
  Tonawanda Creek At Rapids


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The 
water may be deeper than it appears.  Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

NYC051-055-061952-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-171107T0247Z/
/AVON6.1.ER.171106T0454Z.171106T1215Z.171106T2047Z.NO/
852 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Genesee River At Avon
* until this evening.
* At 8 AM Monday the stage was 34.2 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...the river is near crest now and is expected to drop 
  below flood stage late this afternoon.
* IMPACT...At 33.0 feet...Flood stage, river overflows at many areas 
  from Geneseo to Scottsville, but mainly in agricultural lands with 
  little damage.

&&

LAT...LON 4290 7787 4306 7776 4306 7764 4292 7772 
      4279 7780 4278 7789            

$$

NYC055-061952-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0030.171106T1734Z-171107T0100Z/
/RHRN6.1.ER.171106T1734Z.171106T1800Z.171106T1900Z.NO/
852 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Genesee River At Rochester
* from this afternoon to this evening.
* At 5 AM Monday the stage was 13.3 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage this 
  afternoon and crest near 15.1 feet this afternoon.
* IMPACT...At 15.0 feet...Flood stage, minor flood, some residential 
  flooding begins in southern suburbs, mile 12-18 in Henrietta and 
  Chili. Flow 20000 cfs.

&&

LAT...LON 4306 7776 4327 7763 4324 7757 4315 7758 
      4306 7764                      

$$

NYC037-055-061952-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0029.171106T1342Z-171107T0742Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.171106T1152Z.171106T1800Z.171107T0142Z.UU/
852 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

...Flood warning extended until late tonight...

The flood warning continues for
  The Oatka Creek At Garbutt
* until late tonight.
* At 8 AM Monday the stage was 6.1 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...the river will continue to rise and crest near 6.2 feet 
  this afternoon. 
* IMPACT...At 6.0 feet...Flood stage, general flooding of agricultural
  land begins, some basement flooding in Scottsville and Garbutt.

&&

LAT...LON 4304 7771 4299 7771 4299 7794 4297 7798 
      4297 7802 4302 7798            

$$

NYC029-061952-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-171106T2043Z/
/EBZN6.2.ER.171106T0443Z.171106T1016Z.171106T1443Z.UU/
852 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Cazenovia Creek Near Ebenezer
* until this afternoon.
* At 8 AM Monday the stage was 10.4 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...the river will continue to fall...and is expected to 
  drop below flood stage late this morning.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage, minor flooding can be expected 
  in low lying areas east of Orchard Park Road and south of Ridge 
  Road in West Seneca. Some inundation of Cazenovia Park in South 
  Buffalo.

&&

LAT...LON 4279 7876 4282 7884 4289 7884 4281 7858 
      4273 7857 4275 7870            

$$

NYC029-121-061952-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-171106T2325Z/
/GDVN6.1.ER.171106T0449Z.171106T0945Z.171106T1725Z.NO/
852 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

...Flood warning extended until this evening...

The flood warning continues for
  The Buffalo Creek Near Gardenville
* until this evening.
* At 8 AM Monday the stage was 7.7 feet and nearly steady.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...the river is near crest now and is expected to drop 
  below flood stage this afternoon.
* IMPACT...At 8.0 feet...Moderate flood, flooding is likely along low 
  lying areas near the Buffalo Creek, especially near Collins Avenue,
  Elma Town Park, and in some sections of Elma Village north of the 
  Bowen Road bridge.

&&

LAT...LON 4288 7889 4288 7857 4278 7856 4278 7861 
      4282 7867 4282 7887            

$$

NYC029-037-061952-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0025.171107T0000Z-171107T1348Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.171107T0000Z.171107T0600Z.171107T0748Z.NO/
852 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Ellicott Creek Near Williamsville
* from this evening to Tuesday morning.
* At 8 AM Monday the stage was 5.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage this 
  evening and crest near 8.3 feet late tonight.
* IMPACT...At 8.0 feet...Flood stage, some flooding begins along Aero 
  Drive from Holtz to Transit Roads in Cheektowaga. Also some 
  flooding along the flood control project area in Amherst such as 
  the bike path and golf course. Minor flooding in Ellicott Creek 
  Park. Little or no overall damage.

&&

LAT...LON 4293 7875 4301 7889 4304 7889 4304 7875 
      4295 7865 4293 7865            

$$

NYC029-037-063-121-061952-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0026.171106T1618Z-171107T1048Z/
/BTVN6.1.ER.171106T1618Z.171106T1800Z.171107T0448Z.NO/
852 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Tonawanda Creek At Batavia
* until late tonight.
* At 8 AM Monday the stage was 8.0 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  this morning and crest near 9.5 feet this afternoon.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Moderate flood, flooding along West Main 
  Street and South Main Street in Batavia and along the creek from 
  Batavia to East Pembroke, extending to the Tonawanda Indian 
  Reservation. Flooding will mainly impact roads, with some 
  residential and commerical flooding possible.

&&

LAT...LON 4299 7831 4305 7863 4315 7864 4315 7810 
      4293 7817 4293 7832            

$$

NYC029-063-061952-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0031.171107T2315Z-171108T1800Z/
/RAPN6.1.ER.171107T2315Z.171108T0600Z.171108T1200Z.NO/
852 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Tonawanda Creek At Rapids
* from Tuesday evening to Wednesday afternoon.
* At 8 AM Monday the stage was 8.0 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage Tuesday 
  evening and crest near 12.2 feet early Wednesday morning.
* IMPACT...At 12.0 feet...Flood stage, lowland flooding of farm areas 
  along Tonawanda Creek between Rapids and the Tonawanda Indian 
  Reservation. Flooding may impact Fletcher, Burdick, Kirby, and 
  Tonawanda Creek Roads.

&&

LAT...LON 4305 7863 4299 7889 4306 7889 4315 7863 
      4315 7847 4302 7846            

$$

NYC029-121-061422-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-171106T1746Z/
/LCSN6.1.ER.171106T0403Z.171106T0815Z.171106T1128Z.UU/
852 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

The flood warning is cancelled for
  The Cayuga Creek Near Lancaster.
* At 8 AM Monday the stage was 7.4 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river fell below flood stage this morning and will 
  continue to fall to around 4.9 feet by Tuesday morning.

&&

LAT...LON 4287 7869 4287 7879 4290 7879 4293 7864 
      4292 7848 4281 7846            

$$

HITCHCOCK
061 
WGUS81 KBUF 061703
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1203 PM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for The following rivers in New 
York...


  Genesee River At Rochester
  Cazenovia Creek Near Ebenezer
  Buffalo Creek Near Gardenville

...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New 
York...

  Genesee River At Avon
  Oatka Creek At Garbutt
  Ellicott Creek Near Williamsville
  Tonawanda Creek At Rapids


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The 
water may be deeper than it appears.  Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

NYC029-063-062303-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0031.171107T1920Z-171109T0000Z/
/RAPN6.1.ER.171107T1920Z.171108T0600Z.171108T1800Z.NO/
1203 PM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

...Flood warning extended until Wednesday evening...

The flood warning continues for
  The Tonawanda Creek At Rapids
* from Tuesday afternoon to Wednesday evening.
* At 11 AM Monday the stage was 8.2 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage early 
  Tuesday afternoon and crest near 12.9 feet early Wednesday morning.
* IMPACT...At 12.0 feet...Flood stage, lowland flooding of farm areas 
  along Tonawanda Creek between Rapids and the Tonawanda Indian 
  Reservation. Flooding may impact Fletcher, Burdick, Kirby, and 
  Tonawanda Creek Roads.

&&

LAT...LON 4305 7863 4299 7889 4306 7889 4315 7863 
      4315 7847 4302 7846            

$$

NYC051-055-062303-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-171107T0108Z/
/AVON6.1.ER.171106T0454Z.171106T1215Z.171106T1908Z.NO/
1203 PM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Genesee River At Avon
* until this evening.
* At 11 AM Monday the stage was 34.0 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...the river is near crest now and is expected to drop 
  below flood stage this afternoon.
* IMPACT...At 33.0 feet...Flood stage, river overflows at many areas 
  from Geneseo to Scottsville, but mainly in agricultural lands with 
  little damage.

&&

LAT...LON 4290 7787 4306 7776 4306 7764 4292 7772 
      4279 7780 4278 7789            

$$

NYC055-061733-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-171107T0100Z/
/RHRN6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1203 PM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

The flood warning is cancelled for
  The Genesee River At Rochester.
* At 7 AM Monday the stage was 13.3 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river will crest below flood stage at 14.1 feet this
  afternoon. Additional rises are not expected...and therefore the 
  warning is cancelled.

&&

LAT...LON 4306 7776 4327 7763 4324 7757 4315 7758 
      4306 7764                      

$$

NYC037-055-062303-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-171108T0600Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.171106T1152Z.171107T0000Z.171108T0000Z.UU/
1203 PM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

...Flood warning extended until late Tuesday night...

The flood warning continues for
  The Oatka Creek At Garbutt
* until late Tuesday night.
* At 11 AM Monday the stage was 6.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...the river will continue to rise and crest near 6.8 feet 
  this evening. 
* IMPACT...At 7.0 feet...Moderate flood, widespread flooding of 
  agricultural lands below LeRoy. Significant residential flooding 
  along creek, especially in Mumford, Wheatland, and Scottsville. 
  Roadway flooding begins. Some backwater effects possible from 
  Genesee River near Scottsville.

&&

LAT...LON 4304 7771 4299 7771 4299 7794 4297 7798 
      4297 7802 4302 7798            

$$

NYC029-037-062303-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0025.171107T0000Z-171107T1200Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.171107T0000Z.171107T0000Z.171107T0600Z.NO/
1203 PM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Ellicott Creek Near Williamsville
* from this evening to Tuesday morning.
* At 12 PM Monday the stage was 6.0 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise to near flood stage this 
  evening.
* IMPACT...At 8.0 feet...Flood stage, some flooding begins along Aero 
  Drive from Holtz to Transit Roads in Cheektowaga. Also some 
  flooding along the flood control project area in Amherst such as 
  the bike path and golf course. Minor flooding in Ellicott Creek 
  Park. Little or no overall damage.

&&

LAT...LON 4293 7875 4301 7889 4304 7889 4304 7875 
      4295 7865 4293 7865            

$$

NYC029-061733-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-171106T2043Z/
/EBZN6.2.ER.171106T0443Z.171106T1016Z.171106T1323Z.UU/
1203 PM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

The flood warning is cancelled for
  The Cazenovia Creek Near Ebenezer.
* At 11 AM Monday the stage was 8.1 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river fell below flood stage this morning and will 
  continue to fall to around 4.6 feet by Tuesday morning.

&&

LAT...LON 4279 7876 4282 7884 4289 7884 4281 7858 
      4273 7857 4275 7870            

$$

NYC029-121-061733-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-171106T2325Z/
/GDVN6.1.ER.171106T0449Z.171106T0945Z.171106T1417Z.NO/
1203 PM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

The flood warning is cancelled for
  The Buffalo Creek Near Gardenville.
* At 11 AM Monday the stage was 5.1 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river fell below flood stage late this morning and 
  will continue to fall to around 2.9 feet by Tuesday morning.

&&

LAT...LON 4288 7889 4288 7857 4278 7856 4278 7861 
      4282 7867 4282 7887            

$$

HITCHCOCK
518 
WGUS81 KBUF 061936
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
236 PM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New 
York...

  Genesee River At Avon
  Oatka Creek At Garbutt
  Tonawanda Creek At Batavia
  Ellicott Creek Near Williamsville
  Tonawanda Creek At Rapids

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The 
water may be deeper than it appears.  Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

NYC029-037-063-121-070136-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-171107T1800Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.171106T1517Z.171107T0000Z.171107T1200Z.NO/
236 PM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

...Flood warning extended until Tuesday afternoon...

The flood warning continues for
  The Tonawanda Creek At Batavia
* until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 2 PM Monday the stage was 10.6 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Moderate Flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...the river will continue to rise and crest near 10.8 feet
  this evening. 
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Moderate flood, flooding along West Main 
  Street and South Main Street in Batavia and along the creek from 
  Batavia to East Pembroke, extending to the Tonawanda Indian 
  Reservation. Flooding will mainly impact roads, with some 
  residential and commercial flooding possible.

&&

LAT...LON 4299 7831 4305 7863 4315 7864 4315 7810 
      4293 7817 4293 7832            

$$

NYC029-063-070135-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0031.171107T1920Z-171109T0000Z/
/RAPN6.1.ER.171107T1920Z.171108T0600Z.171108T1800Z.NO/
236 PM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Tonawanda Creek At Rapids
* from Tuesday afternoon to Wednesday evening.
* At 2 PM Monday the stage was 8.4 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage early 
  Tuesday afternoon and crest near 12.9 feet early Wednesday morning.
* IMPACT...At 12.0 feet...Flood stage, lowland flooding of farm areas 
  along Tonawanda Creek between Rapids and the Tonawanda Indian 
  Reservation. Flooding may impact Fletcher, Burdick, Kirby, and 
  Tonawanda Creek Roads.

&&

LAT...LON 4305 7863 4299 7889 4306 7889 4315 7863 
      4315 7847 4302 7846            

$$

NYC051-055-070135-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-171107T0225Z/
/AVON6.1.ER.171106T0454Z.171106T1215Z.171106T2025Z.NO/
236 PM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

...Flood warning extended until this evening...

The flood warning continues for
  The Genesee River At Avon
* until this evening.
* At 2 PM Monday the stage was 33.6 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...the river will continue to fall...and is expected to 
  drop below flood stage late this afternoon.
* IMPACT...At 33.0 feet...Flood stage, river overflows at many areas 
  from Geneseo to Scottsville, but mainly in agricultural lands with 
  little damage.

&&

LAT...LON 4290 7787 4306 7776 4306 7764 4292 7772 
      4279 7780 4278 7789            

$$

NYC037-055-070135-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-171107T1800Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.171106T1152Z.171106T1730Z.171107T1200Z.UU/
236 PM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Oatka Creek At Garbutt
* until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 2 PM Monday the stage was 6.5 feet and nearly steady.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...the river is near crest now and is expected to drop 
  below flood stage Tuesday morning.
* IMPACT...At 7.0 feet...Moderate flood, widespread flooding of 
  agricultural lands below LeRoy. Significant residential flooding 
  along creek, especially in Mumford, Wheatland, and Scottsville. 
  Roadway flooding begins. Some backwater effects possible from 
  Genesee River near Scottsville.

&&

LAT...LON 4304 7771 4299 7771 4299 7794 4297 7798 
      4297 7802 4302 7798            

$$

NYC029-037-070135-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0025.171107T0000Z-171107T1200Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.171107T0000Z.171107T0000Z.171107T0600Z.NO/
236 PM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Ellicott Creek Near Williamsville
* from this evening to Tuesday morning.
* At 2 PM Monday the stage was 6.3 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise to near flood stage this 
  evening.
* IMPACT...At 8.0 feet...Flood stage, some flooding begins along Aero 
  Drive from Holtz to Transit Roads in Cheektowaga. Also some 
  flooding along the flood control project area in Amherst such as 
  the bike path and golf course. Minor flooding in Ellicott Creek 
  Park. Little or no overall damage.

&&

LAT...LON 4293 7875 4301 7889 4304 7889 4304 7875 
      4295 7865 4293 7865            

$$

HITCHCOCK
760 
WGUS81 KBUF 070124
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
824 PM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for The following rivers in New 
York...


  Genesee River At Avon

...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New 
York...

  Oatka Creek At Garbutt
  Ellicott Creek Near Williamsville
  Tonawanda Creek At Batavia
  Tonawanda Creek At Rapids


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The 
water may be deeper than it appears.  Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

NYC029-037-063-121-070724-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-171107T1800Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.171106T1517Z.171107T0100Z.171107T1200Z.NO/
824 PM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Tonawanda Creek At Batavia
* until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 8 PM Monday the stage was 11.3 feet and near crest.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Moderate Flooding is occurring. 
* Forecast...the river is near crest now and is expected to drop 
  below flood stage Tuesday morning.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Moderate flood, flooding along West Main 
  Street and South Main Street in Batavia and along the creek from 
  Batavia to East Pembroke, extending to the Tonawanda Indian 
  Reservation. Flooding will mainly impact roads, with some 
  residential and commercial flooding possible.

&&

LAT...LON 4299 7831 4305 7863 4315 7864 4315 7810 
      4293 7817 4293 7832            

$$

NYC029-063-070724-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0031.171107T1920Z-171109T0000Z/
/RAPN6.1.ER.171107T1920Z.171108T0600Z.171108T1800Z.NO/
824 PM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Tonawanda Creek At Rapids
* from Tuesday afternoon to Wednesday evening.
* At 8 PM Monday the stage was 8.6 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage early 
  Tuesday afternoon and crest near 12.9 feet early Wednesday morning.
* IMPACT...At 12.0 feet...Flood stage, lowland flooding of farm areas 
  along Tonawanda Creek between Rapids and the Tonawanda Indian 
  Reservation. Flooding may impact Fletcher, Burdick, Kirby, and 
  Tonawanda Creek Roads.

&&

LAT...LON 4305 7863 4299 7889 4306 7889 4315 7863 
      4315 7847 4302 7846            

$$

NYC037-055-070724-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-171107T1800Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.171106T1152Z.171106T1730Z.171107T1200Z.UU/
824 PM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Oatka Creek At Garbutt
* until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 8 PM Monday the stage was 6.4 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring. 
* Forecast...the river is near crest now and is expected to drop 
  below flood stage Tuesday morning.
* IMPACT...At 6.0 feet...Flood stage, general flooding of agricultural
  land begins, some basement flooding in Scottsville and Garbutt.

&&

LAT...LON 4304 7771 4299 7771 4299 7794 4297 7798 
      4297 7802 4302 7798            

$$

NYC029-037-070724-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-171107T1200Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.171107T0600Z.171107T0600Z.171107T0600Z.NO/
824 PM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Ellicott Creek Near Williamsville
* until Tuesday morning.
* At 8 PM Monday the stage was 7.1 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise to near flood stage late 
  tonight.
* IMPACT...At 8.0 feet...Flood stage, some flooding begins along Aero 
  Drive from Holtz to Transit Roads in Cheektowaga. Also some 
  flooding along the flood control project area in Amherst such as 
  the bike path and golf course. Minor flooding in Ellicott Creek 
  Park. Little or no overall damage.

&&

LAT...LON 4293 7875 4301 7889 4304 7889 4304 7875 
      4295 7865 4293 7865            

$$

NYC051-055-070154-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-171107T0225Z/
/AVON6.1.ER.171106T0454Z.171106T1215Z.171106T2112Z.NO/
824 PM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

The flood warning is cancelled for
  The Genesee River At Avon.
* At 8 PM Monday the stage was 32.1 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river fell below flood stage late this afternoon and
  will continue to fall to around 22.3 feet by Wednesday morning.

&&

LAT...LON 4290 7787 4306 7776 4306 7764 4292 7772 
      4279 7780 4278 7789            

$$

Church
739 
WGUS81 KBUF 070714
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
214 AM EST Tue Nov 7 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New 
York...


  Ellicott Creek Near Williamsville
  Tonawanda Creek At Batavia
  Tonawanda Creek At Rapids

...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New 
York...

  Oatka Creek At Garbutt


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The 
water may be deeper than it appears.  Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

NYC029-037-063-121-071314-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-171107T2242Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.171106T1517Z.171107T0100Z.171107T1642Z.NO/
214 AM EST Tue Nov 7 2017

...Flood warning extended until this afternoon...

The flood warning continues for
  The Tonawanda Creek At Batavia
* until this afternoon.
* At 2 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.9 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Moderate Flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...the river is near crest now and is expected to drop 
  below flood stage late this morning.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Moderate flood, flooding along West Main 
  Street and South Main Street in Batavia and along the creek from 
  Batavia to East Pembroke, extending to the Tonawanda Indian 
  Reservation. Flooding will mainly impact roads, with some 
  residential and commerical flooding possible.

&&

LAT...LON 4299 7831 4305 7863 4315 7864 4315 7810 
      4293 7817 4293 7832            

$$

NYC029-063-071314-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0031.171107T2125Z-171109T0234Z/
/RAPN6.1.ER.171107T2125Z.171108T0600Z.171108T2034Z.NO/
214 AM EST Tue Nov 7 2017

...Flood warning extended until Wednesday evening...

The flood warning continues for
  The Tonawanda Creek At Rapids
* from this afternoon to Wednesday evening.
* At 2 AM Tuesday the stage was 8.8 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  this afternoon and crest near 12.9 feet late tonight.
* IMPACT...At 12.0 feet...Flood stage, lowland flooding of farm areas 
  along Tonawanda Creek between Rapids and the Tonawanda Indian 
  Reservation. Flooding may impact Fletcher, Burdick, Kirby, and 
  Tonawanda Creek Roads.

&&

LAT...LON 4305 7863 4299 7889 4306 7889 4315 7863 
      4315 7847 4302 7846            

$$

NYC037-055-071314-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-171107T1800Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.171106T1152Z.171107T0700Z.171107T1200Z.UU/
214 AM EST Tue Nov 7 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Oatka Creek At Garbutt
* until this afternoon.
* At 2 AM Tuesday the stage was 6.6 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...the river is near crest now and is expected to drop 
  below flood stage this morning.
* IMPACT...At 7.0 feet...Moderate flood, widespread flooding of 
  agricultural lands below LeRoy. Significant residential flooding 
  along creek, especially in Mumford, Wheatland, and Scottsville. 
  Roadway flooding begins. Some backwater effects possible from 
  Genesee River near Scottsville.

&&

LAT...LON 4304 7771 4299 7771 4299 7794 4297 7798 
      4297 7802 4302 7798            

$$

NYC029-037-071314-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-171107T1800Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.171107T1200Z.171107T1200Z.171107T1200Z.NO/
214 AM EST Tue Nov 7 2017

...Flood warning extended until this afternoon...

The flood warning continues for
  The Ellicott Creek Near Williamsville
* until this afternoon.
* At 2 AM Tuesday the stage was 7.7 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise to near flood stage this 
  morning.
* IMPACT...At 8.0 feet...Flood stage, some flooding begins along Aero 
  Drive from Holtz to Transit Roads in Cheektowaga. Also some 
  flooding along the flood control project area in Amherst such as 
  the bike path and golf course. Minor flooding in Ellicott Creek 
  Park. Little or no overall damage.

&&

LAT...LON 4293 7875 4301 7889 4304 7889 4304 7875 
      4295 7865 4293 7865            

$$

TMA
715 
WGUS81 KBUF 071144
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
644 AM EST Tue Nov 7 2017

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for The following rivers in New 
York...

  Ellicott Creek Near Williamsville

...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New 
York...

  Oatka Creek At Garbutt
  Black Creek At Churchville
  Tonawanda Creek At Batavia
  Tonawanda Creek At Rapids

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The 
water may be deeper than it appears.  Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

NYC029-037-063-121-071744-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-171107T2242Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.171106T1517Z.171107T0100Z.171107T1642Z.NO/
644 AM EST Tue Nov 7 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Tonawanda Creek At Batavia
* until this afternoon.
* At 6 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.2 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Moderate Flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...the creek will continue to fall...and is expected to 
  drop below flood stage late this morning.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Moderate flood. Flooding along West Main 
  Street and South Main Street in Batavia and along the creek from 
  Batavia to East Pembroke, extending to the Tonawanda Indian 
  Reservation. Flooding will mainly impact roads, with some 
  residential and commercial flooding possible.

&&

LAT...LON 4299 7831 4305 7863 4315 7864 4315 7810 
      4293 7817 4293 7832            

$$

NYC029-063-071743-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0031.171107T2125Z-171109T0234Z/
/RAPN6.1.ER.171107T2125Z.171108T0600Z.171108T2034Z.NO/
644 AM EST Tue Nov 7 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Tonawanda Creek At Rapids
* from this afternoon to Wednesday evening.
* At 6 AM Tuesday the stage was 8.9 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the creek is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  this afternoon and crest near 12.9 feet late tonight.
* IMPACT...At 12.0 feet...Flood stage. Lowland flooding of farm areas 
  along Tonawanda Creek between Rapids and the Tonawanda Indian 
  Reservation. Flooding may impact Fletcher, Burdick, Kirby, and 
  Tonawanda Creek Roads.

&&

LAT...LON 4305 7863 4299 7889 4306 7889 4315 7863 
      4315 7847 4302 7846            

$$

NYC037-055-071743-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-171108T1424Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.171106T1152Z.171107T1200Z.171108T0824Z.UU/
644 AM EST Tue Nov 7 2017

...Flood warning extended until Wednesday morning...

The flood warning continues for
  The Oatka Creek At Garbutt
* until Wednesday morning.
* At 6 AM Tuesday the stage was 6.7 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...the river will continue to rise and crest near 6.7 feet 
  this morning. 
* IMPACT...At 7.0 feet...Moderate flood, widespread flooding of 
  agricultural lands below LeRoy. Significant residential flooding 
  along creek, especially in Mumford, Wheatland, and Scottsville. 
  Roadway flooding begins. Some backwater effects possible from 
  Genesee River near Scottsville.

&&

LAT...LON 4304 7771 4299 7771 4299 7794 4297 7798 
      4297 7802 4302 7798            

$$

NYC037-055-071743-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0032.171107T1141Z-171108T0730Z/
/CHRN6.1.ER.171107T1000Z.171107T1800Z.171108T0130Z.NO/
644 AM EST Tue Nov 7 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Black Creek At Churchville
* from this morning to late tonight.
* At 6 AM Tuesday the stage was 6.1 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...the river will continue to rise and crest near 6.2 feet 
  this afternoon. 
* IMPACT...At 6.0 feet...Flood stage, more widespread agricultural 
  land flooding, some backyard and basement flooding Churchville to 
  Chili but minimal damages.

&&

LAT...LON 4306 7770 4306 7805 4313 7805 4313 7791 
      4312 7765                      

$$

NYC029-037-071214-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-171107T1800Z/
/WILN6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
644 AM EST Tue Nov 7 2017

The flood warning is cancelled for
  The Ellicott Creek Near Williamsville.
* At 6 AM Tuesday the stage was 7.7 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river crested below flood stage at 7.8 feet. The 
  river will Continue to fall to around 3.7 feet by Wednesday 
  morning.

&&

LAT...LON 4293 7875 4301 7889 4304 7889 4304 7875 
      4295 7865 4293 7865            

$$
327 
WGUS81 KBUF 071653
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1153 AM EST Tue Nov 7 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New 
York...


  Oatka Creek At Garbutt
  Black Creek At Churchville
  Tonawanda Creek At Batavia
  Tonawanda Creek At Rapids


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The 
water may be deeper than it appears.  Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

NYC037-055-072253-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-171108T1600Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.171106T1152Z.171107T1015Z.171108T1000Z.UU/
1153 AM EST Tue Nov 7 2017

...Flood warning extended until Wednesday morning...

The flood warning continues for
  The Oatka Creek At Garbutt
* until Wednesday morning.
* At 11 AM Tuesday the stage was 6.7 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...the river is near crest now and is expected to drop 
  below flood stage early Wednesday morning.
* IMPACT...At 7.0 feet...Moderate flood, widespread flooding of 
  agricultural lands below LeRoy. Significant residential flooding 
  along creek, especially in Mumford, Wheatland, and Scottsville. 
  Roadway flooding begins. Some backwater effects possible from 
  Genesee River near Scottsville.

&&

LAT...LON 4304 7771 4299 7771 4299 7794 4297 7798 
      4297 7802 4302 7798            

$$

NYC037-055-072253-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-171108T1330Z/
/CHRN6.1.ER.171107T1000Z.171107T1800Z.171108T0730Z.NO/
1153 AM EST Tue Nov 7 2017

...Flood warning extended until Wednesday morning...

The flood warning continues for
  The Black Creek At Churchville
* until Wednesday morning.
* At 11 AM Tuesday the stage was 6.3 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...the river will continue to rise and crest near 6.4 feet 
  this afternoon. 
* IMPACT...At 6.0 feet...Flood stage, more widespread agricultural 
  land flooding, some backyard and basement flooding Churchville to 
  Chili but minimal damages.

&&

LAT...LON 4306 7770 4306 7805 4313 7805 4313 7791 
      4312 7765                      

$$

NYC029-037-063-121-072242-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-171107T2242Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.171106T1517Z.171107T0100Z.171107T1642Z.NO/
1153 AM EST Tue Nov 7 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Tonawanda Creek At Batavia
* until this afternoon.
* At 11 AM Tuesday the stage was 9.1 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Nonflood flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...the river will continue to fall...and is expected to 
  drop below flood stage late this morning.
* IMPACT...At 9.0 feet...Flood stage, some flooding in Batavia, 
  possibly impacting Kibbe Park, Walnut Street, and Law Street. 
  Flooding in rural areas of Alexander and the lowlands of the 
  Alabama Swamps with some road closures likely.

&&

LAT...LON 4299 7831 4305 7863 4315 7864 4315 7810 
      4293 7817 4293 7832            

$$

NYC029-063-072252-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0031.171108T0810Z-171109T1520Z/
/RAPN6.1.ER.171108T0810Z.171108T1800Z.171109T0920Z.NO/
1153 AM EST Tue Nov 7 2017

...Flood warning extended until Thursday morning...

The flood warning continues for
  The Tonawanda Creek At Rapids
* from late tonight to Thursday morning.
* At 11 AM Tuesday the stage was 9.1 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage early 
  Wednesday morning and crest near 13.3 feet early Wednesday 
  afternoon.
* IMPACT...At 14.0 feet...Moderate flood, some residential flooding 
  with widespread road closures in North Clarence, east into Newstead
  and Royalton. Water begins to back up into smaller creeks such as 
  Ransom, Black, Beeman, Gott, and Mud Creeks. Flooding in some low 
  lying areas along Tonawanda Creek Road, Rapids Road, and Wolcott 
  Road, with widespread farmland flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 4305 7863 4299 7889 4306 7889 4315 7863 
      4315 7847 4302 7846            

$$
847 
WGUS81 KBUF 071946
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
246 PM EST Tue Nov 7 2017

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for The following rivers in New 
York...


  Tonawanda Creek At Batavia

...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New 
York...

  Oatka Creek At Garbutt
  Black Creek At Churchville
  Tonawanda Creek At Rapids


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The 
water may be deeper than it appears.  Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

NYC037-055-080146-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-171108T1600Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.171106T1152Z.171107T1015Z.171108T1000Z.UU/
246 PM EST Tue Nov 7 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Oatka Creek At Garbutt
* until Wednesday morning.
* At 2 PM Tuesday the stage was 6.6 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...the river is near crest now and is expected to drop 
  below flood stage early Wednesday morning.
* IMPACT...At 7.0 feet...Moderate flood, widespread flooding of 
  agricultural lands below LeRoy. Significant residential flooding 
  along creek, especially in Mumford, Wheatland, and Scottsville. 
  Roadway flooding begins. Some backwater effects possible from 
  Genesee River near Scottsville.

&&

LAT...LON 4304 7771 4299 7771 4299 7794 4297 7798 
      4297 7802 4302 7798            

$$

NYC037-055-080146-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-171108T1330Z/
/CHRN6.1.ER.171107T1000Z.171107T1930Z.171108T0730Z.NO/
246 PM EST Tue Nov 7 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Black Creek At Churchville
* until Wednesday morning.
* At 2 PM Tuesday the stage was 6.3 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...the river is near crest now and is expected to drop 
  below flood stage late tonight.
* IMPACT...At 6.0 feet...Flood stage, more widespread agricultural 
  land flooding, some backyard and basement flooding Churchville to 
  Chili but minimal damages.

&&

LAT...LON 4306 7770 4306 7805 4313 7805 4313 7791 
      4312 7765                      

$$

NYC029-037-063-121-072016-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-171107T2242Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.171106T1517Z.171107T0100Z.171107T1626Z.NO/
246 PM EST Tue Nov 7 2017

The flood warning is cancelled for
  The Tonawanda Creek At Batavia.
* At 2 PM Tuesday the stage was 8.4 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river fell below flood stage late this morning and 
  will continue to fall to around 6.6 feet by Wednesday morning.
* IMPACT...At 9.0 feet...Flood stage, some flooding in Batavia, 
  possibly impacting Kibbe Park, Walnut Street, and Law Street. 
  Flooding in rural areas of Alexander and the lowlands of the 
  Alabama Swamps with some road closures likely.

&&

LAT...LON 4299 7831 4305 7863 4315 7864 4315 7810 
      4293 7817 4293 7832            

$$

NYC029-063-080146-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0031.171108T0810Z-171109T1520Z/
/RAPN6.1.ER.171108T0810Z.171108T1800Z.171109T0920Z.NO/
246 PM EST Tue Nov 7 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Tonawanda Creek At Rapids
* from late tonight to Thursday morning.
* At 3 PM Tuesday the stage was 9.3 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage early 
  Wednesday morning and crest near 13.3 feet early Wednesday 
  afternoon.
* IMPACT...At 14.0 feet...Moderate flood, some residential flooding 
  with widespread road closures in North Clarence, east into Newstead
  and Royalton. Water begins to back up into smaller creeks such as 
  Ransom, Black, Beeman, Gott, and Mud Creeks. Flooding in some low 
  lying areas along Tonawanda Creek Road, Rapids Road, and Wolcott 
  Road, with widespread farmland flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 4305 7863 4299 7889 4306 7889 4315 7863 
      4315 7847 4302 7846            

$$
922 
WGUS81 KBUF 080140
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
840 PM EST Tue Nov 7 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New 
York...

  Oatka Creek At Garbutt
  Black Creek At Churchville
  Tonawanda Creek At Rapids


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The 
water may be deeper than it appears.  Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

NYC037-055-080740-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-171108T1600Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.171106T1152Z.171107T1015Z.171108T1000Z.UU/
840 PM EST Tue Nov 7 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Oatka Creek At Garbutt
* until Wednesday morning.
* At 8 PM Tuesday the stage was 6.3 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...the river is falling now and is expected to drop 
  below flood stage early Wednesday morning.
* IMPACT...At 6.0 feet...Flood stage, general flooding of agricultural
  land begins, some basement flooding in Scottsville and Garbutt.

&&

LAT...LON 4304 7771 4299 7771 4299 7794 4297 7798 
      4297 7802 4302 7798            

$$

NYC037-055-080740-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-171108T1330Z/
/CHRN6.1.ER.171107T1000Z.171107T1930Z.171108T0730Z.NO/
840 PM EST Tue Nov 7 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Black Creek At Churchville
* until Wednesday morning.
* At 8 PM Tuesday the stage was 6.3 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...the river is falling now and is expected to drop 
  below flood stage late tonight.
* IMPACT...At 6.0 feet...Flood stage, more widespread agricultural 
  land flooding, some backyard and basement flooding Churchville to 
  Chili but minimal damages.

&&

LAT...LON 4306 7770 4306 7805 4313 7805 4313 7791 
      4312 7765                      

$$

NYC029-063-080739-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0031.171108T0810Z-171109T1520Z/
/RAPN6.1.ER.171108T0810Z.171108T1800Z.171109T0920Z.NO/
840 PM EST Tue Nov 7 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Tonawanda Creek At Rapids
* from late tonight to Thursday morning.
* At 8 PM Tuesday the stage was 9.8 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage early 
  Wednesday morning and crest near 13.3 feet early Wednesday 
  afternoon.
* IMPACT...At 12.0 feet...Flood stage, lowland flooding of farm
  areas along Tonawanda Creek between Rapids and the Tonawanda 
  Indian Reservation. Flooding may impact Fletcher, Burdick, Kirby, 
  and Tonawanda Creek Roads.

&&

LAT...LON 4305 7863 4299 7889 4306 7889 4315 7863 
      4315 7847 4302 7846            

$$

Church
150 
WGUS81 KBUF 080734
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
234 AM EST Wed Nov 8 2017

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for The following rivers in New 
York...


  Oatka Creek At Garbutt

...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New 
York...


  Black Creek At Churchville
  Tonawanda Creek At Rapids


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The 
water may be deeper than it appears.  Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

NYC037-055-081327-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-171108T1327Z/
/CHRN6.1.ER.171107T1000Z.171107T1930Z.171108T0727Z.NO/
234 AM EST Wed Nov 8 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Black Creek At Churchville
* until this morning.
* At 2 AM Wednesday the stage was 6.03 feet and slowly falling.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Non-flood flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...the river is expected to drop below flood stage early
this morning.
* IMPACT...At 6.0 feet...Flood stage, more widespread agricultural 
  land flooding, some backyard and basement flooding Churchville to 
  Chili but minimal damages.

&&

LAT...LON 4306 7770 4306 7805 4313 7805 4313 7791 
      4312 7765                      

$$

NYC029-063-081334-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0031.171108T1108Z-171109T1612Z/
/RAPN6.1.ER.171108T1108Z.171108T1800Z.171109T1012Z.NO/
234 AM EST Wed Nov 8 2017

...Flood warning extended until Thursday morning...

The flood warning continues for
  The Tonawanda Creek At Rapids
* from this morning to Thursday morning.
* At 2 AM Wednesday the stage was 10.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage this 
  morning and crest near 13.2 feet this afternoon.
* IMPACT...At 14.0 feet...Moderate flood, some residential flooding 
  with widespread road closures in North Clarence, east into Newstead
  and Royalton. Water begins to back up into smaller creeks such as 
  Ransom, Black, Beeman, Gott, and Mud Creeks. Flooding in some low 
  lying areas along Tonawanda Creek Road, Rapids Road, and Wolcott 
  Road, with widespread farmland flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 4305 7863 4299 7889 4306 7889 4315 7863 
      4315 7847 4302 7846            

$$

NYC037-055-080804-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-171108T1600Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.171106T1152Z.171107T1015Z.171108T0515Z.UU/
234 AM EST Wed Nov 8 2017

The flood warning is cancelled for
  The Oatka Creek At Garbutt.
* At 2 AM Wednesday the stage was 5.9 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river fell below flood stage early this morning and 
  will continue to fall to around 4.9 feet by Thursday morning.
* IMPACT...At 6.0 feet...Flood stage, general flooding of agricultural
  land begins, some basement flooding in Scottsville and Garbutt.

&&

LAT...LON 4304 7771 4299 7771 4299 7794 4297 7798 
      4297 7802 4302 7798            

$$
287 
WGUS81 KBUF 080909
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
409 AM EST Wed Nov 8 2017

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for The following rivers in New 
York...

  Black Creek At Churchville

...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New 
York...

  Tonawanda Creek At Rapids

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The 
water may be deeper than it appears.  Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

NYC029-063-081509-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0031.171108T1116Z-171109T1612Z/
/RAPN6.1.ER.171108T1116Z.171108T1800Z.171109T1012Z.NO/
409 AM EST Wed Nov 8 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Tonawanda Creek At Rapids
* until Thursday morning.
* At 3 AM Wednesday the stage was 10.7 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage this 
  morning and crest near 13.2 feet this afternoon.
* IMPACT...At 14.0 feet...Moderate flood, some residential flooding 
  with widespread road closures in North Clarence, east into Newstead
  and Royalton. Water begins to back up into smaller creeks such as 
  Ransom, Black, Beeman, Gott, and Mud Creeks. Flooding in some low 
  lying areas along Tonawanda Creek Road, Rapids Road, and Wolcott 
  Road, with widespread farmland flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 4305 7863 4299 7889 4306 7889 4315 7863 
      4315 7847 4302 7846            

$$

NYC037-055-080939-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-171108T1327Z/
/CHRN6.1.ER.171107T1000Z.171107T1930Z.171108T0730Z.NO/
409 AM EST Wed Nov 8 2017

The flood warning is cancelled for
  The Black Creek At Churchville.
* At 4 AM Wednesday the stage was 5.9 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river fell below flood stage early this morning and 
  will continue to fall to around 4.4 feet by Thursday morning.

&&

LAT...LON 4306 7770 4306 7805 4313 7805 4313 7791 
      4312 7765                      

$$

Apffel
899 
WGUS81 KBUF 081451
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
951 AM EST Wed Nov 8 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New 
York...


  Tonawanda Creek At Rapids


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The 
water may be deeper than it appears.  Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

NYC029-063-082051-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-171109T1620Z/
/RAPN6.1.ER.171108T1625Z.171109T0000Z.171109T1020Z.NO/
951 AM EST Wed Nov 8 2017

...Flood warning extended until Thursday morning...

The flood warning continues for
  The Tonawanda Creek At Rapids
* until Thursday morning.
* At 9 AM Wednesday the stage was 11.4 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  this morning and crest near 13.2 feet this evening.
* IMPACT...At 12.0 feet...Flood stage, lowland flooding of farm areas 
  along Tonawanda Creek between Rapids and the Tonawanda Indian 
  Reservation. Flooding may impact Fletcher, Burdick, Kirby, and 
  Tonawanda Creek Roads.

&&

LAT...LON 4305 7863 4299 7889 4306 7889 4315 7863 
      4315 7847 4302 7846            

$$
215 
WGUS81 KBUF 081608
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1108 AM EST Wed Nov 8 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New 
York...


  Tonawanda Creek At Rapids


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The 
water may be deeper than it appears.  Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

NYC029-063-082208-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-171109T1200Z/
/RAPN6.1.ER.171108T2000Z.171109T0000Z.171109T0600Z.NO/
1108 AM EST Wed Nov 8 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Tonawanda Creek At Rapids
* until Thursday morning.
* At 10 AM Wednesday the stage was 11.4 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  this afternoon and crest near 12.2 feet this evening.
* IMPACT...At 12.0 feet...Flood stage, lowland flooding of farm areas 
  along Tonawanda Creek between Rapids and the Tonawanda Indian 
  Reservation. Flooding may impact Fletcher, Burdick, Kirby, and 
  Tonawanda Creek Roads.

&&

LAT...LON 4305 7863 4299 7889 4306 7889 4315 7863 
      4315 7847 4302 7846            

$$
352 
WGUS81 KBUF 082157
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
457 PM EST Wed Nov 8 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New 
York...

  Tonawanda Creek At Rapids


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The 
water may be deeper than it appears.  Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

NYC029-063-090357-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-171109T1200Z/
/RAPN6.1.ER.171108T2022Z.171109T0000Z.171109T0600Z.NO/
457 PM EST Wed Nov 8 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Tonawanda Creek At Rapids
* until Thursday morning.
* At 4 PM Wednesday the stage was 12.1 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...the river will continue to rise and crest near 12.2 feet
  this evening. 
* IMPACT...At 12.0 feet...Flood stage, lowland flooding of farm areas 
  along Tonawanda Creek between Rapids and the Tonawanda Indian 
  Reservation. Flooding may impact Fletcher, Burdick, Kirby, and 
  Tonawanda Creek Roads.

&&

LAT...LON 4305 7863 4299 7889 4306 7889 4315 7863 
      4315 7847 4302 7846            

$$
792 
WGUS81 KBUF 090316
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1016 PM EST Wed Nov 8 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New 
York...


  Tonawanda Creek At Rapids


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The 
water may be deeper than it appears.  Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

NYC029-063-090916-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-171109T1800Z/
/RAPN6.1.ER.171108T2022Z.171109T0600Z.171109T1200Z.NO/
1016 PM EST Wed Nov 8 2017

...Flood warning extended until Thursday afternoon...

The flood warning continues for
  The Tonawanda Creek At Rapids
* until Thursday afternoon.
* At 10 PM Wednesday the stage was 12.3 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...the river will continue to rise and crest near 12.5 feet
  late tonight. 
* IMPACT...At 12.0 feet...Flood stage, lowland flooding of farm areas 
  along Tonawanda Creek between Rapids and the Tonawanda Indian 
  Reservation. Flooding may impact Fletcher, Burdick, Kirby, and 
  Tonawanda Creek Roads.

&&

LAT...LON 4305 7863 4299 7889 4306 7889 4315 7863 
      4315 7847 4302 7846            

$$
429 
WGUS81 KBUF 090849
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
349 AM EST Thu Nov 9 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New 
York...


  Tonawanda Creek At Rapids


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The 
water may be deeper than it appears.  Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

NYC029-063-091449-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-171109T1922Z/
/RAPN6.1.ER.171108T2022Z.171109T0530Z.171109T1322Z.NO/
349 AM EST Thu Nov 9 2017

...Flood warning extended until this afternoon...

The flood warning continues for
  The Tonawanda Creek At Rapids
* until this afternoon.
* At 3 AM Thursday the stage was 12.3 feet and nearly steady.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...the river is near crest now and is expected to drop 
  below flood stage by this afternoon.
* IMPACT...At 12.0 feet...Flood stage, lowland flooding of farm areas 
  along Tonawanda Creek between Rapids and the Tonawanda Indian 
  Reservation. Flooding may impact Fletcher, Burdick, Kirby, and 
  Tonawanda Creek Roads.

&&

LAT...LON 4305 7863 4299 7889 4306 7889 4315 7863 
      4315 7847 4302 7846            

$$

HITCHCOCK
034 
WGUS81 KBUF 091125
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
625 AM EST Thu Nov 9 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New 
York...

  Tonawanda Creek At Rapids


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The 
water may be deeper than it appears.  Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

NYC029-063-091725-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-171109T1922Z/
/RAPN6.1.ER.171108T2022Z.171109T0530Z.171109T1322Z.NO/
625 AM EST Thu Nov 9 2017

The flood warning continues for
  The Tonawanda Creek At Rapids
* until this afternoon.
* At 6 AM Thursday the stage was 12.2 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...the river will continue to fall below flood stage
  by early this afternoon.
* IMPACT...At 12.0 feet...Flood stage, lowland flooding of farm areas 
  along Tonawanda Creek between Rapids and the Tonawanda Indian 
  Reservation. Flooding may impact Fletcher, Burdick, Kirby, and 
  Tonawanda Creek Roads.

&&

LAT...LON 4305 7863 4299 7889 4306 7889 4315 7863 
      4315 7847 4302 7846            

$$

HITCHCOCK
991 
WGUS81 KBUF 091518
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1018 AM EST Thu Nov 9 2017

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for The following rivers in New 
York...


  Tonawanda Creek At Rapids


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The 
water may be deeper than it appears.  Turn around...don't drown!

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further 
details and updates.


&&

NYC029-063-091548-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-171109T1922Z/
/RAPN6.1.ER.171108T2022Z.171109T0530Z.171109T1307Z.NO/
1018 AM EST Thu Nov 9 2017

The flood warning is cancelled for
  The Tonawanda Creek At Rapids.
* At 10 AM Thursday the stage was 11.8 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river fell below flood stage this morning and will 
  continue to fall to around 8.3 feet by Friday morning.
* IMPACT...At 12.0 feet...Flood stage, lowland flooding of farm areas 
  along Tonawanda Creek between Rapids and the Tonawanda Indian 
  Reservation. Flooding may impact Fletcher, Burdick, Kirby, and 
  Tonawanda Creek Roads.

&&

LAT...LON 4305 7863 4299 7889 4306 7889 4315 7863 
      4315 7847 4302 7846            

$$

JJR

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Nov 6, 3:52 AM EST, 1 hour 41 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 6, 3:52 AM EST, 1 hour 41 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
352 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will continue to slowly cross the area early this
morning with showers ending from west to east. High pressure
following the front will then bring a period of mainly dry and cool
weather tonight through Thursday. Even colder air will arrive at the
end of the week following a cold front Thursday night.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Cold front currently crossing far western New York, nearing a
Rochester to Jamestown line. Showers will continue along and ahead
of the front this morning, but end within a couple hours of the
frontal passage. Additional rainfall amounts up to a quarter
inch possible across central New York this morning, with less
than a tenth of an inch across the western counties. This will
continue to allow high water issues to diminish with concerns
only lingering along areas rivers/creeks/streams. See latest
flood warnings for details.

Behind the cold front, the airmass grows cold enough to support
lake effect clouds. Model sounding showing an inversion around
5K feet limiting risk for lake effect showers. Moderate cold
advection should bring slowly falling temperatures from the
50s this morning into the 40s this afternoon.

Tonight, high pressure will start to build in from the Northern
Plains. Lake effect clouds may linger for some areas, but
overall it will be a dry and cold night with most overnight lows
near or below freezing, with the coldest temperatures in the
valleys.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
Surface high pressure will extend from the Northern Plains east into
the Great Lakes region Tuesday and Wednesday. This should ensure
much needed dry weather for all of WNY and CNY. It should be cool
however, with highs mostly in the 40s and lows near or below
freezing in valley bottoms. The North Country will be particularly
chilly Tuesday night with lows in the lower 20s.

On Tuesday a weak wave of low pressure will pass well to our south,
but an associated shortwave will generate weak mid/upper level lift
to the north of this wave. This could conceivably result in light
rain or snow showers across the Southern Tier on Tuesday, however
given the dry boundary layer will only carry slight chance Pops for
this wave which is most aggressively depicted by the NAM.

By late Tuesday night, all models are in better agreement with high
pressure settling across the region. Given saturated ground, valley
fog may result in Southern Tier and some other locations.  Normally
this common occurrence wouldn't bee an issue, but fog formation
could also result in some black ice as temperatures drop into the
20s.

By Wednesday, high pressure will continue with more dry but cool
conditions.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
The coldest air of the very young winter season will arrive this
period as a strong upper level shortwave trough dips southward from
Canada and across the Great Lakes region. In fact this shortwave is
currently advancing northward from Greenland towards the North Pole
this early Monday morning...and will eventually transport arctic air
southward across the Canadian Prairies early this week.

By Thursday this shortwave trough of low pressure, and attendant
surface low will be to our west over the Central Great Lakes.
Southwesterly flow ahead of this feature will bring one more
typically mild, cloudy late autumn day to the Eastern Great Lakes
region with temperatures in the mid 40s to lower 50s. A stray shower
or two cannot be ruled out with the southwest flow, but the better
chance will be Friday night and into early Saturday. Tracking the
shortwave it will not be tapping into any moisture source, with
continental polar air crossing the region late Thursday night and
early Friday morning. Will maintain just chance Pops for
showers/snow showers along a cold front but it may end up being a
dry frontal passage for some.

Behind the cold front Friday and Saturday, 850 hPa temperatures will
be dropping to around -12 to -16C with the cold air to the north.
Looking at 850 hPa temperature climatology for Buffalo...the coldest
temperature recorded at 12Z on the 11th is -12.9C, and the moving
average is -13.6C. This airmass will rival any of the coldest
airmasses that occurred on November 10th and 11th, and thus will
forecast temperatures even below what the model guidance has. There
is still some uncertainty with the timing of the cold front, and we
could see a few 'mild hours' Friday before the cold front sweeps
through with falling temperatures during the day...especially
towards the east. Highs later Friday and Saturday will likely be in
the low to mid 30s...with overnight lows Friday night and Saturday
night in the teens to 20s. Warmest areas will be right along the
shoreline where a lake still in the 50s will moderate the falling
overnight temperatures.

Since the source of this airmass is from the dry continental region,
lake effect response will be limited. Will hold onto a chance pop
into Friday evening for some lake snow showers south/southeast of
the lakes for scattered light lake effect snow showers. After this a
broad and strong area of high pressure will maintain precipitation
free weather Friday night through Saturday night...and possibly
through the remainder of the weekend. Below normal temperatures are
expected to persist through the weekend...with Sunday perhaps not as
cold with temperatures nearing the lower 40s.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Conditions will deteriorate to MVFR overnight as a cold front
crosses the region and northwesterly upslope develops by Monday
morning. KJHW will likely see IFR ceilings develop behind the cold
front passage. All sites will likely remain MVFR through much of the
day Monday before cloud cover scatters out late in the day as drier
air builds into the region.

Outlook...
Tuesday through Friday...Mainly VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
Winds will become northwest today behind a cold front. This will
bring another period of Small Craft Advisory conditions to the south
shore of Lake Ontario. High pressure will then bring a period of
lighter winds through mid-week.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for LOZ043-
         044.
         Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for
         LOZ042.
         Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for
         LOZ045.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TMA
NEAR TERM...TMA
SHORT TERM...APFFEL
LONG TERM...APFFEL/THOMAS
AVIATION...CHURCH/TMA
MARINE...TMA
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 6, 5:15 AM EST, 18 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
515 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-071015-
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-Chautauqua-
Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie-
515 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western and north central New
York.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-071015-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
Lower Niagara River-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
515 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the New York waters of Lake
Erie, Lake Ontario, and the Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

In the hours before

Local storm report, Nov 6, 12:05 AM EST, 5 hours 28 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1205 AM EST MON NOV 06 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 PM     FLOOD            BLASDELL                42.80N  78.83W
11/05/2017                   ERIE               NY   COCORAHS

            FLOODING ON MARTIN RD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1701578

KRA
Local storm report, Nov 6, 1:05 AM EST, 4 hours 28 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
105 AM EST MON NOV 06 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1030 PM     FLOOD            MACEDON                 43.07N  77.30W
11/05/2017                   WAYNE              NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MULTIPLE ROADS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1701579

KRA
Local storm report, Nov 6, 1:28 AM EST, 4 hours 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
128 AM EST MON NOV 06 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0631 PM     FLOOD            4 NW EDEN               42.70N  78.96W
11/05/2017                   ERIE               NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SOUTH CREEK ROAD CLOSED IN BOTH DIRECTIONS IN TOWN OF
            EVANS.

0654 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SSE MAYVILLE          42.21N  79.47W
11/05/2017                   CHAUTAUQUA         NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE DOWN AT CHAUTAUQUA INSTITUTION

0655 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 WSW CASSADAGA         42.32N  79.36W
11/05/2017                   CHAUTAUQUA         NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE DOWN IN STOCKTON

0800 PM     FLOOD            3 SE FREDONIA           42.41N  79.30W
11/05/2017                   CHAUTAUQUA         NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ROUTE 60 CLOSED FROM WEBSTER ROAD TO SPODEN ROAD

0800 PM     FLOOD            4 SSW BRIGHTON          43.06N  77.61W
11/05/2017                   MONROE             NY   SOCIAL MEDIA

            SEVERAL REPORTS OF FLOODING IN HENRIETTA

0830 PM     FLOOD            BRIGHTON                43.12N  77.58W
11/05/2017                   MONROE             NY   SOCIAL MEDIA

            SEVERAL REPORTS OF FLOODING IN BRIGHTON

0846 PM     FLOOD            1 SW GATES-NORTH GATES  43.16N  77.71W
11/05/2017                   MONROE             NY   SOCIAL MEDIA

            SEVERAL REPORTS OF FLOODING IN GATES

0853 PM     FLOOD            3 NW HONEOYE FALLS      43.00N  77.63W
11/05/2017                   MONROE             NY   SOCIAL MEDIA

            FLOODING REPORTED ON RUSH MENDON RD IN RUSH

0856 PM     FLOOD            1 SE EAST AURORA        42.76N  78.61W
11/05/2017                   ERIE               NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ROUTE 16 SOUTH CLOSED IN EAST AURORA

0900 PM     FLOOD            WARSAW                  42.74N  78.14W
11/05/2017                   WYOMING            NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FLOODING REPORTED IN WARSAW

0900 PM     FLOOD            2 SW BLASDELL           42.77N  78.87W
11/05/2017                   ERIE               NY   COCORAHS

            FLOODING REPORTED IN ATHOL SPRINGS

0901 PM     FLOOD            1 SE SLOAN              42.88N  78.77W
11/05/2017                   ERIE               NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WILLIAM ST. CLOSED NEAR THRUWAY DUE TO FLOODING.

0930 PM     FLOOD            BLASDELL                42.80N  78.83W
11/05/2017                   ERIE               NY   COCORAHS

            FLOODING ON MARTIN RD.

0933 PM     FLOOD            2 SE ORCHARD PARK       42.75N  78.72W
11/05/2017                   ERIE               NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            JEWETT HOLMWOOD ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

1019 PM     FLOOD            SILVER CREEK            42.54N  79.17W
11/05/2017                   CHAUTAUQUA         NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ROUTE 5 CLOSED IN TOWN

1030 PM     FLOOD            MACEDON                 43.07N  77.30W
11/05/2017                   WAYNE              NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MULTIPLE ROADS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.

1039 PM     FLOOD            2 ESE EAST AURORA       42.76N  78.58W
11/05/2017                   ERIE               NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            REITER ROAD CLOSED FROM ROUTE 20A TO LAPHAM ROAD

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1701563 BUF1701570 BUF1701571 BUF1701564 BUF1701565
BUF1701566 BUF1701567 BUF1701568 BUF1701573 BUF1701569 BUF1701572
BUF1701574 BUF1701578 BUF1701575 BUF1701576 BUF1701579 BUF1701577

KRA

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 5, 7:07 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningBUFAllegany, Livingston, Monroe47 hr
Nov 5, 8:04 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningBUFMonroe24 hr
Nov 5, 8:23 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningBUFCayuga, Ontario, Wayne24 hr
Nov 5, 9:26 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningBUFErie, Genesee36 hr
Nov 5, 9:26 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningBUFErie, Genesee, Niagara, Wyoming41 hr
Nov 5, 9:48 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningBUFJefferson, Lewis, Oswego24 hr
Nov 5, 10:54 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningBUFCattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Wyoming11 hr
Nov 6, 12:14 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningBUFLivingston, Monroe20 hr
Nov 6, 4:50 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningBUFGenesee, Monroe46 hr
Nov 6, 5:33 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningBUFMonroe14 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in New York, 2017Every river flood warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.