Severe Thunderstorm Warning 68, NWS La Crosse, WI

358 
WWUS53 KARX 172129
SVSARX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
429 PM CDT WED MAY 17 2017

MNC045-055-172200-
/O.CON.KARX.SV.W.0068.000000T0000Z-170517T2200Z/
Houston MN-Fillmore MN-
429 PM CDT WED MAY 17 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT
FOR WESTERN HOUSTON AND EASTERN FILLMORE COUNTIES...

At 429 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Houston, or 8
miles northwest of Caledonia, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

this severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
western Houston and eastern Fillmore Counties, including the
following locations: Rushford Village, Mound Prairie, Money Creek,
Highland and Newburg.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for northeastern
Iowa...and southeastern Minnesota.

LAT...LON 4385 9181 4385 9139 4350 9161 4350 9206
TIME...MOT...LOC 2129Z 203DEG 33KT 4373 9160 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

JSB

534 
WWUS53 KARX 172149
SVSARX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
449 PM CDT WED MAY 17 2017

MNC045-172158-
/O.CAN.KARX.SV.W.0068.000000T0000Z-170517T2200Z/
Fillmore MN-
449 PM CDT WED MAY 17 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN FILLMORE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for southeastern
Minnesota.

LAT...LON 4385 9139 4358 9156 4367 9173 4385 9173
TIME...MOT...LOC 2148Z 200DEG 48KT 4380 9158 

$$

MNC055-172200-
/O.CON.KARX.SV.W.0068.000000T0000Z-170517T2200Z/
Houston MN-
449 PM CDT WED MAY 17 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN HOUSTON COUNTY...

At 448 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Houston, or 12
miles north of Caledonia, moving north at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Trained weather spotters. 

IMPACT...Damage to vehicles is expected. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for southeastern
Minnesota.

LAT...LON 4385 9139 4358 9156 4367 9173 4385 9173
TIME...MOT...LOC 2148Z 200DEG 48KT 4380 9158 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

JSB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
141 PM CDT Wed May 17 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Thursday Night)
Issued at 141 PM CDT Wed May 17 2017

Main focus is on severe potential this afternoon into this evening.

Current analysis has surface/mid-level low pressure center over
eastern Nebraska. Radar has some ongoing showers/thunderstorms ahead
of the low moving across portions of southwest into central WI.
Otherwise, temperatures were in the upper 60s to middle 70s with dew
points in the 60s.

Severe threat looks on track for the area this afternoon into this
evening as the low lifts out of Nebraska into southeast MN.
Increasing MuCape/Bulk Shear/Helicity sets up across our area for
the likelihood of supercell thunderstorms capable of large hail,
damaging winds and a few tornadoes. The highest tornado threat looks
to be from northeast IA into southwest in central WI. The highest
severe threat time still looks to be in the 3 to 8 pm time frame.
There will also be the likelihood of some localized heavier rainfall
from the storms with precipitable water values around 1.5 inches.

Look for these storms to exit the area by later this evening but
lingering showers will continue through the night into Thursday on
the backside of the departing low/cyclonic flow aloft. Otherwise,
cooler temperatures will be seen Thursday under clouds and cold
cyclonic flow aloft. Look for highs only in the 50s to middle 60s
along with brisk north winds.

Decreasing cloudiness is expected Thursday night mainly north of I-
90 as high pressure noses in from Canada. Low temperatures are
expected to dip into the middle 30s to lower 40s.

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 141 PM CDT Wed May 17 2017

Friday will see a chance of showers mainly southwest of I-94 as a
mid-level trough and push of 850mb moisture transport move in.
Otherwise, still on the cool side with highs only in the 50s.

Low pressure lifts from the Southern Plains into the region Friday
night through Saturday for the likelihood of showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Otherwise, gulf looks wide open with this system for
plenty of available moisture. Look for the bulks of showers to move
out by late Saturday night, with a lingering chance of showers on
Sunday across north central WI. Otherwise, temperatures stay below
normal with highs Saturday and Sunday in the upper 50s to the middle
60s.

Cooler cyclonic flow aloft lingers over the region Monday through
Wednesday for shower chances and temperatures remaining below normal.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 1238 PM CDT Wed May 17 2017

Main taf concerns are thunderstorms at both RST/LSE taf sites this
afternoon into this evening...then the potential for IFR/MVFR
conditions after 06z Thursday. Low pressure pushing into western
Iowa is expected to spread a couple of rounds of
showers/thunderstorms into the area this afternoon into this
evening. Large hail and damaging winds are possible with the
thunderstorms at both taf sites late this afternoon into this
evening. Timing/placement of each individual band of
showers/thunderstorms moving into the taf sites will be tricky.
At this time...have introduced vicinity thunderstorms through this
evening at both RST/LSE taf sites...with a tempo group late this
afternoon into early evening hours to cover the timing of one of the
convective bands. Showers will continue after 06z Thursday...however
ceilings will lower into the IFR/MVFR conditions at both RST/LSE taf
sites.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...(This afternoon into Tonight)
Issued at 141 PM CDT Wed May 17 2017

As of late this morning, emergency management and local law
enforcement reported numerous county and township roads closed due
to water over roads and washed out roadways across northern
Trempealeau, northwest Jackson and northeast Buffalo counties. These
were areas where radar estimated 4-6 inches had fallen last night.
As a result, Areal Flood Warnings remain in effect for portions of
northeastern Buffalo and northern Trempealeau/Jackson counties until
midnight tonight. In addition, river flood warnings are also in
effect for the Black River and Trempealeau Rivers. More showers and
thunderstorms are expected this afternoon into tonight across the
forecast area with another 1/2 to locally 2 inches of rainfall
possible. This will keep rivers running higher than usual and could
produce some ponding of water on roadway and lower lying areas, but
flash flooding is not anticipated due to the expected fast-moving
nature of the showers and storms, thereby not being focused over a
certain area for any length of time.

&&

.ARX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...None.
MN...None.
IA...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...DAS
LONG TERM....DAS
AVIATION.....DTJ
HYDROLOGY....DAS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
337 PM CDT Wed May 17 2017

IAZ008>011-018-019-029-030-MNZ079-086>088-094>096-WIZ017-029-
032>034-041>044-053>055-061-182045-
Mitchell-Howard-Winneshiek-Allamakee-Floyd-Chickasaw-Fayette-
Clayton-Wabasha-Dodge-Olmsted-Winona-Mower-Fillmore-Houston-
Taylor-Clark-Buffalo-Trempealeau-Jackson-La Crosse-Monroe-Juneau-
Adams-Vernon-Crawford-Richland-Grant-
337 PM CDT Wed May 17 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast
Minnesota, northeast Iowa, and southwest into central Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Rest Of Today and Tonight

Severe thunderstorms are expected through this evening, primarily
before 8 pm. The risks will be isolated tornadoes, damaging winds
and large hail. At this time, the tornado risk looks to be across
portions of southeast Minnesota, northeast Iowa into western and
central Wisconsin. Storms with damaging winds and large hail could
occur across the entire area. Locally heavy rain will be possible
with any storm, however, the storms should be fast moving
limiting the potential for flash flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Another round of widespread rain looks to spread across the area
Friday into Saturday night, with amounts of 3/4 inch to locally
1 1/2 inches appearing likely.

Isolated thunderstorms are also possible later Friday night and
Saturday. Severe weather is not expected with any of these
storms.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter groups should be prepared for rapid activation into this
evening as these storms will be fast moving. Any severe weather
reports would be appreciated through this evening.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

No webinar is scheduled.

DTJ

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
248 PM CDT WED MAY 17 2017

WIZ042>044-172015-
Juneau-Adams-Monroe-
248 PM CDT WED MAY 17 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT JUNEAU...ADAMS AND EAST CENTRAL
MONROE COUNTIES...

At 247 PM CDT, strong thunderstorms were located over Adams and
Juneau counties in central Wisconsin. The strongest thunderstorm was
located near New Lisbon, or 11 miles north of Mauston, moving
northeast at 45 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and hail up to quarters are possible with
this storm.

This storm will be near...
  Necedah and Dellwood around 255 PM CDT.
  New Rome around 315 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Lemonweir, Strongs
Prairie, Big Flats, Lindina and Camp Douglas.

LAT...LON 4364 8992 4369 9031 4373 9031 4373 9033
      4425 9031 4425 8960 4364 8960
TIME...MOT...LOC 1947Z 218DEG 40KT 4396 9017

JSB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
250 PM CDT WED MAY 17 2017

IAZ008>010-018-019-029-MNZ079-086>088-094-095-172145-
Winneshiek-Floyd-Howard-Chickasaw-Fayette-Mitchell-Wabasha-Olmsted-
Dodge-Fillmore-Winona-Mower-
250 PM CDT WED MAY 17 2017

...SEVERE STORM THREAT INCREASING OVER NORTHEAST IOWA AND SOUTHEAST
MINNESOTA THIS AFTERNOON...

At 245 PM CDT, thunderstorms were developing rapidly across
northeast Iowa and southeast Minnesota. Through late afternoon,
these storms have the potential to become severe. The main risks
from the storms are...

large hail...damaging winds...and tornadoes.

Know your safety plan should a warning be issued for your area. Stay
weather aware this afternoon with multiple sources for your weather
information.

Law enforcement should prepare now for a busier period by later
afternoon with storm damage on the increase.

Prepare now for possible severe weather. Seek shelter when warnings
are issued. For tornado warnings, seek shelter below ground.

LAT...LON 4420 9304 4412 9218 4339 9166 4264 9161
      4270 9208 4291 9208 4291 9303
TIME...MOT...LOC 1944Z 198DEG 44KT 4322 9238

DAB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
302 PM CDT WED MAY 17 2017

IAZ008>010-018-019-029-MNZ079-086>088-094-095-172145-
Winneshiek-Floyd-Howard-Chickasaw-Fayette-Mitchell-Wabasha-Olmsted-
Dodge-Fillmore-Winona-Mower-
302 PM CDT WED MAY 17 2017

...SEVERE STORM THREAT INCREASING OVER NORTHEAST IOWA AND SOUTHEAST
MINNESOTA THIS AFTERNOON...

At 300 PM CDT, thunderstorms were developing rapidly across
northeast Iowa and southeast Minnesota. Through late afternoon,
these storms have the potential to become severe. The main risks
from the strongest storms are...

large hail...damaging winds...and tornadoes.

Many storms will be capable of dime sized hail and wind gusts of 40-
50 mph.

Know your safety plan should a warning be issued for your area. Stay
weather aware this afternoon with multiple sources for your weather
information.

Law enforcement should prepare now for a busier period by later
afternoon with storm damage on the increase.

Prepare now for possible severe weather. Seek shelter when warnings
are issued. For tornado warnings, seek shelter below ground.

LAT...LON 4420 9304 4412 9218 4339 9166 4264 9161
      4270 9208 4291 9208 4291 9303
TIME...MOT...LOC 1944Z 198DEG 44KT 4322 9238

DAB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
340 PM CDT WED MAY 17 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0333 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 W PRESTON             43.67N 92.16W
05/17/2017  M55 MPH          FILLMORE           MN   AWOS

&&

SHEA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
344 PM CDT WED MAY 17 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0330 PM     HAIL             FORT ATKINSON           43.14N 91.93W
05/17/2017  E0.25 INCH       WINNESHIEK         IA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

CJA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
405 PM CDT WED MAY 17 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0404 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 SW RIDGEWAY           43.26N 92.05W
05/17/2017  E60 MPH          WINNESHIEK         IA   911 CALL CENTER

&&

SHEA