Red Flag Warning 14, NWS Fairbanks, AK

177 
WWAK63 PAFG 052246
RFWAFG

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
246 PM AKDT Wed Jul 5 2017

AKZ218-062015-
/O.CON.PAFG.FW.W.0014.170706T2000Z-170707T0600Z/
Southeastern Brooks Range-
246 PM AKDT Wed Jul 5 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 10 PM AKDT
THURSDAY FOR SOUTHEASTERN BROOKS RANGE...

* AFFECTED AREA...East of Arctic Village.

* TIMING...Red flag conditions will develop after noon Thursday 
  and persist through 9 pm Thursday evening.

* WINDS...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* HUMIDITY...As low as 26 percent.

* TEMPERATURES...61 to 76.

* IMPACTS...Rapid ignition, growth and spread of fires will be 
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that conditions are occurring or will
occur which could lead to the development of large and dangerous
fires. It is directed toward fire agencies, and through them, to
the public.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$

AKZ220-062015-
/O.CON.PAFG.FW.W.0014.170706T2000Z-170707T0600Z/
Yukon Flats and Surrounding Uplands-
246 PM AKDT Wed Jul 5 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 10 PM AKDT
THURSDAY FOR YUKON FLATS AND SURROUNDING UPLANDS...

* AFFECTED AREA...From Chalkyitsik east.

* TIMING...Red flag conditions will develop after noon Thursday 
  and persist through 9 pm Thursday evening.

* WINDS...Southwest 5 to 10 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.

* HUMIDITY...As low as 26 percent.

* TEMPERATURES...70 to 83.

* IMPACTS...Rapid ignition, growth and spread of fires will be 
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that conditions are occurring or will
occur which could lead to the development of large and dangerous
fires. It is directed toward fire agencies, and through them, to
the public.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$

567 
WWAK63 PAFG 061300
RFWAFG

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
500 AM AKDT Thu Jul 6 2017


AKZ218-070200-
/O.CON.PAFG.FW.W.0014.170706T2000Z-170707T0600Z/
Southeastern Brooks Range-
500 AM AKDT Thu Jul 6 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 10 PM
AKDT THIS EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN BROOKS RANGE...

* AFFECTED AREA...East of Arctic Village.

* TIMING...Red flag conditions will develop after noon 
  and will persist through this evening.

* WINDS...Southwest 15 to 25 mph.

* HUMIDITY...As low as 25 percent.

* TEMPERATURES...75 to 79.

* IMPACTS...Rapid ignition, growth and spread of fires will be 
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that conditions are occurring or will
occur which could lead to the development of large and dangerous
fires. It is directed toward fire agencies, and through them, to
the public.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$

AKZ220-070200-
/O.CON.PAFG.FW.W.0014.170706T2000Z-170707T0600Z/
Yukon Flats and Surrounding Uplands-
500 AM AKDT Thu Jul 6 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 10 PM
AKDT THIS EVENING FOR YUKON FLATS AND SURROUNDING UPLANDS...

* AFFECTED AREA...From Chalkyitsik east.

* TIMING...Red flag conditions will develop after noon 
  and will persist through this evening.

* WINDS...Southwest around 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.

* HUMIDITY...As low as 25 percent.

* TEMPERATURES...76 to 82.

* IMPACTS...Rapid ignition, growth and spread of fires will be 
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that conditions are occurring or will
occur which could lead to the development of large and dangerous
fires. It is directed toward fire agencies, and through them, to
the public.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$

480 
WWAK63 PAFG 062247
RFWAFG

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
247 PM AKDT Thu Jul 6 2017


AKZ218-070600-
/O.EXT.PAFG.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-170708T0600Z/
Southeastern Brooks Range-
247 PM AKDT Thu Jul 6 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT FRIDAY FOR
SOUTHEASTERN BROOKS RANGE...

* AFFECTED AREA...East of Arctic Village.

* TIMING...Red flag conditions will continue this afternoon and
  will diminish around 10 PM tonight. Red flag conditions are
  expected to develop again around noon Friday and continue 
  through 10 PM Friday night. 

* WINDS...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.  Winds
  will diminish late this evening but are expected to develop
  again Friday reaching Red Flag criteria by noon. 

* HUMIDITY...As low as 25 percent.

* TEMPERATURES...70 to 80.

* IMPACTS...Rapid ignition, growth and spread of fires will be 
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that conditions are occurring or will
occur which could lead to the development of large and dangerous
fires. It is directed toward fire agencies, and through them, to
the public.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$

AKZ220-070600-
/O.CON.PAFG.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-170707T0600Z/
Yukon Flats and Surrounding Uplands-
247 PM AKDT Thu Jul 6 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING FOR YUKON FLATS AND SURROUNDING UPLANDS...

* AFFECTED AREA...From Chalkyitsik east.

* TIMING...Red flag conditions will continue late this afternoon
  and will persist through 10 PM this evening. 

* WINDS...Southwest 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.

* HUMIDITY...As low as 25 percent.

* TEMPERATURES...70 to 87.

* IMPACTS...Rapid ignition, growth and spread of fires will be 
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that conditions are occurring or will
occur which could lead to the development of large and dangerous
fires. It is directed toward fire agencies, and through them, to
the public.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$

440 
WWAK63 PAFG 070547
RFWAFG

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
947 PM AKDT Thu Jul 6 2017

AKZ220-070700-
/O.CAN.PAFG.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-170707T0600Z/
Yukon Flats and Surrounding Uplands-
947 PM AKDT Thu Jul 6 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR YUKON FLATS AND SURROUNDING
UPLANDS...

The National Weather Service in Fairbanks has cancelled the Red
Flag Warning.

$$

AKZ218-071500-
/O.CON.PAFG.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-170708T0600Z/
Southeastern Brooks Range-
947 PM AKDT Thu Jul 6 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT FRIDAY FOR
SOUTHEASTERN BROOKS RANGE...

* AFFECTED AREA...East of Arctic Village.

* TIMING...Red flag conditions are expected to develop again
  Friday from around noon through 10 PM.

* WINDS...Southwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* HUMIDITY...As low as 27 percent.

* TEMPERATURES...70 to 82.

* IMPACTS...Rapid ignition, growth and spread of fires will be 
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that conditions are occurring or will
occur which could lead to the development of large and dangerous
fires. It is directed toward fire agencies, and through them, to
the public.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$

219 
WWAK63 PAFG 071153
RFWAFG

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
353 AM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

AKZ218-080600-
/O.CON.PAFG.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-170708T0600Z/
Southeastern Brooks Range-
353 AM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN BROOKS RANGE...

* AFFECTED AREA...From Arctic Village east.

* TIMING...Red flag conditions are expected to develop around noon
  with conditions improving in the late evening.

* WINDS...Southwest around 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.

* HUMIDITY...As low as 24 percent.

* TEMPERATURES...75 to 80 degrees.

* IMPACTS...Rapid ignition, growth and spread of fires will be 
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that conditions are occurring or will
occur which could lead to the development of large and dangerous
fires. It is directed toward fire agencies, and through them, to
the public.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$

738 
WWAK63 PAFG 072034
RFWAFG

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
1234 PM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017


AKZ224-080600-
/O.EXA.PAFG.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-170708T0600Z/
Upper Tanana Valley and the Fortymile Country-
1234 PM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING FOR
UPPER TANANA VALLEY AND THE FORTYMILE COUNTRY...

The National Weather Service in Fairbanks has issued a Red Flag
Warning...which is in effect until 10 PM AKDT this evening.

* AFFECTED AREA...From Chicken north.

* TIMING...Red flag conditions are expected to develop around 
  noon with conditions improving in the late evening.

* WINDS...Southeast 5 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.

* HUMIDITY...As low as 20 percent.

* TEMPERATURES...78 to 87.

* IMPACTS...Rapid ignition, growth and spread of fires will be 
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that conditions are occurring or will
occur which could lead to the development of large and dangerous
fires. It is directed toward fire agencies, and through them, to
the public.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$

AKZ218-080600-
/O.CON.PAFG.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-170708T0600Z/
Southeastern Brooks Range-
1234 PM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN BROOKS RANGE...

* AFFECTED AREA...From Arctic Village east.

* TIMING...Red flag conditions are expected to develop around 
  noon with conditions improving in the late evening.

* WINDS...Southwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

* HUMIDITY...As low as 24 percent.

* TEMPERATURES...70 to 80.

* IMPACTS...Rapid ignition, growth and spread of fires will be 
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that conditions are occurring or will
occur which could lead to the development of large and dangerous
fires. It is directed toward fire agencies, and through them, to
the public.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$

336 
WWAK63 PAFG 072341
RFWAFG

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
341 PM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017


AKZ218-080600-
/O.CON.PAFG.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-170708T0600Z/
Southeastern Brooks Range-
341 PM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN BROOKS RANGE...

* AFFECTED AREA...From Arctic Village east.

* TIMING...Red flag conditions will continue this afternoon
  with conditions improving in the late evening.

* WINDS...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

* HUMIDITY...As low as 23 percent.

* TEMPERATURES...77 to 87.

* IMPACTS...Rapid ignition, growth and spread of fires will be 
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that conditions are occurring or will
occur which could lead to the development of large and dangerous
fires. It is directed toward fire agencies, and through them, to
the public.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$

AKZ224-080600-
/O.CON.PAFG.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-170708T0600Z/
Upper Tanana Valley and the Fortymile Country-
341 PM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING FOR UPPER TANANA VALLEY AND THE FORTYMILE COUNTRY...

* AFFECTED AREA...From Chicken north.

* TIMING...Red flag conditions will continue this afternoon
  with conditions improving in the late evening.

* WINDS...Southeast 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.

* HUMIDITY...As low as 23 percent.

* TEMPERATURES...77 to 87.

* IMPACTS...Rapid ignition, growth and spread of fires will be 
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that conditions are occurring or will
occur which could lead to the development of large and dangerous
fires. It is directed toward fire agencies, and through them, to
the public.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$

615 
WWAK63 PAFG 080552
RFWAFG

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
952 PM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

AKZ224-080700-
/O.CAN.PAFG.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-170708T0600Z/
Upper Tanana Valley and the Fortymile Country-
952 PM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR UPPER TANANA VALLEY AND THE
FORTYMILE COUNTRY...

The National Weather Service in Fairbanks has cancelled the Red
Flag Warning.

$$

AKZ220-081400-
/O.NEW.PAFG.FW.W.0015.170708T2200Z-170709T0600Z/
Yukon Flats and Surrounding Uplands-
952 PM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 10 PM AKDT SATURDAY
FOR YUKON FLATS AND SURROUNDING UPLANDS...

The National Weather Service in Fairbanks has issued a Red Flag
Warning...which is in effect from 2 PM to 10 PM AKDT Saturday.

* AFFECTED AREA...North and east of Chalkyitsik

* TIMING...Strong winds are expected to develop late in the afternoon 
  and will continue through Saturday evening. Winds are expected to 
  remain strong through Saturday night, but temperatures are expected 
  to cool with an increase in relative humidity.

* WINDS...Northeast 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.

* HUMIDITY...As low as 21 percent.

* TEMPERATURES...75 to 85.

* IMPACTS...Rapid ignition, growth and spread of fires will be 
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that conditions are occurring or will
occur which could lead to the development of large and dangerous
fires. It is directed toward fire agencies, and through them, to
the public.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$

AKZ218-081400-
/O.EXT.PAFG.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-170709T0600Z/
Southeastern Brooks Range-
952 PM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT SATURDAY FOR
SOUTHEASTERN BROOKS RANGE...

* AFFECTED AREA...From Arctic Village east.

* TIMING...Conditons will continue to improve tonight, but strong
  winds are expected to redevelop again late Saturday afternoon 
  and will combine with warm temperatures and low relative 
  humidity through Saturday evening.

* WINDS...Northwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* HUMIDITY...As low as 23 percent.

* TEMPERATURES...62 to 78.

* IMPACTS...Rapid ignition, growth and spread of fires will be 
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that conditions are occurring or will
occur which could lead to the development of large and dangerous
fires. It is directed toward fire agencies, and through them, to
the public.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$

544 
WWAK63 PAFG 081230
RFWAFG

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
430 AM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

AKZ218-090600-
/O.CON.PAFG.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-170709T0600Z/
Southeastern Brooks Range-
430 AM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN BROOKS RANGE...

* AFFECTED AREA...From Arctic Village east.

* TIMING...Strong winds will develop this afternoon and will
  combine with warm temperatures and low relative humidity through
  the evening hours.

* WINDS...Northeast around 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.

* HUMIDITY...As low as 20 percent.

* TEMPERATURES...76 to 86.

* IMPACTS...Rapid ignition, growth and spread of fires will be 
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that conditions are occurring or will
occur which could lead to the development of large and dangerous
fires. It is directed toward fire agencies, and through them, to
the public.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$

AKZ220-090600-
/O.CON.PAFG.FW.W.0015.170708T2200Z-170709T0600Z/
Yukon Flats and Surrounding Uplands-
430 AM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING FOR YUKON FLATS AND SURROUNDING UPLANDS...

* AFFECTED AREA...North and east of Chalkyitsik

* TIMING...Strong winds will develop this afternoon and will
  combine with warm temperatures and low relative humidity through
  the evening hours.

* WINDS...Northeast around 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.

* HUMIDITY...As low as 17 percent.

* TEMPERATURES...79 to 89.

* IMPACTS...Rapid ignition, growth and spread of fires will be 
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that conditions are occurring or will
occur which could lead to the development of large and dangerous
fires. It is directed toward fire agencies, and through them, to
the public.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$

409 
WWAK63 PAFG 090048
RFWAFG

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
448 PM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017


AKZ218-090600-
/O.CON.PAFG.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-170709T0600Z/
Southeastern Brooks Range-
448 PM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN BROOKS RANGE...

* AFFECTED AREA...From Arctic Village east.

* TIMING...Strong winds this afternoon will 
  combine with warm temperatures and low relative humidity 
  through the evening hours.

* WINDS...Northeast around 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.

* HUMIDITY...As low as 20 percent.

* TEMPERATURES...75 to 85.

* IMPACTS...Rapid ignition, growth and spread of fires will be 
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that conditions are occurring or will
occur which could lead to the development of large and dangerous
fires. It is directed toward fire agencies, and through them, to
the public.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$

AKZ220-090600-
/O.CON.PAFG.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-170709T0600Z/
Yukon Flats and Surrounding Uplands-
448 PM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING FOR YUKON FLATS AND SURROUNDING UPLANDS...

* AFFECTED AREA...North and east of Chalkyitsik

* TIMING...Strong winds this afternoon will 
  combine with warm temperatures and low relative humidity 
  through the evening hours.

* WINDS...Northeast winds around 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.

* HUMIDITY...As low as 20 percent.

* TEMPERATURES...78 to 88.

* IMPACTS...Rapid ignition, growth and spread of fires will be 
  possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that conditions are occurring or will
occur which could lead to the development of large and dangerous
fires. It is directed toward fire agencies, and through them, to
the public.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$

412 
WWAK63 PAFG 090543
RFWAFG

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
943 PM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

AKZ218-090645-
/O.CAN.PAFG.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-170709T0600Z/
Southeastern Brooks Range-
943 PM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR SOUTHEASTERN BROOKS RANGE...

The National Weather Service in Fairbanks has cancelled the Red
Flag Warning.

$$

AKZ220-090645-
/O.CAN.PAFG.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-170709T0600Z/
Yukon Flats and Surrounding Uplands-
943 PM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR YUKON FLATS AND SURROUNDING
UPLANDS...

The National Weather Service in Fairbanks has cancelled the Red
Flag Warning.

$$

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
123 PM AKDT Wed Jul 5 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Strong winds and heavy rainfall along the west coast, dry and
warmer conditions over the Interior, and some convection over the
southeast highlight the forecast period. 05/12Z deterministic
model suite are in good agreement through Friday with spread in
model solutions in regards with the the low in the Bering and the
synoptic set up over the Arctic. Models are similar with handling
the upper level ridge over the Interior beyond Friday.

Aloft...An east to west 574 dam upper level ridge over the
southern half mainland Alaska extending southeast towards
Whitehorse, YT and south into the Pacific Northwest will remain in
place through Saturday before being pushed north and over the
northern half of the mainland by early next week. A 550 dam low
over the northeastern Pacific will move north into the Gulf of
Alaska by Saturday and then will rotate east into the Southeast
and will set up easterly flow over the southern Interior Monday
and Tuesday. Meanwhile over the Arctic,a 544 dam low over eastern
Siberia will move out over the Chukchi Sea Thursday morning and
then along the western Arctic Coast through Thursday evening, and
finally will move north of Barrow by late Thursday evening. A 556
dam low 230 NM east of Attu Island will move east over the Bering
Sea reaching Nunivak Island by Friday morning. A 542 dam low
southeast of Kamchatka Peninsula this morning will move east and
be over the Rat Islands by Saturday morning.

Surface...A 1018 mb thermal low over Arctic Village and associated
thermal trough over the Northeast will persist through Thursday
morning. The thermal trough will shift south with a thermal low
developing over the Yukon Flats Friday afternoon that will shift
south through Saturday. A 1022 mb ridge of high pressure centered
over the northern Gulf of Alaska and extending north over the
southern half of the mainland will build north over mainland
Alaska and east over the southeast panhandle. A 995 mb low will move
north to be over Wrangel Island by Thursday morning, then
continues to 80N 165W by Friday morning at 985 mb. A weather
front will move to the Bering Strait this evening, and moves
northeast into the Arctic slowly dragging over the western Arctic
Coast through Friday afternoon before being pushed offshore. A 991
mb low will develop near Shemya Friday morning and will proceed
slowly east while an associated weather front rotates north over
the Bering Sea.

West Coast and Western Interior...A band of rain oriented north to
south over the central Bering Sea and St Lawrence Island will move
east over the Bering Strait and Chukchi Sea tonight and then over
the western Seward Peninsula, Chukchi Sea coast, and Kotzebue
Sound Thursday. The heaviest rainfall amounts will be over the
northern Chukchi Sea coast and Bering Strait coast where between
0.5" to 0.75" is forecast through Friday afternoon. Other
locations over the Seward Peninsula, Kotzebue Sound, and St
Lawrence Island will see up to 0.5". The western Interior will
miss out and remain dry with temperatures in the upper 70s to
lower 80s. Strong southerly winds will persist over St Lawrence
Island, Bering Strait, Point Hope, and Cape Lisburne. Sustained
winds will be between 25 to 40 mph with gusts up to 55 mph and
will weaken Thursday afternoon.

Arctic Coast and Brooks Range...Active southwesterly flow over
the western North Slope will persist through Friday afternoon
before becoming westerly as ridging over the Interior pushes north
over the Brooks Range and North Slope Friday night into Saturday.
Periods of rain and showers will continue over the western Arctic
Coast through Friday afternoon. Areas east of Barrow will miss
out on the action, but will see a few showers this evening before
mostly clear skies and warmer temperatures take hold through
Friday evening. Daytime temperatures will be in the 60s for
coastal locations east of Barrow and inland temperatures will be
in the 70s. Strong gusty winds will continue at Cape Lisburne
through Friday morning.

Eastern and Central Interior...Thunderstorms will be limited to an
area south of a line from Eagle to Delta Junction and Healy south
this evening and Thursday afternoon/evening. Convective indices
are much weaker than the previous couple of days, but any strong
storms that may develop may have small hail, gusty winds, and
heavy downpours. To the north and west of this line, the upper
level ridge will remain firmly in control into Friday and will
provide mostly sunny skies and warm temperatures. Daytime highs
Thursday and Friday will be a few degrees warmer than today and
will top out in the upper 70s and lower 80s.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...Persistent southeast flow
will bring increased wave action to some of the outer coastal
areas and St Lawrence Island with nearshore wave heights to 4 to 7
feet, but no significant erosion is expected.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Thunderstorms will be limited to an area south of a line from
Eagle to Delta Junction to Healy through this evening and Thursday
afternoon/evening. Convective indicies are weaker today and
Thursday compared to earlier in the week, but stronger storms
could have small hail, heavy downpours, and gusty winds. Minimum
relative humidity values trending down the next couple days with
values falling to around 25 to 30 percent in the upper Yukon Flats
today and around 25 percent on Thursday. The remainder of the
area will be around 35 percent today and 30 percent on Thursday,
except out west of Nenana where they be around 35 percent.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Rivers in the Fortymile Basin will continue to run high. Expect
them to fall over the next couple of days.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ230.

Gale Warning for PKZ220-PKZ225.

Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ235.
&&

LTH JUL 17