Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2017

Gale Warning 103, NWS Fairbanks, AK

October 11, 2017

NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this gale warning at Oct 11, 2017, 4:27 AM AKDT. It was in force for 58 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 11, 2017, 4:27 AM AKDT (12:27 UTC)
Expired
Oct 13, 2017, 2:17 PM AKDT
In force
58 hr
Issued by
NWS Fairbanks, AK

The text

As transmitted.

344 
FZAK52 PAFG 111227
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
427 AM AKDT Wed Oct 11 2017

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-120215-
427 AM AKDT Wed Oct 11 2017

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A strong 966 mb low currently 550 NM NW of Adak will move to 550 
NM W of St Matthew Island by this afternoon at 955 mb and to 375 
NM NW of St. Matthew Island by early Thursday morning at 957 MB. 
By Thursday evening this low will move into the Gulf of Anadyr. 
Thereafter, this low will move westward into Russia. A front 
associated with this low move northward across the Bering Sea and 
the West Coast of Alaska tonight into tomorrow.

$$

PKZ200-120215-
Norton Sound-
427 AM AKDT Wed Oct 11 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE winds 25 kt. Seas building to 5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SE winds 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.THU...S winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...S winds 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...S winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-120215-
Dall Point to Wales-
427 AM AKDT Wed Oct 11 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE winds 35 kt. Seas 9 ft building to 12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE winds 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.THU...S winds 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...S winds 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain showers. 
.FRI...S winds 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SUN...N winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-120215-
Kotzebue Sound-
427 AM AKDT Wed Oct 11 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...W winds 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt. Seas building to 4 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU...E winds 40 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...S winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-120215-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
427 AM AKDT Wed Oct 11 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E winds 10 kt increasing to 25 kt. Seas building to
5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.THU...SE winds 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.FRI...S winds 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.  

$$

Oct 17
5 follow-up statements
567 
FZAK52 PAFG 112254
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
254 PM AKDT Wed Oct 11 2017

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-121430-
254 PM AKDT Wed Oct 11 2017

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A strong 953 mb low currently 550 NM W of St Matthew Island will 
move north to Cape Navarin as 957 mb low Thursday afternoon. By 
Friday afternoon the low will move north to Anadyr and weaken to 
975 mb. Thereafter, this low will weaken near the Gulf of Anadyr. 
A front associated with this low move northward across the Bering 
Sea and the West Coast of Alaska tonight into tomorrow.

$$

PKZ200-121430-
Norton Sound-
254 PM AKDT Wed Oct 11 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE winds 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.THU...S winds 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S winds 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers. 
.FRI...S winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-121430-
Dall Point to Wales-
254 PM AKDT Wed Oct 11 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S winds 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.THU...S winds 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...S winds 40 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain showers. 
.FRI...S winds 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...N winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...N winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-121430-
Kotzebue Sound-
254 PM AKDT Wed Oct 11 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E winds 30 kt increasing to 40 kt. Seas 4 ft building
to 6 ft. 
.THU...E winds 40 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...S winds 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-121430-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
254 PM AKDT Wed Oct 11 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E winds 40 kt. Seas 8 ft building to 13 ft. 
.THU...SE winds 45 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI...S winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...N winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.  

$$

Oct 17
671 
FZAK52 PAFG 121227
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
427 AM AKDT Thu Oct 12 2017

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-130215-
427 AM AKDT Thu Oct 12 2017

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 959 mb low 400 NM WNW of St. Matthew Island will move into the 
Gulf of Anadyr at 966 mb by late this evening and will move 
westward into Russia during the day on Friday A front associated 
with this low move northward across the Bering Sea and the West 
Coast of Alaska today.

$$

PKZ200-130215-
Norton Sound-
427 AM AKDT Thu Oct 12 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...S winds 35 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S winds 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI...S winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers. 
.FRI NIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-130215-
Dall Point to Wales-
427 AM AKDT Thu Oct 12 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...S winds 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. 
.TONIGHT...S winds 40 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain showers. 
.FRI...S winds 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SAT...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...N winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-130215-
Kotzebue Sound-
427 AM AKDT Thu Oct 12 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SE winds 40 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...S winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-130215-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
427 AM AKDT Thu Oct 12 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SE winds 45 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI...S winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

Oct 17
073 
FZAK52 PAFG 122246
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
246 PM AKDT Thu Oct 12 2017

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-131400-
246 PM AKDT Thu Oct 12 2017

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 960 mb 300 nm W of St Matthew Island will move into the Gulf of
Anadyr and weaken through the weekend. A weather front will move
to the Bering Strait tonight.

$$

PKZ200-131400-
Norton Sound-
246 PM AKDT Thu Oct 12 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...S winds 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI...S winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers. 
.FRI NIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-131400-
Dall Point to Wales-
246 PM AKDT Thu Oct 12 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S winds 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain showers. 
.FRI...S winds 35 kt diminishing to 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SAT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...S winds 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...N winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-131400-
Kotzebue Sound-
246 PM AKDT Thu Oct 12 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...SE winds 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt this evening. Seas
building to 4 ft.
.FRI...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-131400-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
246 PM AKDT Thu Oct 12 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...SE winds 35 KT diminishing to 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.FRI...S winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

SDB Oct 17
599 
FZAK52 PAFG 131231
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
431 AM AKDT Fri Oct 13 2017

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-140215-
431 AM AKDT Fri Oct 13 2017

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 970 mb low currently sits in the Gulf of Anadyr. This low will 
move westward into Russia today slowly weakening.

$$

PKZ200-140215-
Norton Sound-
431 AM AKDT Fri Oct 13 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...S winds 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers. 
.TONIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-140215-
Dall Point to Wales-
431 AM AKDT Fri Oct 13 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S winds 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain showers. 
.TONIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SAT...S winds 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...N winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-140215-
Kotzebue Sound-
431 AM AKDT Fri Oct 13 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TONIGHT...S winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-140215-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
431 AM AKDT Fri Oct 13 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...S winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TONIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.  

$$

Oct 17
355 
FZAK52 PAFG 132217
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
217 PM AKDT Fri Oct 13 2017

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-141400-
217 PM AKDT Fri Oct 13 2017

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 975 mb low in the Gulf of Anadyr will weaken as it wobbles 
around, and will be over the western Gulf of Anadyr by Sun 
morning at 995 mb. A low will develop in the southern Bering Sea 
tonight and be near Bethel Sat morning at 1002 mb, then moves up 
the West Coast into Norton Sound by Sun morning, and Kotzebue 
Sound by Mon morning.

$$

PKZ200-141400-
Norton Sound-
217 PM AKDT Fri Oct 13 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding. 
.SAT...S winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-141400-
Dall Point to Wales-
217 PM AKDT Fri Oct 13 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SAT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...S winds 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...N winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-141400-
Kotzebue Sound-
217 PM AKDT Fri Oct 13 2017

.TONIGHT...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...N winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-141400-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
217 PM AKDT Fri Oct 13 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 6 ft.
.SAT...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...E winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.TUE...N winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED...N winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.  

$$

SDB Oct 17

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Oct 10, 3:59 PM AKDT, 12 hours 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 10, 3:59 PM AKDT, 12 hours 28 minutes before
Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
359 PM AKDT Tue Oct 10 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A very active pattern is expected to continue
across Northern Alaska over the next few days. The main forecast
concern will be the potential for minor coastal flooding and
possible high surf on the west coast Thursday and Friday. There
are also ongoing coastal flood warnings/high surf advisories for
the west coast as well as a few remaining winter weather
advisories for Interior and Northwest Alaska. The 10/12Z
deterministic model suite is in good agreement through late
Friday.

Aloft...At 500 mb, A ridge of high pressure over the extending
from the Bering Sea norther over the Chukchi Sea will quickly
shift east into the west coast by Wednesday afternoon, and then
push east over Interior Alaska Wednesday night through late
Thursday night. A 526 dam low 375 nm west of Attu Island will
quickly deepen into a 500 dam low 500 nm west of St Matthew Island
by Wednesday evening. This low will move northeast towards the
Gulf of Anadyr remaining near 503 dam and will be over the Gulf of
Anadyr at 507 dam by late Thursday night.

Surface...A strong low will move northward in the western Bering
Sea Wednesday and Thursday. This low will around 330 NM west of
St. Matthew Island by Thursday morning at 957 mb and will move
into the Gulf of Anadyr by Thursday evening at 969 mb. This low
will then push westward into Russia. A weather front associated
with this low will move northward across the west coast of Alaska
Wednesday afternoon into Thursday. Another low will move eastward
just north of the Aleutians on Friday and into Bristol Bay Friday
night.

West Coast and Western Interior...The latest coastal flood/high
surf event is winding down for parts of the west coast south of
the Bering Strait with high surf still ongoing for the Chukchi Sea
and Kotzebue Sound through tonight as the low remains over the
Chukchi Sea. Inland over the Northwest, a winter weather advisory
for snow for the lower Kobuk and Noatak Valley is ongoing, where
another couple of snow accumulation is expected today. A strong
low will move northward into the western Bering Sea by late
Wednesday. A front associated with this low will rotate north and
bring strong southeasterly winds to the west coast south of the
Bering Strait Wednesday afternoon and evening, and to the north
over the Chukchi Sea Wednesday evening and night. There will be a
lull in the winds late Wednesday night before winds switch to the
south to southwest and increase through the day Thursday and
overnight Thursday night. Strong southwesterly flow over a long
fetch will bring another round of coastal flooding concerns
starting Thursday afternoon and continue into Friday. The 10/12Z
guidance indicates that the storm surge will be higher and more
significant. Up to 6 feet of storm surge is expected from the
Bering Strait coast to Nome, with up to 7 feet east of Nome to
Golovin, and up to 8 feet from Elim south along the Norton Sound
Coast to Unalakleet. Along the Yukon Delta Coast, current guidance
indicates up to 6 feet. This will likely cause minor flooding at
locations along the coast. Decided to issue Coastal Flood Watches
for zones 211 through 214 Thursday afternoon/evening through
Friday.

Eastern and Central Interior...Winter weather advisories for the
hills north of Fairbanks above 2000 feet including the Steese and
Elliott Highways are ongoing through 6 pm this evening. The latest
rain/snow event is starting to wind down. The back of the
precipitation as shown by the Pedro Dome radar is showing a back
edge to the heaviest rain and snow and is now mostly east of
Fairbanks as of 2 pm. This downward trend in precipitation
coverage will continue into the evening east of Fairbanks. Behind
this main area of precipitation, will see a few rain or snow
showers overnight tonight and Wednesday. Many locations in the
Middle Tanana Valley observed rainfall totals between 1 to 1.5
inches, with 2 to 7 inches of snowfall (highest in the hills)
observed before precipitation transitioned to rain. Strong winds
will develop through Alaska Range passes Thursday morning with the
strongest winds expected along the Richardson Highway and Isabel
Pass. Models are advertising another round of precipitation
Thursday night into Friday. At this time it looks like a cold rain
for valley locations below 2000 feet and snow above that.

North Slope and Brooks Range...Not much in the way of
precipitation other than flurries. East winds will develop and
increase along the Arctic Coast Wednesday night from Barrow west
and then spread east towards Barter Island Thursday. The strongest
winds will remain 200 nm north of the western Arctic Coast, but
may see winds 30 to 40 mph. A round of precipitation will move
along the western Arctic Coast Thursday and then shift east to
over Barrow Friday morning and east of Barrow Friday.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...High surf advisories for
the Chukchi Sea Coast and Kotzebue Sound are ongoing through
Wednesday morning. Another round of coastal flooding is expected
Thursday and Friday as another strong storm moves out into the
western Bering Sea. The latest storm surge guidance has up to 6
feet west of Nome, up to 7 feet between Nome and Golovin, and up
to 8 feet between Elim to Unalakleet on the Norton Sound Coast. Up
to 6 feet of storm surge is expected for the Yukon Delta Coast.
Coastal flood watches were issued for Thursday afternoon/evening
and Friday for the areas mentioned.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
High Surf Advisory for AKZ207-AKZ209-AKZ210.

Coastal Flood Watch for AKZ211-AKZ212-AKZ213-AKZ214.

Winter Storm Warning for AKZ208.

Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ220-AKZ222.

Small Craft Advisory for PKZ200-PKZ215.

Gale Warning for PKZ210.
&&

LTH OCT 17

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 11, 4:16 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFG24 hr
Oct 11, 2:19 PM AKDTHigh Wind WarningAFG44 hr
Oct 11, 3:02 PM AKDTGale WarningAFG37 hr
Oct 11, 3:02 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFG13 hr
Oct 11, 3:05 PM AKDTCoastal Flood WarningAFG52 hr
Oct 11, 3:05 PM AKDTHigh Surf AdvisoryAFG52 hr
Oct 11, 3:06 PM AKDTGale WarningAFG61 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2017Every gale warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.