Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
310 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will continue to develop this
afternoon primarily within an instability axis that roughly
extends along the I-44 corridor at present, aided by a slow moving
outflow boundary from morning convection in Kansas. The storms
should largely remain below severe levels owing to a lack of deep
layer shear, but instability alone could produce gusty, near
severe winds in the strongest storms.

Attention then turns to the ongoing development of thunderstorms
in southwest Nebraska and northeast Kansas that should eventually
transition into an MCS overnight. Thunderstorms are currently
developing in response to a mid level disturbance near the
Wyoming/South Dakota/Nebraska border, likely pushing toward the
southeast through the night. Any thunderstorm complex should
arrive well after midnight, continuing past dawn Friday morning
across at least a portion of the forecast area. Additional
afternoon thunderstorm developing will be possible, primarily
across the southern half of the area, along any remnant boundaries
from the expected MCS and/or the weak front that will push
through the area as well. Another thunderstorm complex is
expected Saturday morning with another disturbance that will pass
through the region in the persistent northwest flow aloft.

Thunderstorm chances will linger across the eastern half of the
forecast area into Sunday, but largely dry conditions will prevail
thereafter as the upper level ridge builds back into the Southern
Plains. Temperatures will likely push triple digits by the middle
to latter part of next week, with some potential for heat
headlines.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   74  89  72  89 /  50  50  40  50
FSM   74  91  74  91 /  30  50  40  50
MLC   73  91  72  92 /  20  30  30  40
BVO   70  87  69  88 /  50  60  40  50
FYV   69  86  67  86 /  30  60  40  50
BYV   70  85  68  86 /  30  50  40  50
MKO   73  89  72  90 /  30  50  40  50
MIO   71  87  68  86 /  40  60  40  50
F10   73  90  72  91 /  40  40  40  40
HHW   73  93  73  95 /  20  40  20  30

&&

.TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

LONG TERM....22

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
104 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-291000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
104 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON...WITH THE
GREATEST STORM COVERAGE AND INTENSITY ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. ONE OR TWO OF THESE STORMS MAY BREIFLY
BECOME SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WINDS TO NEAR 60 MILES AN HOUR
POSSIBLE.

A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WELL TO OUR
NORTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS STORM COMPLEX WILL MOVE
SOUTHEAST AND ENTER NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATE TONIGHT. THE COMPLEX
WILL LIKELY BE ON A WEAKENING TREND BY THE TIME IT ARRIVES...BUT
SOME POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR DAMAGING WINDS TO AROUND 60 MILES AN
HOUR ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATE TONIGHT.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONGOING FRIDAY
MORNING ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AS
THE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX WEAKENS OVER THE REGION. ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY
AND POSSIBLY SATURDAY NIGHT AS WELL AS UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY
FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE PLAINS.

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO BUILD BACK OVER THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A RETURN OF HOT AND
HUMID CONDITIONS ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
523 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016

OKZ060-064-282300-
CREEK OK-TULSA OK-
523 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL CREEK AND CENTRAL
TULSA COUNTIES UNTIL 600 PM CDT...

AT 523 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER NORTHWESTERN
TULSA...MOVING WEST AT 5 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
TULSA...                          SAND SPRINGS...
SAPULPA...                        JENKS...
GLENPOOL...                       GRAY...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 214 AND 225.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN TULSA.

&&

LAT...LON 3616 9603 3616 9600 3617 9600 3618 9597
      3606 9587 3595 9604 3613 9614
TIME...MOT...LOC 2223Z 072DEG 5KT 3613 9599

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
527 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0526 PM     HAIL             TULSA                   36.13N 95.92W
07/28/2016  E1.00 INCH       TULSA              OK   NWS EMPLOYEE

            29TH AND PEORIA

&&

JDS

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>