Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 209, NWS Tulsa, OK

July 28, 2016Creek County, Tulsa County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 28, 2016, 5:51 PM CDT for Creek County, Tulsa County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 24 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 28, 2016, 5:51 PM CDT (22:51 UTC)
Expired: Jul 28, 2016, 6:15 PM CDT
In force: 24 min
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Creek County, OK, Tulsa County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 53 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 12:00Z, 10.9 hours before the alert went out and 150 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1030 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -83 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1107 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 8 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 81 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 138 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

565 
WUUS54 KTSA 282251
SVRTSA
OKC037-143-282315-
/O.NEW.KTSA.SV.W.0209.160728T2251Z-160728T2315Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
551 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN CREEK COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...
  WEST CENTRAL TULSA COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...

* UNTIL 615 PM CDT

* AT 551 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES SOUTHWEST
  OF SAND SPRINGS...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 5 MPH.

  HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

  IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE 
           TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
  WESTERN TULSA...                  SAND SPRINGS...
  SAPULPA...                        GRAY...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 211 AND 218.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3616 9619 3616 9602 3600 9603 3603 9628
TIME...MOT...LOC 2251Z 038DEG 5KT 3610 9614 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

1 follow-up statement

535 
WWUS54 KTSA 282300
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
600 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016

OKC037-143-282315-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.W.0209.000000T0000Z-160728T2315Z/
CREEK OK-TULSA OK-
600 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN CREEK AND WEST CENTRAL TULSA COUNTIES...

AT 600 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF JENKS TO 5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
KEYSTONE STATE PARK...MOVING SOUTH AT 10 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
WESTERN TULSA...                  SAND SPRINGS...
SAPULPA...                        GRAY...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 211 AND 218.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3616 9619 3616 9602 3600 9603 3603 9628
TIME...MOT...LOC 2300Z 009DEG 7KT 3607 9604 3607 9623 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 28, 3:10 PM CDT, 2 hours 41 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 28, 3:10 PM CDT, 2 hours 41 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
310 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will continue to develop this
afternoon primarily within an instability axis that roughly
extends along the I-44 corridor at present, aided by a slow moving
outflow boundary from morning convection in Kansas. The storms
should largely remain below severe levels owing to a lack of deep
layer shear, but instability alone could produce gusty, near
severe winds in the strongest storms.

Attention then turns to the ongoing development of thunderstorms
in southwest Nebraska and northeast Kansas that should eventually
transition into an MCS overnight. Thunderstorms are currently
developing in response to a mid level disturbance near the
Wyoming/South Dakota/Nebraska border, likely pushing toward the
southeast through the night. Any thunderstorm complex should
arrive well after midnight, continuing past dawn Friday morning
across at least a portion of the forecast area. Additional
afternoon thunderstorm developing will be possible, primarily
across the southern half of the area, along any remnant boundaries
from the expected MCS and/or the weak front that will push
through the area as well. Another thunderstorm complex is
expected Saturday morning with another disturbance that will pass
through the region in the persistent northwest flow aloft.

Thunderstorm chances will linger across the eastern half of the
forecast area into Sunday, but largely dry conditions will prevail
thereafter as the upper level ridge builds back into the Southern
Plains. Temperatures will likely push triple digits by the middle
to latter part of next week, with some potential for heat
headlines.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   74  89  72  89 /  50  50  40  50
FSM   74  91  74  91 /  30  50  40  50
MLC   73  91  72  92 /  20  30  30  40
BVO   70  87  69  88 /  50  60  40  50
FYV   69  86  67  86 /  30  60  40  50
BYV   70  85  68  86 /  30  50  40  50
MKO   73  89  72  90 /  30  50  40  50
MIO   71  87  68  86 /  40  60  40  50
F10   73  90  72  91 /  40  40  40  40
HHW   73  93  73  95 /  20  40  20  30

&&

.TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

LONG TERM....22

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 28, 1:04 PM CDT, 4 hours 47 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
104 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-291000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
104 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON...WITH THE
GREATEST STORM COVERAGE AND INTENSITY ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. ONE OR TWO OF THESE STORMS MAY BREIFLY
BECOME SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WINDS TO NEAR 60 MILES AN HOUR
POSSIBLE.

A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WELL TO OUR
NORTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS STORM COMPLEX WILL MOVE
SOUTHEAST AND ENTER NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATE TONIGHT. THE COMPLEX
WILL LIKELY BE ON A WEAKENING TREND BY THE TIME IT ARRIVES...BUT
SOME POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR DAMAGING WINDS TO AROUND 60 MILES AN
HOUR ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATE TONIGHT.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONGOING FRIDAY
MORNING ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AS
THE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX WEAKENS OVER THE REGION. ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY
AND POSSIBLY SATURDAY NIGHT AS WELL AS UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY
FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE PLAINS.

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO BUILD BACK OVER THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A RETURN OF HOT AND
HUMID CONDITIONS ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 28, 2:47 PM CDT, 3 hours 4 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
247 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016

OKZ054-282015-
OSAGE OK-
247 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN OSAGE COUNTY UNTIL
315 PM CDT...

AT 247 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR PEARSONIA...
MOVING SOUTH AT 20 MPH.

WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
PAWHUSKA...                       FORAKER...
PEARSONIA...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN TULSA.

&&

LAT...LON 3693 9663 3694 9624 3663 9621 3663 9662
TIME...MOT...LOC 1947Z 354DEG 19KT 3681 9641

Special weather statement, Jul 28, 3:10 PM CDT, 2 hours 41 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
310 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016

OKZ054-282045-
OSAGE OK-
310 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL OSAGE COUNTY UNTIL 345 PM
CDT...

AT 310 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF PEARSONIA...MOVING SOUTH AT 10 MPH.

WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
SHIDLER...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN TULSA.

&&

LAT...LON 3678 9666 3678 9645 3658 9644 3658 9670
TIME...MOT...LOC 2010Z 350DEG 9KT 3673 9654

Special weather statement, Jul 28, 4:39 PM CDT, 1 hour 12 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
439 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016

OKZ054-282230-
OSAGE OK-
439 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN OSAGE COUNTY UNTIL
530 PM CDT...

AT 439 PM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LAMONT TO KAW CITY. MOVEMENT WAS
SOUTH AT 10 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
FAIRFAX...                        SHIDLER...
BURBANK...                        GRAINOLA...
SOUTHERN KAW LAKE...              WEBB CITY...
APPERSON...

LAT...LON 3659 9658 3655 9675 3657 9677 3654 9682
      3650 9701 3653 9700 3655 9690 3658 9689
      3660 9692 3658 9698 3659 9705 3668 9706
      3670 9703 3668 9694 3675 9689 3674 9683
      3677 9682 3678 9675 3700 9675 3700 9665
TIME...MOT...LOC 2139Z 016DEG 8KT 3662 9748 3676 9685

69

Special weather statement, Jul 28, 5:11 PM CDT, 40 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
511 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016

ARZ002-282245-
CARROLL AR-
511 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN CARROLL COUNTY UNTIL 545
PM CDT...

AT 511 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR URBANETTE...
MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
BERRYVILLE...                     GREEN FOREST...
URBANETTE...                      GRANDVIEW...
RULE...                           BLUE EYE...
CONNOR...                         DENVER...
CABANAL...

LAT...LON 3620 9343 3638 9370 3650 9362 3650 9330
      3641 9330
TIME...MOT...LOC 2211Z 298DEG 6KT 3643 9357

Special weather statement, Jul 28, 5:23 PM CDT, 28 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
523 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016

OKZ060-064-282300-
CREEK OK-TULSA OK-
523 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL CREEK AND CENTRAL
TULSA COUNTIES UNTIL 600 PM CDT...

AT 523 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER NORTHWESTERN
TULSA...MOVING WEST AT 5 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
TULSA...                          SAND SPRINGS...
SAPULPA...                        JENKS...
GLENPOOL...                       GRAY...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 214 AND 225.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN TULSA.

&&

LAT...LON 3616 9603 3616 9600 3617 9600 3618 9597
      3606 9587 3595 9604 3613 9614
TIME...MOT...LOC 2223Z 072DEG 5KT 3613 9599

Local storm report, Jul 28, 5:27 PM CDT, 24 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
527 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0526 PM     HAIL             TULSA                   36.13N 95.92W
07/28/2016  E1.00 INCH       TULSA              OK   NWS EMPLOYEE

            29TH AND PEORIA

&&

JDS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 27, 7:34 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Delaware	26 min
Jul 28, 2:13 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Mayes	32 min
Jul 28, 2:16 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Osage	29 min
Jul 28, 2:47 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Osage	28 min
Jul 28, 3:10 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Osage	35 min
Jul 28, 4:39 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Kay	51 min
Jul 28, 5:23 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Tulsa	37 min
Jul 28, 5:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Tulsa	31 min
Jul 28, 5:39 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Creek, Tulsa	2 hr
Jul 28, 5:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Tulsa	28 min
Jul 28, 6:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Creek, Tulsa, Wagoner	37 min
Jul 28, 6:17 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Muskogee	28 min
Jul 28, 6:38 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Okmulgee	37 min
Jul 28, 6:40 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Wagoner	35 min
Jul 28, 6:47 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Muskogee	28 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Oklahoma, 2016 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.