Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1236 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible this
afternoon, with the northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas
sites most likely to see a storm in the vicinity. A complex of
showers and storms is expected to develop to our northwest this
evening and move southeast, possibly affecting our terminals late
tonight into Friday morning. VFR conditions will prevail outside
of thunderstorm areas.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 1107 AM CDT THU JUL 28 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Small convective complex across southeast Kansas continues to drop
south, so have raised pops this afternoon across parts of
northeast Oklahoma. Elsewhere, expect overall convective coverage
this afternoon to be less than the past couple days. Have made
some minor adjustments to afternoon temperatures as well.

Update on the way.

TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...None.
AR...None.

SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....22

&&

.TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...None.
AR...None.

&&

AVIATION...05

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
104 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-291000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
104 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON...WITH THE
GREATEST STORM COVERAGE AND INTENSITY ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. ONE OR TWO OF THESE STORMS MAY BREIFLY
BECOME SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WINDS TO NEAR 60 MILES AN HOUR
POSSIBLE.

A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WELL TO OUR
NORTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS STORM COMPLEX WILL MOVE
SOUTHEAST AND ENTER NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATE TONIGHT. THE COMPLEX
WILL LIKELY BE ON A WEAKENING TREND BY THE TIME IT ARRIVES...BUT
SOME POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR DAMAGING WINDS TO AROUND 60 MILES AN
HOUR ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATE TONIGHT.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONGOING FRIDAY
MORNING ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AS
THE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX WEAKENS OVER THE REGION. ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY
AND POSSIBLY SATURDAY NIGHT AS WELL AS UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY
FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE PLAINS.

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO BUILD BACK OVER THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A RETURN OF HOT AND
HUMID CONDITIONS ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
213 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016

OKZ061-062-281945-
ROGERS OK-MAYES OK-
213 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN MAYES AND EAST
CENTRAL ROGERS COUNTIES UNTIL 245 PM CDT...

AT 212 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES NORTHWEST
OF PRYOR...MOVING SOUTH AT 10 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
PRYOR...                          PRYOR CREEK...
ADAIR...                          FOYIL...
SPORTSMEN ACRES COMMUNITY...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 254 AND 266.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN TULSA.

&&

LAT...LON 3644 9553 3646 9524 3624 9517 3620 9552
TIME...MOT...LOC 1912Z 350DEG 11KT 3636 9535