Severe Thunderstorm Warning 84, NWS Tulsa, OK

805 
WWUS54 KTSA 290956
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
456 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

OKC077-079-127-291015-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.W.0084.000000T0000Z-160429T1015Z/
LE FLORE OK-LATIMER OK-PUSHMATAHA OK-
456 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 AM CDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN LE FLORE...SOUTHEASTERN LATIMER AND NORTHEASTERN
PUSHMATAHA COUNTIES...

AT 455 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTH OF
KIAMICHI...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. 

LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
TALIHINA...                       ALBION...
BENGAL...                         WHITESBORO...
TALIMENA STATE PARK...            KIAMICHI...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3444 9512 3456 9529 3493 9498 3488 9491
      3474 9476 3451 9503 3451 9504 3450 9505
TIME...MOT...LOC 0955Z 219DEG 50KT 3456 9515 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

310 
WWUS54 KTSA 291018
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
518 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

OKC077-079-127-291028-
/O.EXP.KTSA.SV.W.0084.000000T0000Z-160429T1015Z/
LE FLORE OK-LATIMER OK-PUSHMATAHA OK-
518 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN LE FLORE...
SOUTHEASTERN LATIMER AND NORTHEASTERN PUSHMATAHA COUNTIES HAS
EXPIRED...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER HEAVY RAIN
IS STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 AM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA.

LAT...LON 3444 9512 3456 9529 3493 9498 3488 9491
      3474 9476 3451 9503 3451 9504 3450 9505
TIME...MOT...LOC 1016Z 215DEG 33KT 3456 9515 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Tulsa OK
406 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Elevated convection has developed across southeast Oklahoma early
this morning to the north of a warm front lying just south of the
Red River, and this activity will continue to lift northeast this
morning into the rest of the forecast area. A few of the storms
will be severe with large hail being the primary threat.

The northward movement of the warm front today will be slowed by
the considerable amount of convection to its north. Surface low
pressure will move slowly east across the Texas south plains
today, reaching near the southwest corner of Oklahoma by this
evening. This will also help keep the true warm sector airmass
near the Red River. Surface based thunderstorms will likely
develop near and south of the warm front later this afternoon, and
these storms will have a hail, wind, and tornado threat. The
greatest tornado threat in our area is likely to be confined to
far southeast Oklahoma.

The surface low will weaken some as it lifts northeast overnight
tonight. Another round of showers and thunderstorms will move
across the area tonight ahead of a cold front that will trail
south from the low. At least a limited severe weather threat will
exist with these storms, mainly in the form of hail and damaging
winds.

Some precipitation may linger into Saturday from southeast
Oklahoma into northwest Arkansas, but otherwise the weekend looks
dry. Another weaker system will bring a chance of showers and
thunderstorms Sunday night and Monday, with dry weather then
expected for the rest of next week. Temperatures will generally
run a bit below normal until late next week.

Stayed on the cool side of guidance for high temperatures the next
couple days, with guidance lows looking reasonable.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   70  56  74  49 /  80  80  10  10
FSM   73  63  79  54 / 100  90  30  10
MLC   73  60  75  52 /  90  80  20  10
BVO   68  55  73  47 /  60  90  10  10
FYV   67  61  74  49 /  90  80  30  10
BYV   65  61  76  52 /  80  80  40  10
MKO   71  59  74  50 /  80  80  20  10
MIO   67  60  74  49 /  70  90  10  10
F10   71  57  74  51 /  80  70  10  10
HHW   75  65  78  55 /  90  90  30  10

&&

.TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...Flash Flood Watch from 7 AM CDT this morning through Saturday
     morning for OKZ049-053-073>076.

AR...Flash Flood Watch from 7 AM CDT this morning through Saturday
     morning for ARZ029.

&&

SHORT TERM...23
LONG TERM....05

PLATE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
448 PM CDT THU APR 28 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-291030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
448 PM CDT THU APR 28 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...LATE TONIGHT.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...LATE TONIGHT.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...LATE TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THIS EVENING ACROSS NORTH TEXAS
NEAR A WARM FRONT AND MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL
THE MAIN CONCERN. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

STORMS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
ARKANSAS FRIDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL DEVELOP LATER IN
THE DAY TO OUR WEST AND WILL MOVE INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
ARKANSAS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE SEVERITY AND
TYPE OF SEVERE WEATHER THAT OCCURS WITH THESE STORMS WILL DEPEND
ON HOW FAR NORTH THE WARM FRONT RETREATS. LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE
PRIMARY THREAT ON THE COOL SIDE OF THE FRONT...WHILE TORNADOES...
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WOULD BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE
BOUNDARY. AT THIS TIME...EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA HAVE
THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS

IF THE WARM FRONT SETS UP NEAR THE RED RIVER ON FRIDAY...THE SETUP
WOULD FAVOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE FLOODING POTENTIAL ACROSS
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AS WELL. ONE TO THREE INCHES OF RAINFALL ARE
POSSIBLE.

SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY BUT WILL DIMINISH
FROM WEST TO EAST LATER IN THE DAY AS A PACIFIC COLD FRONT SWEEPS
ACROSS THE AREA.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1054 PM CDT THU APR 28 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1210 AM     TSTM WND DMG     5 W STILWELL            35.81N 94.72W
04/27/2016                   ADAIR              OK   PUBLIC

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN. STRUCTURE DAMAGE TO BARN.

&&

JBM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
426 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

OKZ065-066-070-071-073-074-291000-
OKFUSKEE OK-MUSKOGEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-MCINTOSH OK-HASKELL OK-
OKMULGEE OK-
426 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN OKFUSKEE...
SOUTHEASTERN OKMULGEE...MCINTOSH...NORTHERN PITTSBURG...WEST CENTRAL
MUSKOGEE AND WEST CENTRAL HASKELL COUNTIES UNTIL 500 AM CDT...

AT 426 AM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HANNA...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
EUFAULA...                        CHECOTAH...
CROWDER...                        CANADIAN...
INDIANOLA...                      GRAYSON...
COUNCIL HILL...                   HANNA...
RENTIESVILLE...                   HOFFMAN...
STIDHAM...                        ARROWHEAD STATE PARK...
LAKE EUFAULA STATE PARK...        VIVIAN...
RAIFORD...                        BLOCKER...
HITCHITA...                       ONAPA...
PIERCE...                         VERNON...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 40 IN OKLAHOMA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 240 AND
273.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 AM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA.

LAT...LON 3564 9580 3545 9532 3501 9555 3514 9601
      3515 9593 3529 9598 3529 9606
TIME...MOT...LOC 0926Z 209DEG 43KT 3524 9585