Severe Thunderstorm Warning 41, NWS Tallahassee, FL

056 
WWUS52 KTAE 240732
SVSTAE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
232 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

FLC013-063-GAC253-240742-
/O.CAN.KTAE.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-160224T0815Z/
JACKSON FL-CALHOUN FL-SEMINOLE GA-
232 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR JACKSON...CENTRAL CALHOUN
COUNTIES IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA AND SEMINOLE COUNTIES IN
SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA IS CANCELLED...

THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 AM EST/500 AM CST/ FOR
NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA.

LAT...LON 2970 8538 2977 8541 2977 8540 2969 8532
      2969 8531 2983 8541 3026 8506 3098 8476
      3095 8422 2971 8477 2970 8476 2975 8499
      2960 8501 2970 8504 2963 8509 2962 8509
      2960 8503 2959 8505
TIME...MOT...LOC 0732Z 247DEG 53KT 3095 8443 2974 8527 

$$

FLC037-039-045-073-077-129-GAC087-131-240815-
/O.CON.KTAE.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-160224T0815Z/
LIBERTY FL-FRANKLIN FL-GADSDEN FL-GULF FL-WAKULLA FL-LEON FL-
GRADY GA-DECATUR GA-
232 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 AM
EST/215 AM CST/ FOR LIBERTY...SOUTHWESTERN FRANKLIN...GADSDEN...
GULF...NORTHWESTERN WAKULLA...SOUTHWESTERN LEON...SOUTHWESTERN GRADY
AND DECATUR COUNTIES...

AT 232 AM EST /132 AM CST/...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF WHIGHAM TO NEAR PORT ST.
JOE...MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PORT ST. JOE...HAVANA...BAINBRIDGE...APALACHICOLA...MIDWAY...
QUINCY...EASTPOINT...WHIGHAM...WEST BAINBRIDGE...CHATTAHOOCHEE...
GREENSBORO...WEWAHITCHKA...ORANGE...FRANKLIN...GRETNA...BRISTOL...
ATTAPULGUS...CLIMAX...BRINSON AND APALACHICOLA AIRPORT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 AM EST/500 AM CST/ FOR
NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA.

LAT...LON 2970 8538 2977 8541 2977 8540 2969 8532
      2969 8531 2983 8541 3026 8506 3098 8476
      3095 8422 2971 8477 2970 8476 2975 8499
      2960 8501 2970 8504 2963 8509 2962 8509
      2960 8503 2959 8505
TIME...MOT...LOC 0732Z 247DEG 53KT 3095 8443 2974 8527 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

42-DVD

058 
WWUS52 KTAE 240753
SVSTAE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
253 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

FLC037-039-045-073-077-129-GAC087-131-240815-
/O.CON.KTAE.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-160224T0815Z/
LIBERTY FL-FRANKLIN FL-GADSDEN FL-GULF FL-WAKULLA FL-LEON FL-
GRADY GA-DECATUR GA-
253 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 AM
EST/215 AM CST/ FOR LIBERTY...SOUTHWESTERN FRANKLIN...GADSDEN...
SOUTHEASTERN GULF...NORTHWESTERN WAKULLA...SOUTHWESTERN LEON...
SOUTHWESTERN GRADY AND SOUTHEASTERN DECATUR COUNTIES...

AT 252 AM EST /152 AM CST/...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM WHIGHAM TO 12 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PORT ST.
JOE...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HAVANA...BAINBRIDGE...APALACHICOLA...MIDWAY...QUINCY...EASTPOINT...
WHIGHAM...GREENSBORO...WEST BAINBRIDGE...FRANKLIN...GRETNA...
ATTAPULGUS...CLIMAX...JEWEL FIRE TOWER...ODENA...QUINCY AIRPORT...
APALACHICOLA AIRPORT...BRANCHVILLE...BUCK SIDING AND CENTRAL CITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 AM EST/500 AM CST/ FOR
NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA.

LAT...LON 2968 8525 3024 8497 3097 8460 3095 8422
      2971 8477 2970 8476 2975 8499 2960 8501
      2970 8504 2963 8509 2962 8509 2960 8503
      2959 8505 2969 8532
TIME...MOT...LOC 0752Z 263DEG 25KT 3089 8432 2968 8516 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

42-DVD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
704 PM EST TUE FEB 23 2016

...Significant severe weather event expected tonight through
Wednesday morning...

.Aviation...
[Through 00Z Wednesday]...Conditions at the terminals will
deteriorate rapidly this evening and overnight at all the
terminals. Widespread strong to severe thunderstorms are expected
starting around 06Z to the west and clearing around 12Z to the
east. This is covered well in convective tempo groups with showing
gusts as high as 50kts at all but VLD. It will be windy behind
the front on Wednesday with gusts as high as 35 kts.

&&

.Prev Discussion [510 PM EST]...

.Near Term [Through Tonight]...

A powerful, deep-layer cyclone will move from LA to western TN
overnight dragging a cold front eastward and into the western
portions of our FA by daybreak. The front will be preceded by a
squall line or multiple bands of convection and supercells. A
significant severe weather threat accompanies this system and SPC
has now expanded the moderate risk area from near Albany to
Tallahassee westward with an enhanced and slight risk for severe
covering the remainder of the Tri-state region. The timing of the
severe weather threat remains unchanged beginning in our westernmost
zones between 11 pm and Midnight EST impacting SW GA and the western
Big Bend zones between 4 am and 8 am EST.

The global models continue to show strong forcing for ascent,
impressive shear and helicity values, especially from Albany to
Tallahassee westward. This includes 120 kt mid-upper level jet, low
level jet (85H) 50-60 kt, surface dewpoints in the lower to mid 60s,
deep layer shear (0-6km) around 60 kt, low level shear (0-1km)
exceeding 30 KT, and SBCAPE 500-1000 J/kg; highest near the
panhandle coast. This environment would support the development of
supercells with the possibility of significant and long lived
tornadoes. The 09z and 12z CAM shows long track updraft helicity
streaks in the moderate risk area. However, the main threat will
be damaging straight line winds up to 70 mph. Severe hail is also
possible, especially near the coast, due to stronger buoyancy and
relatively steep 700-500 mb lapse rates of 6 to 6.5 C/km.

.Short Term [Wednesday Through Thursday Night]...

The severe weather threat will be ongoing Wednesday morning as the
focus shifts to our eastern zones. The activity will end by
afternoon as the cold front clears to our east. We are expecting
windy conditions behind the front Wednesday with sustained winds
around 25 to 30 mph with frequent gusts over 40 mph. A wind
advisory will likely be issued after the severe weather threat
ends. High temperatures Wednesday may occur in the morning most
areas with temps remaining steady or slowly falling in the
afternoon. Expect cooler and dryer conditions for Thursday. Min temps
Thursday night may drop to the freezing mark for our northernmost
zones Thursday night.

.Long Term [Friday Through Tuesday]...

Throughout the long term, high pressure will dominate the CWA
suppressing rain chances. Until Sunday, the combination of the upper
level trough funneling cooler air to the region and low level high
pressure will keep temperatures fair and cool. Going from Sunday
into Monday, deep level ridging will build and temperatures will
begin to increase into the beginning of the work week.

On Monday, the GFS has a slight chance of a weak frontal boundary
dissipating to the northwest of the area that could potentially
bring rain to SE AL. However, being this far out in the forecast and
the rain only present in one model, will wait for later model runs
to confirm it.

.Marine...

A Gale Warning is in effect from this evening through Wednesday
evening for frequent gusts of 34-40 kt as a strong cold front
pushes through the local waters. The strong onshore winds ahead
of the cold front will drive the tides higher than normal. The
highest tides (coupled with relatively high astronomical tides)
will be in the 3 to 4 feet range at the time of high tide late
tonight and Wednesday, along the coast east of Apalachicola. This
is not quite high enough to warrant a Coastal Flood advisory.
Winds and seas will be slow to subside and may see advisory level
conditions from Wednesday night through Thursday night.

.Fire Weather...

A wetting rain is likely tonight as severe thunderstorms are move
through tonight. Winds will be very gusty behind the front with gust
of 30 to 40 mph possible. Dispersion indices will be high due
Wednesday to high transport winds.

.Hydrology...

Since we expect smaller, rather ragged bands of rain instead of a
large QLCS, our deterministic storm total QPF is a bit lower than
24 hours ago. This lower QPF is also aided by the expected rapid
movement of these rain bands. We expect rain totals from one half
to one inch, with the highest totals north and west of
Tallahassee. The Apalachicola River at Blountstown remains at
minor flood stage, and given the expected rain upstream, it's
likely to stay in minor flood through next week. Otherwise we're
not expected river flooding.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...

Tallahassee   64  69  39  62  35 /  80  50   0   0   0
Panama City   60  64  42  60  38 /  90  30   0   0   0
Dothan        57  62  38  60  34 /  90  20   0   0   0
Albany        62  67  38  59  32 /  90  60   0   0   0
Valdosta      65  72  40  62  35 /  60  80   0   0   0
Cross City    65  72  41  63  34 /  40  80   0   0   0
Apalachicola  64  67  43  60  38 /  90  30   0   0   0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight FOR South Walton.

GA...NONE.
AL...NONE.
GM...Gale Warning from 10 PM this evening to 10 PM EST Wednesday FOR
     Apalachee Bay or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach to
     Ochlockonee River Fl out to 20 Nm-Coastal Waters From
     Ochlockonee River to Apalachicola Fl out to 20 Nm-Coastal
     waters from Suwannee River to Keaton Beach out 20 NM-
     Coastal waters from Apalachicola to Destin FL out 20 NM-
     Waters from Suwannee River to Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60
     NM-Waters from Apalachicola to Destin FL from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

NEAR TERM...BARRY
SHORT TERM...BARRY
LONG TERM...BARRY/CHANEY
AVIATION...BARRY
MARINE...BARRY
FIRE WEATHER...WESTON
HYDROLOGY...FOURNIER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
116 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1228 AM     FUNNEL CLOUD     PANAMA CITY BEACH       30.21N 85.85W
02/24/2016                   BAY                FL   BROADCAST MEDIA

            FUNNEL CLOUD VISIBLE ON THE SCHOONERS WEB CAM IN PANAMA
            CITY BEACH FOR A BRIEF TIME. NO CONFIRMED TOUCHDOWN AT
            THE TIME.

&&

08-LAMERS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
119 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1138 PM     TORNADO          KINSEY                  31.30N 85.34W
02/23/2016                   HOUSTON            AL   BROADCAST MEDIA

            UPDATED KINSEY REPORT...ADDITIONAL MEDIA REPORTS OF
            DAMAGE IN THE KINSEY AREA WITH NUMEROUS TREES AND POWER
            LINES DOWN AND CARPORTS DESTROYED. THERE WAS A DEBRIS
            SIGNATURE ON RADAR WITH THIS.

&&

08-LAMERS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
131 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1149 PM     TORNADO          5 NE HEADLAND           31.41N 85.28W
02/23/2016                   HENRY              AL   911 CALL CENTER

            DAMAGE TO 5 RESIDENCES AND NUMEROUS TREES AND POWER LINES
            DOWN NORTHEAST OF HEADLAND. DEBRIS SIGNATURE ON RADAR AT
            THE TIME.

&&

08-LAMERS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
137 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1230 AM     TSTM WND DMG     JACOBS                  30.89N 85.41W
02/24/2016                   JACKSON            FL   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE BLOWN DOWN ON HIGHWAY 162.

0100 AM     TSTM WND DMG     3 WSW COTTONDALE AIRPOR 30.76N 85.42W
02/24/2016                   JACKSON            FL   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE BLOWN DOWN ON A RESIDENCE IN THE COTTONDALE AREA.

0120 AM     TSTM WND DMG     BLUE SPRING             30.79N 85.14W
02/24/2016                   JACKSON            FL   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE BLOWN DOWN ACROSS THE ROAD AT BLUE SPRING RD AND
            CALHOUN RD.

&&

08-LAMERS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
140 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0110 AM     TSTM WND DMG     3 S OAKLAND             31.64N 84.26W
02/24/2016                   LEE                GA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE BLOWN DOWN ON HICKORY RIDGE COURT.

&&

08-LAMERS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
141 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0139 AM     TSTM WND GST     TYNDALL AFB             30.07N 85.58W
02/24/2016  M53 MPH          BAY                FL   AWOS

            46 KNOT OR 53 MPH WIND GUST MEASURED AT KPAM.

&&

08-LAMERS