River Flood Warning 18, NWS Tallahassee, FL

090 
WGUS82 KTAE 241421
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
921 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
  Choctawhatchee River near Caryville (US 90) affecting Holmes and 
  Washington Counties 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

FLC059-133-251421-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0018.160225T2145Z-000000T0000Z/
/CARF1.1.ER.160225T2145Z.160226T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
821 AM CST WED FEB 24 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Choctawhatchee River near Caryville (US 90).
* From Thursday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 9.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by tomorrow afternoon and continue
  to rise to near 12.9 feet by Friday morning.
* Impact: At 12.0 feet: Extensive lowland flooding will occur.

&&

LAT...LON 3099 8588 3085 8591 3077 8589 3070 8592 3070 8581 3099 8580


$$

250 
WGUS82 KTAE 250243
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
943 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
 
  Choctawhatchee River near Caryville (US 90) affecting Holmes and 
  Washington Counties 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

FLC059-133-260243-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0018.160225T1516Z-000000T0000Z/
/CARF1.1.ER.160225T1516Z.160227T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
843 PM CST WED FEB 24 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Choctawhatchee River near Caryville (US 90).
* From Thursday morning until further notice.
* At 8:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 10.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and 
  continue to rise to near 14.2 feet by Saturday morning.
* Impact: At 16.0 feet: Highway 279 south of Caryville will be cut 
  off. Several fish camps, residential areas and additional rural 
  roads in the area will be flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3099 8588 3085 8591 3077 8589 3070 8592 3070 8581 3099 8580


$$

630 
WGUS82 KTAE 251449
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
949 AM EST THU FEB 25 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
 
  Choctawhatchee River near Caryville (US 90) affecting Holmes and 
  Washington Counties 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

FLC059-133-261449-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0018.160225T1449Z-160301T0800Z/
/CARF1.1.ER.160225T1141Z.160227T1200Z.160301T0200Z.NO/
849 AM CST THU FEB 25 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Choctawhatchee River near Caryville (US 90).
* From this morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:00 AM Thursday the stage was 12.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 14.2 feet by 
  Saturday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Monday 
  evening.
* Impact: At 16.0 feet: Highway 279 south of Caryville will be cut 
  off. Several fish camps, residential areas and additional rural 
  roads in the area will be flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3099 8588 3085 8591 3077 8589 3070 8592 3070 8581 3099 8580


$$

932 
WGUS82 KTAE 260322
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1022 PM EST THU FEB 25 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
 
  Choctawhatchee River near Caryville (US 90) affecting Holmes and 
  Washington Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

FLC059-133-270322-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-160301T1600Z/
/CARF1.1.ER.160225T1141Z.160228T0000Z.160301T1000Z.NO/
922 PM CST THU FEB 25 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  the Choctawhatchee River near Caryville (US 90).
* Until Tuesday morning.
* At 9:00 PM Thursday the stage was 13.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and is forecast to continue.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 14.2 feet by 
  Saturday evening. The river will fall below flood stage Tuesday 
  morning.
* Impact: At 16.0 feet: Highway 279 south of Caryville will be cut 
  off. Several fish camps, residential areas and additional rural 
  roads in the area will be flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3099 8588 3085 8591 3077 8589 3070 8592 3070 8581 3099 8580


$$

108 
WGUS82 KTAE 261518
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1017 AM EST FRI FEB 26 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
 
  Choctawhatchee River near Caryville (US 90) affecting Holmes and 
  Washington Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

FLC059-133-271517-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-160301T0200Z/
/CARF1.1.ER.160225T1141Z.160227T0000Z.160229T2000Z.NO/
917 AM CST FRI FEB 26 2016

The Flood Warning continues for the Choctawhatchee River near
Caryville (US 90).
* Until Monday evening.
* At  8:00 AM Friday the stage was 13.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 13.7 feet by this 
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Monday afternoon.
* Impact: At 16.0 feet: Highway 279 south of Caryville will be cut 
  off. Several fish camps, residential areas and additional rural 
  roads in the area will be flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3099 8588 3085 8591 3077 8589 3070 8592 3070 8581 3099 8580


$$

032 
WGUS82 KTAE 270302
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1002 PM EST FRI FEB 26 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
 
  Choctawhatchee River near Caryville (US 90) affecting Holmes and 
  Washington Counties 
 
  Choctawhatchee River near Bruce (SR 20) affecting Walton and 
  Washington Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

FLC059-133-280302-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-160229T2100Z/
/CARF1.1.ER.160225T1141Z.160227T0600Z.160229T1500Z.NO/
902 PM CST FRI FEB 26 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Choctawhatchee River near Caryville (US 90).
* Until Monday afternoon.
* At 8:01 PM Friday the stage was 13.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and is forecast to continue.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Impact: At 12.0 feet: Extensive lowland flooding will occur.

&&

LAT...LON 3099 8588 3085 8591 3077 8589 3070 8592 3070 8581 3099 8580


$$

FLC131-133-280302-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0022.160227T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/BRUF1.2.ER.160227T1200Z.160229T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
902 PM CST FRI FEB 26 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Choctawhatchee River near Bruce (SR 20).
* From Saturday morning, until further notice.
* At  8:45 PM Friday the stage was 11.9 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue 
  to rise to near 14.8 feet by Monday early afternoon.
* Impact: At 14.0 feet: Flood waters impact storage areas underneath 
  homes on the east and west banks of the Choctawatchee River near 
  Bruce.

&&

LAT...LON 3070 8592 3047 8596 3044 8613 3037 8609 3044 8585 3070 8581


$$

539 
WGUS82 KTAE 271428
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
928 AM EST SAT FEB 27 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
 
  Choctawhatchee River near Caryville (US 90) affecting Holmes and 
  Washington Counties 

  Choctawhatchee River near Bruce (SR 20) affecting Walton and 
  Washington Counties 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

FLC059-133-281428-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-160229T1800Z/
/CARF1.1.ER.160225T1141Z.160227T0301Z.160229T1200Z.NO/
828 AM CST SAT FEB 27 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Choctawhatchee River near Caryville (US 90).
* Until Monday afternoon.
* At  8:00 AM Saturday the stage was 13.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Monday morning.
* Impact: At 12.0 feet: Extensive lowland flooding will occur.

&&

LAT...LON 3099 8588 3085 8591 3077 8589 3070 8592 3070 8581 3099 8580


$$

FLC131-133-281428-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BRUF1.2.ER.160227T1418Z.160229T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
828 AM CST SAT FEB 27 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Choctawhatchee River near Bruce (SR 20).
* Until further notice.
* At  7:45 AM Saturday the stage was 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by this morning and continue to 
  rise to near 14.7 feet by Monday early afternoon.
* Impact: At 14.0 feet: Flood waters impact storage areas underneath 
  homes on the east and west banks of the Choctawatchee River near 
  Bruce.

&&

LAT...LON 3070 8592 3047 8596 3044 8613 3037 8609 3044 8585 3070 8581


$$

044 
WGUS82 KTAE 280222
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
922 PM EST SAT FEB 27 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
 
  Choctawhatchee River near Caryville (US 90) affecting Holmes and 
  Washington Counties 
  Choctawhatchee River near Bruce (SR 20) affecting Walton and 
  Washington Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

FLC059-133-290222-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-160229T1342Z/
/CARF1.1.ER.160225T1141Z.160227T0301Z.160229T0742Z.NO/
822 PM CST SAT FEB 27 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Choctawhatchee River near Caryville (US 90).
* Until Monday morning.
* At  7:01 PM Saturday the stage was 13.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early Monday morning.
* Impact: At 12.0 feet: Extensive lowland flooding will occur.

&&

LAT...LON 3099 8588 3085 8591 3077 8589 3070 8592 3070 8581 3099 8580


$$

FLC131-133-290221-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-160304T0400Z/
/BRUF1.2.ER.160227T1424Z.160229T0600Z.160303T2200Z.NO/
822 PM CST SAT FEB 27 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Choctawhatchee River near Bruce (SR 20).
* Until Thursday evening.
* At  7:45 PM Saturday the stage was 14.1 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 14.9 feet by 
  Monday early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Thursday afternoon.
* Impact: At 14.0 feet: Flood waters impact storage areas underneath 
  homes on the east and west banks of the Choctawatchee River near 
  Bruce.

&&

LAT...LON 3070 8592 3047 8596 3044 8613 3037 8609 3044 8585 3070 8581


$$

085 
WGUS82 KTAE 281306
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
806 AM EST SUN FEB 28 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
 
  Choctawhatchee River near Caryville (US 90) affecting Holmes and 
  Washington Counties 
  Choctawhatchee River near Bruce (SR 20) affecting Walton and 
  Washington Counties 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

FLC059-133-291306-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-160229T1800Z/
/CARF1.1.ER.160225T1141Z.160227T0301Z.160229T1200Z.NO/
706 AM CST SUN FEB 28 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Monday afternoon...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  the Choctawhatchee River near Caryville (US 90).
* Until Monday afternoon.
* At  6:01 AM Sunday the stage was 12.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow morning.
* Impact: At 12.0 feet: Extensive lowland flooding will occur.

&&

LAT...LON 3099 8588 3085 8591 3077 8589 3070 8592 3070 8581 3099 8580


$$

FLC131-133-291306-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BRUF1.2.ER.160227T1424Z.160229T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
706 AM CST SUN FEB 28 2016

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  the Choctawhatchee River near Bruce (SR 20).
* Until further notice.
* At  6:45 AM Sunday the stage was 14.6 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 14.9 feet by 
  tomorrow early afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact: At 14.0 feet: Flood waters impact storage areas underneath 
  homes on the east and west banks of the Choctawatchee River near 
  Bruce.

&&

LAT...LON 3070 8592 3047 8596 3044 8613 3037 8609 3044 8585 3070 8581


$$

453 
WGUS82 KTAE 290233
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
933 PM EST SUN FEB 28 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Choctawhatchee River near Caryville (US 90) affecting Holmes and 
  Washington Counties 
  
  Choctawhatchee River near Bruce (SR 20) affecting Walton and 
  Washington Counties 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

FLC059-133-291800-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-160229T1800Z/
/CARF1.1.ER.160225T1141Z.160227T0301Z.160229T1200Z.NO/
833 PM CST SUN FEB 28 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Choctawhatchee River near Caryville (US 90).
* Until Monday afternoon.
* At 8:00 PM Sunday the stage was 12.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and is forecast to continue.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow morning.
* Impact: At 12.0 feet: Extensive lowland flooding will occur.

&&

LAT...LON 3099 8588 3085 8591 3077 8589 3070 8592 3070 8581 3099 8580


$$

FLC131-133-010232-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BRUF1.2.ER.160227T1424Z.160229T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
833 PM CST SUN FEB 28 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Choctawhatchee River near Bruce (SR 20).
* Until further notice.
* At 7:45 PM Sunday the stage was 14.9 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and is forecast to continue.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 14.9 feet by 
  tomorrow early afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact: At 14.0 feet: Flood waters impact storage areas underneath 
  homes on the east and west banks of the Choctawatchee River near 
  Bruce.

&&

LAT...LON 3070 8592 3047 8596 3044 8613 3037 8609 3044 8585 3070 8581


$$

236 
WGUS82 KTAE 291535
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1035 AM EST MON FEB 29 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
 
  Choctawhatchee River near Bruce (SR 20) affecting Walton and 
  Washington Counties 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

FLC131-133-011535-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-160304T2100Z/
/BRUF1.2.ER.160227T1424Z.160229T0715Z.160304T1500Z.NO/
935 AM CST MON FEB 29 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Choctawhatchee River near Bruce (SR 20).
* Until Friday afternoon.
* At  8:45 AM Monday the stage was 14.8 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Impact: At 14.0 feet: Flood waters impact storage areas underneath 
  homes on the east and west banks of the Choctawatchee River near 
  Bruce.

&&

LAT...LON 3070 8592 3047 8596 3044 8613 3037 8609 3044 8585 3070 8581


$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
704 PM EST TUE FEB 23 2016

...Significant severe weather event expected tonight through
Wednesday morning...

.Aviation...
[Through 00Z Wednesday]...Conditions at the terminals will
deteriorate rapidly this evening and overnight at all the
terminals. Widespread strong to severe thunderstorms are expected
starting around 06Z to the west and clearing around 12Z to the
east. This is covered well in convective tempo groups with showing
gusts as high as 50kts at all but VLD. It will be windy behind
the front on Wednesday with gusts as high as 35 kts.

&&

.Prev Discussion [510 PM EST]...

.Near Term [Through Tonight]...

A powerful, deep-layer cyclone will move from LA to western TN
overnight dragging a cold front eastward and into the western
portions of our FA by daybreak. The front will be preceded by a
squall line or multiple bands of convection and supercells. A
significant severe weather threat accompanies this system and SPC
has now expanded the moderate risk area from near Albany to
Tallahassee westward with an enhanced and slight risk for severe
covering the remainder of the Tri-state region. The timing of the
severe weather threat remains unchanged beginning in our westernmost
zones between 11 pm and Midnight EST impacting SW GA and the western
Big Bend zones between 4 am and 8 am EST.

The global models continue to show strong forcing for ascent,
impressive shear and helicity values, especially from Albany to
Tallahassee westward. This includes 120 kt mid-upper level jet, low
level jet (85H) 50-60 kt, surface dewpoints in the lower to mid 60s,
deep layer shear (0-6km) around 60 kt, low level shear (0-1km)
exceeding 30 KT, and SBCAPE 500-1000 J/kg; highest near the
panhandle coast. This environment would support the development of
supercells with the possibility of significant and long lived
tornadoes. The 09z and 12z CAM shows long track updraft helicity
streaks in the moderate risk area. However, the main threat will
be damaging straight line winds up to 70 mph. Severe hail is also
possible, especially near the coast, due to stronger buoyancy and
relatively steep 700-500 mb lapse rates of 6 to 6.5 C/km.

.Short Term [Wednesday Through Thursday Night]...

The severe weather threat will be ongoing Wednesday morning as the
focus shifts to our eastern zones. The activity will end by
afternoon as the cold front clears to our east. We are expecting
windy conditions behind the front Wednesday with sustained winds
around 25 to 30 mph with frequent gusts over 40 mph. A wind
advisory will likely be issued after the severe weather threat
ends. High temperatures Wednesday may occur in the morning most
areas with temps remaining steady or slowly falling in the
afternoon. Expect cooler and dryer conditions for Thursday. Min temps
Thursday night may drop to the freezing mark for our northernmost
zones Thursday night.

.Long Term [Friday Through Tuesday]...

Throughout the long term, high pressure will dominate the CWA
suppressing rain chances. Until Sunday, the combination of the upper
level trough funneling cooler air to the region and low level high
pressure will keep temperatures fair and cool. Going from Sunday
into Monday, deep level ridging will build and temperatures will
begin to increase into the beginning of the work week.

On Monday, the GFS has a slight chance of a weak frontal boundary
dissipating to the northwest of the area that could potentially
bring rain to SE AL. However, being this far out in the forecast and
the rain only present in one model, will wait for later model runs
to confirm it.

.Marine...

A Gale Warning is in effect from this evening through Wednesday
evening for frequent gusts of 34-40 kt as a strong cold front
pushes through the local waters. The strong onshore winds ahead
of the cold front will drive the tides higher than normal. The
highest tides (coupled with relatively high astronomical tides)
will be in the 3 to 4 feet range at the time of high tide late
tonight and Wednesday, along the coast east of Apalachicola. This
is not quite high enough to warrant a Coastal Flood advisory.
Winds and seas will be slow to subside and may see advisory level
conditions from Wednesday night through Thursday night.

.Fire Weather...

A wetting rain is likely tonight as severe thunderstorms are move
through tonight. Winds will be very gusty behind the front with gust
of 30 to 40 mph possible. Dispersion indices will be high due
Wednesday to high transport winds.

.Hydrology...

Since we expect smaller, rather ragged bands of rain instead of a
large QLCS, our deterministic storm total QPF is a bit lower than
24 hours ago. This lower QPF is also aided by the expected rapid
movement of these rain bands. We expect rain totals from one half
to one inch, with the highest totals north and west of
Tallahassee. The Apalachicola River at Blountstown remains at
minor flood stage, and given the expected rain upstream, it's
likely to stay in minor flood through next week. Otherwise we're
not expected river flooding.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...

Tallahassee   64  69  39  62  35 /  80  50   0   0   0
Panama City   60  64  42  60  38 /  90  30   0   0   0
Dothan        57  62  38  60  34 /  90  20   0   0   0
Albany        62  67  38  59  32 /  90  60   0   0   0
Valdosta      65  72  40  62  35 /  60  80   0   0   0
Cross City    65  72  41  63  34 /  40  80   0   0   0
Apalachicola  64  67  43  60  38 /  90  30   0   0   0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight FOR South Walton.

GA...NONE.
AL...NONE.
GM...Gale Warning from 10 PM this evening to 10 PM EST Wednesday FOR
     Apalachee Bay or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach to
     Ochlockonee River Fl out to 20 Nm-Coastal Waters From
     Ochlockonee River to Apalachicola Fl out to 20 Nm-Coastal
     waters from Suwannee River to Keaton Beach out 20 NM-
     Coastal waters from Apalachicola to Destin FL out 20 NM-
     Waters from Suwannee River to Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60
     NM-Waters from Apalachicola to Destin FL from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

NEAR TERM...BARRY
SHORT TERM...BARRY
LONG TERM...BARRY/CHANEY
AVIATION...BARRY
MARINE...BARRY
FIRE WEATHER...WESTON
HYDROLOGY...FOURNIER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
155 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0106 AM     TSTM WND GST     SASSER                  31.72N 84.35W
02/24/2016  M53 MPH          TERRELL            GA   MESONET

            MEASURED ON THE T BRIM FARM GEORGIA MESONET OBSERVATION
            IN TERRELL COUNTY.

&&

08-LAMERS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
204 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1132 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 NNW DOTHAN            31.26N 85.42W
02/23/2016                   HOUSTON            AL   BROADCAST MEDIA

            8 POWER POLES SNAPPED ON TECHNOLOGY DRIVE AND TREES ALSO
            BROUGHT DOWN POWER LINES AT WESTGATE PARKWAY AND
            PROVINCIAL STREET.

&&

08-LAMERS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
210 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 N BONIFAY             30.80N 85.68W
02/24/2016                   HOLMES             FL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            STATE HIGHWAY 79 SHUT DOWN DUE TO DOWNED POWER LINES.

&&

08-LAMERS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
213 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0122 AM     TSTM WND DMG     4 NNE TURNER CITY       31.64N 84.08W
02/24/2016                   LEE                GA   PUBLIC

            TREE BLOWN DOWN OFF STOCKS DAIRY ROAD PER A PUBLIC POST
            TO WALB-TV FACEBOOK PAGE.

&&

08-LAMERS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
221 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0206 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NNE BETHANY           30.87N 84.73W
02/24/2016                   DECATUR            GA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN ON SPRING CREEK ROAD.

&&

08-LAMERS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
225 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0215 AM     TSTM WND GST     4 NW WEST BAINBRIDGE    30.97N 84.63W
02/24/2016  M54 MPH          DECATUR            GA   AWOS

            47 KNOT OR 54 MPH WIND GUST MEASURED AT THE BAINBRIDGE
            AIRPORT AUTOMATED OBSERVATION SITE.

&&

08-LAMERS