Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2016

Tornado Watch 6

January 21, 201629 parishes in Louisiana; 32 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 21, 2016, 2:14 PM CST for 29 parishes in Louisiana; 32 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 21, 2016, 2:14 PM CST (20:14 UTC)
Expired
Jan 21, 2016, 8:23 PM CST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 61 counties

Ascension Parish, LA, Assumption Parish, LA, Catahoula Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, East Baton Rouge Parish, LA, East Feliciana Parish, LA, Iberia Parish, LA, Iberville Parish, LA, Jefferson Parish, LA, Lafayette Parish, LA, Lafourche Parish, LA, Livingston Parish, LA, Orleans Parish, LA, Plaquemines Parish, LA, Pointe Coupee Parish, LA, Saint Bernard Parish, LA, Saint Charles Parish, LA, Saint Helena Parish, LA, Saint James Parish, LA, Saint John the Baptist Parish, LA, Saint Martin Parish, LA, Saint Tammany Parish, LA, St. Mary Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, Terrebonne Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, West Baton Rouge Parish, LA, West Feliciana Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Amite County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Pike County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Warren County, MS, Wilkinson County, MS

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

43 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 21, 2:15 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANConcordia75 min
Jan 21, 2:26 PM CSTTornado WarningJANConcordia64 min
Jan 21, 2:28 PM CSTTornado WarningLIXWilkinson47 min
Jan 21, 2:32 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCatahoula, Concordia, Franklin, Tensas43 min
Jan 21, 2:53 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClaiborne, Hinds, Warren52 min
Jan 21, 3:21 PM CSTTornado WarningJANAdams, Franklin, Jefferson54 min
Jan 21, 3:34 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCopiah, Simpson41 min
Jan 21, 3:39 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHinds, Madison55 min
Jan 21, 3:45 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLeake, Scott45 min
Jan 21, 3:59 PM CSTTornado WarningJANCopiah, Franklin, Jefferson, Lincoln61 min
Jan 21, 4:03 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClaiborne, Copiah, Hinds43 min
Jan 21, 4:09 PM CSTTornado WarningLIXIberville, Pointe Coupee, West Baton Rouge51 min
Jan 21, 4:13 PM CSTTornado WarningJANCopiah, Hinds, Rankin, Simpson62 min
Jan 21, 4:15 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANNeshoba45 min
Jan 21, 4:17 PM CSTTornado WarningJANCopiah, Franklin, Jefferson, Lincoln42 min
Jan 21, 4:18 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXPointe Coupee, West Feliciana42 min
Jan 21, 4:22 PM CSTTornado WarningLIXPointe Coupee, West Feliciana38 min
Jan 21, 4:38 PM CSTTornado WarningLIXPlaquemines37 min
Jan 21, 4:39 PM CSTTornado WarningJANCopiah, Simpson66 min
Jan 21, 4:47 PM CSTTornado WarningLIXEast Baton Rouge, East Feliciana43 min
Jan 21, 4:54 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXEast Feliciana, West Feliciana51 min
Jan 21, 5:03 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANCopiah, Franklin, Jefferson, Lincoln2 hr
Jan 21, 5:17 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXIberville, Pointe Coupee, West Baton Rouge28 min
Jan 21, 5:17 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCopiah, Lawrence, Lincoln, Simpson47 min
Jan 21, 5:25 PM CSTTornado WarningLIXLivingston, Saint Helena, Tangipahoa35 min
Jan 21, 5:25 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANRankin, Scott65 min
Jan 21, 5:27 PM CSTTornado WarningJANSimpson48 min
Jan 21, 5:29 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXEast Baton Rouge, Livingston, West Baton Rouge46 min
Jan 21, 5:36 PM CSTTornado WarningLIXPike39 min
Jan 21, 5:43 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXSaint Helena, Tangipahoa62 min
Jan 21, 5:49 PM CSTTornado WarningJANNewton, Scott35 min
Jan 21, 5:52 PM CSTTornado WarningLIXTangipahoa, Washington23 min
Jan 21, 5:54 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXLivingston, Saint Helena51 min
Jan 21, 5:54 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANSmith53 min
Jan 21, 5:56 PM CSTTornado WarningLIXTangipahoa34 min
Jan 21, 6:14 PM CSTTornado WarningLIXWashington31 min
Jan 21, 6:15 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXWashington45 min
Jan 21, 6:28 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMarion29 min
Jan 21, 6:31 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANJasper44 min
Jan 21, 6:43 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLamar, Marion50 min
Jan 21, 6:46 PM CSTTornado WarningLIXWashington15 min
Jan 21, 6:49 PM CSTTornado WarningJANCovington, Forrest, Jones, Lamar, Marion41 min
Jan 21, 7:10 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClarke, Lauderdale46 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 138 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2016-01-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2016-01-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 173 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
551 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
53 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
173 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
154 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

716 
WWUS20 KWNS 212011
SEL6  
SPC WW 212011
LAZ000-MSZ000-CWZ000-220400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 6
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
215 PM CST THU JAN 21 2016

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
  SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
  COASTAL WATERS

* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 215 PM UNTIL
  1000 PM CST.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AND SPREAD EASTWARD FROM
LOUISIANA INTO MISSISSIPPI LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THIS
EVENING.  THE STORM ENVIRONMENT WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR THE RISK OF A
FEW TORNADOES...DAMAGING GUSTS...AND ISOLATED LARGE HAIL.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTHWEST OF JACKSON
MISSISSIPPI TO 30 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF HOUMA LOUISIANA.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 5...

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.


...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 21, 4:40 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Beauregard, Bienville, Caddo, De Soto, Grant and 8 more95 min
Jan 21, 10:59 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Evangeline and 7 more2 hr
Jan 21, 11:48 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAcadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Caldwell and 12 more5 hr
Jan 21, 1:44 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Allen, Ascension, Assumption, Avoyelles, Beauregard and 29 more2 hr
Jan 21, 4:57 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEast Feliciana, Saint Helena63 min
Jan 21, 11:03 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAttala, Hinds, Leake, Madison, Warren, Yazoo87 min
Jan 21, 5:29 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClarke, George, Greene, Harrison, Jackson, Lauderdale and 3 more2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2016Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2016Every tornado watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.