Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2016
Tornado Watch 504
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Nov 29, 2016, 1:48 PM CST for Ashley County, Chicot County, Arkansas; 18 parishes in Louisiana; 33 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 29, 2016, 1:48 PM CST (19:48 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 29, 2016, 9:00 PM CST
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 53 counties
Ashley County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Caldwell Parish, LA, Catahoula Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, East Carroll Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, Grant Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, LaSalle Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Ouachita Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, Union Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Attala County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clay County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Franklin County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Leake County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Madison County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Warren County, MS, Washington County, MS, Webster County, MS, Winston County, MS, Yazoo County, MS
The radar
The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 143 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 70%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 40%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
68 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 1:53 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Caldwell, Grant, LaSalle, Winn | 52 min |
| Nov 29, 2:00 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Claiborne, Copiah, Hinds | 45 min |
| Nov 29, 2:16 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Caldwell | 43 min |
| Nov 29, 2:26 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Bienville, Bossier, Jackson, Lincoln, Natchitoches, Red River | 49 min |
| Nov 29, 2:42 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Franklin | 48 min |
| Nov 29, 2:43 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Caldwell | 17 min |
| Nov 29, 2:43 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Hinds | 19 min |
| Nov 29, 2:45 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Chicot | 45 min |
| Nov 29, 2:49 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Grant, LaSalle, Winn | 41 min |
| Nov 29, 2:54 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Caldwell, Winn | 36 min |
| Nov 29, 3:00 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Franklin, Madison, Tensas | 60 min |
| Nov 29, 3:09 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Grant, Natchitoches, Winn | 36 min |
| Nov 29, 3:11 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Rankin | 49 min |
| Nov 29, 3:13 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Jackson, Lincoln, Ouachita, Union | 47 min |
| Nov 29, 3:20 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Leflore, Sunflower | 55 min |
| Nov 29, 3:26 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Grant, LaSalle, Natchitoches, Winn | 49 min |
| Nov 29, 3:30 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Holmes, Humphreys | 45 min |
| Nov 29, 3:31 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Caldwell, LaSalle, Winn | 44 min |
| Nov 29, 3:38 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Madison | 41 min |
| Nov 29, 3:41 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Natchitoches, Red River, Sabine, Winn | 49 min |
| Nov 29, 3:45 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Rankin, Scott | 45 min |
| Nov 29, 3:49 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Union | 13 min |
| Nov 29, 3:50 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Natchitoches, Sabine, Winn | 25 min |
| Nov 29, 3:58 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Grenada | 47 min |
| Nov 29, 4:00 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Rankin, Scott | 30 min |
| Nov 29, 4:09 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Franklin | 37 min |
| Nov 29, 4:12 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Caldwell, LaSalle, Winn | 48 min |
| Nov 29, 4:14 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Carroll, Holmes | 46 min |
| Nov 29, 4:17 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Leake, Neshoba, Winston | 43 min |
| Nov 29, 4:20 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Leake, Scott | 25 min |
| Nov 29, 4:22 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Grenada | 38 min |
| Nov 29, 4:23 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Issaquena, Warren, Yazoo | 52 min |
| Nov 29, 4:30 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Carroll, Montgomery | 45 min |
| Nov 29, 4:32 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Caldwell, Grant, LaSalle, Natchitoches, Winn | 58 min |
| Nov 29, 4:40 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Natchitoches, Sabine, Winn | 23 min |
| Nov 29, 4:41 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Leake, Neshoba | 37 min |
| Nov 29, 4:42 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Natchitoches, Sabine | 48 min |
| Nov 29, 4:44 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Leflore, Sunflower | 61 min |
| Nov 29, 4:49 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Neshoba, Noxubee, Winston | 41 min |
| Nov 29, 4:54 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Madison, Yazoo | 55 min |
| Nov 29, 4:59 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Caldwell | 16 min |
| Nov 29, 5:01 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Madison, Yazoo | 29 min |
| Nov 29, 5:01 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Choctaw, Webster | 44 min |
| Nov 29, 5:02 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Franklin, Richland | 43 min |
| Nov 29, 5:16 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Kemper, Neshoba, Winston | 29 min |
| Nov 29, 5:17 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Caldwell, Grant, LaSalle | 43 min |
| Nov 29, 5:21 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Carroll, Grenada | 39 min |
| Nov 29, 5:26 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Grant, Natchitoches, Sabine, Winn | 49 min |
| Nov 29, 5:29 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Lowndes, Noxubee, Oktibbeha, Winston | 46 min |
| Nov 29, 5:37 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Clay, Oktibbeha, Webster | 38 min |
| Nov 29, 5:42 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Kemper, Noxubee, Winston | 48 min |
| Nov 29, 5:44 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Grenada | 46 min |
| Nov 29, 6:06 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Morehouse | 39 min |
| Nov 29, 6:13 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Grant, Natchitoches, Winn | 32 min |
| Nov 29, 6:16 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Clay | 8 min |
| Nov 29, 6:18 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Attala, Leake | 27 min |
| Nov 29, 6:18 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Lowndes, Noxubee | 42 min |
| Nov 29, 6:38 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Issaquena, Sharkey, Yazoo | 52 min |
| Nov 29, 6:42 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Ashley, Chicot | 30 min |
| Nov 29, 6:43 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Caldwell, Grant, LaSalle, Winn | 47 min |
| Nov 29, 6:43 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Choctaw, Winston | 47 min |
| Nov 29, 7:10 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Noxubee, Winston | 50 min |
| Nov 29, 7:27 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Jackson, Lincoln, Ouachita, Union | 33 min |
| Nov 29, 7:42 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Lowndes, Noxubee, Oktibbeha | 48 min |
| Nov 29, 7:49 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Franklin | 41 min |
| Nov 29, 8:18 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Lowndes | 22 min |
| Nov 29, 8:35 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Holmes, Yazoo | 45 min |
| Nov 29, 8:42 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Madison, Tensas | 63 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 134 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2018 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 65 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 179 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 254 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
926 WWUS20 KWNS 291946 SEL4 SPC WW 291946 ARZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-300300- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 504 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 145 PM CST TUE NOV 29 2016 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA PARTS OF WESTERNA AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI * EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 145 PM UNTIL 900 PM CST. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE SUMMARY...WIDELY SCATTERED SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON FROM LOUISIANA INTO WESTERN MISSISSIPPI...WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN STORM COVERAGE AND INTENSITY EXPECTED THIS EVENING. INITIALLY...THE SUPERCELLS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...AS WELL AS A WEAK TORNADO OR TWO. BY LATE EVENING... THE STORM ENVIRONMENT WILL BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS WITH POTENTIALLY A COUPLE OF STRONG TORNADOES. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF NATCHITOCHES LA TO 30 MILES NORTHEAST OF GREENWOOD MS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. && AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24045. ...THOMPSON
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 6:36 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Saint Helena, Tangipahoa, Washington | 2 hr |
| Nov 28, 8:39 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Livingston, Saint Helena, Tangipahoa, Washington and 1 more | 96 min |
| Nov 28, 11:38 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Livingston, Saint Tammany, Tangipahoa, Washington | 3 hr |
| Nov 29, 9:51 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bienville, Caldwell, Catahoula, De Soto, Franklin, Grant and 10 more | 84 min |
| Nov 29, 12:38 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Avoyelles, Caldwell, Catahoula, Concordia, East Carroll, Franklin and 13 more | 2 hr |
| Nov 29, 4:20 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Caldwell, Catahoula, East Carroll, Franklin, LaSalle, Madison and 2 more | 55 min |
| Nov 29, 5:37 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Acadia, Allen, Ascension, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Calcasieu and 12 more | 2 hr |
| Nov 29, 3:08 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alcorn, Benton, Bolivar, Calhoun, Chickasaw, Clay and 17 more | 2 hr |
| Nov 29, 3:48 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Alcorn, Benton, Calhoun, Chickasaw, Itawamba, Lafayette and 12 more | 7 hr |
| Nov 29, 5:24 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Itawamba, Tishomingo | 96 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2016Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2016Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2016Every tornado watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.