Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2016

Tornado Watch 502

November 28, 201619 parishes in Louisiana; 45 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Nov 28, 2016, 2:49 PM CST for 19 parishes in Louisiana; 45 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 28, 2016, 2:49 PM CST (20:49 UTC)
Expired
Nov 28, 2016, 9:00 PM CST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 64 counties

Ascension Parish, LA, Catahoula Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, East Baton Rouge Parish, LA, East Carroll Parish, LA, East Feliciana Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, Iberville Parish, LA, Livingston Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Pointe Coupee Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, Saint Helena Parish, LA, Saint Tammany Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, West Baton Rouge Parish, LA, West Feliciana Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Amite County, MS, Attala County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Pike County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Warren County, MS, Wilkinson County, MS, Winston County, MS, Yazoo County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 92 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 28, 2:58 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHinds, Madison, Warren, Yazoo62 min
Nov 28, 3:12 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAttala, Holmes, Madison, Yazoo63 min
Nov 28, 3:15 PM CSTTornado WarningJANCatahoula, Franklin19 min
Nov 28, 3:15 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAttala, Carroll, Choctaw, Holmes, Montgomery45 min
Nov 28, 3:20 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANConcordia17 min
Nov 28, 3:46 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAttala, Choctaw, Oktibbeha, Winston44 min
Nov 28, 3:47 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClaiborne, Copiah, Hinds58 min
Nov 28, 3:49 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLeake, Madison, Rankin, Scott56 min
Nov 28, 4:23 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClay, Lowndes, Oktibbeha52 min
Nov 28, 4:28 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLeake, Neshoba, Noxubee, Winston47 min
Nov 28, 4:37 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANConcordia53 min
Nov 28, 4:45 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClaiborne, Copiah, Hinds, Rankin, Simpson60 min
Nov 28, 4:58 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLowndes47 min
Nov 28, 5:03 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANKemper, Leake, Neshoba, Newton, Noxubee, Scott and 1 more57 min
Nov 28, 5:24 PM CSTTornado WarningJANNoxubee39 min
Nov 28, 5:27 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANRankin, Scott, Simpson, Smith46 min
Nov 28, 5:54 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANKemper, Lauderdale, Neshoba, Newton, Scott51 min
Nov 28, 6:00 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANJasper, Newton, Scott, Smith31 min
Nov 28, 6:41 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLauderdale23 min
Nov 28, 8:15 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCovington, Jefferson Davis, Lawrence, Simpson45 min
Nov 28, 8:53 PM CSTTornado WarningLIXPike, Walthall17 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 86 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2016-11-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2016-11-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 291 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
845 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
67 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
291 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
314 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

500 
WWUS20 KWNS 282046
SEL2  
SPC WW 282046
LAZ000-MSZ000-290300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 502
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
245 PM CST MON NOV 28 2016

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
  MOST OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI

* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 245 PM UNTIL
  900 PM CST.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...BANDS OF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS WILL SPREAD EASTWARD FROM
LOUISIANA INTO MISSISSIPPI THROUGH THE EVENING AS A STRONG STORM
SYSTEM ALOFT APPROACHES THE ARKLAMISS.  THE STORM ENVIRONMENT WILL
BECOME SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED STORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS IN THE
NORTHERN PART OF THE WATCH AREA...AND A FEW SUPERCELLS/TORNADOES WILL
BE POSSIBLE WITH MORE CELLULAR STORMS GENERALLY NEAR AND SOUTH OF
I-20.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE MILES
EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF JACKSON MS
TO 25 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF BATON ROUGE LA. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 501...

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN
STORM MOTION VECTOR 25055.

...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 28, 7:40 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBossier, Caddo, Claiborne, De Soto, Red River, Sabine and 1 more3 hr
Nov 28, 10:10 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Cameron and 16 more2 hr
Nov 28, 11:08 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAcadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Bienville, Bossier and 21 more6 hr
Nov 28, 1:02 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Bienville, Calcasieu and 22 more118 min
Nov 28, 2:23 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Caldwell and 27 more2 hr
Nov 28, 5:07 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEast Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Saint Helena, Tangipahoa, Washington, West Baton Rouge and 1 more83 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2016Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2016Every tornado watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.