Alert archive / Kansas / Tornado Watches in 2016

Tornado Watch 187

May 21, 20166 counties in Colorado; 23 counties in Kansas; Dundy County, Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 21, 2016, 2:07 PM MDT for 6 counties in Colorado; 23 counties in Kansas; Dundy County, Nebraska. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 21, 2016, 2:07 PM MDT (20:07 UTC)
Expired
May 21, 2016, 10:31 PM MDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 30 counties

Baca County, CO, Cheyenne County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Prowers County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Cheyenne County, KS, Finney County, KS, Gove County, KS, Grant County, KS, Gray County, KS, Greeley County, KS, Hamilton County, KS, Haskell County, KS, Kearny County, KS, Lane County, KS, Logan County, KS, Meade County, KS, Morton County, KS, Rawlins County, KS, Scott County, KS, Seward County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Sherman County, KS, Stanton County, KS, Stevens County, KS, Thomas County, KS, Wallace County, KS, Wichita County, KS, Dundy County, NE

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 47 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
80%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

18 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 21, 4:47 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDGreeley, Logan, Wallace, Wichita28 min
May 21, 5:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDLogan, Wichita61 min
May 21, 5:39 PM MDTTornado WarningGLDWichita36 min
May 21, 6:10 PM MDTTornado WarningGLDWichita35 min
May 21, 6:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDLogan, Wallace50 min
May 21, 6:31 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGLDLogan, Wichita3 hr
May 21, 6:39 PM MDTTornado WarningGLDLogan, Wallace22 min
May 21, 6:44 PM MDTTornado WarningGLDWichita31 min
May 21, 7:15 PM MDTTornado WarningGLDLogan, Wichita30 min
May 21, 7:21 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDLogan39 min
May 21, 7:43 PM MDTTornado WarningGLDLogan, Wichita39 min
May 21, 7:53 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDLogan, Wichita33 min
May 21, 8:05 PM MDTTornado WarningGLDWichita16 min
May 21, 8:20 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDLogan, Thomas40 min
May 21, 8:39 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDLogan34 min
May 21, 9:00 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDLogan, Sherman, Thomas45 min
May 21, 9:32 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGLDLogan, Wichita6 hr
May 21, 10:04 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDSherman, Thomas26 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDEN), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 160 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2016-05-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2016-05-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -6 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2491 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
18 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-6 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-56 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

667 
WWUS20 KWNS 212005
SEL7  
SPC WW 212005
COZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-220300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 187
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
310 PM CDT SAT MAY 21 2016

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  EASTERN COLORADO
  WESTERN KANSAS
  EXTREME SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA

* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 310 PM UNTIL
  1000 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  WIDESPREAD LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL
    EVENTS TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM NEAR THE CO/KS BORDER
THIS AFTERNOON AND TRACK SLOWLY EASTWARD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. 
BACKED LOW LEVEL WINDS AND INCREASING INSTABILITY WILL SUPPORT THE
RISK OF SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND
A FEW TORNADOES.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES NORTH OF GOODLAND
KANSAS TO 25 MILES WEST OF LIBERAL KANSAS.  FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 186...

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25020.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 21, 4:34 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaca, Cheyenne, Kiowa, Kit Carson, Prowers, Yuma116 min
May 21, 1:25 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Finney, Grant, Greeley, Hamilton, Haskell and 10 more95 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2016Tornado Watches in Colorado, 2016Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2016Every tornado watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.