Alert archive / Kansas / Tornado Watches in 2016
Tornado Watch 187
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 21, 2016, 2:07 PM MDT for 6 counties in Colorado; 23 counties in Kansas; Dundy County, Nebraska. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 21, 2016, 2:07 PM MDT (20:07 UTC)
- Expired
- May 21, 2016, 10:31 PM MDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 3 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 30 counties
Baca County, CO, Cheyenne County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Prowers County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Cheyenne County, KS, Finney County, KS, Gove County, KS, Grant County, KS, Gray County, KS, Greeley County, KS, Hamilton County, KS, Haskell County, KS, Kearny County, KS, Lane County, KS, Logan County, KS, Meade County, KS, Morton County, KS, Rawlins County, KS, Scott County, KS, Seward County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Sherman County, KS, Stanton County, KS, Stevens County, KS, Thomas County, KS, Wallace County, KS, Wichita County, KS, Dundy County, NE
The radar
The Goodland radar (KGLD), 47 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 80%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 50%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
18 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 21, 4:47 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Greeley, Logan, Wallace, Wichita | 28 min |
| May 21, 5:14 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Logan, Wichita | 61 min |
| May 21, 5:39 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GLD | Wichita | 36 min |
| May 21, 6:10 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GLD | Wichita | 35 min |
| May 21, 6:25 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Logan, Wallace | 50 min |
| May 21, 6:31 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | GLD | Logan, Wichita | 3 hr |
| May 21, 6:39 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GLD | Logan, Wallace | 22 min |
| May 21, 6:44 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GLD | Wichita | 31 min |
| May 21, 7:15 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GLD | Logan, Wichita | 30 min |
| May 21, 7:21 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Logan | 39 min |
| May 21, 7:43 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GLD | Logan, Wichita | 39 min |
| May 21, 7:53 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Logan, Wichita | 33 min |
| May 21, 8:05 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GLD | Wichita | 16 min |
| May 21, 8:20 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Logan, Thomas | 40 min |
| May 21, 8:39 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Logan | 34 min |
| May 21, 9:00 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Logan, Sherman, Thomas | 45 min |
| May 21, 9:32 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | GLD | Logan, Wichita | 6 hr |
| May 21, 10:04 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Sherman, Thomas | 26 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Denver, CO (KDEN), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 160 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2491 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 18 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -6 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -56 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
667
WWUS20 KWNS 212005
SEL7
SPC WW 212005
COZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-220300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 187
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
310 PM CDT SAT MAY 21 2016
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN COLORADO
WESTERN KANSAS
EXTREME SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA
* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 310 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
WIDESPREAD LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL
EVENTS TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM NEAR THE CO/KS BORDER
THIS AFTERNOON AND TRACK SLOWLY EASTWARD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA.
BACKED LOW LEVEL WINDS AND INCREASING INSTABILITY WILL SUPPORT THE
RISK OF SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND
A FEW TORNADOES.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES NORTH OF GOODLAND
KANSAS TO 25 MILES WEST OF LIBERAL KANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 186...
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25020.
...HARTSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 21, 4:34 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baca, Cheyenne, Kiowa, Kit Carson, Prowers, Yuma | 116 min |
| May 21, 1:25 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cheyenne, Finney, Grant, Greeley, Hamilton, Haskell and 10 more | 95 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2016Tornado Watches in Colorado, 2016Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2016Every tornado watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.