Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 482

September 17, 201611 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Sep 17, 2016, 10:02 PM CDT for 11 counties in Texas. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 17, 2016, 10:02 PM CDT (03:02 UTC)
Expired
Sep 18, 2016, 2:00 AM CDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Crane County, TX, Ector County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Loving County, TX, Midland County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Reeves County, TX, Upton County, TX, Ward County, TX, Winkler County, TX

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 93 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

2 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 17, 10:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFCrane, Ector, Midland, Upton61 min
Sep 18, 12:45 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFReagan, Upton45 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 3.0 hours before the alert went out and 93 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2016-09-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2085 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2016-09-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 136 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2085 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-69 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1172 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
136 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
310 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.1
Supercell composite
7.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 17, 7:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Borden, Dawson, Ector, Gaines, Glasscock and 6 more85 min
Sep 17, 7:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Carson, Castro, Collingsworth, Dallam, Deaf Smith and 16 more2 hr
Sep 17, 10:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Carson, Collingsworth, Donley, Gray, Hemphill and 3 more58 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.