Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2016

Mesoscale Discussion 1713

September 17, 2016Lea County, New Mexico; 12 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Sep 17, 2016, 6:35 PM MDT for Lea County, New Mexico; 12 counties in Texas. It was in force for 85 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 17, 2016, 6:35 PM MDT (00:35 UTC)
Expired
Sep 17, 2016, 8:00 PM MDT
In force
85 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Lea County, NM, Andrews County, TX, Borden County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Ector County, TX, Gaines County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Howard County, TX, Martin County, TX, Midland County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Sterling County, TX

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 60 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 0.6 hours before the alert went out and 59 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2016-09-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2085 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2016-09-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 136 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2085 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-69 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1172 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
136 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
310 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.1
Supercell composite
7.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

507 
ACUS11 KWNS 180035
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 180035 
TXZ000-NMZ000-180200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1713
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0735 PM CDT SAT SEP 17 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN MN AND INTO PORTIONS OF THE PERMIAN BASIN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 480...

VALID 180035Z - 180200Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 480
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...SEVERE RISK HAS LOCALLY INCREASES ACROSS PARTS OF SERN NM
AND INTO ADJACENT PORTIONS OF THE PERMIAN BASIN.

DISCUSSION...LATEST RADAR LOOP SHOWS ISOLATED RIGHT-MOVING
SUPERCELLS AND PERIODIC LEFT SPLITS ONGOING WITHIN AN WNW-ESE ZONE
WHICH INCLUDES THE MIDLAND/ODESSA AREA -- IN AND NEAR WW 480.  TWO
OF THE MOST INTENSE CELLS INCLUDE A STORM MOVING SEWD ACROSS FAR
NWRN ECTOR AND SRN ANDREWS COUNTIES IN TX...AND A SECOND MOVING SEWD
OUT OF EDDY AND INTO SRN LEA COUNTY NM.  THE ECTOR/ANDREWS COUNTY
STORM IN PARTICULAR IS VERY WELL-ORGANIZED...WITH A RECENT TORNADO
REPORT HAVING BEEN RECEIVED WITH THIS CELL.  ALONG WITH THIS
LOCAL/TEMPORARY INCREASE IN TORNADO RISK AS STORMS MOVE SEWD ALONG A
WELL-DEFINED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY...HAIL IN EXCESS OF 1.5" IN DIAMETER
AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS REMAIN POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
HOURS.

..GOSS.. 09/18/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SJT...LUB...MAF...ABQ...

LAT...LON   32200362 32500423 32990394 33120279 32810062 31650083
            31450171 31750266 32200362

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 17, 6:57 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Carson, Castro, Collingsworth, Dallam, Deaf Smith and 16 more2 hr
Sep 17, 9:02 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCrane, Ector, Glasscock, Loving, Midland, Pecos and 5 more4 hr
Sep 17, 9:32 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Carson, Collingsworth, Donley, Gray, Hemphill and 3 more58 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in New Mexico, 2016Every mesoscale discussion in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.