Alert archive / Louisiana / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 46

March 17, 20164 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 17, 2016, 1:19 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 17, 2016, 1:19 PM CDT (18:19 UTC)
Expired
Mar 17, 2016, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 83 counties

Baldwin County, AL, Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Mobile County, AL, Washington County, AL, Allen Parish, LA, Avoyelles Parish, LA, Beauregard Parish, LA, Bienville Parish, LA, Caldwell Parish, LA, Catahoula Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, East Baton Rouge Parish, LA, East Feliciana Parish, LA, Evangeline Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, Grant Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, LaSalle Parish, LA, Livingston Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Ouachita Parish, LA, Pointe Coupee Parish, LA, Rapides Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Saint Helena Parish, LA, Saint Landry Parish, LA, Saint Tammany Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, Vernon Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, West Baton Rouge Parish, LA, West Feliciana Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Amite County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Hancock County, MS, Harrison County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Jackson County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Marion County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Perry County, MS, Pike County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Stone County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Warren County, MS, Wayne County, MS, Wilkinson County, MS, Angelina County, TX, Cherokee County, TX, Jasper County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Newton County, TX, Panola County, TX, Rusk County, TX, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Tyler County, TX

The radar

The Ft Polk radar (KPOE), 124 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
80%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

73 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 17, 1:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBMobile47 min
Mar 17, 1:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXSaint Helena, Tangipahoa31 min
Mar 17, 1:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClaiborne, Copiah, Jefferson, Lincoln60 min
Mar 17, 1:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXPointe Coupee12 min
Mar 17, 1:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXWashington24 min
Mar 17, 1:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCatahoula, Concordia, Tensas53 min
Mar 17, 1:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVNatchitoches, Red River, Winn46 min
Mar 17, 2:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBMobile51 min
Mar 17, 2:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXSaint Helena, Tangipahoa21 min
Mar 17, 2:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXWashington9 min
Mar 17, 2:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCopiah, Lincoln66 min
Mar 17, 2:26 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVNatchitoches, Winn34 min
Mar 17, 2:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCaldwell, LaSalle30 min
Mar 17, 2:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCatahoula, Franklin53 min
Mar 17, 2:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVGrant, Natchitoches, Winn30 min
Mar 17, 2:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXPike, Walthall35 min
Mar 17, 2:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCopiah, Lawrence, Lincoln63 min
Mar 17, 2:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMadison47 min
Mar 17, 3:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANJefferson Davis, Lawrence, Marion58 min
Mar 17, 3:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAdams, Claiborne, Jefferson53 min
Mar 17, 3:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANConcordia, Tensas51 min
Mar 17, 3:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHinds, Madison, Warren48 min
Mar 17, 3:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVNatchitoches, Sabine43 min
Mar 17, 3:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBGreene, Wayne41 min
Mar 17, 3:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHRapides, Vernon66 min
Mar 17, 3:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANConcordia48 min
Mar 17, 3:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCopiah, Franklin, Jefferson, Lincoln58 min
Mar 17, 3:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBBaldwin37 min
Mar 17, 3:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCovington, Jefferson Davis38 min
Mar 17, 4:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBWashington39 min
Mar 17, 4:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBBaldwin36 min
Mar 17, 4:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANFranklin, Lincoln66 min
Mar 17, 4:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANConcordia29 min
Mar 17, 4:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLawrence63 min
Mar 17, 4:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBWayne24 min
Mar 17, 4:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXHarrison35 min
Mar 17, 4:26 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANCopiah, Lawrence, Lincoln2 hr
Mar 17, 4:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHBeauregard, Vernon47 min
Mar 17, 4:38 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedLIXHarrison37 min
Mar 17, 5:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANJefferson Davis, Lawrence, Marion30 min
Mar 17, 5:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXEast Feliciana, West Feliciana42 min
Mar 17, 5:03 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedLIXHarrison, Jackson27 min
Mar 17, 5:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXAmite, Pike, Walthall51 min
Mar 17, 5:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANJones48 min
Mar 17, 5:21 PM CDTTornado WarningLIXPearl River24 min
Mar 17, 5:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLamar, Marion49 min
Mar 17, 5:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXEast Feliciana, Saint Helena47 min
Mar 17, 5:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXHarrison, Jackson31 min
Mar 17, 5:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMarion39 min
Mar 17, 5:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXWashington66 min
Mar 17, 5:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBGreene, Perry, Wayne61 min
Mar 17, 5:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANForrest, Lamar64 min
Mar 17, 5:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBPerry, Stone47 min
Mar 17, 6:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBGeorge68 min
Mar 17, 6:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXTangipahoa31 min
Mar 17, 6:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXAscension, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Livingston, Saint Helena and 2 more40 min
Mar 17, 6:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXPearl River23 min
Mar 17, 6:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXSaint Tammany, Tangipahoa, Washington65 min
Mar 17, 6:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXHancock, Harrison, Pearl River32 min
Mar 17, 6:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBGeorge31 min
Mar 17, 7:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBStone25 min
Mar 17, 7:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBMobile37 min
Mar 17, 7:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBGeorge, Stone37 min
Mar 17, 7:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBBaldwin, Mobile23 min
Mar 17, 7:38 PM CDTTornado WarningLIXJackson37 min
Mar 17, 7:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBBaldwin, Escambia65 min
Mar 17, 8:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBMobile45 min
Mar 17, 8:00 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANForrest3 hr
Mar 17, 8:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBMobile58 min
Mar 17, 8:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBBaldwin29 min
Mar 17, 8:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBBaldwin38 min
Mar 17, 8:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBBaldwin, Mobile45 min
Mar 17, 9:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBBaldwin37 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 6.3 hours before the alert went out and 180 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2016-03-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2016-03-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -25 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1748 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
57 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-25 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
93 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 17, 7:44 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Butler, Clarke, Coffee, Conecuh, Covington and 7 more2 hr
Mar 17, 11:14 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Mobile2 hr
Mar 17, 5:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Butler, Coffee, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw and 7 more89 min
Mar 17, 6:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Choctaw, Clarke, Mobile, Washington53 min
Mar 17, 9:37 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBienville, Bossier, Caddo, Caldwell, Catahoula, Claiborne and 16 more83 min
Mar 17, 12:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Avoyelles, Caldwell, Catahoula, Concordia, East Feliciana and 12 more92 min
Mar 17, 3:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAvoyelles, Catahoula, Concordia, East Feliciana, Franklin, Grant and 12 more87 min
Mar 17, 2:13 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCollin, Cooke, Dallas, Denton, Grayson, Jack and 6 more3 hr
Mar 17, 5:57 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCollin, Cooke, Dallas, Delta, Denton, Ellis and 13 more3 hr
Mar 17, 6:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Austin, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Brazos and 43 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Louisiana, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Mississippi, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.