Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 420

July 28, 201651 counties in Kansas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 28, 2016, 3:46 PM CDT for 51 counties in Kansas. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 28, 2016, 3:46 PM CDT (20:46 UTC)
Expired
Jul 28, 2016, 9:36 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 51 counties

Barton County, KS, Butler County, KS, Chase County, KS, Chautauqua County, KS, Clay County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Cowley County, KS, Decatur County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Edwards County, KS, Elk County, KS, Ellis County, KS, Ellsworth County, KS, Geary County, KS, Gove County, KS, Graham County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Harper County, KS, Harvey County, KS, Jewell County, KS, Kingman County, KS, Lincoln County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Marion County, KS, McPherson County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Morris County, KS, Ness County, KS, Norton County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Pawnee County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Pratt County, KS, Reno County, KS, Republic County, KS, Rice County, KS, Riley County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Rush County, KS, Russell County, KS, Saline County, KS, Sedgwick County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Smith County, KS, Stafford County, KS, Sumner County, KS, Trego County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS, Washington County, KS

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 149 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 28, 3:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDDecatur, Graham, Norton39 min
Jul 28, 4:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDPhillips33 min
Jul 28, 4:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDPhillips, Smith45 min
Jul 28, 5:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDOsborne, Rooks14 min
Jul 28, 5:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDJewell, Mitchell, Osborne, Smith46 min
Jul 28, 5:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPCloud, Ottawa, Republic41 min
Jul 28, 5:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDOsborne, Smith11 min
Jul 28, 5:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTEllsworth, Lincoln, Russell38 min
Jul 28, 5:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDJewell, Mitchell, Osborne, Smith46 min
Jul 28, 6:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPClay, Cloud, Dickinson, Ottawa48 min
Jul 28, 6:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTBarton, Ellsworth, Lincoln, Rice, Russell, Saline36 min
Jul 28, 6:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPClay, Cloud, Republic, Washington32 min
Jul 28, 6:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTBarton, Ellsworth, McPherson, Rice35 min
Jul 28, 7:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTReno26 min
Jul 28, 7:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPClay, Dickinson, Geary, Morris, Pottawatomie, Riley41 min
Jul 28, 7:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTHarvey, McPherson, Reno, Rice52 min
Jul 28, 7:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTHarvey, Kingman, McPherson, Marion, Reno, Sedgwick40 min
Jul 28, 8:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTButler, Cowley, Harper, Harvey, Kingman, Sedgwick and 1 more45 min
Jul 28, 8:18 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedICTKingman29 min
Jul 28, 8:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTButler, Cowley, Harper, Kingman, Sedgwick, Sumner48 min
Jul 28, 8:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTButler31 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 145 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2016-07-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2016-07-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 79 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1923 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
79 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
131 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 27, 11:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Finney, Gove, Greeley, Hamilton, Kearny and 9 more119 min
Jul 28, 1:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDecatur, Ellis, Graham, Lincoln, Mitchell, Norton and 5 more2 hr
Jul 28, 3:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChautauqua, Cowley, Harper, Sumner115 min
Jul 28, 6:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Butler, Chase, Clay, Cloud, Dickinson and 35 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.