Alert archive / South Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 390

July 16, 201616 counties in North Dakota; 18 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 16, 2016, 1:09 PM CDT for 16 counties in North Dakota; 18 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 16, 2016, 1:09 PM CDT (18:09 UTC)
Expired
Jul 16, 2016, 8:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 34 counties

Barnes County, ND, Burleigh County, ND, Cass County, ND, Dickey County, ND, Emmons County, ND, Grant County, ND, Kidder County, ND, LaMoure County, ND, Logan County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, Morton County, ND, Ransom County, ND, Richland County, ND, Sargent County, ND, Sioux County, ND, Stutsman County, ND, Brown County, SD, Campbell County, SD, Clark County, SD, Codington County, SD, Corson County, SD, Day County, SD, Deuel County, SD, Dewey County, SD, Edmunds County, SD, Faulk County, SD, Grant County, SD, Hamlin County, SD, Marshall County, SD, McPherson County, SD, Potter County, SD, Roberts County, SD, Spink County, SD, Walworth County, SD

The radar

The Aberdeen radar (KABR), 102 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 16, 1:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBurleigh, Kidder54 min
Jul 16, 2:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBurleigh, Kidder, Stutsman58 min
Jul 16, 2:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABREdmunds, Faulk14 min
Jul 16, 2:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISKidder, Stutsman49 min
Jul 16, 3:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISGrant, Sioux61 min
Jul 16, 3:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRBrown, Day, Marshall, Spink41 min
Jul 16, 4:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBurleigh, Kidder58 min
Jul 16, 4:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRCorson49 min
Jul 16, 4:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISEmmons, Morton, Sioux43 min
Jul 16, 4:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRDay, Marshall, Roberts45 min
Jul 16, 4:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBurleigh, Emmons, Kidder, Logan62 min
Jul 16, 4:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRCodington, Day, Grant, Roberts39 min
Jul 16, 5:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRGrant, Roberts45 min
Jul 16, 5:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRGrant, Roberts21 min
Jul 16, 6:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRDay, Marshall, Roberts46 min
Jul 16, 6:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISLaMoure29 min
Jul 16, 6:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRRoberts46 min
Jul 16, 7:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFRansom24 min
Jul 16, 7:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRRoberts27 min
Jul 16, 7:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRClark40 min
Jul 16, 7:40 PM CDTTornado WarningABRClark, Spink23 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 6.2 hours before the alert went out and 131 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2016-07-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 34 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2016-07-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 59 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
34 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-319 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1366 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
59 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
56 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 16, 12:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarnes, Burleigh, Cass, Dickey, Emmons, Grant and 10 more2 hr
Jul 16, 3:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarnes, Burleigh, Dickey, Emmons, Grant, Kidder and 9 more87 min
Jul 16, 3:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBennett, Butte, Custer, Fall River, Haakon, Harding and 10 more6 hr
Jul 16, 5:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAurora, Beadle, Brookings, Brown, Brule, Buffalo and 39 more96 min
Jul 16, 6:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAurora, Beadle, Bon Homme, Brookings, Brown, Brule and 43 more7 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Dakota, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.